GOALSENSE
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AI PREDICTION Projects FT 2–1 · VFB STUTTGART 68% · Value: Over 2.5 62%
CONF 62 FULL ANALYSIS →
Bundesliga · REGULAR SEASON - 31 · SUN 26 APR · 13:30 LOCAL
VFB STUTTGART
4TH · 57 PTS · LAST 5:
L W L W L
FT
1 – 1
FULL TIME HT · 0-1
WERDER BREMEN
W L L W L
· 12TH · 32 PTS · LAST 5
⚽ 61' Ermedin Demirović
GOALS
⚽ 18' Jens Stage
Angelo Stiller
👑
⭐ PLAYER OF THE MATCH
Angelo Stiller
VfB Stuttgart · 90 mins
· 89% pass acc
RATING
8.2
PREDICTIONS
▶ MATCH HIGHLIGHTS

Goals, key moments & recap 1 CLIP

powered by Highlightly
Bundesliga: VfB Stuttgart vs Werder Bremen
Watch on Youtube ↗
📊 90 MIN TOTALS

Finalised · Match completed

2.04
⚡ EXPECTED GOALS (xG)
1.03
68%
BALL POSSESSION %
32%
20
TOTAL SHOTS
9
4
SHOTS ON TARGET
3
88%
PASS ACCURACY %
76%
14
CORNERS
2
KEY EVENTS 12 events
  1. 18'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Jens Stage · assist Yukinari Sugawara
    WER
  2. 46'
    Subst · Substitution 1
    Dan-Axel Zagadou · assist Ramon Hendriks
    VFB
  3. 57'
    Subst · Substitution 2
    Lorenz Assignon · assist Chris Führich
    VFB
  4. 57'
    Subst · Substitution 3
    Tiago Tomás · assist Ermedin Demirović
    VFB
  5. 61'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Ermedin Demirović · assist Bilal El Khannouss
    VFB
  6. 65'
    Subst · Substitution 1
    Niklas Stark · assist Maximilian Wöber
    WER
  7. 65'
    Subst · Substitution 2
    Jovan Milošević · assist Justin Njinmah
    WER
  8. 78'
    Subst · Substitution 4
    Jamie Leweling · assist Badredine Bouanani
    VFB
  9. 78'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Mio Backhaus
    WER
  10. 83'
    Subst · Substitution 3
    Jens Stage · assist Samuel Mbangula
    WER
  11. 89'
    Subst · Substitution 5
    Chema Andrés · assist Nikolas Nartey
    VFB
  12. 90'+4
    Subst · Substitution 4
    Romano Schmid · assist Salim Musah
    WER
PLAYER RATINGS · TOP 5 EACH 0–10 scale
VFB STUTTGART AVG 7.5
WERDER BREMEN AVG 7.5
MATCH STATS H vs A
ATTACK
2.0
xG
1.0
20.0
TOTAL SHOTS
9.0
4.0
ON TARGET
3.0
8.0
OFF TARGET
4.0
8.0
BLOCKED
2.0
POSSESSION
68.0%
POSSESSION %
32.0%
657.0
PASSES
314.0
88.0%
PASS ACCURACY
76.0%
SET PIECES
14.0
CORNERS
2.0
0.0
OFFSIDES
1.0
DISCIPLINE
8.0
FOULS
10.0
0.0
YELLOW CARDS
1.0
2.0
GK SAVES
3.0
🎯 SHOT BREAKDOWN

Top shooters · accuracy = on-target / total

player-level shot accuracy · per-shot xG bubbles require xG Advanced tier
VFB STUTTGART 5 shots
Bilal El Khannouss
1/3
Ermedin Demirović
1/2
WERDER BREMEN 4 shots
Jens Stage
2/3
Yukinari Sugawara
1/1
📈 xG RACE

Cumulative xG over 90 minutes REAL xG

final xG: 2.04 – 1.03
1.6 1.2 0.8 0.4 2.0 0.0 HT 61' 18' H 2.04 A 1.03 KO 30' 60' FT

Step chart anchored to real goal minutes · final xG from SportMonks · baseline distributes remaining shots evenly across the match

⚡ ATTACK SHARE

Event activity ratio · attacks/cards/subs

zone-based attack maps require broadcast partner (Q3)
H 50%
50% A
6
EVENTS LOGGED
6
EVENTS LOGGED
LINEUPS 4-2-3-1 vs 3-4-2-1
4-2-3-1
3-4-2-1
33
ALEXANDER
7
MAXIMILIA
23
DAN-AXEL
14
LUCA JAQU
22
LORENZ AS
 8.2
6
ANGELO ST
30
CHEMA AND
18
JAMIE LEW
 7.2
11
BILAL EL
8
TIAGO TOM
26
DENIZ UND
 7.2
30
MIO BACKH
31
KARIM COU
4
NIKLAS ST
 7.3
5
AMOS PIEP
2
OLIVIER D
14
SENNE LYN
18
CAMERON P
 7.3
3
YUKINARI
 7.7
20
ROMANO SC
 8.0
6
JENS STAG
19
JOVAN MIL
SUBSTITUTES · VFB STUTTGART
4
Josha Vagnom...
D
24
Jeff Chabot
D
1
Fabian Bredl...
G
28
Nikolas Nart...
M
27
Badredine Bo...
F
9
Ermedin Demi...
F
10
Chris Führic...
M
3
Ramon Hendri...
D
16
Atakan Karaz...
M
COACH: Sebastian Hoeness
SUBSTITUTES · WERDER BREMEN
24
Patrice Čovi...
M
33
Mick Schmetg...
D
23
Isaac Schmid...
D
25
Markus Kolke
G
29
Salim Musah
F
7
Samuel Mbang...
F
11
Justin Njinm...
F
39
Maximilian W...
D
44
Victor Okoh...
F
COACH: Daniel Thioune
🏥 UNAVAILABLE PLAYERS
VFB · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

WER · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

⚖ MATCH OFFICIALS
REFEREE
Christian Dingert, Germany
—
VFB MANAGER
Sebastian Hoeness
head coach
WER MANAGER
Daniel Thioune
head coach
HEAD TO HEAD · ALL-TIME
4
VFB WINS
3
DRAWS
3
WER WINS
40%
30%
30%
16 – 12
TOTAL GOALS · 10 MEETINGS
2.80
AVG GOALS / MATCH
RECENT MEETINGS SHOWING 5 / 10
14 Dec 25
Werder Bremen
0 – 4
VfB Stuttgart
W
13 Apr 25
VfB Stuttgart
1 – 2
Werder Bremen
L
30 Nov 24
Werder Bremen
2 – 2
VfB Stuttgart
D
21 Apr 24
Werder Bremen
2 – 1
VfB Stuttgart
L
02 Dec 23
VfB Stuttgart
2 – 0
Werder Bremen
W
VFB STUTTGART LAST 5 OVERALL
L W L W L
WERDER BREMEN LAST 5 OVERALL
W L L W L
MATCH IMPACT Final 1–1 · result locked
VFB STUTTGART #4
Lost · already at 57 pts
Champions League
WERDER BREMEN #12
Lost · already at 32 pts
LEAGUE CONTEXT FULL TABLE →
# TEAM P W D L GD PTS FORM
1 Bayern München 31 26 4 1 +81 82
W W W W W
2 Borussia Dortmund 31 20 7 4 +34 67
W L L W W
3 RB Leipzig 31 19 5 7 +24 62
W W W W W
4 VfB Stuttgart 31 17 6 8 +20 57
D L W L W
5 1899 Hoffenheim 31 17 6 8 +16 57
W W D L L
6 Bayer Leverkusen 31 16 7 8 +20 55
W L W W D
7 Eintracht Frankfurt 31 11 10 10 -2 43
D L W D L
8 SC Freiburg 31 12 7 12 -8 43
L W W L W
9 FC Augsburg 31 10 7 14 -16 37
D W D D L
10 FSV Mainz 05 31 8 10 13 -10 34
L D L W W
11 Borussia Mönchengladbach 31 7 11 13 -14 32
D D L D D
12 Werder Bremen 31 8 8 15 -18 32
D W L L W
13 Union Berlin 31 8 8 15 -20 32
L L L D L
14 1. FC Köln 31 7 10 14 -8 31
L D W D D
15 Hamburger SV 31 7 10 14 -16 31
L L L D L
16 FC St. Pauli 31 6 8 17 -27 26
L D L D L
17 VfL Wolfsburg 31 6 7 18 -25 25
D W L L L
18 1. FC Heidenheim 31 5 7 19 -31 22
W L W D D
UCL Qualification Europa / Conference Relegation
COMMENTARY
  • 90'+4
    Subst · Substitution 4 · Romano Schmid
  • 89'
    Subst · Substitution 5 · Chema Andrés
  • 83'
    Subst · Substitution 3 · Jens Stage
  • 78'
    Card · Yellow Card · Mio Backhaus
    Delay of game
  • 78'
    Subst · Substitution 4 · Jamie Leweling
  • 65'
    Subst · Substitution 2 · Jovan Milošević
  • 65'
    Subst · Substitution 1 · Niklas Stark
  • 61'
    Goal · Normal Goal · Ermedin Demirović
  • 57'
    Subst · Substitution 3 · Tiago Tomás
  • 57'
    Subst · Substitution 2 · Lorenz Assignon
  • 46'
    Subst · Substitution 1 · Dan-Axel Zagadou
  • HALF TIME · 0 – 1
  • 18'
    Goal · Normal Goal · Jens Stage
13 BOOKIES
📊 AVERAGE ACROSS 13 BOOKMAKERS
VFB STUTTGART WIN
1.53
65.4% implied
↑ best 1.60
DRAW
4.55
22% implied
↑ best 5.00
WERDER BREMEN WIN
5.46
18.3% implied
↑ best 6.15

Market favors VfB Stuttgart. AI projects VFB STUTTGART 68% · value bet Over 2.5.

MATCH WINNER ODDS avg across bookmakers
AI SAYS VFB STUTTGART 68% · EDGE column shows AI probability minus market implied probability
BOOKMAKER 1 X 2 EDGE
10Bet 1.54 4.55 5.00 +3.1%
1xBet 1.56 4.68 6.15 +3.9%
888Sport 1.53 4.20 5.00 +2.6%
Bet365 1.50 4.50 5.50 +1.3%
Betano 1.60 4.70 5.40 +5.5%
Betfair 1.50 4.50 5.50 +1.3%
BetVictor 1.50 5.00 5.50 +1.3%
Dafabet 1.53 4.90 5.40 +2.6%
Marathonbet 1.58 4.50 5.65 +4.7%
Pinnacle 1.54 4.67 5.83 +3.1%
SBO 1.51 4.50 5.22 +1.8%
Unibet 1.50 4.50 5.80 +1.3%
William Hill 1.55 4.00 5.00 +3.5%

Best odds in gold. Edge ≥ +5% (lime) means market under-prices the AI's probability. 18+ only.

📊 OTHER MARKETS

Over/Under · BTTS · Asian Handicap

avg across bookmakers
⚽ GOALS · OVER / UNDER
1.5 O 1.11 U 5.91
2.5 O 1.42 U 2.76
3.5 O 2.09 U 1.75
⚽ BOTH TEAMS SCORE
YES
1.51 10 bks
NO
2.44 10 bks
⚖ ASIAN HANDICAP
Away -0.25 3.05
Away -0.5 2.49
Away -0.75 2.25
Away -1 1.99
Away -1.25 1.75
Away -1.5 1.60
📈 MARKET MOVEMENT

How the market shifted before kick-off

historical line movement
7d ago 3d 1d KICK-OFF

Smoothed line illustration · per-snapshot historical odds storage activates Q3.