GOALSENSE
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Championship · REGULAR SEASON - 25 · THU, 01 JAN · 15:00 LOCAL
WATFORD
16TH · 57 PTS · LAST 5:
L L L L L
FT
3 – 0
FULL TIME HT · 2-0
BIRMINGHAM
D W W D W
· 10TH · 64 PTS · LAST 5
⚽ 9' Thomas Ince ⚽ 38' Thomas Ince ⚽ 60' Thomas Ince
GOALS
Thomas Ince
👑
⭐ PLAYER OF THE MATCH
Thomas Ince
Watford · 77 mins
⚽ 3 goals · 17% pass acc · 4 shots on
RATING
10.0
PREDICTIONS
📊 90 MIN TOTALS

Finalised · Match completed

1.56
⚡ EXPECTED GOALS (xG)
0.40
45%
BALL POSSESSION %
55%
13
TOTAL SHOTS
6
6
SHOTS ON TARGET
2
79%
PASS ACCURACY %
82%
4
CORNERS
4
KEY EVENTS 16 events
  1. 9'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Thomas Ince · assist Giorgi Chakvetadze
    WAT
  2. 38'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Thomas Ince
    WAT
  3. 43'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Matthew Pollock
    WAT
  4. 46'
    Subst · Substitution 1
    Giorgi Chakvetadze · assist Nestory Irankunda
    WAT
  5. 46'
    Subst · Substitution 1
    Alfons Sampsted · assist Marc Leonard
    BIR
  6. 46'
    Subst · Substitution 2
    Willum Thor Willumsson · assist Lyndon Dykes
    BIR
  7. 60'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Thomas Ince · assist Nestory Irankunda
    WAT
  8. 62'
    Subst · Substitution 3
    Alex Cochrane · assist Eiran Cashin
    BIR
  9. 63'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Lyndon Dykes
    BIR
  10. 64'
    Subst · Substitution 2
    Luca Kjerrumgaard · assist Vivaldo
    WAT
  11. 68'
    Subst · Substitution 4
    Kyogo Furuhashi · assist Marvin Ducksch
    BIR
  12. 69'
    Subst · Substitution 3
    Imrân Louza · assist Nampalys Mendy
    WAT
  13. 70'
    Subst · Substitution 4
    Othmane Maamma · assist Moussa Sissoko
    WAT
  14. 77'
    Subst · Substitution 5
    Thomas Ince · assist Kwadwo Baah
    WAT
  15. 77'
    Subst · Substitution 5
    Keshi Anderson · assist Lewis Koumas
    BIR
  16. 78'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Seung-Ho Paik
    BIR
PLAYER RATINGS · TOP 5 EACH 0–10 scale
WATFORD AVG 8.0
BIRMINGHAM AVG 6.7
MATCH STATS H vs A
ATTACK
1.6
xG
0.4
13.0
TOTAL SHOTS
6.0
6.0
ON TARGET
2.0
5.0
OFF TARGET
3.0
2.0
BLOCKED
1.0
POSSESSION
45.0%
POSSESSION %
55.0%
402.0
PASSES
484.0
79.0%
PASS ACCURACY
82.0%
SET PIECES
4.0
CORNERS
4.0
1.0
OFFSIDES
3.0
DISCIPLINE
5.0
FOULS
14.0
1.0
YELLOW CARDS
2.0
2.0
GK SAVES
3.0
🎯 SHOT BREAKDOWN

Top shooters · accuracy = on-target / total

player-level shot accuracy · per-shot xG bubbles require xG Advanced tier
WATFORD 5 shots
Thomas Ince
4/5
BIRMINGHAM 2 shots
Eiran Cashin
0/1
Kyogo Furuhashi
1/1
📈 xG RACE

Cumulative xG over 90 minutes REAL xG

final xG: 1.56 – 0.40
1.2 0.9 0.6 0.3 1.6 0.0 HT 9' 38' 60' H 1.56 A 0.40 KO 30' 60' FT

Step chart anchored to real goal minutes · final xG from SportMonks · baseline distributes remaining shots evenly across the match

⚡ ATTACK SHARE

Event activity ratio · attacks/cards/subs

zone-based attack maps require broadcast partner (Q3)
H 56%
44% A
9
EVENTS LOGGED
7
EVENTS LOGGED
LINEUPS 4-2-3-1 vs 4-2-3-1
4-2-3-1
4-2-3-1
1
EGIL SELV
16
MARC BOLA
 7.5
3
MAX ALLEY
6
MATTHEW P
25
JAMES ABA
10
IMRâN LOU
 7.5
5
HECTOR KY
 10.0
7
THOMAS IN
 7.3
8
GIORGI CH
42
OTHMANE M
9
LUCA KJER
25
JAMES BEA
20
ALEX COCH
6
JACK ROBI
 6.5
5
PHIL NEUM
23
ALFONS SA
8
SEUNG-HO
24
TOMOKI IW
 6.9
14
KESHI AND
18
WILLUM TH
16
PATRICK R
 6.5
9
KYOGO FUR
SUBSTITUTES · WATFORD
34
Kwadwo Baah
F
66
Nestory Iran...
F
17
Moussa Sisso...
M
23
Nampalys Men...
M
29
Jeremy Petri...
D
22
James Morris
D
4
Kévin Keben...
D
12
Nathan Baxte...
G
18
Vivaldo
F
COACH: Javier Gracia Carlos
SUBSTITUTES · BIRMINGHAM
41
Eiran Cashin
D
40
Menzi Mazwi
M
33
Marvin Ducks...
F
30
Lewis Koumas
F
27
Kanya Fujimo...
M
17
Lyndon Dykes
F
12
Marc Leonard
M
21
Ryan Allsop
G
42
Daniel Isich...
M
COACH: Chris Davies
🏥 UNAVAILABLE PLAYERS
WAT · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

BIR · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

⚖ MATCH OFFICIALS
REFEREE
Lewis Smith, England
—
WAT MANAGER
Javier Gracia Carlos
head coach
BIR MANAGER
Chris Davies
head coach
HEAD TO HEAD · ALL-TIME
7
WAT WINS
1
DRAWS
2
BIR WINS
70%
10%
20%
17 – 5
TOTAL GOALS · 10 MEETINGS
2.20
AVG GOALS / MATCH
RECENT MEETINGS SHOWING 5 / 10
01 Dec 2025
Birmingham
2 – 1
Watford
L
16 Mar 2024
Birmingham
0 – 1
Watford
W
16 Sep 2023
Watford
2 – 0
Birmingham
W
14 Mar 2023
Watford
3 – 0
Birmingham
W
16 Aug 2022
Birmingham
1 – 1
Watford
D
WATFORD LAST 5 OVERALL
L L L L L
BIRMINGHAM LAST 5 OVERALL
D W W D W
MATCH IMPACT Final 3–0 · result locked
WATFORD #16
Won · already at 57 pts
BIRMINGHAM #10
Lost · already at 64 pts
LEAGUE CONTEXT FULL TABLE →
# TEAM P W D L GD PTS FORM
1 Coventry 46 28 11 7 +52 95
W W W D D
2 Ipswich 46 23 15 8 +33 84
W D D W D
3 Millwall 46 24 11 11 +15 83
L D W D W
4 Southampton 46 22 14 10 +26 80
W D W D D
5 Middlesbrough 46 22 14 10 +25 80
L L D D W
6 Hull City 46 21 10 15 +4 73
W W D W L
7 Wrexham 46 19 14 13 +4 71
D L W W L
8 Derby 46 20 9 17 +8 69
L W L W L
9 Norwich 46 19 8 19 +7 65
L D W W L
10 Birmingham 46 17 13 16 +1 64
D W W D W
11 Swansea 46 18 10 18 -2 64
W D W L W
12 Bristol City 46 17 11 18 0 62
W L D L D
13 Sheffield Utd 46 18 6 22 0 60
W L L W W
14 Preston 46 15 15 16 -7 60
L W L L W
15 QPR 46 16 10 20 -12 58
L L L L D
16 Watford 46 14 15 17 -12 57
L L L L L
17 Stoke City 46 15 10 21 -5 55
L L L L D
18 Portsmouth 46 14 13 19 -15 55
D W L W W
19 Charlton 46 13 14 19 -14 53
L W L D L
20 Blackburn 46 13 13 20 -14 52
L W D L D
21 West Brom 46 13 14 19 -10 51
L D W W D
22 Oxford United 46 11 14 21 -14 47
L W L L W
23 Leicester 46 12 16 18 -10 46
W D D L L
24 Sheffield Wednesday 46 2 12 32 -60 0
W L L D D
UCL Qualification Europa / Conference Relegation
COMMENTARY
  • 78'
    Card · Yellow Card · Seung-Ho Paik
    Foul
  • 77'
    Subst · Substitution 5 · Keshi Anderson
  • 77'
    Subst · Substitution 5 · Thomas Ince
  • 70'
    Subst · Substitution 4 · Othmane Maamma
  • 69'
    Subst · Substitution 3 · Imrân Louza
  • 68'
    Subst · Substitution 4 · Kyogo Furuhashi
  • 64'
    Subst · Substitution 2 · Luca Kjerrumgaard
  • 63'
    Card · Yellow Card · Lyndon Dykes
    Foul
  • 62'
    Subst · Substitution 3 · Alex Cochrane
  • 60'
    Goal · Normal Goal · Thomas Ince
  • 46'
    Subst · Substitution 2 · Willum Thor Willumsson
  • 46'
    Subst · Substitution 1 · Alfons Sampsted
  • 46'
    Subst · Substitution 1 · Giorgi Chakvetadze
  • HALF TIME · 2 – 0
  • 43'
    Card · Yellow Card · Matthew Pollock
    Foul
  • 38'
    Goal · Normal Goal · Thomas Ince
  • 9'
    Goal · Normal Goal · Thomas Ince
MATCH WINNER ODDS
Bookmaker odds not yet published. Check back closer to kickoff.