GOALSENSE
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AI PREDICTION Projects FT 1–1 · FC JUAREZ 38%
CONF 18 FULL ANALYSIS →
Liga MX · CLAUSURA - 17 · SUN 26 APR · 03:00 LOCAL
FC JUAREZ
12TH · 19 PTS · LAST 5:
L L W L L
FT
2 – 1
FULL TIME HT · 2-1
ATLETICO SAN LUIS
W L D L W
· 14TH · 18 PTS · LAST 5
⚽ 12' Ettson Ayón ⚽ 44' Ettson Ayón (P)
GOALS
⚽ 45+5' Joao Pedro (P)
Ettson Ayón
👑
⭐ PLAYER OF THE MATCH
Ettson Ayón
FC Juarez · 66 mins
⚽ 2 goals · 4% pass acc · 2 shots on
RATING
8.3
PREDICTIONS
▶ MATCH HIGHLIGHTS

Goals, key moments & recap

awaiting upload
Goals, key moments, post-match interviews
Highlightly publishes 30 min – 6 h after final whistle
📊 90 MIN TOTALS

Finalised · Match completed

1.90
⚡ EXPECTED GOALS (xG)
1.63
54%
BALL POSSESSION %
46%
9
TOTAL SHOTS
12
3
SHOTS ON TARGET
4
82%
PASS ACCURACY %
78%
2
CORNERS
4
KEY EVENTS 10 events
  1. 12'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Ettson Ayón
    FC
  2. 44'
    Goal · Penalty
    Ettson Ayón
    FC
  3. 45'+5
    Goal · Penalty
    Joao Pedro
    ATL
  4. 46'
    Subst · Substitution 1
    Benjamín Galdames · assist Leonardo Flores
    ATL
  5. 61'
    Subst · Substitution 2
    Roberto Meraz · assist Anderson Duarte
    ATL
  6. 66'
    Subst · Substitution 1
    Ettson Ayón · assist Luca Martínez Dupuy
    FC
  7. 66'
    Subst · Substitution 2
    Madson de Souza Silva · assist Guilherme Castilho
    FC
  8. 78'
    Subst · Substitution 3
    Aldo Cruz · assist Lucas Esteves
    ATL
  9. 78'
    Subst · Substitution 4
    Oscar Macías · assist Miguel Alonso García
    ATL
  10. 82'
    Card · Yellow Card
    ATL
PLAYER RATINGS · TOP 5 EACH 0–10 scale
FC JUAREZ AVG 7.5
ATLETICO SAN LUIS AVG 6.9
MATCH STATS H vs A
ATTACK
1.9
xG
1.6
9.0
TOTAL SHOTS
12.0
3.0
ON TARGET
4.0
4.0
OFF TARGET
4.0
2.0
BLOCKED
4.0
POSSESSION
54.0%
POSSESSION %
46.0%
303.0
PASSES
261.0
82.0%
PASS ACCURACY
78.0%
SET PIECES
2.0
CORNERS
4.0
1.0
OFFSIDES
1.0
DISCIPLINE
4.0
FOULS
10.0
0.0
YELLOW CARDS
1.0
3.0
GK SAVES
2.0
🎯 SHOT BREAKDOWN

Top shooters · accuracy = on-target / total

player-level shot accuracy · per-shot xG bubbles require xG Advanced tier
FC JUAREZ 3 shots
Ettson Ayón
2/3
ATLETICO SAN LUIS 4 shots
Sébastien Salles-Lamonge
1/2
Joao Pedro
1/1
Oscar Macías
1/1
📈 xG RACE

Cumulative xG over 90 minutes REAL xG

final xG: 1.90 – 1.63
1.5 1.1 0.8 0.4 1.9 0.0 HT 12' 44' 45' H 1.90 A 1.63 KO 30' 60' FT

Step chart anchored to real goal minutes · final xG from SportMonks · baseline distributes remaining shots evenly across the match

⚡ ATTACK SHARE

Event activity ratio · attacks/cards/subs

zone-based attack maps require broadcast partner (Q3)
H 40%
60% A
4
EVENTS LOGGED
6
EVENTS LOGGED
LINEUPS 4-2-3-1 vs 4-4-2
4-2-3-1
4-4-2
1
SEBASTIáN
26
JOSé JUAN
33
FRANCISCO
4
ALEJANDRO
2
JESúS MUR
6
MONCHU
 7.2
5
DENZELL G
20
JAIRO TOR
11
JOSé LUIS
9
MADSON
 8.3
29
ETTSON AY
 6.3
1
ANDRéS Sá
6
JUANPE
31
EDUARDO Á
2
ROMáN TOR
18
ALDO CRUZ
21
ÓSCAR MAC
11
DAVID ROD
 6.5
7
BENJAMíN
5
ROBERTO M
10
SéBASTIEN
9
JOãO PEDR
SUBSTITUTES · FC JUAREZ
201
Jan Carmona
M
183
Leonardo Rod...
M
24
Benny Díaz
G
22
Javier Aquin...
M
21
Ricardinho
M
18
Homer Martín...
M
17
Luca Martíne...
F
13
Raymundo Ful...
M
8
Guilherme Ca...
M
203
Luis Carmona
M
COACH: Pedro Caixinha
SUBSTITUTES · ATLETICO SAN LUIS
26
Sebastián Pé...
M
25
Fidel Junior...
F
20
Leonardo Flo...
F
19
Santiago Muñ...
F
17
Anderson Dua...
F
15
Lucas Esteve...
D
14
Miguel Garcí...
M
4
Julio César...
D
3
Robson Bambu
D
34
Manuel Gibra...
G
COACH: Guillermo Abascal
🏥 UNAVAILABLE PLAYERS
FC · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

ATL · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

⚖ MATCH OFFICIALS
REFEREE
Karen Hernandez Andrade, Mexico
—
FC MANAGER
Pedro Caixinha
head coach
ATL MANAGER
Guillermo Abascal
head coach
HEAD TO HEAD · ALL-TIME
5
FC WINS
2
DRAWS
3
ATL WINS
50%
20%
30%
13 – 13
TOTAL GOALS · 10 MEETINGS
2.60
AVG GOALS / MATCH
RECENT MEETINGS SHOWING 5 / 10
01 Nov 25
Atletico San Luis
1 – 2
FC Juarez
W
08 Mar 25
Atletico San Luis
1 – 0
FC Juarez
L
28 Oct 24
FC Juarez
2 – 4
Atletico San Luis
L
08 Apr 24
Atletico San Luis
2 – 3
FC Juarez
W
26 Oct 23
FC Juarez
3 – 2
Atletico San Luis
W
FC JUAREZ LAST 5 OVERALL
L L W L L
ATLETICO SAN LUIS LAST 5 OVERALL
W L D L W
MATCH IMPACT Final 2–1 · result locked
FC JUAREZ #12
Won · already at 19 pts
ATLETICO SAN LUIS #14
Lost · already at 18 pts
LEAGUE CONTEXT FULL TABLE →
# TEAM P W D L GD PTS FORM
1 U.N.A.M. - Pumas 17 10 6 1 +17 36
W W W W D
2 Guadalajara Chivas 17 11 3 3 +16 36
D D W L D
3 Cruz Azul 17 9 6 2 +13 33
W D D D L
4 Pachuca 17 9 4 4 +6 31
L L W W W
5 Toluca 17 8 6 3 +12 30
W L L D L
6 Atlas 17 7 5 5 -2 26
W D W D L
7 Tigres UANL 17 7 4 6 +10 25
W D D W L
8 Club America 17 7 4 6 +3 25
L W W D D
9 Club Tijuana 17 5 8 4 +2 23
D W D W W
10 Leon 17 7 1 9 -10 22
L L W W W
11 Club Queretaro 17 4 8 5 -4 20
W D D W D
12 FC Juarez 17 5 4 8 -6 19
W L L L D
13 Monterrey 17 5 3 9 -2 18
L W L D L
14 Atletico San Luis 17 5 3 9 -3 18
L W L D W
15 Necaxa 17 5 3 9 -6 18
L D D L W
16 Mazatlán 17 4 3 10 -15 15
L W D L L
17 Puebla 17 3 4 10 -13 13
L L L L D
18 Santos Laguna 17 3 3 11 -18 12
W L L L D
UCL Qualification Europa / Conference Relegation
COMMENTARY
  • 82'
    Card · Yellow Card
  • 78'
    Subst · Substitution 4 · Oscar Macías
  • 78'
    Subst · Substitution 3 · Aldo Cruz
  • 66'
    Subst · Substitution 2 · Madson de Souza Silva
  • 66'
    Subst · Substitution 1 · Ettson Ayón
  • 61'
    Subst · Substitution 2 · Roberto Meraz
  • 46'
    Subst · Substitution 1 · Benjamín Galdames
  • HALF TIME · 2 – 1
  • 45'+5
    Goal · Penalty · Joao Pedro
  • 44'
    Goal · Penalty · Ettson Ayón
  • 12'
    Goal · Normal Goal · Ettson Ayón
22 BOOKIES
📊 AVERAGE ACROSS 22 BOOKMAKERS
FC JUAREZ WIN
1.94
51.5% implied
↑ best 2.01
DRAW
3.60
27.8% implied
↑ best 3.80
ATLETICO SAN LUI WIN
3.44
29.1% implied
↑ best 3.90

Market favors FC Juarez. AI projects FC JUAREZ 38%.

MATCH WINNER ODDS avg across bookmakers
AI SAYS FC JUAREZ 38% · EDGE column shows AI probability minus market implied probability
BOOKMAKER 1 X 2 EDGE
10Bet 1.97 3.75 3.40 +5.3%
10Bet 1.90 3.75 3.60 +5.3%
1xbet 1.98 3.65 3.81 +4.6%
1xBet 1.90 3.66 3.64 +4.7%
888Sport 2.00 3.30 3.00 +1.7%
888Sport 2.00 3.30 3.00 +1.7%
Bet365 1.91 3.60 3.90 +4.4%
Betano 1.91 3.75 3.70 +5.3%
Betfair 1.90 3.60 3.30 +4.2%
Betfair 1.90 3.80 3.60 +5.7%
BetVictor 1.91 3.70 3.60 +5.0%
bwin 1.95 3.60 3.50 +4.2%
Cashpoint 1.90 3.75 3.48 +5.3%
CloudBet 2.01 3.70 3.55 +5.0%
Coral 1.91 3.40 3.30 +2.6%
Dafabet 1.99 3.70 3.60 +5.0%
Dafabet 1.94 3.75 3.70 +5.3%
HKJC 1.78 3.65 3.35 +4.6%
Interwetten 2.00 3.45 3.50 +3.0%
Ladbrokes 1.91 3.40 3.30 +2.6%
MansionBet 1.96 3.70 3.25 +5.0%
Marathonbet 1.95 3.60 3.46 +4.2%

Best odds in gold. Edge ≥ +5% (lime) means market under-prices the AI's probability. 18+ only.

📊 OTHER MARKETS

Over/Under · BTTS · Asian Handicap

avg across bookmakers
⚽ GOALS · OVER / UNDER
1.5 O 1.19 U 4.36
2.5 O 1.65 U 2.19
3.5 O 2.59 U 1.45
⚽ BOTH TEAMS SCORE
YES
1.56 16 bks
NO
2.25 16 bks
⚖ ASIAN HANDICAP
Away -0.25 2.18
Away -0.5 1.88
Away -0.75 1.67
Away -1 1.46
Away -1.25 1.36
Away -1.5 1.29
📈 MARKET MOVEMENT

How the market shifted before kick-off

historical line movement
7d ago 3d 1d KICK-OFF

Smoothed line illustration · per-snapshot historical odds storage activates Q3.