GOALSENSE
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AI PREDICTION Projects FT 2–2 · AS ROMA 58% · Value: Over 2.5 85%
CONF 72 FULL ANALYSIS →
Serie A · REGULAR SEASON - 36 · SUN, 10 MAY · 16:00 LOCAL
PARMA
13TH · 42 PTS · LAST 5:
L W W D D
FT
2 – 3
FULL TIME HT · 0-1
AS ROMA
W W D W L
· 5TH · 67 PTS · LAST 5
⚽ 47' Gabriel Strefezza ⚽ 87' Mandela Keita
GOALS
⚽ 22' Donyell Malen ⚽ 90+4' Devyne Rensch
Paulo Dybala
👑
⭐ PLAYER OF THE MATCH
Paulo Dybala
AS Roma · 103 mins
🅰 1 assist · 58% pass acc
RATING
8.3
PREDICTIONS
▶ MATCH HIGHLIGHTS

Goals, key moments & recap 5 CLIPS

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Serie A: Parma vs AS Roma
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PARMA 2-3 ROMA | SERIE A HIGHLIGHTS 2025-26
Serie A: Parma vs AS Roma
Serie A: Parma vs AS Roma
📊 90 MIN TOTALS

Finalised · Match completed

57%
BALL POSSESSION %
118%
11
TOTAL SHOTS
15
3
SHOTS ON TARGET
7
227%
PASS ACCURACY %
497%
3
CORNERS
6
KEY EVENTS 20 events
  1. 22'
    Goal · 0-1
    Donyell Malen · assist Paulo Dybala
    AS
  2. 47'
    Goal · 1-1
    Gabriel Strefezza · assist Hans Nicolussi Caviglia
    PAR
  3. 48'
    Card
    Gabriel Strefezza
    PAR
  4. 53'
    Subst
    Mateo Pellegrino · assist Gabriel Strefezza
    PAR
  5. 53'
    Subst
    Daniele Ghilardi · assist Mario Hermoso
    AS
  6. 58'
    Subst
    Niccolò Pisilli · assist Matías Soulé
    AS
  7. 59'
    Subst
    Neil El Aynaoui · assist Bryan Cristante
    AS
  8. 65'
    Card · Foul
    Mariano Troilo
    PAR
  9. 74'
    Subst
    Sascha Britschgi · assist Enrico Delprato
    PAR
  10. 74'
    Subst
    Franco Carboni · assist Emanuele Valeri
    PAR
  11. 75'
    Subst
    Devyne Rensch · assist Zeki Çelik
    AS
  12. 75'
    Subst
    Lorenzo Venturino · assist Manu Koné
    AS
  13. 76'
    Card · Foul
    Sascha Britschgi
    PAR
  14. 79'
    Subst
    Nahuel Estévez · assist Hans Nicolussi Caviglia
    PAR
  15. 79'
    Subst
    Pontus Almqvist · assist Nesta Elphege
    PAR
  16. 87'
    Goal · 2-1
    Mandela Keita · assist Nahuel Estévez
    PAR
  17. 90'+4
    Goal · 2-2
    Devyne Rensch · assist Daniele Ghilardi
    AS
  18. 90'+8
    Var
    Devyne Rensch
    AS
  19. 90'+9
    Card · Foul
    Sascha Britschgi
    PAR
  20. 90'+11
    Penalty · 2-3
    Donyell Malen
    AS
PLAYER RATINGS · TOP 5 EACH 0–10 scale
PARMA AVG 7.4
AS ROMA AVG 7.7
MATCH STATS H vs A
ATTACK
11.0
TOTAL SHOTS
15.0
3.0
ON TARGET
7.0
5.0
OFF TARGET
5.0
3.0
BLOCKED
3.0
POSSESSION
57.0%
POSSESSION %
118.0%
291.0
PASSES
568.0
227.0%
PASS ACCURACY
497.0%
SET PIECES
3.0
CORNERS
6.0
20.0
OFFSIDES
9.0
DISCIPLINE
14.0
FOULS
8.0
4.0
YELLOW CARDS
0.0
1.0
RED CARDS
0.0
4.0
GK SAVES
1.0
🎯 SHOT BREAKDOWN

Top shooters · accuracy = on-target / total

player-level shot accuracy · per-shot xG bubbles require xG Advanced tier
PARMA 7 shots
Gabriel Strefezza
2/5
Mandela Keita
1/1
Hans Nicolussi Caviglia
0/1
AS ROMA 8 shots
Donyell Malen
4/5
Devyne Rensch
1/1
Neil El Aynaoui
0/1
Wesley
1/1
⚡ ATTACK SHARE

Event activity ratio · attacks/cards/subs

zone-based attack maps require broadcast partner (Q3)
H 55%
45% A
11
EVENTS LOGGED
9
EVENTS LOGGED
LINEUPS 3-5-2 vs 3-4-2-1
3-5-2
3-4-2-1
31
ZION SUZU
5
LAUTARO V
37
MARIANO T
39
ALESSANDR
 7.0
14
EMANUELE
 8.0
16
MANDELA K
 7.2
41
HANS NICO
24
CHRISTIAN
 6.9
15
ENRICO DE
 7.9
7
GABRIEL S
23
NESTA ELP
99
MILE SVIL
22
MARIO HER
5
EVAN NDIC
23
GIANLUCA
 6.9
43
WESLEY
17
MANU KONé
4
BRYAN CRI
19
ZEKI ÇELI
 8.3
21
PAULO DYB
18
M. SOULé
 8.2
14
DONYELL M
SUBSTITUTES · PARMA
29
Franco Carbo...
D
76
Daniel Mikoł...
F
11
Pontus Almqv...
F
17
Jacob Ondrej...
F
8
Nahuel Estév...
M
22
Oliver Søren...
M
27
Sascha Brits...
D
61
Dominik Drob...
D
3
Abdoulaye Nd...
D
66
Filippo Rina...
G
40
Edoardo Corv...
G
9
Mateo Pelleg...
F
COACH: Carlos Cuesta
SUBSTITUTES · AS ROMA
8
Neil El Ayna...
M
2
Devyne Rensc...
D
3
Angeliño
D
20
Lorenzo Vent...
F
61
N. Pisilli
M
24
Jan Ziółkows...
D
87
Daniele Ghil...
D
12
K. Tsimikas
D
70
Giorgio De M...
G
95
Pierluigi Go...
G
78
R. Vaz
F
COACH: Piero Gasperini Gian
🏥 UNAVAILABLE PLAYERS
PAR · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

AS · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

⚖ MATCH OFFICIALS
REFEREE
Daniele Chiffi, Italy
—
PAR MANAGER
Carlos Cuesta
head coach
AS MANAGER
Piero Gasperini Gian
head coach
HEAD TO HEAD · ALL-TIME
2
PAR WINS
0
DRAWS
8
AS WINS
20%
80%
7 – 19
TOTAL GOALS · 10 MEETINGS
2.60
AVG GOALS / MATCH
RECENT MEETINGS SHOWING 5 / 10
29 Oct 2025
AS Roma
2 – 1
Parma
L
16 Feb 2025
Parma
0 – 1
AS Roma
L
22 Dec 2024
AS Roma
5 – 0
Parma
L
14 Mar 2021
Parma
2 – 0
AS Roma
W
22 Nov 2020
AS Roma
3 – 0
Parma
L
PARMA LAST 5 OVERALL
L W W D D
AS ROMA LAST 5 OVERALL
W W D W L
MATCH IMPACT Final 2–3 · result locked
PARMA #13
Lost · already at 42 pts
AS ROMA #5
Won · already at 67 pts
Promotion - Europa League (League phase)
LEAGUE CONTEXT FULL TABLE →
# TEAM P W D L GD PTS FORM
1 Inter 36 27 4 5 +54 85
W W D W W
2 Napoli 36 21 7 8 +18 70
L D W L D
3 Juventus 36 19 11 6 +29 68
W D D W W
4 AC Milan 36 19 10 7 +18 67
L L D W L
5 AS Roma 36 21 4 11 +24 67
W W W D W
6 Como 36 18 11 7 +32 65
W D W L L
7 Atalanta 36 15 13 8 +16 58
W D L D L
8 Bologna 36 15 7 14 +2 52
W D L L W
9 Lazio 36 13 12 11 +2 51
L W D W L
10 Udinese 36 14 8 14 -1 50
W W D L W
11 Sassuolo 36 14 7 15 -2 49
L W D W L
12 Torino 36 12 8 16 -18 44
W L D D W
13 Parma 36 10 12 14 -18 42
L L W W D
14 Genoa 36 10 11 15 -8 41
D D L W W
15 Fiorentina 36 8 14 14 -11 38
D L D D W
16 Cagliari 36 9 10 17 -15 37
L D W L W
17 Lecce 36 8 8 20 -24 32
L W D D L
18 Cremonese 36 7 10 19 -23 31
W L L D L
19 Hellas Verona 36 3 11 22 -34 20
L D D L L
20 Pisa 36 2 12 22 -41 18
L L L L L
UCL Qualification Europa / Conference Relegation
COMMENTARY
  • 90'+11
    Penalty · 2-3 · Donyell Malen
    1st Penalty
  • 90'+9
    Card · Foul · Sascha Britschgi
    1st Yellow/red Card
  • 90'+8
    Var · Devyne Rensch
    Penalty awarded
  • 90'+4
    Goal · 2-2 · Devyne Rensch
    4th Goal
  • 87'
    Goal · 2-1 · Mandela Keita
    3rd Goal
  • 79'
    Subst · Pontus Almqvist
    9th Substitution
  • 79'
    Subst · Nahuel Estévez
    10th Substitution
  • 76'
    Card · Foul · Sascha Britschgi
    3rd Yellowcard
  • 75'
    Subst · Lorenzo Venturino
    8th Substitution
  • 75'
    Subst · Devyne Rensch
    7th Substitution
  • 74'
    Subst · Franco Carboni
    6th Substitution
  • 74'
    Subst · Sascha Britschgi
    5th Substitution
  • 65'
    Card · Foul · Mariano Troilo
    2nd Yellowcard
  • 59'
    Subst · Neil El Aynaoui
    4th Substitution
  • 58'
    Subst · Niccolò Pisilli
    3rd Substitution
  • 53'
    Subst · Daniele Ghilardi
    1st Substitution
  • 53'
    Subst · Mateo Pellegrino
    2nd Substitution
  • 48'
    Card · Gabriel Strefezza
    1st Yellowcard
  • 47'
    Goal · 1-1 · Gabriel Strefezza
    2nd Goal
  • HALF TIME · 0 – 1
  • 22'
    Goal · 0-1 · Donyell Malen
    1st Goal
13 BOOKIES
📊 AVERAGE ACROSS 13 BOOKMAKERS
PARMA WIN
7.23
13.8% implied
↑ best 7.75
DRAW
4.26
23.5% implied
↑ best 4.50
AS ROMA WIN
1.46
68.5% implied
↑ best 1.50

Market favors AS Roma. AI projects AS ROMA 58% · value bet Over 2.5.

MATCH WINNER ODDS avg across bookmakers
AI SAYS AS ROMA 58% · EDGE column shows AI probability minus market implied probability
BOOKMAKER 1 X 2 EDGE
10Bet 6.60 4.00 1.50 +3.0%
1xBet 7.75 4.50 1.50 +5.8%
888Sport 6.50 4.00 1.44 +3.0%
Bet365 7.00 4.33 1.45 +4.9%
Betano 7.60 4.40 1.50 +5.3%
Betfair 7.50 4.33 1.44 +4.9%
BetVictor 7.50 4.20 1.44 +4.2%
Dafabet 7.40 4.50 1.47 +5.8%
Marathonbet 7.60 4.40 1.47 +5.3%
Pinnacle 7.75 4.38 1.48 +5.2%
SBO 7.24 4.12 1.44 +3.7%
Unibet 7.00 4.20 1.46 +4.2%
William Hill 6.50 4.00 1.44 +3.0%

Best odds in gold. Edge ≥ +5% (lime) means market under-prices the AI's probability. 18+ only.

📊 OTHER MARKETS

Over/Under · BTTS · Asian Handicap

avg across bookmakers
⚽ GOALS · OVER / UNDER
1.5 O 1.32 U 3.28
2.5 O 2.01 U 1.82
3.5 O 3.46 U 1.29
⚽ BOTH TEAMS SCORE
YES
2.13 10 bks
NO
1.67 10 bks
⚖ ASIAN HANDICAP
Away -0.25 1.14
Away -0.5 1.11
Away -0.75 1.05
Away -1 1.01
Away -1.5 1.01
Away +0 1.13
📈 MARKET MOVEMENT

How the market shifted before kick-off

historical line movement
7d ago 3d 1d KICK-OFF

Smoothed line illustration · per-snapshot historical odds storage activates Q3.