GOALSENSE
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Championship · REGULAR SEASON - 2 · SAT, 22 AUG · 14:00 LOCAL
WREXHAM
7TH · 71 PTS · LAST 5:
D D L W W
FT
1 – 1
FULL TIME HT · 1-1
WATFORD
W L L L L
· 16TH · 57 PTS · LAST 5
⚽ 22' Daniel Imray
GOALS
⚽ 14' Luca Kjerrumgaard
Nathan Broadhead
👑
⭐ PLAYER OF THE MATCH
Nathan Broadhead
Wrexham · 48 mins
· 12% pass acc
RATING
7.3
PREDICTIONS
📊 90 MIN TOTALS

Finalised · Match completed

0.85
⚡ EXPECTED GOALS (xG)
0.33
54%
BALL POSSESSION %
46%
6
TOTAL SHOTS
5
2
SHOTS ON TARGET
4
81%
PASS ACCURACY %
75%
3
CORNERS
1
KEY EVENTS 14 events
  1. 14'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Luca Kjerrumgaard · assist Omar Haktab Traore
    WAT
  2. 20'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Nathan Broadhead
    WRE
  3. 22'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Daniel Imray
    WRE
  4. 45'
    Subst · Substitution 1
    Omar Haktab Traore · assist A. Eames
    WAT
  5. 58'
    Subst · Substitution 2
    Othmane Maamma · assist Martín Payero
    WAT
  6. 63'
    Subst · Substitution 1
    Kieffer Moore · assist Sam Smith
    WRE
  7. 67'
    Subst · Substitution 3
    Edoardo Bove · assist Edo Kayembe
    WAT
  8. 67'
    Subst · Substitution 4
    Luca Kjerrumgaard · assist Rocco Vata
    WAT
  9. 67'
    Subst · Substitution 5
    Amin Nabizada · assist Mamadou Doumbia
    WAT
  10. 70'
    Subst · Substitution 2
    Oliver Rathbone · assist Bailey Cadamarteri
    WRE
  11. 72'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Ben Whiteman
    WRE
  12. 78'
    Subst · Substitution 3
    Nathan Broadhead · assist Matty James
    WRE
  13. 78'
    Subst · Substitution 4
    Daniel Imray · assist Ryan Longman
    WRE
  14. 90'+4
    Subst · Substitution 5
    George Thomason · assist Max Cleworth
    WRE
PLAYER RATINGS · TOP 5 EACH 0–10 scale
WREXHAM AVG 7.0
WATFORD AVG 6.9
MATCH STATS H vs A
ATTACK
0.9
xG
0.3
6.0
TOTAL SHOTS
5.0
2.0
ON TARGET
4.0
3.0
OFF TARGET
1.0
1.0
BLOCKED
0.0
POSSESSION
54.0%
POSSESSION %
46.0%
228.0
PASSES
198.0
81.0%
PASS ACCURACY
75.0%
SET PIECES
3.0
CORNERS
1.0
1.0
OFFSIDES
0.0
DISCIPLINE
8.0
FOULS
6.0
1.0
YELLOW CARDS
0.0
3.0
GK SAVES
1.0
🎯 SHOT BREAKDOWN

Top shooters · accuracy = on-target / total

player-level shot accuracy · per-shot xG bubbles require xG Advanced tier
WREXHAM 4 shots
Daniel Imray
2/3
George Thomason
0/1
WATFORD 3 shots
Luca Kjerrumgaard
1/2
Matthew Pollock
1/1
📈 xG RACE

Cumulative xG over 90 minutes REAL xG

final xG: 0.85 – 0.33
0.7 0.5 0.3 0.2 0.9 0.0 HT 22' 14' H 0.85 A 0.33 KO 30' 60' FT

Step chart anchored to real goal minutes · final xG from SportMonks · baseline distributes remaining shots evenly across the match

⚡ ATTACK SHARE

Event activity ratio · attacks/cards/subs

zone-based attack maps require broadcast partner (Q3)
H 57%
43% A
8
EVENTS LOGGED
6
EVENTS LOGGED
LINEUPS 3-4-2-1 vs 4-2-3-1
3-4-2-1
4-2-3-1
22
ANTHONY P
 6.9
2
CALLUM DO
5
DOMINIC H
26
ZAK VYNER
 6.9
14
GEORGE TH
27
LEWIS O'B
8
BEN WHITE
 7.2
30
DANIEL IM
 7.3
33
NATHAN BR
20
OLIVER RA
 6.9
19
KIEFFER M
1
FEDERICO
33
JORDAN ZE
4
KéVIN KEB
 6.7
6
MATTHEW P
23
OMAR HAKT
 7.0
5
HECTOR KY
 6.9
8
EDOARDO B
7
OTHMANE M
 6.7
17
IKER BRAV
21
AMIN NABI
 7.3
9
LUCA KJER
SUBSTITUTES · WREXHAM
7
Davis Keillo...
F
11
Bailey Cadam...
F
37
Matty James
M
15
George Dobso...
M
47
Ryan Longman
M
4
Max Cleworth
D
24
Dan Scarr
D
21
Danny Ward
G
28
Sam Smith
F
COACH: Phil Parkinson
SUBSTITUTES · WATFORD
20
Mamadou Doum...
F
52
Leo Ramirez-...
M
48
Michael Adu-...
F
22
Martín Payer...
M
39
Edo Kayembe
M
53
James Clarri...
D
26
Daniel Bachm...
G
56
Albert Eames
D
11
Rocco Vata
F
COACH: Alessio Dionisi
🏥 UNAVAILABLE PLAYERS
WRE · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

WAT · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

⚖ MATCH OFFICIALS
REFEREE
John Busby, England
—
WRE MANAGER
Phil Parkinson
head coach
WAT MANAGER
Alessio Dionisi
head coach
HEAD TO HEAD · ALL-TIME
0
WRE WINS
1
DRAWS
1
WAT WINS
50%
50%
3 – 5
TOTAL GOALS · 2 MEETINGS
4.00
AVG GOALS / MATCH
RECENT MEETINGS SHOWING 2 / 2
17 Mar 2026
Watford
3 – 1
Wrexham
L
13 Dec 2025
Wrexham
2 – 2
Watford
D
WREXHAM LAST 5 OVERALL
D D L W W
WATFORD LAST 5 OVERALL
W L L L L
MATCH IMPACT Final 1–1 · result locked
WREXHAM #7
Lost · already at 71 pts
WATFORD #16
Lost · already at 57 pts
LEAGUE CONTEXT FULL TABLE →
# TEAM P W D L GD PTS FORM
1 Coventry 46 28 11 7 +52 95
W W W D D
2 Ipswich 46 23 15 8 +33 84
W D D W D
3 Millwall 46 24 11 11 +15 83
L D W D W
4 Southampton 46 22 14 10 +26 80
W D W D D
5 Middlesbrough 46 22 14 10 +25 80
L L D D W
6 Hull City 46 21 10 15 +4 73
W W D W L
7 Wrexham 46 19 14 13 +4 71
D L W W L
8 Derby 46 20 9 17 +8 69
L W L W L
9 Norwich 46 19 8 19 +7 65
L D W W L
10 Birmingham 46 17 13 16 +1 64
D W W D W
11 Swansea 46 18 10 18 -2 64
W D W L W
12 Bristol City 46 17 11 18 0 62
W L D L D
13 Sheffield Utd 46 18 6 22 0 60
W L L W W
14 Preston 46 15 15 16 -7 60
L W L L W
15 QPR 46 16 10 20 -12 58
L L L L D
16 Watford 46 14 15 17 -12 57
L L L L L
17 Stoke City 46 15 10 21 -5 55
L L L L D
18 Portsmouth 46 14 13 19 -15 55
D W L W W
19 Charlton 46 13 14 19 -14 53
L W L D L
20 Blackburn 46 13 13 20 -14 52
L W D L D
21 West Brom 46 13 14 19 -10 51
L D W W D
22 Oxford United 46 11 14 21 -14 47
L W L L W
23 Leicester 46 12 16 18 -10 46
W D D L L
24 Sheffield Wednesday 46 2 12 32 -60 0
W L L D D
UCL Qualification Europa / Conference Relegation
COMMENTARY
  • 90'+4
    Subst · Substitution 5 · George Thomason
  • 78'
    Subst · Substitution 4 · Daniel Imray
  • 78'
    Subst · Substitution 3 · Nathan Broadhead
  • 72'
    Card · Yellow Card · Ben Whiteman
    Foul
  • 70'
    Subst · Substitution 2 · Oliver Rathbone
  • 67'
    Subst · Substitution 5 · Amin Nabizada
  • 67'
    Subst · Substitution 4 · Luca Kjerrumgaard
  • 67'
    Subst · Substitution 3 · Edoardo Bove
  • 63'
    Subst · Substitution 1 · Kieffer Moore
  • 58'
    Subst · Substitution 2 · Othmane Maamma
  • HALF TIME · 1 – 1
  • 45'
    Subst · Substitution 1 · Omar Haktab Traore
  • 22'
    Goal · Normal Goal · Daniel Imray
  • 20'
    Card · Yellow Card · Nathan Broadhead
    Diving
  • 14'
    Goal · Normal Goal · Luca Kjerrumgaard
12 BOOKIES
📊 AVERAGE ACROSS 12 BOOKMAKERS
WREXHAM WIN
1.93
51.8% implied
↑ best 1.96
DRAW
3.54
28.2% implied
↑ best 3.73
WATFORD WIN
3.85
26% implied
↑ best 4.00
MATCH WINNER ODDS avg across bookmakers
BOOKMAKER 1 X 2
1xBet 1.92 3.52 3.81
Bet365 1.91 3.50 4.00
Betano 1.95 3.60 3.85
Betfair 1.91 3.60 4.00
BetVictor 1.91 3.60 3.90
Dafabet 1.96 3.60 3.95
Marathonbet 1.90 3.52 3.82
Pinnacle 1.94 3.73 3.97
SBO 1.93 3.28 3.50
Superbet 1.95 3.55 3.90
Unibet 1.89 3.55 3.85
William Hill 1.95 3.40 3.70

Best odds in gold. Edge ≥ +5% (lime) means market under-prices the AI's probability. 18+ only.

📊 OTHER MARKETS

Over/Under · BTTS · Asian Handicap

avg across bookmakers
⚽ GOALS · OVER / UNDER
1.5 O 1.26 U 3.65
2.5 O 1.86 U 1.93
3.5 O 3.10 U 1.34
⚽ BOTH TEAMS SCORE
YES
1.71 9 bks
NO
2.04 9 bks
⚖ ASIAN HANDICAP
Away -0.25 2.19
Away -0.5 1.88
Away -0.75 1.65
Away -1 1.43
Away -1.25 1.34
Away -1.5 1.28
📈 MARKET MOVEMENT

How the market shifted before kick-off

historical line movement
7d ago 3d 1d KICK-OFF

Smoothed line illustration · per-snapshot historical odds storage activates Q3.