GOALSENSE
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AI PREDICTION Projects FT 1–2 · SPORTING CP 40%
CONF 38 FULL ANALYSIS →
Primeira Liga · REGULAR SEASON - 31 · SUN, 26 APR · 19:30 LOCAL
AVS
18TH · 21 PTS · LAST 5:
D W W D D
FT
1 – 1
FULL TIME HT · 0-0
SPORTING CP
W W W D L
· 2ND · 82 PTS · LAST 5
⚽ 66' Pedro Lima (P)
GOALS
⚽ 47' Rafael Nel
Adriel
👑
⭐ PLAYER OF THE MATCH
Adriel
AVS · 91 mins
· 11% pass acc
RATING
8.3
PREDICTIONS
▶ MATCH HIGHLIGHTS

Goals, key moments & recap 1 CLIP

powered by Highlightly
Resumo: AFS 1-1 Sporting (Liga 25/26 #31)
Open in Youtube ↗
📊 90 MIN TOTALS

Finalised · Match completed

1.25
⚡ EXPECTED GOALS (xG)
2.23
25%
BALL POSSESSION %
75%
9
TOTAL SHOTS
16
4
SHOTS ON TARGET
7
69%
PASS ACCURACY %
87%
0
CORNERS
8
KEY EVENTS 15 events
  1. 12'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Gustavo Mendonca
    AVS
  2. 45'+6
    Card · Yellow Card
    Tunde Akinsola
    AVS
  3. 47'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Rafael Nel · assist G. Vagiannidis
    SPO
  4. 57'
    Subst · Substitution 1
    Rafael Nel · assist Luis Javier Suárez
    SPO
  5. 57'
    Subst · Substitution 2
    Geovany Quenda · assist Geny Catamo
    SPO
  6. 66'
    Goal · Penalty
    Pedro Lima
    AVS
  7. 74'
    Subst · Substitution 1
    Gustavo Mendonca · assist Tiago Galletto
    AVS
  8. 74'
    Subst · Substitution 3
    Ricardo Mangas · assist M. Araújo
    SPO
  9. 74'
    Subst · Substitution 4
    Pedro Gonçalves · assist Luis Guilherme
    SPO
  10. 74'
    Subst · Substitution 2
    Guilherme Neiva · assist Óscar Perea
    AVS
  11. 84'
    Subst · Substitution 5
    Giorgi Kochorashvili · assist Daniel Bragança
    SPO
  12. 85'
    Subst · Substitution 3
    Diego Duarte · assist Nenê
    AVS
  13. 85'
    Subst · Substitution 4
    Pedro Lima · assist Guillem Molina
    AVS
  14. 90'+2
    Subst · Substitution 5
    Tunde Akinsola · assist Ponck
    AVS
  15. 90'+7
    Card · Yellow Card
    Adriel
    AVS
PLAYER RATINGS · TOP 5 EACH 0–10 scale
AVS AVG 7.4
SPORTING CP AVG 7.6
MATCH STATS H vs A
ATTACK
1.3
xG
2.2
9.0
TOTAL SHOTS
16.0
4.0
ON TARGET
7.0
2.0
OFF TARGET
6.0
3.0
BLOCKED
3.0
POSSESSION
25.0%
POSSESSION %
75.0%
187.0
PASSES
559.0
69.0%
PASS ACCURACY
87.0%
SET PIECES
0.0
CORNERS
8.0
0.0
OFFSIDES
2.0
DISCIPLINE
14.0
FOULS
7.0
2.0
YELLOW CARDS
0.0
6.0
GK SAVES
3.0
🎯 SHOT BREAKDOWN

Top shooters · accuracy = on-target / total

player-level shot accuracy · per-shot xG bubbles require xG Advanced tier
AVS 4 shots
Pedro Lima
1/2
Diego Duarte
1/1
Tunde Akinsola
1/1
SPORTING CP 3 shots
Zeno Debast
1/1
Ousmane Diomande
1/1
G. Vagiannidis
0/1
📈 xG RACE

Cumulative xG over 90 minutes REAL xG

final xG: 1.25 – 2.23
1.8 1.3 0.9 0.4 2.2 0.0 HT 66' 47' H 1.25 A 2.23 KO 30' 60' FT

Step chart anchored to real goal minutes · final xG from SportMonks · baseline distributes remaining shots evenly across the match

⚡ ATTACK SHARE

Event activity ratio · attacks/cards/subs

zone-based attack maps require broadcast partner (Q3)
H 60%
40% A
9
EVENTS LOGGED
6
EVENTS LOGGED
LINEUPS 4-3-3 vs 4-2-3-1
4-3-3
4-2-3-1
8.3
1
ADRIEL
12
DANIEL RI
3
PAULO VIT
42
CRISTIAN
97
MATEUS PI
 7.3
8
PEDRO LIM
 7.2
70
RONI
23
GUSTAVO M
21
GUILHERME
 7.2
20
DIEGO DUA
 7.0
11
TUNDE AKI
 7.3
1
RUI SILVA
91
RICARDO M
 8.2
6
ZENO DEBA
 7.5
26
OUSMANE D
 7.3
13
G. VAGIAN
 7.5
14
GIORGI KO
5
H. MORITA
8
PEDRO GON
17
TRINCãO
7
GEOVANY Q
90
RAFAEL NE
SUBSTITUTES · AVS
18
Nenê
F
19
Tiago Gallet...
M
5
Guillem Moli...
D
33
Aderllan San...
D
26
Ponck
D
93
Simão
G
88
Pedro Trigue...
G
14
Óscar Perea
F
COACH: Joao Henriques
SUBSTITUTES · SPORTING CP
23
Daniel Braga...
M
20
M. Araújo
M
10
Geny Catamo
M
70
Salvador Blo...
D
73
Eduardo Feli...
M
31
Luis Guilher...
F
72
Quaresma
D
12
João Virgíni...
G
97
Luis Javier...
F
COACH: Rui Borges
🏥 UNAVAILABLE PLAYERS
AVS · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

SPO · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

⚖ MATCH OFFICIALS
REFEREE
P. Ramalho
—
AVS MANAGER
Joao Henriques
head coach
SPO MANAGER
Rui Borges
head coach
HEAD TO HEAD · ALL-TIME
0
AVS WINS
1
DRAWS
3
SPO WINS
25%
75%
4 – 14
TOTAL GOALS · 4 MEETINGS
4.50
AVG GOALS / MATCH
RECENT MEETINGS SHOWING 3 / 4
13 Dec 2025
Sporting CP
6 – 0
AVS
L
23 Feb 2025
AVS
2 – 2
Sporting CP
D
22 Sep 2024
Sporting CP
3 – 0
AVS
L
AVS LAST 5 OVERALL
D W W D D
SPORTING CP LAST 5 OVERALL
W W W D L
MATCH IMPACT Final 1–1 · result locked
AVS #18
Lost · already at 21 pts
Relegation - Liga Portugal 2
SPORTING CP #2
Lost · already at 82 pts
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
LEAGUE CONTEXT FULL TABLE →
# TEAM P W D L GD PTS FORM
1 FC Porto 34 28 4 2 +48 88
W L W W W
2 Sporting CP 34 25 7 2 +65 82
W W W D D
3 Benfica 34 23 11 0 +49 80
W D D W W
4 SC Braga 34 16 11 7 +28 59
D D D L W
5 Famalicao 34 15 11 8 +13 56
W D D W D
6 GIL Vicente 34 13 11 10 +9 50
L L D W L
7 Moreirense 34 12 7 15 -12 43
D L W L W
8 Arouca 34 12 6 16 -17 42
W W D L W
9 Guimaraes 34 12 6 16 -12 42
L L L W W
10 Estoril 34 10 9 15 -3 39
L D D L L
11 Alverca 34 10 9 15 -17 39
L D L W L
12 Rio Ave 34 8 12 14 -22 36
D L D L D
13 Santa Clara 34 9 9 16 -9 36
L W D W D
14 Nacional 34 9 7 18 -8 34
W L L W W
15 Estrela 34 6 12 16 -18 30
D D L L L
16 Casa Pia 34 6 12 16 -26 30
D W L L L
17 Tondela 34 6 10 18 -28 28
L W W D L
18 AVS 34 3 12 19 -40 21
D W W D D
UCL Qualification Europa / Conference Relegation
COMMENTARY
  • 90'+7
    Card · Yellow Card · Adriel
    Delay of game
  • 90'+2
    Subst · Substitution 5 · Tunde Akinsola
  • 85'
    Subst · Substitution 4 · Pedro Lima
  • 85'
    Subst · Substitution 3 · Diego Duarte
  • 84'
    Subst · Substitution 5 · Giorgi Kochorashvili
  • 74'
    Subst · Substitution 2 · Guilherme Neiva
  • 74'
    Subst · Substitution 4 · Pedro Gonçalves
  • 74'
    Subst · Substitution 3 · Ricardo Mangas
  • 74'
    Subst · Substitution 1 · Gustavo Mendonca
  • 66'
    Goal · Penalty · Pedro Lima
  • 57'
    Subst · Substitution 2 · Geovany Quenda
  • 57'
    Subst · Substitution 1 · Rafael Nel
  • 47'
    Goal · Normal Goal · Rafael Nel
  • HALF TIME · 0 – 0
  • 45'+6
    Card · Yellow Card · Tunde Akinsola
    Unsportsmanlike conduct
  • 12'
    Card · Yellow Card · Gustavo Mendonca
13 BOOKIES
📊 AVERAGE ACROSS 13 BOOKMAKERS
AVS WIN
19.69
5.1% implied
↑ best 24.00
DRAW
10.55
9.5% implied
↑ best 14.00
SPORTING CP WIN
1.10
90.9% implied
↑ best 1.14

Market favors Sporting CP. AI projects SPORTING CP 40%.

MATCH WINNER ODDS avg across bookmakers
AI SAYS SPORTING CP 40% · EDGE column shows AI probability minus market implied probability
BOOKMAKER 1 X 2 EDGE
10Bet 21.00 8.50 1.11 +23.2%
1xBet 23.00 14.00 1.09 +24.9%
888Sport 17.00 11.00 1.10 +22.9%
Bet365 17.00 10.00 1.11 +22.1%
Betano 24.00 10.25 1.13 +23.8%
Betfair 21.00 11.00 1.08 +23.2%
BetVictor 20.00 9.00 1.07 +23.0%
Dafabet 18.00 9.60 1.14 +22.4%
Marathonbet 18.25 10.75 1.08 +22.7%
Pinnacle 19.37 11.90 1.10 +23.6%
SBO 17.32 9.64 1.10 +22.2%
Unibet 23.00 10.50 1.08 +23.7%
William Hill 17.00 11.00 1.10 +22.9%

Best odds in gold. Edge ≥ +5% (lime) means market under-prices the AI's probability. 18+ only.

📊 OTHER MARKETS

Over/Under · BTTS · Asian Handicap

avg across bookmakers
⚽ GOALS · OVER / UNDER
1.5 O 1.06 U 8.03
2.5 O 1.25 U 3.63
3.5 O 1.71 U 2.10
⚽ BOTH TEAMS SCORE
YES
2.04 10 bks
NO
1.71 10 bks
⚖ ASIAN HANDICAP
Away +0 1.03
Away +0.5 1.09
Away +0.75 1.09
Away +1 1.10
Away +1.25 1.22
Away +1.5 1.33
📈 MARKET MOVEMENT

How the market shifted before kick-off

historical line movement
7d ago 3d 1d KICK-OFF

Smoothed line illustration · per-snapshot historical odds storage activates Q3.