GOALSENSE
SIGN IN
AI PREDICTION Projects FT 1–2 · SPORTING CP 40%
CONF 38 FULL ANALYSIS →
Primeira Liga · REGULAR SEASON - 31 · SUN 26 APR · 19:30 LOCAL
AVS
18TH · 14 PTS · LAST 5:
D D L D L
FT
1 – 1
FULL TIME HT · 0-0
SPORTING CP
L D W L W
· 3RD · 72 PTS · LAST 5
⚽ 66' Pedro Lima (P)
GOALS
⚽ 47' Rafael Nel
Adriel
👑
⭐ PLAYER OF THE MATCH
Adriel
AVS · 91 mins
· 11% pass acc
RATING
8.3
PREDICTIONS
▶ MATCH HIGHLIGHTS

Goals, key moments & recap

awaiting upload
Goals, key moments, post-match interviews
Highlightly publishes 30 min – 6 h after final whistle
📊 90 MIN TOTALS

Finalised · Match completed

1.25
⚡ EXPECTED GOALS (xG)
2.23
25%
BALL POSSESSION %
75%
9
TOTAL SHOTS
16
4
SHOTS ON TARGET
7
69%
PASS ACCURACY %
87%
0
CORNERS
8
KEY EVENTS 15 events
  1. 12'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Gustavo Mendonca
    AVS
  2. 45'+6
    Card · Yellow Card
    Babatunde Akinsola
    AVS
  3. 47'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Rafael Nel · assist Giorgos Vagiannidis
    SPO
  4. 57'
    Subst · Substitution 1
    Rafael Nel · assist Luis Javier Suárez
    SPO
  5. 57'
    Subst · Substitution 2
    Geovany Quenda · assist Geny Catamo
    SPO
  6. 66'
    Goal · Penalty
    Pedro Lima
    AVS
  7. 74'
    Subst · Substitution 1
    Gustavo Mendonca · assist Tiago Galletto
    AVS
  8. 74'
    Subst · Substitution 3
    Ricardo Mangas · assist Maximiliano Araújo
    SPO
  9. 74'
    Subst · Substitution 4
    Pedro Gonçalves · assist Luis Guilherme
    SPO
  10. 74'
    Subst · Substitution 2
    Guilherme Neiva · assist Óscar Perea
    AVS
  11. 84'
    Subst · Substitution 5
    Giorgi Kochorashvili · assist Daniel Bragança
    SPO
  12. 85'
    Subst · Substitution 3
    Diego Duarte · assist Nenê
    AVS
  13. 85'
    Subst · Substitution 4
    Pedro Lima · assist Guillem Molina
    AVS
  14. 90'+2
    Subst · Substitution 5
    Babatunde Akinsola · assist Carlos Ponck
    AVS
  15. 90'+7
    Card · Yellow Card
    Adriel
    AVS
PLAYER RATINGS · TOP 5 EACH 0–10 scale
AVS AVG 7.4
SPORTING CP AVG 7.6
MATCH STATS H vs A
ATTACK
1.3
xG
2.2
9.0
TOTAL SHOTS
16.0
4.0
ON TARGET
7.0
2.0
OFF TARGET
6.0
3.0
BLOCKED
3.0
POSSESSION
25.0%
POSSESSION %
75.0%
187.0
PASSES
559.0
69.0%
PASS ACCURACY
87.0%
SET PIECES
0.0
CORNERS
8.0
0.0
OFFSIDES
2.0
DISCIPLINE
14.0
FOULS
7.0
2.0
YELLOW CARDS
0.0
6.0
GK SAVES
3.0
🎯 SHOT BREAKDOWN

Top shooters · accuracy = on-target / total

player-level shot accuracy · per-shot xG bubbles require xG Advanced tier
AVS 4 shots
Pedro Lima
1/2
Diego Duarte
1/1
Babatunde Akinsola
1/1
SPORTING CP 3 shots
Zeno Debast
1/1
Ousmane Diomande
1/1
Giorgos Vagiannidis
0/1
📈 xG RACE

Cumulative xG over 90 minutes REAL xG

final xG: 1.25 – 2.23
1.8 1.3 0.9 0.4 2.2 0.0 HT 66' 47' H 1.25 A 2.23 KO 30' 60' FT

Step chart anchored to real goal minutes · final xG from SportMonks · baseline distributes remaining shots evenly across the match

⚡ ATTACK SHARE

Event activity ratio · attacks/cards/subs

zone-based attack maps require broadcast partner (Q3)
H 60%
40% A
9
EVENTS LOGGED
6
EVENTS LOGGED
LINEUPS 4-3-3 vs 4-2-3-1
4-3-3
4-2-3-1
8.3
1
ADRIEL
12
LEONARDO
3
PAULO VIT
42
CRISTIAN
97
MATEUS PI
 7.3
8
PEDRO LIM
 7.2
70
RONI
23
GUSTAVO M
21
GUILHERME
 7.2
20
DIEGO DUA
 7.0
11
BABATUNDE
 7.3
1
RUI SILVA
91
RICARDO M
 8.2
6
ZENO DEBA
 7.5
26
OUSMANE D
 7.3
13
GIORGOS V
 7.5
14
GIORGI KO
5
HIDEMASA
8
PEDRO GON
17
FRANCISCO
7
GEOVANY Q
90
RAFAEL NE
SUBSTITUTES · AVS
18
Nenê
F
19
Tiago Gallet...
M
5
Guillem Moli...
D
33
Aderllan San...
D
26
Carlos Ponck
D
93
Simão
G
88
Pedro Trigue...
G
14
Óscar Perea
F
COACH: Joao Henriques
SUBSTITUTES · SPORTING CP
23
Daniel Braga...
M
20
Maximiliano...
M
10
Geny Catamo
M
70
Salvador Blo...
D
73
Eduardo Feli...
M
31
Luis Guilher...
F
72
Eduardo Quar...
D
12
João Virgíni...
G
97
Luis Javier...
F
COACH: Rui Borges
🏥 UNAVAILABLE PLAYERS
AVS · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

SPO · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

⚖ MATCH OFFICIALS
REFEREE
Pedro Ramalho, Portugal
—
AVS MANAGER
Joao Henriques
head coach
SPO MANAGER
Rui Borges
head coach
HEAD TO HEAD · ALL-TIME
0
AVS WINS
1
DRAWS
3
SPO WINS
25%
75%
4 – 14
TOTAL GOALS · 4 MEETINGS
4.50
AVG GOALS / MATCH
RECENT MEETINGS SHOWING 3 / 4
13 Dec 25
Sporting CP
6 – 0
AVS
L
23 Feb 25
AVS
2 – 2
Sporting CP
D
22 Sep 24
Sporting CP
3 – 0
AVS
L
AVS LAST 5 OVERALL
D D L D L
SPORTING CP LAST 5 OVERALL
L D W L W
MATCH IMPACT Final 1–1 · result locked
AVS #18
Lost · already at 14 pts
Relegation - Liga Portugal 2
SPORTING CP #3
Lost · already at 72 pts
Promotion - Europa League (Qualification)
LEAGUE CONTEXT FULL TABLE →
# TEAM P W D L GD PTS FORM
1 FC Porto 31 26 4 1 +48 82
W W W D W
2 Benfica 31 22 9 0 +47 75
W W W D W
3 Sporting CP 30 22 6 2 +55 72
D L W W W
4 SC Braga 31 16 8 7 +28 56
L W D W W
5 Famalicao 31 14 9 8 +12 51
W D D D W
6 GIL Vicente 30 12 10 8 +13 46
L D W L D
7 Guimaraes 31 12 6 13 -5 42
W W D W L
8 Moreirense 31 11 6 14 -11 39
L W D L L
9 Alverca 31 10 8 13 -15 38
W L W W L
10 Estoril 31 10 7 14 -1 37
L L L L L
11 Arouca 31 10 5 16 -21 35
L W L W W
12 Rio Ave 31 8 10 13 -19 34
L D W L W
13 Santa Clara 31 8 8 15 -10 32
W D L L W
14 Nacional 31 8 7 16 -7 31
W W L W L
15 Estrela 31 6 10 15 -17 28
L L L L W
16 Casa Pia 30 5 11 14 -25 26
L D L D L
17 Tondela 30 4 9 17 -29 21
L L D L D
18 AVS 31 1 11 19 -43 14
D D D L D
UCL Qualification Europa / Conference Relegation
COMMENTARY
  • 90'+7
    Card · Yellow Card · Adriel
    Delay of game
  • 90'+2
    Subst · Substitution 5 · Babatunde Akinsola
  • 85'
    Subst · Substitution 4 · Pedro Lima
  • 85'
    Subst · Substitution 3 · Diego Duarte
  • 84'
    Subst · Substitution 5 · Giorgi Kochorashvili
  • 74'
    Subst · Substitution 2 · Guilherme Neiva
  • 74'
    Subst · Substitution 4 · Pedro Gonçalves
  • 74'
    Subst · Substitution 3 · Ricardo Mangas
  • 74'
    Subst · Substitution 1 · Gustavo Mendonca
  • 66'
    Goal · Penalty · Pedro Lima
  • 57'
    Subst · Substitution 2 · Geovany Quenda
  • 57'
    Subst · Substitution 1 · Rafael Nel
  • 47'
    Goal · Normal Goal · Rafael Nel
  • HALF TIME · 0 – 0
  • 45'+6
    Card · Yellow Card · Babatunde Akinsola
    Unsportsmanlike conduct
  • 12'
    Card · Yellow Card · Gustavo Mendonca
13 BOOKIES
📊 AVERAGE ACROSS 13 BOOKMAKERS
AVS WIN
19.69
5.1% implied
↑ best 24.00
DRAW
10.55
9.5% implied
↑ best 14.00
SPORTING CP WIN
1.10
90.9% implied
↑ best 1.14

Market favors Sporting CP. AI projects SPORTING CP 40%.

MATCH WINNER ODDS avg across bookmakers
AI SAYS SPORTING CP 40% · EDGE column shows AI probability minus market implied probability
BOOKMAKER 1 X 2 EDGE
10Bet 21.00 8.50 1.11 +23.2%
1xBet 23.00 14.00 1.09 +24.9%
888Sport 17.00 11.00 1.10 +22.9%
Bet365 17.00 10.00 1.11 +22.1%
Betano 24.00 10.25 1.13 +23.8%
Betfair 21.00 11.00 1.08 +23.2%
BetVictor 20.00 9.00 1.07 +23.0%
Dafabet 18.00 9.60 1.14 +22.4%
Marathonbet 18.25 10.75 1.08 +22.7%
Pinnacle 19.37 11.90 1.10 +23.6%
SBO 17.32 9.64 1.10 +22.2%
Unibet 23.00 10.50 1.08 +23.7%
William Hill 17.00 11.00 1.10 +22.9%

Best odds in gold. Edge ≥ +5% (lime) means market under-prices the AI's probability. 18+ only.

📊 OTHER MARKETS

Over/Under · BTTS · Asian Handicap

avg across bookmakers
⚽ GOALS · OVER / UNDER
1.5 O 1.06 U 8.03
2.5 O 1.25 U 3.63
3.5 O 1.71 U 2.10
⚽ BOTH TEAMS SCORE
YES
2.04 10 bks
NO
1.71 10 bks
⚖ ASIAN HANDICAP
Away +0 1.03
Away +0.5 1.09
Away +0.75 1.09
Away +1 1.10
Away +1.25 1.22
Away +1.5 1.33
📈 MARKET MOVEMENT

How the market shifted before kick-off

historical line movement
7d ago 3d 1d KICK-OFF

Smoothed line illustration · per-snapshot historical odds storage activates Q3.