GOALSENSE
SIGN IN
Liga MX · CLAUSURA - 17 · SUN 26 APR · 03:00 LOCAL
← Match Page
FC JUAREZ
FT
2 – 1
FULL TIME
ATLETICO SAN LUIS
⚽ 12' Ettson Ayón ⚽ 44' Ettson Ayón
GOALS
⚽ 45+5' Joao Pedro
CLAUDE AI · BLENDED FROM 4 MODELS
FINAL · VERIFIED
CONF 18/100 LOW
🔮 PREDICTED FULL-TIME SCORE
FC
1 – 1
ATL
most likely scoreline · 13.9% probability
AI PICKS FC JUAREZ TO WIN 38%
FT 2 – 1
→
🤖 AI PROJECTED FT 1 – 1
🤖 AI BREAKDOWN

HOW AI SEES THE MATCH

FINAL · VERIFIED
FC WIN 38%
DRAW 32%
ATL WIN 30%
h + d + a = 100% · stacked share
💰 AI BETTING TIP
DOUBLE CHANCE — 1X

Tight 1X2 — single-side too risky. Double chance covers 70% of outcomes with smaller payout.

CONF 70% avoid: 1X2 single 4 models
🤖 AI ANALYSIS

Extreme data scarcity at minute 1 of a live match — treat as baseline heuristic only.

🤖 AI REASONING why AI picked this
WHY FC JUAREZ FAVORED
38%
Match at minute 1 with 0-0 scoreline — no momentum or in-match data yet
CONTEXT
Zero recent form, season stats, or H2H context available for either team
CONTEXT
Home advantage applied minimally; Liga MX parity typical in early rounds
CONTEXT
WHY ATLETICO SAN LUIS CHALLENGED
30%
Match at minute 1 with 0-0 scoreline — no momentum or in-match data yet
CONTEXT
Zero recent form, season stats, or H2H context available for either team
CONTEXT
Home advantage applied minimally; Liga MX parity typical in early rounds
CONTEXT
🤖 CONTEXT · NEUTRAL FACTORS
  • Match at minute 1 with 0-0 scoreline — no momentum or in-match data yet
  • Zero recent form, season stats, or H2H context available for either team
  • Home advantage applied minimally; Liga MX parity typical in early rounds
🤖 AI LIVE TIMELINE

PROBABILITY TIMELINE

How AI re-projects after each event
H DRAW A
100% 50% 0% KO 15' 30' HT 60' 75' FT ⚽ 12' ETTSON AY� ⚽ 44' ETTSON AY� ⚽ 50' JOAO PEDRO
Probabilities re-blended at each event · 3 events marked → Derived from goal events + remaining time
🤖 AI SCORE MATRIX

SCORELINE PROBABILITY

All possible scorelines · Poisson from xG
0% 13.9%+
0
1
2
3
4
5
6+
0
13.5
13.1
6.4
2.1
0.5
0.1
·
1
13.9
13.5
6.6
2.1
0.5
0.1
·
2
7.2
7.0
3.4
1.1
0.3
·
·
3
2.5
2.4
1.2
0.4
0.1
·
·
4
0.6
0.6
0.3
0.1
·
·
·
5
0.1
0.1
0.1
·
·
·
·
6+
·
·
·
·
·
·
·
MOST LIKELY · TOP 5
1 — 0 13.9%
0 — 0 13.5%
1 — 1 13.5%
0 — 1 13.1%
2 — 0 7.2%
Top 5 = 61.3% · rest 38.7%
🤖 AI VALUE FINDER

VALUE BETS

Where AI sees an edge vs bookmaker odds
8 markets · pre-match avg odds
MARKETODDSAI PROBFAIREDGE
Draw
32 bookmakers · pre-match avg
3.58
32.0%
3.13
+14.6%
Draw or AWAY (X2)
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
1.82
62.0%
1.61
+12.8%
AWAY to Win
32 bookmakers · pre-match avg
3.45
30.0%
3.33
+3.4%
—
HOME or Draw (1X)
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
1.26
70.0%
1.43
-11.6%
—
HOME or AWAY (12)
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
1.25
68.0%
1.47
-15.3%
—
Both Teams Score — YES
16 bookmakers · pre-match avg
1.56
54.0%
1.85
-15.7%
—
Over 2.5 Goals
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
1.65
48.0%
2.08
-20.8%
—
HOME to Win
32 bookmakers · pre-match avg
1.95
38.0%
2.63
-25.9%
—
⚠ 18+ only. Odds change frequently. AI predictions are not guarantees. Bet responsibly.