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AI PREDICTION Projects FT 1–2 · ATLETICO MADRID 40%
CONF 58 FULL ANALYSIS →
La Liga · REGULAR SEASON - 34 · SAT, 02 MAY · 14:15 LOCAL
VALENCIA
9TH · 49 PTS · LAST 5:
W W D W W
FT
0 – 2
FULL TIME HT · 0-0
ATLETICO MADRID
L W W L L
· 4TH · 69 PTS · LAST 5
GOALS
⚽ 74' Iker Luque ⚽ 82' Miguel Cubo
José Luis Gayà
👑
⭐ PLAYER OF THE MATCH
José Luis Gayà
Valencia · Captain · 73 mins
· 30% pass acc
RATING
7.3
PREDICTIONS
▶ MATCH HIGHLIGHTS

Goals, key moments & recap 1 CLIP

powered by Highlightly
La Liga: Valencia vs Atlético Madrid
Open in Youtube ↗
📊 90 MIN TOTALS

Finalised · Match completed

103%
BALL POSSESSION %
82%
12
TOTAL SHOTS
20
0
SHOTS ON TARGET
5
392%
PASS ACCURACY %
353%
1
CORNERS
7
KEY EVENTS 17 events
  1. 29'
    Card · Foul
    Thiago Almada
    ATL
  2. 52'
    Card · Foul
    Rodrigo Mendoza
    ATL
  3. 59'
    Subst
    Hugo Duro · assist Filip Ugrinic
    VAL
  4. 59'
    Subst
    Diego López · assist Luis Rioja
    VAL
  5. 61'
    Card · Foul
    Obed Vargas
    ATL
  6. 63'
    Subst
    Miguel Cubo · assist Javi Morcillo
    ATL
  7. 63'
    Subst
    Iker Luque · assist Rayane Belaid
    ATL
  8. 67'
    Card · Foul
    César Tárrega
    VAL
  9. 73'
    Subst
    Arnaut Danjuma · assist Largie Ramazani
    VAL
  10. 73'
    Subst
    Koke  · assist Thiago Almada
    ATL
  11. 73'
    Subst
    Jesús Vázquez · assist José Gayà
    VAL
  12. 73'
    Subst
    Antoine Griezmann · assist Rodrigo Mendoza
    ATL
  13. 74'
    Goal · 0-1
    Iker Luque · assist Obed Vargas
    ATL
  14. 82'
    Subst
    Dani Raba · assist Renzo Saravia
    VAL
  15. 82'
    Goal · 0-2
    Miguel Cubo · assist Antoine Griezmann
    ATL
  16. 83'
    Var
    Miguel Cubo
    ATL
  17. 90'+7
    Subst
    Aleksa Puric · assist Javier Boñar
    ATL
PLAYER RATINGS · TOP 5 EACH 0–10 scale
VALENCIA AVG 7.0
ATLETICO MADRID AVG 7.2
MATCH STATS H vs A
ATTACK
12.0
TOTAL SHOTS
20.0
0.0
ON TARGET
5.0
7.0
OFF TARGET
11.0
5.0
BLOCKED
4.0
POSSESSION
103.0%
POSSESSION %
82.0%
470.0
PASSES
424.0
392.0%
PASS ACCURACY
353.0%
SET PIECES
1.0
CORNERS
7.0
18.0
OFFSIDES
20.0
DISCIPLINE
9.0
FOULS
12.0
1.0
YELLOW CARDS
3.0
3.0
GK SAVES
0.0
🎯 SHOT BREAKDOWN

Top shooters · accuracy = on-target / total

player-level shot accuracy · per-shot xG bubbles require xG Advanced tier
VALENCIA 2 shots
José Luis Gayà
0/1
Guido Rodríguez
0/1
ATLETICO MADRID 7 shots
Iker Luque
2/3
Miguel Cubo
1/1
Obed Vargas
0/1
Robin Le Normand
0/1
Clément Lenglet
0/1
⚡ ATTACK SHARE

Event activity ratio · attacks/cards/subs

zone-based attack maps require broadcast partner (Q3)
H 35%
65% A
6
EVENTS LOGGED
11
EVENTS LOGGED
LINEUPS 4-4-2 vs 4-5-1
4-4-2
4-5-1
6.9
1
STOLE DIM
 7.3
14
JOSé LUIS
18
PEPELU
 6.9
5
CéSAR TáR
20
RENZO SAR
23
FILIP UGR
 7.2
2
GUIDO ROD
8
JAVIER GU
11
LUIS RIOJ
6
UMAR SADI
17
LARGIE RA
1
JUAN MUSS
34
JULIO DíA
 7.2
15
CLéMENT L
 7.2
24
ROBIN LE
32
JAVIER BO
11
THIAGO AL
 7.2
21
OBED VARG
47
JAVI MORC
4
RODRIGO M
16
NAHUEL MO
29
RAYANE BE
SUBSTITUTES · VALENCIA
22
Baptiste San...
M
10
André Almeid...
M
29
Lucas Núñez
M
7
Arnaut Danju...
F
26
Rubén Iranzo
D
24
Eray Cömert
D
21
Jesús Vázque...
D
4
Unai Núñez
D
13
Cristian Riv...
G
9
Hugo Duro
F
16
Diego López
F
19
Dani Raba
F
COACH: Carlos Corberan
SUBSTITUTES · ATLETICO MADRID
6
Koke
M
5
Johnny Cardo...
M
10
Alex Baena
M
7
Antoine Grie...
F
3
Matteo Rugge...
D
40
Aleksa Purić
D
30
Dani Martine...
D
18
Marc Pubill
D
13
Jan Oblak
G
61
Miguel Cubo
F
37
Iker Luque
F
22
Ademola Look...
F
COACH: Diego Simeone
🏥 UNAVAILABLE PLAYERS
VAL · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

ATL · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

⚖ MATCH OFFICIALS
REFEREE
J. Munuera
—
VAL MANAGER
Carlos Corberan
head coach
ATL MANAGER
Diego Simeone
head coach
HEAD TO HEAD · ALL-TIME
1
VAL WINS
1
DRAWS
8
ATL WINS
10%
10%
80%
9 – 22
TOTAL GOALS · 10 MEETINGS
3.10
AVG GOALS / MATCH
RECENT MEETINGS SHOWING 5 / 10
13 Dec 2025
Atletico Madrid
2 – 1
Valencia
L
22 Feb 2025
Valencia
0 – 3
Atletico Madrid
L
15 Sep 2024
Atletico Madrid
3 – 0
Valencia
L
28 Jan 2024
Atletico Madrid
2 – 0
Valencia
L
16 Sep 2023
Valencia
3 – 0
Atletico Madrid
W
VALENCIA LAST 5 OVERALL
W W D W W
ATLETICO MADRID LAST 5 OVERALL
L W W L L
MATCH IMPACT Final 0–2 · result locked
VALENCIA #9
Lost · already at 49 pts
ATLETICO MADRID #4
Won · already at 69 pts
Promotion - Champions League (League phase)
LEAGUE CONTEXT FULL TABLE →
# TEAM P W D L GD PTS FORM
1 Barcelona 38 31 1 6 +59 94
L W L W W
2 Real Madrid 38 27 5 6 +42 86
W W W L W
3 Villarreal 38 22 6 10 +26 72
W L L D W
4 Atletico Madrid 38 21 6 11 +18 69
L W W L W
5 Real Betis 38 15 15 8 +11 60
W L W D W
6 Celta Vigo 38 14 12 12 +5 54
W D L W W
7 Getafe 38 15 6 17 -6 51
W L W D L
8 Rayo Vallecano 38 12 14 12 -3 50
W W D D W
9 Valencia 38 13 10 15 -9 49
W W D W L
10 Real Sociedad 38 11 13 14 -2 46
D L D D L
11 Espanyol 38 12 10 16 -12 46
D W W L L
12 Athletic Club 38 13 6 19 -15 45
L D L L W
13 Sevilla 38 12 7 19 -14 43
L L W W W
14 Alaves 38 11 10 17 -12 43
L W W D L
15 Elche 38 10 13 15 -8 43
D W L D L
16 Levante 38 11 9 18 -14 42
L W W W L
17 Osasuna 38 11 9 18 -6 42
L L L L L
18 Mallorca 38 11 9 18 -10 42
W L L D W
19 Girona 38 9 14 15 -16 41
D L D D L
20 Oviedo 38 6 11 21 -34 29
L L L D L
UCL Qualification Europa / Conference Relegation
COMMENTARY
  • 90'+7
    Subst · Aleksa Puric
    10th Substitution
  • 83'
    Var · Miguel Cubo
    Goal awarded
  • 82'
    Goal · 0-2 · Miguel Cubo
    2nd Goal
  • 82'
    Subst · Dani Raba
    9th Substitution
  • 74'
    Goal · 0-1 · Iker Luque
    1st Goal
  • 73'
    Subst · Antoine Griezmann
    6th Substitution
  • 73'
    Subst · Jesús Vázquez
    8th Substitution
  • 73'
    Subst · Koke 
    7th Substitution
  • 73'
    Subst · Arnaut Danjuma
    5th Substitution
  • 67'
    Card · Foul · César Tárrega
    4th Yellowcard
  • 63'
    Subst · Iker Luque
    4th Substitution
  • 63'
    Subst · Miguel Cubo
    3rd Substitution
  • 61'
    Card · Foul · Obed Vargas
    3rd Yellowcard
  • 59'
    Subst · Diego López
    2nd Substitution
  • 59'
    Subst · Hugo Duro
    1st Substitution
  • 52'
    Card · Foul · Rodrigo Mendoza
    2nd Yellowcard
  • HALF TIME · 0 – 0
  • 29'
    Card · Foul · Thiago Almada
    1st Yellowcard
12 BOOKIES
📊 AVERAGE ACROSS 12 BOOKMAKERS
VALENCIA WIN
1.75
57.1% implied
↑ best 1.78
DRAW
3.87
25.8% implied
↑ best 4.01
ATLETICO MADRID WIN
4.59
21.8% implied
↑ best 4.98

Market favors Valencia. AI projects ATLETICO MADRID 40%.

MATCH WINNER ODDS avg across bookmakers
AI SAYS ATLETICO MADRID 40% · EDGE column shows AI probability minus market implied probability
BOOKMAKER 1 X 2 EDGE
10Bet 1.76 3.80 4.10 +15.6%
1xBet 1.77 4.01 4.98 +19.9%
Bet365 1.73 4.00 4.33 +16.9%
Betano 1.78 3.90 4.80 +19.2%
Betfair 1.73 3.90 4.50 +17.8%
BetVictor 1.73 3.80 4.75 +18.9%
Dafabet 1.76 3.90 4.60 +18.3%
Marathonbet 1.74 3.95 4.90 +19.6%
Pinnacle 1.77 3.93 4.68 +18.6%
SBO 1.75 3.60 4.42 +17.4%
Unibet 1.72 3.95 4.60 +18.3%
William Hill 1.73 3.70 4.40 +17.3%

Best odds in gold. Edge ≥ +5% (lime) means market under-prices the AI's probability. 18+ only.

📊 OTHER MARKETS

Over/Under · BTTS · Asian Handicap

avg across bookmakers
⚽ GOALS · OVER / UNDER
1.5 O 1.25 U 3.79
2.5 O 1.83 U 1.99
3.5 O 3.02 U 1.37
⚽ BOTH TEAMS SCORE
YES
1.75 9 bks
NO
2.00 9 bks
⚖ ASIAN HANDICAP
Away -0.25 2.54
Away -0.5 2.10
Away -0.75 1.88
Away -1 1.61
Away -1.25 1.49
Away -1.5 1.38
📈 MARKET MOVEMENT

How the market shifted before kick-off

historical line movement
7d ago 3d 1d KICK-OFF

Smoothed line illustration · per-snapshot historical odds storage activates Q3.