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AI PREDICTION Projects FT 0–0 · CF MONTREAL 38%
CONF 68 FULL ANALYSIS →
Major League Soccer · REGULAR SEASON - 17 · THU, 16 JUL · 23:30 LOCAL
CF MONTREAL
11TH · 15 PTS · LAST 5:
D L D W L
FT
0 – 0
FULL TIME HT · 0-0
TORONTO FC
L L L D L
· 12TH · 15 PTS · LAST 5
Alonso Coello
👑
⭐ PLAYER OF THE MATCH
Alonso Coello
Toronto FC · 95 mins
· 42% pass acc
RATING
8.2
PREDICTIONS
📊 90 MIN TOTALS

Finalised · Match completed

0.94
⚡ EXPECTED GOALS (xG)
0.44
50%
BALL POSSESSION %
50%
14
TOTAL SHOTS
8
3
SHOTS ON TARGET
0
81%
PASS ACCURACY %
81%
9
CORNERS
3
KEY EVENTS 9 events
  1. 60'
    Subst · Substitution 1
    Victor Loturi · assist Fabian Herbers
    CF
  2. 60'
    Subst · Substitution 2
    Samuel Piette · assist Daniel Pereira
    CF
  3. 61'
    Subst · Substitution 1
    Kobe Franklin · assist Jules-Anthony Vilsaint
    TOR
  4. 62'
    Subst · Substitution 2
    Theo Corbeanu · assist Malik Henry
    TOR
  5. 64'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Daniel Pereira
    CF
  6. 69'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Dániel Sallói
    TOR
  7. 74'
    Subst · Substitution 3
    Derrick Etienne · assist Đorđe Mihailović
    TOR
  8. 77'
    Subst · Substitution 3
    Daniel Rios · assist Owen Graham-Roache
    CF
  9. 88'
    Subst · Substitution 4
    N. Streit · assist Olger Escobar
    CF
PLAYER RATINGS · TOP 5 EACH 0–10 scale
CF MONTREAL AVG 7.2
TORONTO FC AVG 7.6
MATCH STATS H vs A
ATTACK
0.9
xG
0.4
14.0
TOTAL SHOTS
8.0
3.0
ON TARGET
0.0
3.0
OFF TARGET
5.0
8.0
BLOCKED
3.0
POSSESSION
50.0%
POSSESSION %
50.0%
457.0
PASSES
463.0
81.0%
PASS ACCURACY
81.0%
SET PIECES
9.0
CORNERS
3.0
3.0
OFFSIDES
1.0
DISCIPLINE
13.0
FOULS
8.0
1.0
YELLOW CARDS
1.0
0.0
GK SAVES
3.0
🎯 SHOT BREAKDOWN

Top shooters · accuracy = on-target / total

player-level shot accuracy · per-shot xG bubbles require xG Advanced tier
CF MONTREAL 0 shots

No shots recorded.

TORONTO FC 1 shots
Jackson Gilman
0/1
📈 xG RACE

Cumulative xG over 90 minutes REAL xG

final xG: 0.94 – 0.44
0.8 0.6 0.4 0.2 0.9 0.0 HT H 0.94 A 0.44 KO 30' 60' FT

Step chart anchored to real goal minutes · final xG from SportMonks · baseline distributes remaining shots evenly across the match

⚡ ATTACK SHARE

Event activity ratio · attacks/cards/subs

zone-based attack maps require broadcast partner (Q3)
H 56%
44% A
5
EVENTS LOGGED
4
EVENTS LOGGED
LINEUPS 4-3-3 vs 3-4-2-1
4-3-3
3-4-2-1
31
THOMAS GI
 7.2
13
LUCA PETR
 7.2
4
BRAYAN VE
 6.9
2
JALEN NEA
 7.5
27
DAWID BUG
8
MATTHEW L
 7.3
6
SAMUEL PI
22
VICTOR LO
23
NOAH STRE
14
DANIEL RI
18
HENNADII
 7.7
1
LUKA GAVR
 7.3
38
JACKSON G
 7.6
25
WALKER ZI
12
ZANE MONL
20
DáNIEL SA
 8.2
14
ALONSO CO
22
RICHIE LA
 7.2
19
KOBE FRAN
11
DERRICK E
7
THEO CORB
9
JOSH SARG
SUBSTITUTES · CF MONTREAL
17
Dagur Dan Þó...
D
5
Brandan Crai...
D
24
Efraín Moral...
D
1
Sebastian Br...
G
29
Olger Escoba...
F
35
Owen Graham-...
F
7
Daniel Perei...
M
21
Fabian Herbe...
F
25
Frankie Amay...
M
COACH: Philippe Eullaffroy
SUBSTITUTES · TORONTO FC
29
Deandre Kerr
F
96
Richard Chuk...
D
13
Benjamin Kus...
D
44
Raheem Edwar...
D
23
William Yarb...
G
10
Đorđe Mihail...
M
78
Malik Henry
M
99
Jules-Anthon...
F
17
Emilio Arist...
F
COACH: Robin Fraser
🏥 UNAVAILABLE PLAYERS
CF · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

TOR · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

⚖ MATCH OFFICIALS
REFEREE
G. J. Gonzalez
—
CF MANAGER
Philippe Eullaffroy
head coach
TOR MANAGER
Robin Fraser
head coach
HEAD TO HEAD · ALL-TIME
4
CF WINS
3
DRAWS
3
TOR WINS
40%
30%
30%
16 – 21
TOTAL GOALS · 10 MEETINGS
3.70
AVG GOALS / MATCH
RECENT MEETINGS SHOWING 5 / 10
30 Aug 2025
Toronto FC
1 – 1
CF Montreal
D
17 May 2025
CF Montreal
1 – 6
Toronto FC
L
20 Jul 2024
CF Montreal
0 – 1
Toronto FC
L
18 May 2024
Toronto FC
5 – 1
CF Montreal
L
20 Aug 2023
Toronto FC
2 – 3
CF Montreal
W
CF MONTREAL LAST 5 OVERALL
D L D W L
TORONTO FC LAST 5 OVERALL
L L L D L
MATCH IMPACT Final 0–0 · result locked
CF MONTREAL #11
Lost · already at 15 pts
TORONTO FC #12
Lost · already at 15 pts
LEAGUE CONTEXT FULL TABLE →
# TEAM P W D L GD PTS FORM
1 Vancouver Whitecaps 14 10 2 2 +22 32
W L W D D
1 Nashville SC 15 11 3 1 +21 36
W W W W D
2 San Jose Earthquakes 15 10 2 3 +19 32
W L L D D
2 Inter Miami 15 9 4 2 +11 31
W W W W L
3 Los Angeles FC 16 8 3 5 +10 27
W W L L L
3 Chicago Fire 14 8 2 4 +11 26
W W W L L
4 New England Revolution 14 8 1 5 +4 25
L W L W W
4 Real Salt Lake 14 8 2 4 +7 26
D W W L W
5 FC Dallas 15 7 4 4 +8 25
W W L W W
5 New York Red Bulls 15 6 4 5 -7 22
W D W W L
6 Seattle Sounders 14 7 3 4 +2 24
L L L W D
6 Charlotte 15 6 3 6 +1 21
W W L D L
7 Houston Dynamo 14 7 1 6 -4 22
D W L W W
7 FC Cincinnati 15 5 5 5 -1 20
W D L D W
8 New York City FC 15 5 4 6 +4 19
L D W W L
8 Minnesota United FC 15 6 4 5 -4 22
D L L D W
9 Los Angeles Galaxy 16 5 5 6 -3 20
L D W L W
9 DC United 15 4 6 5 -4 18
D D L D W
10 St. Louis City 15 5 4 6 -3 19
W W D W W
10 Columbus Crew 15 4 4 7 -2 16
W D L L L
11 Portland Timbers 15 5 2 8 -2 17
W L L D W
11 CF Montreal 15 4 3 8 -9 15
D D L D W
12 Toronto FC 15 3 6 6 -7 15
D L L L D
12 San Diego 15 4 5 6 +3 17
L D W D D
13 Colorado Rapids 15 5 1 9 +1 16
L L W L L
13 Orlando City SC 15 4 2 9 -21 14
L D W L W
14 Austin 15 3 5 7 -12 14
L L L D W
14 Atlanta United FC 15 3 2 10 -10 11
L L D L W
15 Sporting Kansas City 15 3 2 10 -23 11
L L W W L
15 Philadelphia Union 15 1 4 10 -12 7
L D L L D
UCL Qualification Europa / Conference Relegation
COMMENTARY
  • 88'
    Subst · Substitution 4 · N. Streit
  • 77'
    Subst · Substitution 3 · Daniel Rios
  • 74'
    Subst · Substitution 3 · Derrick Etienne
  • 69'
    Card · Yellow Card · Dániel Sallói
  • 64'
    Card · Yellow Card · Daniel Pereira
  • 62'
    Subst · Substitution 2 · Theo Corbeanu
  • 61'
    Subst · Substitution 1 · Kobe Franklin
  • 60'
    Subst · Substitution 2 · Samuel Piette
  • 60'
    Subst · Substitution 1 · Victor Loturi
13 BOOKIES
📊 AVERAGE ACROSS 13 BOOKMAKERS
CF MONTREAL WIN
2.31
43.3% implied
↑ best 2.44
DRAW
3.56
28.1% implied
↑ best 3.75
TORONTO FC WIN
2.85
35.1% implied
↑ best 3.05

Market favors CF Montreal. AI projects CF MONTREAL 38%.

MATCH WINNER ODDS avg across bookmakers
AI SAYS CF MONTREAL 38% · EDGE column shows AI probability minus market implied probability
BOOKMAKER 1 X 2 EDGE
10Bet 2.44 3.50 2.68 +9.4%
888Sport 2.30 3.40 2.75 +8.6%
Bet365 2.38 3.60 2.90 +10.2%
Betano 2.42 3.75 2.90 +11.3%
Betfair 2.30 3.50 2.88 +9.4%
BetVictor 2.30 3.60 2.80 +10.2%
Dafabet 2.25 3.70 3.05 +11.0%
Marathonbet 2.31 3.54 2.80 +9.8%
Pinnacle 2.38 3.71 2.91 +11.0%
SBO 2.01 3.28 3.05 +7.5%
Superbet 2.40 3.60 2.82 +10.2%
Unibet 2.28 3.70 2.80 +11.0%
William Hill 2.30 3.40 2.75 +8.6%

Best odds in gold. Edge ≥ +5% (lime) means market under-prices the AI's probability. 18+ only.

📊 OTHER MARKETS

Over/Under · BTTS · Asian Handicap

avg across bookmakers
⚽ GOALS · OVER / UNDER
1.5 O 1.19 U 4.53
2.5 O 1.62 U 2.27
3.5 O 2.52 U 1.49
⚽ BOTH TEAMS SCORE
YES
1.50 10 bks
NO
2.44 10 bks
⚖ ASIAN HANDICAP
Away -0.25 1.83
Away -0.5 1.61
Away -0.75 1.47
Away -1 1.28
Away -1.25 1.27
Away -1.5 1.20
📈 MARKET MOVEMENT

How the market shifted before kick-off

historical line movement
7d ago 3d 1d KICK-OFF

Smoothed line illustration · per-snapshot historical odds storage activates Q3.