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Europa Conference League · 1ST QUALIFYING ROUND · THU, 16 JUL · 15:00 LOCAL
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YELIMAY SEMEY
4'
0 – 0
ALASHKERT
⚽ 11' Akmal Bakhtiyarov ⚽ 96' Hrvoje Ilić ⚽ 120+1' Z. Pairuz ⚽ 120+2' Hrvoje Ilić ⚽ 120+3' M. Belancic ⚽ 120+4' Ivan Sviridov ⚽ 120+5' Arsen Ashirbek ⚽ 120+6' R. Soto ⚽ 120+7' Duván Palacios
GOALS
⚽ 4' Momo Fanyé Touré ⚽ 120+1' Higor Gabriel ⚽ 120+1' Edgar Piloyan ⚽ 120+2' Domi Massoumou ⚽ 120+3' Cézar Henrique ⚽ 120+4' Arsen Beglaryan ⚽ 120+5' Jefferson Granado ⚽ 120+6' Daouda Togola ⚽ 120+7' Arsen Sadoyan
CLAUDE AI · BLENDED FROM 4 MODELS
LIVE-ADJUSTED
CONF 28/100 LOW
🔮 PREDICTED FULL-TIME SCORE
YEL
1 – 1
ALA
most likely scoreline · 14.4% probability
AI PICKS YELIMAY SEMEY TO WIN 38%
LIVE · 4' 0 – 0
→
🤖 AI PROJECTS FT 1 – 1
🤖 AI BREAKDOWN

HOW AI SEES THE MATCH

LIVE-ADJUSTED
YEL WIN 38%
DRAW 38%
ALA WIN 24%
h + d + a = 100% · stacked share
💰 AI BETTING TIP
DOUBLE CHANCE — 1X

Tight 1X2 — single-side too risky. Double chance covers 76% of outcomes with smaller payout.

CONF 76% avoid: 1X2 single 4 models
🤖 AI ANALYSIS

Only 4 minutes in, 0–0; insufficient data to deviate from near-neutral baseline. Treat as weak heuristic.

🤖 AI REASONING why AI picked this
WHY YELIMAY SEMEY FAVORED
38%
Match at minute 4 with no significant events; outcome entirely open
+25.0%
No season stats, standings, or lineups available — cannot assess team quality
+20.0%
H2H shows 1–1 draw last week; slight lean toward draw but very low signal
+15.0%
WHY ALASHKERT CHALLENGED
24%
Match at minute 4 with no significant events; outcome entirely open
+25.0%
No season stats, standings, or lineups available — cannot assess team quality
+20.0%
H2H shows 1–1 draw last week; slight lean toward draw but very low signal
+15.0%
🤖 CONTEXT · NEUTRAL FACTORS
  • Match at minute 4 with no significant events; outcome entirely open
  • No season stats, standings, or lineups available — cannot assess team quality
  • H2H shows 1–1 draw last week; slight lean toward draw but very low signal
🤖 AI LIVE TIMELINE

PROBABILITY TIMELINE

How AI re-projects after each event
H DRAW A
100% 50% 0% KO 15' 30' HT 60' 75' FT ⚽ 4' MOMO FANY� ⚽ 11' AKMAL BAKH ⚽ 96' HRVOJE ILI ⚽ 121' HIGOR GABR ⚽ 121' EDGAR PILO ⚽ 121' Z. PAIRUZ ⚽ 122' DOMI MASSO ⚽ 122' HRVOJE ILI ⚽ 123' M. BELANCI ⚽ 123' CéZAR HEN ⚽ 124' ARSEN BEGL ⚽ 124' IVAN SVIRI ⚽ 125' JEFFERSON ⚽ 125' ARSEN ASHI ⚽ 126' DAOUDA TOG ⚽ 126' R. SOTO ⚽ 127' ARSEN SADO ⚽ 127' DUVáN PAL 4' PROJECTION
Probabilities re-blended at each event · 18 events marked → Derived from goal events + remaining time
🤖 AI SCORE MATRIX

SCORELINE PROBABILITY

All possible scorelines · Poisson from xG
0% 14.4%+
0
1
2
3
4
5
6+
0
13.5
12.7
6.0
1.9
0.4
0.1
·
1
14.4
13.5
6.3
2.0
0.5
0.1
·
2
7.6
7.2
3.4
1.1
0.3
·
·
3
2.7
2.5
1.2
0.4
0.1
·
·
4
0.7
0.7
0.3
0.1
·
·
·
5
0.2
0.1
0.1
·
·
·
·
6+
·
·
·
·
·
·
·
MOST LIKELY · TOP 5
1 — 0 14.4%
0 — 0 13.5%
1 — 1 13.5%
0 — 1 12.7%
2 — 0 7.6%
Top 5 = 61.7% · rest 38.3%
🤖 AI VALUE FINDER

VALUE BETS

Where AI sees an edge vs bookmaker odds
8 markets · pre-match avg odds
MARKETODDSAI PROBFAIREDGE
Draw
13 bookmakers · pre-match avg
3.56
38.0%
2.63
+35.3%
Draw or AWAY (X2)
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
2.13
62.0%
1.61
+32.0%
AWAY to Win
13 bookmakers · pre-match avg
4.99
24.0%
4.17
+19.8%
Both Teams Score — YES
10 bookmakers · pre-match avg
2.00
48.0%
2.08
-3.9%
—
Over 2.5 Goals
10 bookmakers · pre-match avg
2.06
42.0%
2.38
-13.6%
—
HOME or Draw (1X)
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
1.13
76.0%
1.32
-14.3%
—
HOME or AWAY (12)
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
1.24
62.0%
1.61
-23.2%
—
HOME to Win
13 bookmakers · pre-match avg
1.64
38.0%
2.63
-37.8%
—
⚠ 18+ only. Odds change frequently. AI predictions are not guarantees. Bet responsibly.