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AI PREDICTION Projects FT 1–2 · FAMALICAO 40% · Value: BTTS Yes 65%
CONF 48 FULL ANALYSIS →
Primeira Liga · REGULAR SEASON - 31 · SUN 26 APR · 14:30 LOCAL
ESTORIL
10TH · 37 PTS · LAST 5:
L L L L W
FT
0 – 1
FULL TIME HT · 0-0
FAMALICAO
D D D W W
· 5TH · 51 PTS · LAST 5
GOALS
⚽ 51' Justin De Haas (P)
Rodrigo Pinheiro
👑
⭐ PLAYER OF THE MATCH
Rodrigo Pinheiro
Famalicao · 84 mins
· 34% pass acc
RATING
8.0
PREDICTIONS
▶ MATCH HIGHLIGHTS

Goals, key moments & recap 2 CLIPS

powered by Highlightly
Primeira Liga: Estoril vs Famalicao
Open in Youtube ↗
Primeira Liga: Estoril vs Famalicao
📊 90 MIN TOTALS

Finalised · Match completed

0.60
⚡ EXPECTED GOALS (xG)
1.21
54%
BALL POSSESSION %
46%
9
TOTAL SHOTS
5
2
SHOTS ON TARGET
5
85%
PASS ACCURACY %
79%
8
CORNERS
4
KEY EVENTS 9 events
  1. 46'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Tom Van De Looi
    FAM
  2. 51'
    Goal · Penalty
    Justin De Haas
    FAM
  3. 56'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Mathias De Amorim
    FAM
  4. 76'
    Subst · Substitution 1
    Pedro Amaral · assist Gonçalo Costa
    EST
  5. 83'
    Subst · Substitution 1
    Mathias De Amorim · assist Marcos Peña
    FAM
  6. 87'
    Subst · Substitution 2
    Simon Elisor · assist Umar Abubakar
    FAM
  7. 87'
    Subst · Substitution 3
    Gustavo Sá · assist Léo Realpe
    FAM
  8. 88'
    Subst · Substitution 2
    Ferro · assist Alejandro Marqués
    EST
  9. 90'+1
    Subst · Substitution 4
    Gil Dias · assist Gustavo García
    FAM
PLAYER RATINGS · TOP 5 EACH 0–10 scale
ESTORIL AVG 7.2
FAMALICAO AVG 7.4
MATCH STATS H vs A
ATTACK
0.6
xG
1.2
9.0
TOTAL SHOTS
5.0
2.0
ON TARGET
5.0
3.0
OFF TARGET
0.0
4.0
BLOCKED
0.0
POSSESSION
54.0%
POSSESSION %
46.0%
425.0
PASSES
365.0
85.0%
PASS ACCURACY
79.0%
SET PIECES
8.0
CORNERS
4.0
3.0
OFFSIDES
0.0
DISCIPLINE
19.0
FOULS
11.0
0.0
YELLOW CARDS
2.0
3.0
GK SAVES
2.0
🎯 SHOT BREAKDOWN

Top shooters · accuracy = on-target / total

player-level shot accuracy · per-shot xG bubbles require xG Advanced tier
ESTORIL 3 shots
Antef Tsoungui
0/1
Ricard Sánchez
1/1
Xeka
0/1
FAMALICAO 2 shots
Justin De Haas
1/1
Ibrahima Ba
1/1
📈 xG RACE

Cumulative xG over 90 minutes REAL xG

final xG: 0.60 – 1.21
1 0.7 0.5 0.2 1.2 0.0 HT 51' H 0.60 A 1.21 KO 30' 60' FT

Step chart anchored to real goal minutes · final xG from SportMonks · baseline distributes remaining shots evenly across the match

⚡ ATTACK SHARE

Event activity ratio · attacks/cards/subs

zone-based attack maps require broadcast partner (Q3)
H 22%
78% A
2
EVENTS LOGGED
7
EVENTS LOGGED
LINEUPS 3-4-2-1 vs 4-2-3-1
3-4-2-1
4-2-3-1
7.9
16
MARTIN TU
4
FERRO
 7.0
5
ANTEF TSO
25
FELIX BAC
24
PEDRO AMA
10
JORDAN HO
 6.7
8
XEKA
 6.7
2
RICARD Sá
12
JOAO CARV
 7.9
99
RAFIK GUI
14
YANIS BEG
25
LAZAR CAR
 7.0
5
RAFA SOAR
 8.0
16
JUSTIN DE
 7.3
55
IBRAHIMA
 8.0
17
RODRIGO P
14
MATHIAS D
 6.9
6
TOM VAN D
7
SORRISO
20
GUSTAVO S
23
GIL DIAS
12
SIMON ELI
SUBSTITUTES · ESTORIL
70
Peixinho
F
7
Nodar Lomina...
M
21
Pizzi
M
97
Luis Gomes
M
22
Pedro Carval...
D
20
Gonçalo Cost...
D
1
Joel Robles
G
31
Diogo Dias
G
9
Alejandro Ma...
F
COACH: Ian Cathro
SUBSTITUTES · FAMALICAO
77
Antoine Jouj...
F
15
Otar Mamagei...
M
8
Marcos Peña
M
80
Pedro Santos
F
3
Léo Realpe
D
2
Gustavo Garc...
D
28
Pedro Bondo
D
1
Ivan Zlobin
G
9
Umar Abubaka...
F
COACH: Hugo Oliveira
🏥 UNAVAILABLE PLAYERS
EST · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

FAM · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

⚖ MATCH OFFICIALS
REFEREE
Carlos Macedo, Portugal
—
EST MANAGER
Ian Cathro
head coach
FAM MANAGER
Hugo Oliveira
head coach
HEAD TO HEAD · ALL-TIME
3
EST WINS
1
DRAWS
6
FAM WINS
30%
10%
60%
8 – 16
TOTAL GOALS · 10 MEETINGS
2.40
AVG GOALS / MATCH
RECENT MEETINGS SHOWING 5 / 10
14 Dec 25
Famalicao
4 – 0
Estoril
L
12 Apr 25
Famalicao
3 – 0
Estoril
L
01 Dec 24
Estoril
2 – 1
Famalicao
W
28 Apr 24
Estoril
1 – 0
Famalicao
W
17 Dec 23
Famalicao
1 – 1
Estoril
D
ESTORIL LAST 5 OVERALL
L L L L W
FAMALICAO LAST 5 OVERALL
D D D W W
MATCH IMPACT Final 0–1 · result locked
ESTORIL #10
Lost · already at 37 pts
FAMALICAO #5
Won · already at 51 pts
LEAGUE CONTEXT FULL TABLE →
# TEAM P W D L GD PTS FORM
1 FC Porto 31 26 4 1 +48 82
W W W D W
2 Benfica 31 22 9 0 +47 75
W W W D W
3 Sporting CP 30 22 6 2 +55 72
D L W W W
4 SC Braga 31 16 8 7 +28 56
L W D W W
5 Famalicao 31 14 9 8 +12 51
W D D D W
6 GIL Vicente 30 12 10 8 +13 46
L D W L D
7 Guimaraes 31 12 6 13 -5 42
W W D W L
8 Moreirense 31 11 6 14 -11 39
L W D L L
9 Alverca 31 10 8 13 -15 38
W L W W L
10 Estoril 31 10 7 14 -1 37
L L L L L
11 Arouca 31 10 5 16 -21 35
L W L W W
12 Rio Ave 31 8 10 13 -19 34
L D W L W
13 Santa Clara 31 8 8 15 -10 32
W D L L W
14 Nacional 31 8 7 16 -7 31
W W L W L
15 Estrela 31 6 10 15 -17 28
L L L L W
16 Casa Pia 30 5 11 14 -25 26
L D L D L
17 Tondela 30 4 9 17 -29 21
L L D L D
18 AVS 31 1 11 19 -43 14
D D D L D
UCL Qualification Europa / Conference Relegation
COMMENTARY
  • 90'+1
    Subst · Substitution 4 · Gil Dias
  • 88'
    Subst · Substitution 2 · Ferro
  • 87'
    Subst · Substitution 3 · Gustavo Sá
  • 87'
    Subst · Substitution 2 · Simon Elisor
  • 83'
    Subst · Substitution 1 · Mathias De Amorim
  • 76'
    Subst · Substitution 1 · Pedro Amaral
  • 56'
    Card · Yellow Card · Mathias De Amorim
  • 51'
    Goal · Penalty · Justin De Haas
  • 46'
    Card · Yellow Card · Tom Van De Looi
13 BOOKIES
📊 AVERAGE ACROSS 13 BOOKMAKERS
ESTORIL WIN
3.78
26.5% implied
↑ best 4.00
DRAW
3.76
26.6% implied
↑ best 3.97
FAMALICAO WIN
1.87
53.5% implied
↑ best 1.94

Market favors Famalicao. AI projects FAMALICAO 40% · value bet BTTS Yes.

MATCH WINNER ODDS avg across bookmakers
AI SAYS FAMALICAO 40% · EDGE column shows AI probability minus market implied probability
BOOKMAKER 1 X 2 EDGE
10Bet 3.60 3.75 1.90 +5.3%
1xBet 3.89 3.89 1.94 +6.3%
888Sport 3.70 3.60 1.85 +4.2%
Bet365 3.90 3.75 1.83 +5.3%
Betano 4.00 3.90 1.85 +6.4%
Betfair 3.90 3.75 1.87 +5.3%
BetVictor 3.75 3.70 1.80 +5.0%
Dafabet 3.80 3.90 1.92 +6.4%
Marathonbet 3.82 3.78 1.83 +5.5%
Pinnacle 3.89 3.97 1.90 +6.8%
SBO 3.69 3.61 1.85 +4.3%
Unibet 3.70 3.65 1.91 +4.6%
William Hill 3.50 3.60 1.91 +4.2%

Best odds in gold. Edge ≥ +5% (lime) means market under-prices the AI's probability. 18+ only.

📊 OTHER MARKETS

Over/Under · BTTS · Asian Handicap

avg across bookmakers
⚽ GOALS · OVER / UNDER
1.5 O 1.18 U 4.44
2.5 O 1.64 U 2.23
3.5 O 2.54 U 1.47
⚽ BOTH TEAMS SCORE
YES
1.56 10 bks
NO
2.29 10 bks
⚖ ASIAN HANDICAP
Away -0.25 1.33
Away -0.5 1.30
Away -0.75 1.21
Away -1 1.06
Away -1.25 1.05
Away -1.5 1.05
📈 MARKET MOVEMENT

How the market shifted before kick-off

historical line movement
7d ago 3d 1d KICK-OFF

Smoothed line illustration · per-snapshot historical odds storage activates Q3.