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AI PREDICTION Projects FT 1–1 · YOKOHAMA F. MARINOS 48%
CONF 38 FULL ANALYSIS →
J1 League · REGULAR SEASON - 14 · SAT, 02 MAY · 05:00 LOCAL
YOKOHAMA F. MARINOS
7TH · 20 PTS · LAST 5:
W L D L W
PEN
1 – 1
AFTER PENALTIES HT · 1-1
MITO HOLLYHOCK
L L L L L
· 9TH · 18 PTS · LAST 5
⚽ 5' Kaina Tanimura ⚽ 120+1' Jordy Croux (P) ⚽ 120+2' Dean David (P) ⚽ 120+3' Jun Amano (P) ⚽ 120+4' Jeisson Quiñónes (P)
GOALS
⚽ 27' Arata Watanabe ⚽ 120+1' Koshi Osaki (P) ⚽ 120+2' Ryo Nemoto (P) ⚽ 120+3' Sho Omori (P)
Park Il-Kyu
👑
⭐ PLAYER OF THE MATCH
Park Il-Kyu
Yokohama F. Marinos · Captain · 96 mins
· 19% pass acc
RATING
8.2
PREDICTIONS
▶ MATCH HIGHLIGHTS

Goals, key moments & recap 1 CLIP

powered by Highlightly
J1 League: Yokohama F. Marinos vs Mito Hollyhock
Open in Youtube ↗
📊 90 MIN TOTALS

Finalised · Match completed

36%
BALL POSSESSION %
64%
10
TOTAL SHOTS
19
4
SHOTS ON TARGET
7
67%
PASS ACCURACY %
79%
4
CORNERS
8
KEY EVENTS 22 events
  1. 5'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Kaina Tanimura · assist George Onaiwu
    YOK
  2. 27'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Arata Watanabe
    MIT
  3. 33'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Danilo Cardoso
    MIT
  4. 42'
    Subst · Substitution 1
    Danilo Cardoso · assist Takeshi Ushizawa
    MIT
  5. 56'
    Subst · Substitution 1
    Ren Kato · assist Ryo Miyaichi
    YOK
  6. 56'
    Subst · Substitution 2
    Tevis · assist Jun Amano
    YOK
  7. 56'
    Subst · Substitution 3
    Aruto Higuchi · assist Kota Watanabe
    YOK
  8. 68'
    Subst · Substitution 2
    Arata Watanabe · assist Yoshiki Torikai
    MIT
  9. 68'
    Subst · Substitution 3
    Matheus Leiria · assist Ryo Nemoto
    MIT
  10. 70'
    Subst · Substitution 4
    George Onaiwu · assist Jordy Croux
    YOK
  11. 71'
    Subst · Substitution 4
    Mizuki Arai · assist Koki Ando
    MIT
  12. 73'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Kosei Suwama
    YOK
  13. 78'
    Subst · Substitution 5
    Kanta Sekitomi · assist Jeisson Quiñónes
    YOK
  14. 86'
    Subst · Substitution 5
    Tada Keisuke · assist Shota Yamashita
    MIT
  15. 88'
    Subst · Substitution 6
    Riku Yamane · assist Dean David
    YOK
  16. 120'+1
    Goal · Missed Penalty
    Jordy Croux
    YOK
  17. 120'+1
    Goal · Penalty
    Koshi Osaki
    MIT
  18. 120'+2
    Goal · Penalty
    Dean David
    YOK
  19. 120'+2
    Goal · Penalty
    Ryo Nemoto
    MIT
  20. 120'+3
    Goal · Missed Penalty
    Jun Amano
    YOK
  21. 120'+3
    Goal · Penalty
    Sho Omori
    MIT
  22. 120'+4
    Goal · Missed Penalty
    Jeisson Quiñónes
    YOK
PLAYER RATINGS · TOP 5 EACH 0–10 scale
YOKOHAMA F. MARINOS AVG 7.6
MITO HOLLYHOCK AVG 7.1
MATCH STATS H vs A
ATTACK
10.0
TOTAL SHOTS
19.0
4.0
ON TARGET
7.0
3.0
OFF TARGET
7.0
3.0
BLOCKED
5.0
POSSESSION
36.0%
POSSESSION %
64.0%
275.0
PASSES
474.0
67.0%
PASS ACCURACY
79.0%
SET PIECES
4.0
CORNERS
8.0
1.0
OFFSIDES
3.0
DISCIPLINE
8.0
FOULS
5.0
1.0
YELLOW CARDS
1.0
6.0
GK SAVES
3.0
🎯 SHOT BREAKDOWN

Top shooters · accuracy = on-target / total

player-level shot accuracy · per-shot xG bubbles require xG Advanced tier
YOKOHAMA F. MARINOS 5 shots
Kaina Tanimura
3/5
MITO HOLLYHOCK 2 shots
Arata Watanabe
1/1
Sho Omori
0/1
⚡ ATTACK SHARE

Event activity ratio · attacks/cards/subs

zone-based attack maps require broadcast partner (Q3)
H 55%
45% A
12
EVENTS LOGGED
10
EVENTS LOGGED
LINEUPS 4-2-3-1 vs 4-4-2
4-2-3-1
4-4-2
8.2
1
PARK IL-K
35
KANTA SEK
 7.2
33
KOSEI SUW
44
THOMAS JO
2
REN KATO
29
ARUTO HIG
28
RIKU YAMA
46
HIROTO AS
19
TEVIS
 7.2
18
GEORGE ON
 7.9
9
KAINA TAN
 7.3
34
KONOSUKE
 7.2
7
SHO OMORI
17
KENTA ITA
2
DANILO CA
25
TAKUMI MA
14
MIZUKI AR
 6.9
3
KOSHI OSA
 6.9
19
TAISHI SE
70
MATHEUS L
 7.2
10
ARATA WAT
29
TADA KEIS
SUBSTITUTES · YOKOHAMA F. MARINOS
49
Kei Murakami
D
21
Hiroki Ilkur...
G
26
Dean David
F
17
Jeisson Quiñ...
D
11
Jordy Croux
F
23
Ryo Miyaichi
F
40
Jun Amano
M
6
Kota Watanab...
M
32
Yuta Tanaka
M
SUBSTITUTES · MITO HOLLYHOCK
20
Patryck Ferr...
F
82
Kotatsu Kawa...
M
21
Shuhei Matsu...
G
53
Shota Yamash...
M
33
Koki Ando
M
9
Ryo Nemoto
F
11
Yoshiki Tori...
M
4
Takeshi Ushi...
D
89
Teruhiro Sas...
D
COACH: Daisuke Kimori
🏥 UNAVAILABLE PLAYERS
YOK · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

MIT · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

⚖ MATCH OFFICIALS
REFEREE
H. Shimizu
—
YOK MANAGER
—
unannounced
MIT MANAGER
Daisuke Kimori
head coach
HEAD TO HEAD · ALL-TIME
0
YOK WINS
2
DRAWS
1
MIT WINS
66.7%
33.3%
3 – 4
TOTAL GOALS · 3 MEETINGS
2.33
AVG GOALS / MATCH
RECENT MEETINGS SHOWING 1 / 3
18 Mar 2026
Mito Hollyhock
1 – 0
Yokohama F. Marinos
L
YOKOHAMA F. MARINOS LAST 5 OVERALL
W L D L W
MITO HOLLYHOCK LAST 5 OVERALL
L L L L L
MATCH IMPACT Final 1–1 · result locked
YOKOHAMA F. MARINOS #7
Lost · already at 20 pts
Promotion - J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 13th place)
MITO HOLLYHOCK #7
Lost · already at 18 pts
Promotion - J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 13th place)
LEAGUE CONTEXT FULL TABLE →
# TEAM P W D L GD PTS FORM
1 Kashima 18 15 0 3 +20 45
W W W W W
1 Vissel Kobe 18 11 0 7 +4 35
W L W L W
1 Kashima 17 14 0 3 +19 42
W W W W L
1 Vissel Kobe 17 10 0 7 +3 32
L W L W L
1 Kashima 18 15 0 3 +20 45
W W W W W
1 Vissel Kobe 18 11 0 7 +4 35
W L W L W
2 Cerezo Osaka 18 11 0 7 +9 31
W W W L W
2 FC Tokyo 18 13 0 5 +14 37
L W W L W
2 Nagoya Grampus 17 10 0 7 +4 31
L W W W L
2 FC Tokyo 17 13 0 4 +15 37
W W L W W
2 Cerezo Osaka 18 11 0 7 +9 31
W W W L W
2 FC Tokyo 18 13 0 5 +14 37
L W W L W
3 Nagoya Grampus 18 10 0 8 +2 31
L L W W W
3 Machida Zelvia 18 13 0 5 +6 37
W L W W W
3 Cerezo Osaka 17 10 0 7 +8 28
W W L W W
3 Machida Zelvia 18 13 0 5 +6 37
W L W W W
3 Nagoya Grampus 18 10 0 8 +2 31
L L W W W
3 Machida Zelvia 18 13 0 5 +6 37
W L W W W
4 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 18 10 0 8 +8 30
W W W L L
4 Kawasaki Frontale 18 10 0 8 -2 28
W W L W L
4 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 17 9 0 8 +6 27
W W L L L
4 Tokyo Verdy 17 10 0 7 +2 28
W L L L W
4 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 18 10 0 8 +8 30
W W W L L
4 Kawasaki Frontale 18 10 0 8 -2 28
W W L W L
5 Gamba Osaka 18 10 0 8 +6 28
W L L W L
5 Tokyo Verdy 18 10 0 8 -4 28
L W L L L
5 Fagiano Okayama 17 8 0 9 -2 26
W W L W W
5 Urawa 18 7 0 11 +3 25
L L W W W
5 Gamba Osaka 18 10 0 8 +6 28
W L L W L
5 Tokyo Verdy 18 10 0 8 -4 28
L W L L L
6 Fagiano Okayama 18 8 0 10 -3 26
L W W L W
6 Urawa 18 7 0 11 +3 25
L L W W W
6 Gamba Osaka 17 9 0 8 +5 25
L L W L W
6 Kawasaki Frontale 17 9 0 8 -4 25
W L W L L
6 Fagiano Okayama 18 8 0 10 -3 26
L W W L W
6 Urawa 18 7 0 11 +3 25
L L W W W
7 Shimizu S-pulse 18 8 0 10 -2 24
L L W W W
7 Yokohama F. Marinos 18 6 0 12 -3 20
W L L L L
7 Shimizu S-pulse 17 8 0 9 -1 24
L W W W L
7 Mito Hollyhock 17 6 0 11 -14 18
L L L W L
7 Shimizu S-pulse 18 8 0 10 -2 24
L L W W W
7 Yokohama F. Marinos 18 6 0 12 -3 20
W L L L L
8 Kyoto Sanga 18 8 0 10 -6 23
W L L L L
8 Kashiwa Reysol 18 7 0 11 -2 20
W W W L L
8 V-varen Nagasaki 17 7 0 10 -7 21
W L W L W
8 Kashiwa Reysol 17 6 0 11 -4 17
W W L L L
8 Kyoto Sanga 18 8 0 10 -6 23
W L L L L
8 Kashiwa Reysol 18 7 0 11 -2 20
W W W L L
9 V-varen Nagasaki 18 7 0 11 -8 21
L W L W L
9 Mito Hollyhock 18 6 0 12 -16 18
L L L L W
9 Avispa Fukuoka 17 7 0 10 -9 21
L W L W L
9 Yokohama F. Marinos 17 5 0 12 -9 17
L L L L W
9 V-varen Nagasaki 18 7 0 11 -8 21
L W L W L
9 Mito Hollyhock 18 6 0 12 -16 18
L L L L W
10 JEF United Chiba 18 3 0 15 -16 12
L L L W L
10 Avispa Fukuoka 18 7 0 11 -10 21
L L W L W
10 JEF United Chiba 17 3 0 14 -14 12
L L W L L
10 Kyoto Sanga 17 7 0 10 -7 20
L L L L L
10 JEF United Chiba 18 3 0 15 -16 12
L L L W L
10 Avispa Fukuoka 18 7 0 11 -10 21
L L W L W
UCL Qualification Europa / Conference Relegation
COMMENTARY
  • 120'+4
    Goal · Missed Penalty · Jeisson Quiñónes
    Penalty Shootout
  • 120'+3
    Goal · Penalty · Sho Omori
    Penalty Shootout
  • 120'+3
    Goal · Missed Penalty · Jun Amano
    Penalty Shootout
  • 120'+2
    Goal · Penalty · Ryo Nemoto
    Penalty Shootout
  • 120'+2
    Goal · Penalty · Dean David
    Penalty Shootout
  • 120'+1
    Goal · Penalty · Koshi Osaki
    Penalty Shootout
  • 120'+1
    Goal · Missed Penalty · Jordy Croux
    Penalty Shootout
  • 88'
    Subst · Substitution 6 · Riku Yamane
  • 86'
    Subst · Substitution 5 · Tada Keisuke
  • 78'
    Subst · Substitution 5 · Kanta Sekitomi
  • 73'
    Card · Yellow Card · Kosei Suwama
  • 71'
    Subst · Substitution 4 · Mizuki Arai
  • 70'
    Subst · Substitution 4 · George Onaiwu
  • 68'
    Subst · Substitution 3 · Matheus Leiria
  • 68'
    Subst · Substitution 2 · Arata Watanabe
  • 56'
    Subst · Substitution 3 · Aruto Higuchi
  • 56'
    Subst · Substitution 2 · Tevis
  • 56'
    Subst · Substitution 1 · Ren Kato
  • HALF TIME · 1 – 1
  • 42'
    Subst · Substitution 1 · Danilo Cardoso
  • 33'
    Card · Yellow Card · Danilo Cardoso
  • 27'
    Goal · Normal Goal · Arata Watanabe
  • 5'
    Goal · Normal Goal · Kaina Tanimura
12 BOOKIES
📊 AVERAGE ACROSS 12 BOOKMAKERS
YOKOHAMA F. MARI WIN
2.20
45.5% implied
↑ best 2.25
DRAW
3.18
31.4% implied
↑ best 3.30
MITO HOLLYHOCK WIN
3.28
30.5% implied
↑ best 3.50

Market favors Yokohama F. Marinos. AI projects YOKOHAMA F. MARINOS 48%.

MATCH WINNER ODDS avg across bookmakers
AI SAYS YOKOHAMA F. MARINOS 48% · EDGE column shows AI probability minus market implied probability
BOOKMAKER 1 X 2 EDGE
10Bet 2.20 3.20 3.25 +2.5%
1xBet 2.20 3.20 3.32 +2.5%
Bet365 2.20 3.30 3.30 +2.5%
Betano 2.20 3.15 3.35 +2.5%
Betfair 2.10 3.10 3.25 +0.4%
BetVictor 2.20 3.30 3.40 +2.5%
Dafabet 2.24 3.30 3.35 +3.4%
Marathonbet 2.18 3.20 3.32 +2.1%
Pinnacle 2.25 3.30 3.50 +3.6%
SBO 2.20 2.93 3.00 +2.5%
Unibet 2.25 3.20 3.00 +3.6%
William Hill 2.20 3.00 3.30 +2.5%

Best odds in gold. Edge ≥ +5% (lime) means market under-prices the AI's probability. 18+ only.

📊 OTHER MARKETS

Over/Under · BTTS · Asian Handicap

avg across bookmakers
⚽ GOALS · OVER / UNDER
1.5 O 1.35 U 2.96
2.5 O 2.13 U 1.68
3.5 O 3.80 U 1.23
⚽ BOTH TEAMS SCORE
YES
1.84 9 bks
NO
1.87 9 bks
⚖ ASIAN HANDICAP
Away -0.25 1.91
Away -0.5 1.68
Away -0.75 1.47
Away -1 1.28
Away -1.25 1.22
Away -1.5 1.17
📈 MARKET MOVEMENT

How the market shifted before kick-off

historical line movement
7d ago 3d 1d KICK-OFF

Smoothed line illustration · per-snapshot historical odds storage activates Q3.