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Eredivisie · SEMI-FINALS · THU, 21 MAY · 19:00 LOCAL
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UTRECHT
⏱ KICK-OFF IN
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HOURS
:
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MINS
:
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SECS
Stadion Galgenwaard · 24,426 capacity
HEERENVEEN
CLAUDE AI · BLENDED FROM 4 MODELS
PRE-MATCH MODEL
CONF 52/100 MED
🔮 PREDICTED FULL-TIME SCORE
UTR
1 – 0
HEE
most likely scoreline · 16.5% probability
AI PICKS UTRECHT TO WIN 48%
🤖 AI BREAKDOWN

HOW AI SEES THE MATCH

PRE-MATCH
UTR WIN 48%
DRAW 28%
HEE WIN 24%
h + d + a = 100% · stacked share
💰 AI BETTING TIP
DOUBLE CHANCE — 1X

Tight 1X2 — single-side too risky. Double chance covers 76% of outcomes with smaller payout.

CONF 76% avoid: 1X2 single 4 models
🤖 AI ANALYSIS

Utrecht home form (WWWWW) and table position edge; Heerenveen's mixed away form keeps it competitive.

🤖 AI REASONING why AI picked this
WHY UTRECHT FAVORED
48%
Utrecht unbeaten at home (WWWWW) vs Heerenveen poor away record (LWLDW)
+25.0%
Nearly identical season quality — Utrecht 53 pts / 55 GF vs Heerenveen 51 pts / 57 GF
+20.0%
H2H 2026-02-01 was 1-1 draw; limited head-to-head trend data
+15.0%
WHY HEERENVEEN CHALLENGED
24%
Utrecht unbeaten at home (WWWWW) vs Heerenveen poor away record (LWLDW)
+25.0%
Nearly identical season quality — Utrecht 53 pts / 55 GF vs Heerenveen 51 pts / 57 GF
+20.0%
H2H 2026-02-01 was 1-1 draw; limited head-to-head trend data
+15.0%
🤖 CONTEXT · NEUTRAL FACTORS
  • Utrecht unbeaten at home (WWWWW) vs Heerenveen poor away record (LWLDW)
  • Nearly identical season quality — Utrecht 53 pts / 55 GF vs Heerenveen 51 pts / 57 GF
  • H2H 2026-02-01 was 1-1 draw; limited head-to-head trend data
🤖 AI LIVE TIMELINE

PROBABILITY TIMELINE

How AI re-projects after each event
H DRAW A
100% 50% 0% KO 15' 30' HT 60' 75' FT
Probabilities re-blended at each event · 0 events marked → Derived from goal events + remaining time
🤖 AI SCORE MATRIX

SCORELINE PROBABILITY

All possible scorelines · Poisson from xG
0% 16.5%+
0
1
2
3
4
5
6+
0
15.0
12.0
4.8
1.3
0.3
·
·
1
16.5
13.2
5.3
1.4
0.3
·
·
2
9.1
7.2
2.9
0.8
0.2
·
·
3
3.3
2.7
1.1
0.3
0.1
·
·
4
0.9
0.7
0.3
0.1
·
·
·
5
0.2
0.2
0.1
·
·
·
·
6+
·
·
·
·
·
·
·
MOST LIKELY · TOP 5
1 — 0 16.5%
0 — 0 15.0%
1 — 1 13.2%
0 — 1 12.0%
2 — 0 9.1%
Top 5 = 65.6% · rest 34.4%
🤖 AI VALUE FINDER

VALUE BETS

Where AI sees an edge vs bookmaker odds
8 markets · pre-match avg odds
MARKETODDSAI PROBFAIREDGE
Draw
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
3.82
28.0%
3.57
+7.0%
HOME or Draw (1X)
9 bookmakers · pre-match avg
1.29
76.0%
1.32
-1.9%
—
Draw or AWAY (X2)
9 bookmakers · pre-match avg
1.84
52.0%
1.92
-4.3%
—
HOME to Win
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
1.93
48.0%
2.08
-7.4%
—
HOME or AWAY (12)
9 bookmakers · pre-match avg
1.24
72.0%
1.39
-10.9%
—
AWAY to Win
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
3.57
24.0%
4.17
-14.2%
—
Over 2.5 Goals
9 bookmakers · pre-match avg
1.54
42.0%
2.38
-35.5%
—
Both Teams Score — YES
8 bookmakers · pre-match avg
1.48
38.0%
2.63
-43.8%
—
⚠ 18+ only. Odds change frequently. AI predictions are not guarantees. Bet responsibly.