GOALSENSE
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Serie A · REGULAR SEASON - 36 · SUN, 10 MAY · 16:00 LOCAL
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PARMA
FT
2 – 3
FULL TIME
AS ROMA
⚽ 47' Gabriel Strefezza ⚽ 87' Mandela Keita
GOALS
⚽ 22' Donyell Malen ⚽ 90+4' Devyne Rensch
CLAUDE AI · BLENDED FROM 4 MODELS
FINAL · VERIFIED
CONF 72/100 HIGH
🔮 PREDICTED FULL-TIME SCORE
PAR
2 – 2
AS
most likely scoreline · 7.9% probability
AI PICKS AS ROMA TO WIN 58%
FT 2 – 3
→
🤖 AI PROJECTED FT 2 – 2
🤖 AI BREAKDOWN

HOW AI SEES THE MATCH

FINAL · VERIFIED
PAR WIN 14%
DRAW 28%
AS WIN 58%
h + d + a = 100% · stacked share
💰 AI BETTING TIP
BTTS YES

AI projects 92% — the safest goals market. Combined value over single 1X2 pick at this confidence.

CONF 92% OVER 1.5 ✓ OVER 2.5 ✓ BTTS YES ✓ 4 models
🤖 AI ANALYSIS

Match at 90' tied 2-2; Roma likely winner in extra time given dominance. Draw most likely final outcome.

🤖 AI REASONING why AI picked this
WHY PARMA CHALLENGED
14%
Roma season dominance (6th, 64 pts vs Parma 13th, 42 pts) and away form WLLDL underperforming fixture strength
+20.0%
Recent H2H: Roma 5-0 and 2-1 wins show quality gulf; Parma's 2-2 draw here is overperformance
+15.0%
WHY AS ROMA FAVORED
58%
90' at 2-2 with no injury absences; extra time probability ~95% — Roma historically stronger in extended play
+25.0%
🤖 CONTEXT · NEUTRAL FACTORS
  • 90' at 2-2 with no injury absences; extra time probability ~95% — Roma historically stronger in extended play
🤖 AI LIVE TIMELINE

PROBABILITY TIMELINE

How AI re-projects after each event
H DRAW A
100% 50% 0% KO 15' 30' HT 60' 75' FT ⚽ 22' DONYELL MA ⚽ 47' GABRIEL ST ⚽ 87' MANDELA KE ⚽ 94' DEVYNE REN
Probabilities re-blended at each event · 4 events marked → Derived from goal events + remaining time
🤖 AI SCORE MATRIX

SCORELINE PROBABILITY

All possible scorelines · Poisson from xG
0% 7.9%+
0
1
2
3
4
5
6+
0
1.8
4.0
4.4
3.2
1.7
0.8
0.3
1
3.3
7.3
7.9
5.8
3.1
1.4
0.5
2
3.0
6.6
7.2
5.2
2.9
1.2
0.5
3
1.8
4.0
4.4
3.2
1.7
0.8
0.3
4
0.8
1.8
2.0
1.5
0.8
0.3
0.1
5
0.3
0.7
0.7
0.5
0.3
0.1
·
6+
0.1
0.2
0.2
0.2
0.1
·
·
MOST LIKELY · TOP 5
1 — 2 7.9%
1 — 1 7.3%
2 — 2 7.2%
2 — 1 6.6%
1 — 3 5.8%
Top 5 = 34.8% · rest 65.2%
🤖 AI VALUE FINDER

VALUE BETS

Where AI sees an edge vs bookmaker odds
8 markets · pre-match avg odds
MARKETODDSAI PROBFAIREDGE
Both Teams Score — YES
10 bookmakers · pre-match avg
2.13
92.0%
1.09
+95.9%
Over 2.5 Goals
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
2.01
85.0%
1.18
+71.0%
Draw
13 bookmakers · pre-match avg
4.26
28.0%
3.57
+19.2%
HOME or Draw (1X)
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
2.65
42.0%
2.38
+11.5%
HOME to Win
13 bookmakers · pre-match avg
7.23
14.0%
7.14
+1.2%
—
Draw or AWAY (X2)
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
1.10
86.0%
1.16
-5.4%
—
HOME or AWAY (12)
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
1.21
72.0%
1.39
-13.2%
—
AWAY to Win
13 bookmakers · pre-match avg
1.46
58.0%
1.72
-15.1%
—
⚠ 18+ only. Odds change frequently. AI predictions are not guarantees. Bet responsibly.