GOALSENSE
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AI PREDICTION Projects FT 1–1 · VALENCIA 42%
CONF 28 FULL ANALYSIS →
La Liga · REGULAR SEASON - 32 · SAT, 25 APR · 16:30 LOCAL
VALENCIA
9TH · 49 PTS · LAST 5:
W W D W L
FT
2 – 1
FULL TIME HT · 0-0
GIRONA
D L D D L
· 19TH · 41 PTS · LAST 5
⚽ 50' Largie Ramazani ⚽ 59' Umar Sadiq
GOALS
⚽ 63' Joel Roca
Alejandro Francés
👑
⭐ PLAYER OF THE MATCH
Alejandro Francés
Girona · 34 mins
🅰 1 assist · 28% pass acc
RATING
8.3
PREDICTIONS
▶ MATCH HIGHLIGHTS

Goals, key moments & recap 1 CLIP

powered by Highlightly
La Liga: Valencia vs Girona
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📊 90 MIN TOTALS

Finalised · Match completed

1.86
⚡ EXPECTED GOALS (xG)
1.85
36%
BALL POSSESSION %
64%
11
TOTAL SHOTS
4
3
SHOTS ON TARGET
3
79%
PASS ACCURACY %
86%
3
CORNERS
3
KEY EVENTS 17 events
  1. 38'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Renzo Saravia
    VAL
  2. 41'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Álex Moreno
    GIR
  3. 50'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Largie Ramazani · assist Javier Guerra
    VAL
  4. 59'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Umar Sadiq · assist José Luis Gayà
    VAL
  5. 62'
    Subst · Substitution 1
    Thomas Lemar · assist Joel Roca
    GIR
  6. 62'
    Subst · Substitution 2
    Álex Moreno · assist Alejandro Francés
    GIR
  7. 62'
    Subst · Substitution 3
    Claudio Echeverri · assist Bryan Gil
    GIR
  8. 63'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Joel Roca · assist Alejandro Francés
    GIR
  9. 65'
    Subst · Substitution 1
    Javier Guerra · assist Filip Ugrinić
    VAL
  10. 65'
    Subst · Substitution 2
    Lucas Beltrán · assist Diego López
    VAL
  11. 69'
    Subst · Substitution 4
    Azzedine Ounahi · assist Cristhian Stuani
    GIR
  12. 69'
    Subst · Substitution 5
    Daley Blind · assist Hugo Rincón
    GIR
  13. 71'
    Subst · Substitution 3
    Umar Sadiq · assist Hugo Duro
    VAL
  14. 71'
    Subst · Substitution 4
    Renzo Saravia · assist Unai Núñez
    VAL
  15. 85'
    Subst · Substitution 5
    Largie Ramazani · assist André Almeida
    VAL
  16. 90'+3
    Card · Yellow Card
    Cristhian Stuani
    GIR
  17. 90'+9
    Card · Yellow Card
    Guido Rodríguez
    VAL
PLAYER RATINGS · TOP 5 EACH 0–10 scale
VALENCIA AVG 7.1
GIRONA AVG 7.4
MATCH STATS H vs A
ATTACK
1.9
xG
1.9
11.0
TOTAL SHOTS
4.0
3.0
ON TARGET
3.0
4.0
OFF TARGET
1.0
4.0
BLOCKED
0.0
POSSESSION
36.0%
POSSESSION %
64.0%
306.0
PASSES
552.0
79.0%
PASS ACCURACY
86.0%
SET PIECES
3.0
CORNERS
3.0
4.0
OFFSIDES
3.0
DISCIPLINE
21.0
FOULS
8.0
1.0
YELLOW CARDS
2.0
2.0
GK SAVES
1.0
🎯 SHOT BREAKDOWN

Top shooters · accuracy = on-target / total

player-level shot accuracy · per-shot xG bubbles require xG Advanced tier
VALENCIA 6 shots
Umar Sadiq
1/3
Guido Rodríguez
1/2
Largie Ramazani
1/1
GIRONA 1 shots
Joel Roca
1/1
📈 xG RACE

Cumulative xG over 90 minutes REAL xG

final xG: 1.86 – 1.85
1.5 1.1 0.7 0.4 1.9 0.0 HT 50' 59' 63' H 1.86 A 1.85 KO 30' 60' FT

Step chart anchored to real goal minutes · final xG from SportMonks · baseline distributes remaining shots evenly across the match

⚡ ATTACK SHARE

Event activity ratio · attacks/cards/subs

zone-based attack maps require broadcast partner (Q3)
H 53%
47% A
9
EVENTS LOGGED
8
EVENTS LOGGED
LINEUPS 4-4-2 vs 4-2-3-1
4-4-2
4-2-3-1
7.0
1
STOLE DIM
14
JOSé LUIS
18
PEPELU
5
CéSAR TáR
20
RENZO SAR
 7.9
17
LARGIE RA
 6.9
2
GUIDO ROD
8
JAVIER GU
 7.0
11
LUIS RIOJ
15
LUCAS BEL
 6.9
6
UMAR SADI
 7.2
13
PAULO GAZ
24
ÁLEX MORE
17
DALEY BLI
12
VITOR REI
4
ARNAU MAR
 7.2
20
AXEL WITS
23
IVáN MART
18
AZZEDINE
 7.2
11
THOMAS LE
15
VIKTOR TS
14
CLAUDIO E
SUBSTITUTES · VALENCIA
22
Baptiste San...
M
7
Arnaut Danju...
F
9
Hugo Duro
F
27
David Otorbi
F
16
Diego López
F
10
André Almeid...
M
23
Filip Ugrini...
M
21
Jesús Vázque...
D
26
Rubén Iranzo
D
4
Unai Núñez
D
13
Cristian Riv...
G
19
Dani Raba
F
COACH: Carlos Corberan
SUBSTITUTES · GIRONA
21
Bryan Gil
F
3
Joel Roca
M
36
Ricard Arter...
M
8
Fran Beltrán
M
2
Hugo Rincón
D
5
David López
D
16
Alejandro Fr...
D
25
Vladyslav Kr...
G
1
Rubén Blanco
G
7
Cristhian St...
F
COACH: Michel
🏥 UNAVAILABLE PLAYERS
VAL · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

GIR · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

⚖ MATCH OFFICIALS
REFEREE
A. Ruiz
—
VAL MANAGER
Carlos Corberan
head coach
GIR MANAGER
Michel
head coach
HEAD TO HEAD · ALL-TIME
4
VAL WINS
1
DRAWS
5
GIR WINS
40%
10%
50%
11 – 12
TOTAL GOALS · 10 MEETINGS
2.30
AVG GOALS / MATCH
RECENT MEETINGS SHOWING 5 / 10
04 Oct 2025
Girona
2 – 1
Valencia
L
15 Mar 2025
Girona
1 – 1
Valencia
D
21 Sep 2024
Valencia
2 – 0
Girona
W
19 May 2024
Valencia
1 – 3
Girona
L
02 Dec 2023
Girona
2 – 1
Valencia
L
VALENCIA LAST 5 OVERALL
W W D W L
GIRONA LAST 5 OVERALL
D L D D L
MATCH IMPACT Final 2–1 · result locked
VALENCIA #9
Won · already at 49 pts
GIRONA #19
Lost · already at 41 pts
Relegation - LaLiga2
LEAGUE CONTEXT FULL TABLE →
# TEAM P W D L GD PTS FORM
1 Barcelona 38 31 1 6 +59 94
L W L W W
2 Real Madrid 38 27 5 6 +42 86
W W W L W
3 Villarreal 38 22 6 10 +26 72
W L L D W
4 Atletico Madrid 38 21 6 11 +18 69
L W W L W
5 Real Betis 38 15 15 8 +11 60
W L W D W
6 Celta Vigo 38 14 12 12 +5 54
W D L W W
7 Getafe 38 15 6 17 -6 51
W L W D L
8 Rayo Vallecano 38 12 14 12 -3 50
W W D D W
9 Valencia 38 13 10 15 -9 49
W W D W L
10 Real Sociedad 38 11 13 14 -2 46
D L D D L
11 Espanyol 38 12 10 16 -12 46
D W W L L
12 Athletic Club 38 13 6 19 -15 45
L D L L W
13 Sevilla 38 12 7 19 -14 43
L L W W W
14 Alaves 38 11 10 17 -12 43
L W W D L
15 Elche 38 10 13 15 -8 43
D W L D L
16 Levante 38 11 9 18 -14 42
L W W W L
17 Osasuna 38 11 9 18 -6 42
L L L L L
18 Mallorca 38 11 9 18 -10 42
W L L D W
19 Girona 38 9 14 15 -16 41
D L D D L
20 Oviedo 38 6 11 21 -34 29
L L L D L
UCL Qualification Europa / Conference Relegation
COMMENTARY
  • 90'+9
    Card · Yellow Card · Guido Rodríguez
    Unsportsmanlike conduct
  • 90'+3
    Card · Yellow Card · Cristhian Stuani
    Unsportsmanlike conduct
  • 85'
    Subst · Substitution 5 · Largie Ramazani
  • 71'
    Subst · Substitution 4 · Renzo Saravia
  • 71'
    Subst · Substitution 3 · Umar Sadiq
  • 69'
    Subst · Substitution 5 · Daley Blind
  • 69'
    Subst · Substitution 4 · Azzedine Ounahi
  • 65'
    Subst · Substitution 2 · Lucas Beltrán
  • 65'
    Subst · Substitution 1 · Javier Guerra
  • 63'
    Goal · Normal Goal · Joel Roca
  • 62'
    Subst · Substitution 3 · Claudio Echeverri
  • 62'
    Subst · Substitution 2 · Álex Moreno
  • 62'
    Subst · Substitution 1 · Thomas Lemar
  • 59'
    Goal · Normal Goal · Umar Sadiq
  • 50'
    Goal · Normal Goal · Largie Ramazani
  • HALF TIME · 0 – 0
  • 41'
    Card · Yellow Card · Álex Moreno
  • 38'
    Card · Yellow Card · Renzo Saravia
    Foul
13 BOOKIES
📊 AVERAGE ACROSS 13 BOOKMAKERS
VALENCIA WIN
2.31
43.3% implied
↑ best 2.40
DRAW
3.24
30.9% implied
↑ best 3.35
GIRONA WIN
3.22
31.1% implied
↑ best 3.40

Market favors Valencia. AI projects VALENCIA 42%.

MATCH WINNER ODDS avg across bookmakers
AI SAYS VALENCIA 42% · EDGE column shows AI probability minus market implied probability
BOOKMAKER 1 X 2 EDGE
10Bet 2.28 3.20 3.15 -1.3%
1xBet 2.38 3.35 3.37 +0.1%
888Sport 2.30 3.20 3.00 -1.3%
Bet365 2.25 3.25 3.20 -0.8%
Betano 2.40 3.25 3.35 +0.3%
Betfair 2.30 3.10 3.20 -1.5%
BetVictor 2.30 3.20 3.25 -1.3%
Dafabet 2.27 3.35 3.35 +0.1%
Marathonbet 2.35 3.30 3.30 -0.3%
Pinnacle 2.38 3.27 3.31 0.0%
SBO 2.32 3.21 2.96 -1.1%
Unibet 2.23 3.25 3.40 -0.8%
William Hill 2.30 3.20 3.00 -1.3%

Best odds in gold. Edge ≥ +5% (lime) means market under-prices the AI's probability. 18+ only.

📊 OTHER MARKETS

Over/Under · BTTS · Asian Handicap

avg across bookmakers
⚽ GOALS · OVER / UNDER
1.5 O 1.31 U 3.28
2.5 O 2.01 U 1.81
3.5 O 3.40 U 1.29
⚽ BOTH TEAMS SCORE
YES
1.74 10 bks
NO
2.01 10 bks
⚖ ASIAN HANDICAP
Away -0.25 1.86
Away -0.5 1.64
Away -0.75 1.45
Away -1 1.27
Away -1.25 1.24
Away -1.5 1.18
📈 MARKET MOVEMENT

How the market shifted before kick-off

historical line movement
7d ago 3d 1d KICK-OFF

Smoothed line illustration · per-snapshot historical odds storage activates Q3.