GOALSENSE
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AI PREDICTION Projects FT 2–1 · DERBY 56% · Value: BTTS Yes 60%
CONF 62 FULL ANALYSIS →
Championship · REGULAR SEASON - 46 · SAT, 02 MAY · 11:30 LOCAL
DERBY
8TH · 69 PTS · LAST 5:
W L W L W
FT
1 – 2
FULL TIME HT · 1-0
SHEFFIELD UTD
L L W W L
· 13TH · 60 PTS · LAST 5
⚽ 5' Sammie Szmodics
GOALS
⚽ 62' Tom Cannon ⚽ 69' Sydie Peck
Sydie Peck
👑
⭐ PLAYER OF THE MATCH
Sydie Peck
Sheffield Utd · 96 mins
⚽ 1 goal · 50% pass acc · 1 shots on
RATING
8.0
PREDICTIONS
📊 90 MIN TOTALS

Finalised · Match completed

90%
BALL POSSESSION %
87%
17
TOTAL SHOTS
15
5
SHOTS ON TARGET
8
272%
PASS ACCURACY %
305%
6
CORNERS
4
KEY EVENTS 19 events
  1. 5'
    Goal · 1-0
    Sammie Szmodics
    DER
  2. 18'
    Card · Foul
    Sondre Langås
    DER
  3. 26'
    Card · Foul
    Matt Clarke
    DER
  4. 45'+2
    Card · Foul
    Harrison Burrows
    SHE
  5. 54'
    Card · Persistent fouling
    Japhet Tanganga
    SHE
  6. 60'
    Subst
    Bobby Clark · assist Jaydon Banel
    DER
  7. 62'
    Goal · 1-1
    Tom Cannon · assist Patrick Bamford
    SHE
  8. 64'
    Subst
    Tahith Chong · assist Tom Cannon
    SHE
  9. 64'
    Subst
    Ki-Jana Hoever · assist Femi Seriki
    SHE
  10. 64'
    Subst
    Joe Rothwell · assist Oliver Arblaster
    SHE
  11. 68'
    Subst
    Max Johnston · assist Ben Brereton Díaz
    DER
  12. 69'
    Goal · 1-2
    Sydie Peck · assist Gustavo Hamer
    SHE
  13. 72'
    Subst
    Danny Ings · assist Gustavo Hamer
    SHE
  14. 74'
    Subst
    Oscar Fraulo · assist Craig Forsyth
    DER
  15. 75'
    Subst
    Lars-Jørgen Salvesen · assist David Ozoh
    DER
  16. 85'
    Subst
    Jaïro Riedewald · assist Callum O'Hare
    SHE
  17. 89'
    Card · Foul
    Bobby Clark
    DER
  18. 90'+7
    Card · Argument
    Tahith Chong
    SHE
  19. 90'+7
    Card · Foul
    Sammie Szmodics
    DER
PLAYER RATINGS · TOP 5 EACH 0–10 scale
DERBY AVG 6.9
SHEFFIELD UTD AVG 7.4
MATCH STATS H vs A
ATTACK
17.0
TOTAL SHOTS
15.0
5.0
ON TARGET
8.0
5.0
OFF TARGET
5.0
7.0
BLOCKED
2.0
POSSESSION
90.0%
POSSESSION %
87.0%
369.0
PASSES
374.0
272.0%
PASS ACCURACY
305.0%
SET PIECES
6.0
CORNERS
4.0
11.0
OFFSIDES
13.0
DISCIPLINE
13.0
FOULS
11.0
4.0
YELLOW CARDS
3.0
6.0
GK SAVES
4.0
🎯 SHOT BREAKDOWN

Top shooters · accuracy = on-target / total

player-level shot accuracy · per-shot xG bubbles require xG Advanced tier
DERBY 2 shots
Sammie Szmodics
1/2
SHEFFIELD UTD 5 shots
Thomas Cannon
1/3
Sydie Peck
1/1
Harrison Burrows
0/1
⚡ ATTACK SHARE

Event activity ratio · attacks/cards/subs

zone-based attack maps require broadcast partner (Q3)
H 47%
53% A
9
EVENTS LOGGED
10
EVENTS LOGGED
LINEUPS 4-2-3-1 vs 4-4-2
4-2-3-1
4-4-2
1
JACOB WID
3
CRAIG FOR
5
MATT CLAR
6
SONDRE LA
23
JOE WARD
 7.3
27
LEWIS TRA
18
DAVID OZO
 6.7
34
JAYDON BA
 7.3
19
SAMMIE SZ
 6.7
25
BEN BRERE
9
CARLTON M
 7.0
17
ADAM DAVI
 6.9
14
HARRISON
25
MARK MCGU
2
JAPHET TA
 7.2
38
FEMI SERI
10
CALLUM O'
4
OLIVER AR
 8.0
42
SYDIE PEC
8
GUSTAVO H
45
PATRICK B
 7.7
7
THOMAS CA
SUBSTITUTES · DERBY
54
Cruz Allen
M
37
Owen Eames
M
29
Oscar Fraulo
M
42
Bobby Clark
M
28
Dion Sanders...
D
22
Max Johnston
D
4
Danny Batth
D
31
Josh Vickers
G
15
Lars-Jørgen...
F
COACH: John Eustace
SUBSTITUTES · SHEFFIELD UTD
48
Joe Rothwell
M
18
Djibril Soum...
M
24
Tahith Chong
M
44
Jaïro Riedew...
M
37
Dovydas Sasn...
D
12
Ki-Jana Hoev...
D
43
Harry McGlin...
M
9
Danny Ings
F
COACH: Chris Wilder
🏥 UNAVAILABLE PLAYERS
DER · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

SHE · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

⚖ MATCH OFFICIALS
REFEREE
Tom Nield, England
—
DER MANAGER
John Eustace
head coach
SHE MANAGER
Chris Wilder
head coach
HEAD TO HEAD · ALL-TIME
3
DER WINS
0
DRAWS
7
SHE WINS
30%
70%
10 – 15
TOTAL GOALS · 10 MEETINGS
2.50
AVG GOALS / MATCH
RECENT MEETINGS SHOWING 5 / 10
01 Nov 2025
Sheffield Utd
1 – 3
Derby
W
01 Feb 2025
Derby
0 – 1
Sheffield Utd
L
21 Sep 2024
Sheffield Utd
1 – 0
Derby
L
15 Jan 2022
Derby
2 – 0
Sheffield Utd
W
25 Sep 2021
Sheffield Utd
1 – 0
Derby
L
DERBY LAST 5 OVERALL
W L W L W
SHEFFIELD UTD LAST 5 OVERALL
L L W W L
MATCH IMPACT Final 1–2 · result locked
DERBY #8
Lost · already at 69 pts
SHEFFIELD UTD #13
Won · already at 60 pts
LEAGUE CONTEXT FULL TABLE →
# TEAM P W D L GD PTS FORM
1 Coventry 46 28 11 7 +52 95
W W W D D
2 Ipswich 46 23 15 8 +33 84
W D D W D
3 Millwall 46 24 11 11 +15 83
W D W W D
4 Southampton 46 22 14 10 +26 80
W D D W W
5 Middlesbrough 46 22 14 10 +25 80
D W W D L
6 Hull City 46 21 10 15 +4 73
W L D D L
7 Wrexham 46 19 14 13 +4 71
D L W W L
8 Derby 46 20 9 17 +8 69
L W L W L
9 Norwich 46 19 8 19 +7 65
L D W W L
10 Birmingham 46 17 13 16 +1 64
D W W D W
11 Swansea 46 18 10 18 -2 64
W D W L W
12 Bristol City 46 17 11 18 0 62
W L D L D
13 Sheffield Utd 46 18 6 22 0 60
W L L W W
14 Preston 46 15 15 16 -7 60
L W L L W
15 QPR 46 16 10 20 -12 58
L L L L D
16 Watford 46 14 15 17 -12 57
L L L L L
17 Stoke City 46 15 10 21 -5 55
L L L L D
18 Portsmouth 46 14 13 19 -15 55
D W L W W
19 Charlton 46 13 14 19 -14 53
L W L D L
20 Blackburn 46 13 13 20 -14 52
L W D L D
21 West Brom 46 13 14 19 -10 51
L D W W D
22 Oxford United 46 11 14 21 -14 47
L W L L W
23 Leicester 46 12 16 18 -10 46
W D D L L
24 Sheffield Wednesday 46 2 12 32 -60 0
W L L D D
UCL Qualification Europa / Conference Relegation
COMMENTARY
  • 90'+7
    Card · Foul · Sammie Szmodics
    7th Yellowcard
  • 90'+7
    Card · Argument · Tahith Chong
    6th Yellowcard
  • 89'
    Card · Foul · Bobby Clark
    5th Yellowcard
  • 85'
    Subst · Jaïro Riedewald
    9th Substitution
  • 75'
    Subst · Lars-Jørgen Salvesen
    8th Substitution
  • 74'
    Subst · Oscar Fraulo
    7th Substitution
  • 72'
    Subst · Danny Ings
    6th Substitution
  • 69'
    Goal · 1-2 · Sydie Peck
    3rd Goal
  • 68'
    Subst · Max Johnston
    5th Substitution
  • 64'
    Subst · Joe Rothwell
    4th Substitution
  • 64'
    Subst · Ki-Jana Hoever
    3rd Substitution
  • 64'
    Subst · Tahith Chong
    2nd Substitution
  • 62'
    Goal · 1-1 · Tom Cannon
    2nd Goal
  • 60'
    Subst · Bobby Clark
    1st Substitution
  • 54'
    Card · Persistent fouling · Japhet Tanganga
    4th Yellowcard
  • HALF TIME · 1 – 0
  • 45'+2
    Card · Foul · Harrison Burrows
    3rd Yellowcard
  • 26'
    Card · Foul · Matt Clarke
    2nd Yellowcard
  • 18'
    Card · Foul · Sondre Langås
    1st Yellowcard
  • 5'
    Goal · 1-0 · Sammie Szmodics
    1st Goal
12 BOOKIES
📊 AVERAGE ACROSS 12 BOOKMAKERS
DERBY WIN
1.77
56.5% implied
↑ best 1.88
DRAW
3.79
26.4% implied
↑ best 3.95
SHEFFIELD UTD WIN
4.26
23.5% implied
↑ best 4.52

Market favors Derby. AI projects DERBY 56% · value bet BTTS Yes.

MATCH WINNER ODDS avg across bookmakers
AI SAYS DERBY 56% · EDGE column shows AI probability minus market implied probability
BOOKMAKER 1 X 2 EDGE
10Bet 1.80 3.65 4.10 +0.4%
1xBet 1.76 3.84 4.22 0.0%
Bet365 1.73 3.80 4.50 -0.3%
Betano 1.78 3.80 4.50 -0.2%
Betfair 1.75 3.90 4.33 +0.4%
BetVictor 1.75 3.80 4.40 -0.3%
Dafabet 1.88 3.95 3.90 +2.8%
Marathonbet 1.74 3.84 4.25 0.0%
Pinnacle 1.76 3.94 4.52 +0.6%
SBO 1.76 3.61 4.12 -0.8%
Unibet 1.79 3.80 4.10 +0.1%
William Hill 1.75 3.60 4.20 -1.1%

Best odds in gold. Edge ≥ +5% (lime) means market under-prices the AI's probability. 18+ only.

📊 OTHER MARKETS

Over/Under · BTTS · Asian Handicap

avg across bookmakers
⚽ GOALS · OVER / UNDER
1.5 O 1.22 U 3.96
2.5 O 1.72 U 2.11
3.5 O 2.76 U 1.41
⚽ BOTH TEAMS SCORE
YES
1.64 9 bks
NO
2.14 9 bks
⚖ ASIAN HANDICAP
Away -0.25 2.41
Away -0.5 2.05
Away -0.75 1.83
Away -1 1.57
Away -1.25 1.45
Away -1.5 1.35
📈 MARKET MOVEMENT

How the market shifted before kick-off

historical line movement
7d ago 3d 1d KICK-OFF

Smoothed line illustration · per-snapshot historical odds storage activates Q3.