GOALSENSE
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Primeira Liga · REGULAR SEASON - 31 · SUN 26 APR · 14:30 LOCAL
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ESTORIL
FT
0 – 1
FULL TIME
FAMALICAO
GOALS
⚽ 51' Justin De Haas
CLAUDE AI · BLENDED FROM 4 MODELS
FINAL · VERIFIED
CONF 48/100 MED
🔮 PREDICTED FULL-TIME SCORE
EST
1 – 2
FAM
most likely scoreline · 10.5% probability
AI PICKS FAMALICAO TO WIN 40%
FT 0 – 1
→
🤖 AI PROJECTED FT 1 – 2
🤖 AI BREAKDOWN

HOW AI SEES THE MATCH

FINAL · VERIFIED
EST WIN 28%
DRAW 32%
FAM WIN 40%
h + d + a = 100% · stacked share
💰 AI BETTING TIP
OVER 1.5

AI projects 79.56% — the safest goals market. Combined value over single 1X2 pick at this confidence.

CONF 80% OVER 1.5 ✓ BTTS YES ✓ avoid: 1X2 single 4 models
🤖 AI ANALYSIS

Famalicao favoured despite away form; recent H2H dominance and Estoril's poor home record tilt fixture away.

🤖 AI REASONING why AI picked this
WHY ESTORIL CHALLENGED
28%
H2H: Famalicao won last 2 meetings decisively (4-0, 3-0) vs Estoril's older wins
CONTEXT
Estoril home form weak (LLDWD) and just 1W in last 5 overall
CONTEXT
Famalicao's recent overall form (DDDWW) more stable than Estoril's (LLLLW)
CONTEXT
WHY FAMALICAO FAVORED
40%
H2H: Famalicao won last 2 meetings decisively (4-0, 3-0) vs Estoril's older wins
CONTEXT
Estoril home form weak (LLDWD) and just 1W in last 5 overall
CONTEXT
Famalicao's recent overall form (DDDWW) more stable than Estoril's (LLLLW)
CONTEXT
🤖 CONTEXT · NEUTRAL FACTORS
  • H2H: Famalicao won last 2 meetings decisively (4-0, 3-0) vs Estoril's older wins
  • Estoril home form weak (LLDWD) and just 1W in last 5 overall
  • Famalicao's recent overall form (DDDWW) more stable than Estoril's (LLLLW)
🤖 AI LIVE TIMELINE

PROBABILITY TIMELINE

How AI re-projects after each event
H DRAW A
100% 50% 0% KO 15' 30' HT 60' 75' FT ⚽ 51' JUSTIN DE
Probabilities re-blended at each event · 1 event marked → Derived from goal events + remaining time
🤖 AI SCORE MATRIX

SCORELINE PROBABILITY

All possible scorelines · Poisson from xG
0% 10.5%+
0
1
2
3
4
5
6+
0
5.0
10.2
10.5
7.2
3.7
1.5
0.5
1
4.7
9.7
9.9
6.8
3.5
1.4
0.5
2
2.3
4.6
4.7
3.2
1.7
0.7
0.2
3
0.7
1.5
1.5
1.0
0.5
0.2
0.1
4
0.2
0.4
0.4
0.2
0.1
·
·
5
·
0.1
0.1
·
·
·
·
6+
·
·
·
·
·
·
·
MOST LIKELY · TOP 5
0 — 2 10.5%
0 — 1 10.2%
1 — 2 9.9%
1 — 1 9.7%
0 — 3 7.2%
Top 5 = 47.5% · rest 52.5%
🤖 AI VALUE FINDER

VALUE BETS

Where AI sees an edge vs bookmaker odds
8 markets · pre-match avg odds
MARKETODDSAI PROBFAIREDGE
Draw
13 bookmakers · pre-match avg
3.76
32.0%
3.13
+20.2%
HOME or Draw (1X)
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
1.89
60.0%
1.67
+13.3%
HOME to Win
13 bookmakers · pre-match avg
3.78
28.0%
3.57
+5.8%
Both Teams Score — YES
10 bookmakers · pre-match avg
1.56
65.0%
1.54
+1.4%
—
Over 2.5 Goals
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
1.64
58.0%
1.72
-5.0%
—
Draw or AWAY (X2)
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
1.25
72.0%
1.39
-9.8%
—
HOME or AWAY (12)
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
1.24
68.0%
1.47
-15.6%
—
AWAY to Win
13 bookmakers · pre-match avg
1.87
40.0%
2.50
-25.0%
—
⚠ 18+ only. Odds change frequently. AI predictions are not guarantees. Bet responsibly.