GOALSENSE
SIGN IN
Primeira Liga · REGULAR SEASON - 31 · SUN 26 APR · 19:30 LOCAL
← Match Page
AVS
FT
1 – 1
FULL TIME
SPORTING CP
⚽ 66' Pedro Lima
GOALS
⚽ 47' Rafael Nel
CLAUDE AI · BLENDED FROM 4 MODELS
FINAL · VERIFIED
CONF 38/100 LOW
🔮 PREDICTED FULL-TIME SCORE
AVS
1 – 2
SPO
most likely scoreline · 10.5% probability
AI PICKS SPORTING CP TO WIN 40%
FT 1 – 1
→
🤖 AI PROJECTED FT 1 – 2
🤖 AI BREAKDOWN

HOW AI SEES THE MATCH

FINAL · VERIFIED
AVS WIN 28%
DRAW 32%
SPO WIN 40%
h + d + a = 100% · stacked share
💰 AI BETTING TIP
OVER 1.5

AI projects 79.56% — the safest goals market. Combined value over single 1X2 pick at this confidence.

CONF 80% OVER 1.5 ✓ avoid: 1X2 single 4 models
🤖 AI ANALYSIS

Sporting CP favoured away but thin data limits conviction; avoid large stakes until team stats available.

🤖 AI REASONING why AI picked this
WHY AVS CHALLENGED
28%
H2H heavily favours Sporting (6-0, 3-0 wins offset 2-2 draw)
CONTEXT
AVS home form weak (DLDWL) vs Sporting away form solid (DWWLD)
CONTEXT
Critical gaps: season xG, GF/GA, standings — confidence floor at 38%
CONTEXT
WHY SPORTING CP FAVORED
40%
H2H heavily favours Sporting (6-0, 3-0 wins offset 2-2 draw)
CONTEXT
AVS home form weak (DLDWL) vs Sporting away form solid (DWWLD)
CONTEXT
Critical gaps: season xG, GF/GA, standings — confidence floor at 38%
CONTEXT
🤖 CONTEXT · NEUTRAL FACTORS
  • H2H heavily favours Sporting (6-0, 3-0 wins offset 2-2 draw)
  • AVS home form weak (DLDWL) vs Sporting away form solid (DWWLD)
  • Critical gaps: season xG, GF/GA, standings — confidence floor at 38%
🤖 AI LIVE TIMELINE

PROBABILITY TIMELINE

How AI re-projects after each event
H DRAW A
100% 50% 0% KO 15' 30' HT 60' 75' FT ⚽ 47' RAFAEL NEL ⚽ 66' PEDRO LIMA
Probabilities re-blended at each event · 2 events marked → Derived from goal events + remaining time
🤖 AI SCORE MATRIX

SCORELINE PROBABILITY

All possible scorelines · Poisson from xG
0% 10.5%+
0
1
2
3
4
5
6+
0
5.0
10.2
10.5
7.2
3.7
1.5
0.5
1
4.7
9.7
9.9
6.8
3.5
1.4
0.5
2
2.3
4.6
4.7
3.2
1.7
0.7
0.2
3
0.7
1.5
1.5
1.0
0.5
0.2
0.1
4
0.2
0.4
0.4
0.2
0.1
·
·
5
·
0.1
0.1
·
·
·
·
6+
·
·
·
·
·
·
·
MOST LIKELY · TOP 5
0 — 2 10.5%
0 — 1 10.2%
1 — 2 9.9%
1 — 1 9.7%
0 — 3 7.2%
Top 5 = 47.5% · rest 52.5%
🤖 AI VALUE FINDER

VALUE BETS

Where AI sees an edge vs bookmaker odds
8 markets · pre-match avg odds
MARKETODDSAI PROBFAIREDGE
HOME to Win
13 bookmakers · pre-match avg
19.69
28.0%
3.57
+451.3%
HOME or Draw (1X)
8 bookmakers · pre-match avg
6.99
60.0%
1.67
+319.3%
Draw
13 bookmakers · pre-match avg
10.55
32.0%
3.13
+237.6%
Both Teams Score — YES
10 bookmakers · pre-match avg
2.04
58.0%
1.72
+18.0%
Draw or AWAY (X2)
7 bookmakers · pre-match avg
1.02
72.0%
1.39
-26.5%
—
HOME or AWAY (12)
8 bookmakers · pre-match avg
1.05
68.0%
1.47
-28.9%
—
Over 2.5 Goals
10 bookmakers · pre-match avg
1.25
52.0%
1.92
-34.9%
—
AWAY to Win
13 bookmakers · pre-match avg
1.10
40.0%
2.50
-56.0%
—
⚠ 18+ only. Odds change frequently. AI predictions are not guarantees. Bet responsibly.