AI PREDICTION Projects FT 0–1 · GIMNASIA L.P. 74%
CONF 82 FULL ANALYSIS →
Liga Profesional de Fútbol · APERTURA - ROUND OF 16 · MON, 11 MAY · 00:30 LOCAL
VELEZ SARSFIELD
3RD · 144 PTS · LAST 5:
D D D W L
FT
0 1
FULL TIME HT · 0-1
GIMNASIA L.P.
W W W W W
· 18TH · 112 PTS · LAST 5
GOALS
⚽ 13' Marcelo Torres (P)
Lucas Robertone
👑
⭐ PLAYER OF THE MATCH
Lucas Robertone
Velez Sarsfield · 71 mins
· 45% pass acc
RATING
8.9
PREDICTIONS
📊 90 MIN TOTALS

Finalised · Match completed

1.35
⚡ EXPECTED GOALS (xG)
1.02
70%
BALL POSSESSION %
30%
27
TOTAL SHOTS
6
5
SHOTS ON TARGET
3
83%
PASS ACCURACY %
67%
15
CORNERS
0
KEY EVENTS 17 events
  1. 10'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Joaquín García
    VEL
  2. 13'
    Goal · Penalty
    Marcelo Torres
    GIM
  3. 18'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Manuel Lanzini
    VEL
  4. 21'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Germán Conti
    GIM
  5. 25'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Marcelo Torres
    GIM
  6. 46'
    Subst · Substitution 1
    Rodrigo Aliendro · assist Matías Pellegrini
    VEL
  7. 55'
    Card · Red Card
    Enzo Martínez
    GIM
  8. 57'
    Subst · Substitution 1
    Augusto Max · assist Matías Melluso
    GIM
  9. 57'
    Subst · Substitution 2
    Pedro Silva · assist Renzo Giampaoli
    GIM
  10. 67'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Agustín Auzmendi
    GIM
  11. 71'
    Subst · Substitution 2
    Lucas Robertone · assist Diego Valdés
    VEL
  12. 76'
    Subst · Substitution 3
    Marcelo Torres · assist Manuel Panaro
    GIM
  13. 76'
    Subst · Substitution 4
    Mateo Seoane · assist Bautista Barros Schelotto
    GIM
  14. 80'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Nacho Fernández
    GIM
  15. 81'
    Subst · Substitution 3
    Joaquín García · assist Dilan Godoy
    VEL
  16. 88'
    Subst · Substitution 5
    Agustín Auzmendi · assist Gonzalo Errecalde
    GIM
  17. 90'+2
    Card · Yellow Card
    Nelson Insfrán
    GIM
PLAYER RATINGS · TOP 5 EACH 0–10 scale
VELEZ SARSFIELD AVG 7.6
GIMNASIA L.P. AVG 7.4
MATCH STATS H vs A
ATTACK
1.4
xG
1.0
27.0
TOTAL SHOTS
6.0
5.0
ON TARGET
3.0
10.0
OFF TARGET
1.0
12.0
BLOCKED
2.0
POSSESSION
70.0%
POSSESSION %
30.0%
502.0
PASSES
230.0
83.0%
PASS ACCURACY
67.0%
SET PIECES
15.0
CORNERS
0.0
1.0
OFFSIDES
1.0
DISCIPLINE
8.0
FOULS
13.0
2.0
YELLOW CARDS
5.0
0.0
RED CARDS
1.0
2.0
GK SAVES
5.0
🎯 SHOT BREAKDOWN

Top shooters · accuracy = on-target / total

player-level shot accuracy · per-shot xG bubbles require xG Advanced tier
VELEZ SARSFIELD 7 shots
Manuel Lanzini
2/3
Emanuel Mammana
1/2
Lucas Robertone
0/1
Tobías Andrada
0/1
GIMNASIA L.P. 2 shots
Marcelo Torres
1/1
Alexis Steimbach
0/1
📈 xG RACE

Cumulative xG over 90 minutes REAL xG

final xG: 1.351.02
1.1 0.8 0.5 0.3 1.4 0.0 HT 13' H 1.35 A 1.02 KO 30' 60' FT

Step chart anchored to real goal minutes · final xG from SportMonks · baseline distributes remaining shots evenly across the match

⚡ ATTACK SHARE

Event activity ratio · attacks/cards/subs

zone-based attack maps require broadcast partner (Q3)
H 29%
71% A
5
EVENTS LOGGED
12
EVENTS LOGGED
LINEUPS 4-2-3-1 vs 4-3-1-2
SUBSTITUTES · VELEZ SARSFIELD
48
Luca Feler
M
10
Diego Valdés
M
17
Alex Verón
F
15
Dilan Godoy
F
35
Matias Arias
F
11
Matías Pelle...
F
32
Thiago Silve...
D
6
Aarón Quirós
D
18
Simon Escoba...
D
47
Alexis Perey...
D
1
Tomás Marchi...
G
39
Thiago Aguir...
F
COACH: Guilermo Barros Schelotto
SUBSTITUTES · GIMNASIA L.P.
20
Juan Pérez
M
7
Manuel Panar...
F
43
Maximiliano...
F
28
Cayetano Bol...
F
19
Lucas Castro
M
33
Pablo Aguiar
M
4
Renzo Giampa...
D
14
Gonzalo Erre...
D
31
Bautista Bar...
D
22
Matías Mellu...
D
27
Julián Kadij...
G
26
Franco Torre...
F
COACH: Mariano Messera
🏥 UNAVAILABLE PLAYERS
VEL · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

GIM · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

⚖ MATCH OFFICIALS
REFEREE
Carlos Andres Gariano, Argentina
VEL MANAGER
Guilermo Barros Schelotto
head coach
GIM MANAGER
Mariano Messera
head coach
HEAD TO HEAD · ALL-TIME
4
VEL WINS
2
DRAWS
4
GIM WINS
40%
20%
40%
15 11
TOTAL GOALS · 10 MEETINGS
2.60
AVG GOALS / MATCH
RECENT MEETINGS SHOWING 5 / 10
VELEZ SARSFIELD LAST 5 OVERALL
D D D W L
GIMNASIA L.P. LAST 5 OVERALL
W W W W W
MATCH IMPACT Final 0–1 · result locked
VELEZ SARSFIELD #3
Lost · already at 144 pts
GIMNASIA L.P. #6
Won · already at 26 pts
Playoffs
LEAGUE CONTEXT FULL TABLE →
# TEAM P W D L GD PTS FORM
1 Estudiantes L.P. 16 9 4 3 +12 31
L W D W W
1 Independ. Rivadavia 16 10 4 2 +14 34
L D W D W
1 Independ. Rivadavia 16 10 4 2 +14 34
L D W D W
1 Boca Juniors 89 0 159
L W W W D
2 River Plate 89 0 152
W L W L W
2 Estudiantes L.P. 16 9 4 3 +12 31
L W D W W
2 River Plate 16 9 2 5 +10 29
W L W L W
2 Boca Juniors 16 8 6 2 +13 30
L W W W D
3 Velez Sarsfield 89 0 144
L D D D W
3 Boca Juniors 16 8 6 2 +13 30
L W W W D
3 Argentinos JRS 16 8 5 3 +4 29
W W L W W
3 Velez Sarsfield 16 7 7 2 +6 28
L D D D W
4 Talleres Cordoba 16 7 5 4 +4 26
L D D W W
4 Rosario Central 16 8 4 4 +4 28
W D W W L
4 River Plate 16 9 2 5 +10 29
W L W L W
4 Racing Club 89 0 144
W D D D L
5 Argentinos JRS 89 0 142
W W L W W
5 Argentinos JRS 16 8 5 3 +4 29
W W L W W
5 Belgrano Cordoba 16 7 5 4 +4 26
W W W L D
5 Independiente 16 6 6 4 +4 24
L W L W D
6 Rosario Central 89 0 141
W D W W L
6 Velez Sarsfield 16 7 7 2 +6 28
L D D D W
6 Gimnasia L.P. 16 8 2 6 0 26
W W W W W
6 Lanus 16 6 6 4 +3 24
L D D L W
7 San Lorenzo 16 5 7 4 0 22
L L W D D
7 Huracan 16 5 7 4 +4 22
L W D L D
7 Rosario Central 16 8 4 4 +4 28
W D W W L
7 Estudiantes L.P. 89 0 136
L W D W W
8 Independiente 89 0 134
L W L W D
8 Talleres Cordoba 16 7 5 4 +4 26
L D D W W
8 Racing Club 16 5 6 5 +2 21
W D D D L
8 Union Santa Fe 16 5 6 5 +4 21
L W D D L
9 Lanus 89 0 133
L D D L W
9 Belgrano Cordoba 16 7 5 4 +4 26
W W W L D
9 Barracas Central 16 5 6 5 0 21
L D D W L
9 Instituto Cordoba 16 6 3 7 0 21
W D L W W
10 Defensa Y Justicia 16 4 7 5 -3 19
L L L L L
10 Tigre 16 4 8 4 +3 20
D L D D L
10 Gimnasia L.P. 16 8 2 6 0 26
W W W W W
10 Talleres Cordoba 89 0 132
L D D W W
11 Huracan 89 0 131
L W D L D
11 Independiente 16 6 6 4 +4 24
L W L W D
11 Sarmiento Junin 16 6 1 9 -7 19
L W L L W
11 Gimnasia M. 16 5 4 7 -8 19
W L W D W
12 Independ. Rivadavia 89 0 123
L D W D W
12 Lanus 16 6 6 4 +3 24
L D D L W
12 Banfield 16 5 3 8 -2 18
W D D L L
12 Platense 16 3 7 6 -5 16
L L L D D
13 Central Cordoba de Santiago 16 4 4 8 -10 16
L D W L L
13 Atletico Tucuman 16 3 5 8 -5 14
W D L D L
13 Huracan 16 5 7 4 +4 22
L W D L D
13 Union Santa Fe 89 0 120
L W D D L
14 Barracas Central 89 0 119
L D D W L
14 San Lorenzo 16 5 7 4 0 22
L L W D D
14 Aldosivi 16 0 8 8 -13 8
D L D L D
14 Newells Old Boys 16 3 6 7 -12 15
D D W D W
15 San Lorenzo 89 0 118
L L W D D
15 Union Santa Fe 16 5 6 5 +4 21
L W D D L
15 Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto 16 1 2 13 -19 5
L L L L D
15 Deportivo Riestra 16 1 8 7 -7 11
D W L L L
16 Racing Club 16 5 6 5 +2 21
W D D D L
16 Defensa Y Justicia 89 0 115
L L L L L
17 Belgrano Cordoba 89 0 112
W W W L D
17 Instituto Cordoba 16 6 3 7 0 21
W D L W W
18 Barracas Central 16 5 6 5 0 21
L D D W L
18 Gimnasia L.P. 89 0 112
W W W W W
19 Tigre 16 4 8 4 +3 20
D L D D L
19 Deportivo Riestra 89 0 111
D W L L L
20 Instituto Cordoba 89 0 108
W D L W W
20 Defensa Y Justicia 16 4 7 5 -3 19
L L L L L
21 Sarmiento Junin 16 6 1 9 -7 19
L W L L W
21 Tigre 89 0 108
D L D D L
22 Gimnasia M. 16 5 4 7 -8 19
W L W D W
22 Platense 89 0 108
L L L D D
23 Gimnasia M. 16 0 19
W L W D W
23 Banfield 16 5 3 8 -2 18
W D D L L
24 Platense 16 3 7 6 -5 16
L L L D D
24 Central Cordoba de Santiago 89 0 100
L D W L L
25 Atletico Tucuman 89 0 98
W D L D L
25 Central Cordoba de Santiago 16 4 4 8 -10 16
L D W L L
26 Newells Old Boys 16 3 6 7 -12 15
D D W D W
26 Newells Old Boys 89 0 97
D D W D W
27 Atletico Tucuman 16 3 5 8 -5 14
W D L D L
27 Banfield 89 0 94
W D D L L
28 Sarmiento Junin 89 0 89
L W L L W
28 Deportivo Riestra 16 1 8 7 -7 11
D W L L L
29 Aldosivi 16 0 8 8 -13 8
D L D L D
29 Aldosivi 48 0 41
D L D L D
30 Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto 16 1 2 13 -19 5
L L L L D
30 Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto 16 0 5
L L L L D
UCL Qualification Europa / Conference Relegation
COMMENTARY
  • 90'+2
    Card · Yellow Card · Nelson Insfrán
  • 88'
    Subst · Substitution 5 · Agustín Auzmendi
  • 81'
    Subst · Substitution 3 · Joaquín García
  • 80'
    Card · Yellow Card · Nacho Fernández
  • 76'
    Subst · Substitution 4 · Mateo Seoane
  • 76'
    Subst · Substitution 3 · Marcelo Torres
  • 71'
    Subst · Substitution 2 · Lucas Robertone
  • 67'
    Card · Yellow Card · Agustín Auzmendi
  • 57'
    Subst · Substitution 2 · Pedro Silva
  • 57'
    Subst · Substitution 1 · Augusto Max
  • 55'
    Card · Red Card · Enzo Martínez
  • 46'
    Subst · Substitution 1 · Rodrigo Aliendro
  • HALF TIME · 0 – 1
  • 25'
    Card · Yellow Card · Marcelo Torres
  • 21'
    Card · Yellow Card · Germán Conti
  • 18'
    Card · Yellow Card · Manuel Lanzini
  • 13'
    Goal · Penalty · Marcelo Torres
  • 10'
    Card · Yellow Card · Joaquín García
13 BOOKIES
📊 AVERAGE ACROSS 13 BOOKMAKERS
VELEZ SARSFIELD WIN
2.00
50% implied
↑ best 2.07
DRAW
3.04
32.9% implied
↑ best 3.30
GIMNASIA L.P. WIN
4.20
23.8% implied
↑ best 4.55

Market favors Velez Sarsfield. AI projects GIMNASIA L.P. 74%.

MATCH WINNER ODDS avg across bookmakers
AI SAYS GIMNASIA L.P. 74% · EDGE column shows AI probability minus market implied probability
BOOKMAKER 1 X 2 EDGE
10Bet 1.83 3.30 4.55 +52.0%
1xBet 2.03 3.02 4.10 +49.6%
888Sport 2.00 2.90 4.00 +49.0%
Bet365 2.00 3.10 4.33 +50.9%
Betano 2.07 3.10 4.50 +51.8%
Betfair 2.00 2.90 4.33 +50.9%
BetVictor 2.00 3.10 4.20 +50.2%
Dafabet 2.04 3.00 4.00 +49.0%
Marathonbet 2.01 3.02 4.10 +49.6%
Pinnacle 2.04 3.12 4.44 +51.5%
SBO 2.00 2.90 3.78 +47.5%
Unibet 1.98 3.10 4.25 +50.5%
William Hill 2.00 2.90 4.00 +49.0%

Best odds in gold. Edge ≥ +5% (lime) means market under-prices the AI's probability. 18+ only.

📊 OTHER MARKETS

Over/Under · BTTS · Asian Handicap

avg across bookmakers
⚽ GOALS · OVER / UNDER
1.5 O 1.50 U 2.48
2.5 O 2.53 U 1.49
3.5 O 5.01 U 1.15
⚽ BOTH TEAMS SCORE
YES
2.15 10 bks
NO
1.64 10 bks
⚖ ASIAN HANDICAP
Away -0.25 2.12
Away -0.5 1.83
Away -0.75 1.56
Away -1 1.35
Away -1.25 1.27
Away -1.5 1.22
📈 MARKET MOVEMENT

How the market shifted before kick-off

historical line movement
7d ago 3d 1d KICK-OFF

Smoothed line illustration · per-snapshot historical odds storage activates Q3.