GOALSENSE
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AI PREDICTION Projects FT 1–0 · UTRECHT 48%
CONF 52 FULL ANALYSIS →
Eredivisie · REGULAR SEASON - 2 · SAT, 15 AUG · 16:45 LOCAL
UTRECHT
6TH · 53 PTS · LAST 5:
L D W W W
67'
1 – 3
HT · 0-1
AZ ALKMAAR
W D D D D
· 7TH · 52 PTS · LAST 5
⚽ 62' Artem Stepanov
GOALS
⚽ 45+1' Peer Koopmeiners ⚽ 47' Weslley Patati ⚽ 49' Mexx Meerdink
PREDICTIONS
⚡ LIVE TRACKER

Last action · Utrecht · 63'

LIVE
AZ ALKMA UTRECHT

Last event marker · ball-position telemetry not available for this league

📈 MOMENTUM · ATTACK WAVE

Last 30 minutes · who has the upper hand

UTRECHT AZ ALKMA
⚽ 45' ⚽ 47' ⚽ 49' ⚽ 62' UTRECHT AZ ALKMAAR 37' 52' 67'
Event density · 3-min buckets
📊 LIVE STATS

Updates every refresh · Minute 67'

0.63
⚡ EXPECTED GOALS (xG)
1.60
46%
BALL POSSESSION %
54%
6
TOTAL SHOTS
18
2
SHOTS ON TARGET
7
79%
PASS ACCURACY %
87%
3
CORNERS
8
KEY EVENTS 13 events
  1. 23'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Artem Stepanov
    UTR
  2. 45'+1
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Peer Koopmeiners
    AZ
  3. 46'
    Subst · Substitution 1
    Mike Eerdhuijzen · assist Matisse Didden
    UTR
  4. 46'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Ferdinand Pohl
    UTR
  5. 47'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Weslley Patati · assist Kees Smit
    AZ
  6. 49'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Mexx Meerdink · assist Mateo Chávez
    AZ
  7. 54'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Guus Offerhaus
    UTR
  8. 55'
    Subst · Substitution 2
    Dani De Wit · assist Kevin Paredes
    UTR
  9. 56'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Weslley Patati
    AZ
  10. 60'
    Card · Yellow Card
    AZ
  11. 62'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Artem Stepanov · assist Yoann Cathline
    UTR
  12. 63'
    Subst · Substitution 3
    Yoann Cathline · assist Davy van den Berg
    UTR
  13. 63'
    Subst · Substitution 4
    Ferdinand Pohl · assist Adrian Blake
    UTR
LIVE STATS H vs A
ATTACK
0.6
xG
1.6
6.0
TOTAL SHOTS
18.0
2.0
ON TARGET
7.0
3.0
OFF TARGET
8.0
1.0
BLOCKED
3.0
POSSESSION
46.0%
POSSESSION %
54.0%
243.0
PASSES
289.0
79.0%
PASS ACCURACY
87.0%
SET PIECES
3.0
CORNERS
8.0
1.0
OFFSIDES
0.0
DISCIPLINE
14.0
FOULS
9.0
3.0
YELLOW CARDS
1.0
4.0
GK SAVES
1.0
🎯 SHOT BREAKDOWN

Top shooters · accuracy = on-target / total

player-level shot accuracy · per-shot xG bubbles require xG Advanced tier
UTRECHT 4 shots
Ángel Alarcón
1/2
Artem Stepanov
1/1
Yoann Cathline
0/1
AZ ALKMAAR 10 shots
Weslley Patati
2/5
Peer Koopmeiners
1/2
Mexx Meerdink
1/2
Mateo Chávez
1/1
📈 xG RACE

Cumulative xG over 90 minutes REAL xG

final xG: 0.63 – 1.60
1.3 1 0.6 0.3 1.6 0.0 HT 62' 45' 47' 49' H 0.63 A 1.60 KO 30' 60' 67'

Step chart anchored to real goal minutes · final xG from SportMonks · baseline distributes remaining shots evenly across the match

⚡ ATTACK SHARE

Event activity ratio · attacks/cards/subs

zone-based attack maps require broadcast partner (Q3)
H 62%
38% A
8
EVENTS LOGGED
5
EVENTS LOGGED
LINEUPS 4-2-3-1 vs 4-2-3-1
4-2-3-1
4-2-3-1
1
VASILIS B
92
ARTHUR ZA
44
MIKE EERD
2
SIEBE HOR
23
NIKLAS VE
6
GUUS OFFE
 6.7
53
FERDINAND
 6.9
10
YOANN CAT
20
DANI DE W
 6.7
11
ÁNGEL ALA
 7.7
18
ARTEM STE
28
JARI DE B
 7.0
5
MATEO CHá
16
LEWIS SCH
3
WOUTER GO
22
ELIJAH DI
 8.5
6
PEER KOOP
21
DAVE KWAK
 7.0
11
RO-ZANGEL
10
KEES SMIT
 7.7
7
WESLLEY P
 7.3
35
MEXX MEER
SUBSTITUTES · UTRECHT
34
Davy van den...
M
14
Zidane Iqbal
M
9
David Min
F
47
Emmanuel Owe...
F
30
Kevin Parede...
M
8
Joris van Ov...
M
3
Matisse Didd...
D
21
Neville Nwan...
D
32
Per Klooster...
D
33
Kevin Gadell...
G
25
Michael Brou...
G
15
Adrian Blake
F
COACH: Anthony Correia
SUBSTITUTES · AZ ALKMAAR
24
Ayoub Oufkir
F
33
Matěj Šín
M
14
Calvin Steng...
M
45
Bendegúz Kov...
F
75
Hessel de Wi...
M
34
Mees De Wit
D
2
Seiya Maikum...
D
23
Billy van Du...
D
18
Rion Ichihar...
D
1
Rome Jayden...
G
12
Hobie Verhul...
G
27
Sem van Duij...
F
COACH: Leeroy Echteld
🏥 UNAVAILABLE PLAYERS
UTR · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

AZ · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

⚖ MATCH OFFICIALS
REFEREE
Danny Makkelie, Netherlands
—
UTR MANAGER
Anthony Correia
head coach
AZ MANAGER
Leeroy Echteld
head coach
HEAD TO HEAD · ALL-TIME
3
UTR WINS
5
DRAWS
2
AZ WINS
30%
50%
20%
19 – 19
TOTAL GOALS · 10 MEETINGS
3.80
AVG GOALS / MATCH
RECENT MEETINGS SHOWING 5 / 10
01 Mar 2026
Utrecht
2 – 0
AZ Alkmaar
W
26 Oct 2025
AZ Alkmaar
4 – 1
Utrecht
L
18 Jan 2025
Utrecht
0 – 0
AZ Alkmaar
D
29 Sep 2024
AZ Alkmaar
1 – 2
Utrecht
W
19 May 2024
AZ Alkmaar
3 – 3
Utrecht
D
UTRECHT LAST 5 OVERALL
L D W W W
AZ ALKMAAR LAST 5 OVERALL
W D D D D
LIVE IMPACT Currently 1–3 · scenario projection
UTRECHT #6
If loss holds: 53 pts
Promotion - Eredivisie (Conference League - Play Offs)
AZ ALKMAAR #7
If win holds: 55 pts
Promotion - Europa League (League phase)
LEAGUE CONTEXT FULL TABLE →
# TEAM P W D L GD PTS FORM
1 PSV Eindhoven 34 27 3 4 +56 84
W W D W W
2 Feyenoord 34 19 8 7 +26 65
W D W W D
3 NEC Nijmegen 34 16 11 7 +24 59
W L D D D
4 Twente 34 15 13 6 +19 58
L W D D W
5 Ajax 34 14 14 6 +21 56
D L D W W
6 Utrecht 34 15 8 11 +13 53
W W W L W
7 AZ Alkmaar 34 14 10 10 +7 52
D D D D W
8 Heerenveen 34 14 9 11 +4 51
D L W W L
9 Groningen 34 14 6 14 +4 48
W W L L D
10 Sparta Rotterdam 34 12 7 15 -22 43
L L D L L
11 Fortuna Sittard 34 11 6 17 -14 39
L W L L D
12 GO Ahead Eagles 34 8 14 12 +1 38
L L D D D
13 Excelsior 34 10 8 16 -13 38
W D W W D
14 Telstar 34 9 10 15 -6 37
W W D W L
15 PEC Zwolle 34 9 10 15 -27 37
L L W L D
16 FC Volendam 34 8 8 18 -20 32
L D L W L
17 NAC Breda 34 6 11 17 -23 29
D W L L D
18 Heracles 34 5 4 25 -50 19
L L L L L
UCL Qualification Europa / Conference Relegation
LIVE COMMENTARY LIVE
  • 63'
    Subst · Substitution 4 · Ferdinand Pohl
  • 63'
    Subst · Substitution 3 · Yoann Cathline
  • 62'
    Goal · Normal Goal · Artem Stepanov
  • 60'
    Card · Yellow Card
  • 56'
    Card · Yellow Card · Weslley Patati
    Holding
  • 55'
    Subst · Substitution 2 · Dani De Wit
  • 54'
    Card · Yellow Card · Guus Offerhaus
    Foul
  • 49'
    Goal · Normal Goal · Mexx Meerdink
  • 47'
    Goal · Normal Goal · Weslley Patati
  • 46'
    Card · Yellow Card · Ferdinand Pohl
    Holding
  • 46'
    Subst · Substitution 1 · Mike Eerdhuijzen
  • HALF TIME · 0 – 1
  • 45'+1
    Goal · Normal Goal · Peer Koopmeiners
  • 23'
    Card · Yellow Card · Artem Stepanov
    Tripping
13 BOOKIES
📊 AVERAGE ACROSS 13 BOOKMAKERS
UTRECHT WIN
2.68
37.3% implied
↑ best 2.75
DRAW
3.59
27.9% implied
↑ best 3.75
AZ ALKMAAR WIN
2.42
41.3% implied
↑ best 2.51

Market favors AZ Alkmaar. AI projects UTRECHT 48%.

MATCH WINNER ODDS avg across bookmakers
AI SAYS UTRECHT 48% · EDGE column shows AI probability minus market implied probability
BOOKMAKER 1 X 2 EDGE
10Bet 2.62 3.75 2.36 +9.8%
1xBet 2.73 3.68 2.48 +11.4%
888Sport 2.63 3.40 2.40 +10.0%
Bet365 2.70 3.70 2.45 +11.0%
Betano 2.70 3.60 2.47 +11.0%
Betfair 2.63 3.50 2.45 +10.0%
BetVictor 2.70 3.60 2.40 +11.0%
Dafabet 2.75 3.70 2.47 +11.6%
Marathonbet 2.66 3.58 2.40 +10.4%
Pinnacle 2.74 3.71 2.51 +11.5%
SBO 2.63 3.44 2.38 +10.0%
Unibet 2.70 3.65 2.32 +11.0%
William Hill 2.62 3.40 2.40 +9.8%

Best odds in gold. Edge ≥ +5% (lime) means market under-prices the AI's probability. 18+ only.

📊 OTHER MARKETS

Over/Under · BTTS · Asian Handicap

avg across bookmakers
⚽ GOALS · OVER / UNDER
1.5 O 1.18 U 4.52
2.5 O 1.63 U 2.27
3.5 O 2.51 U 1.49
⚽ BOTH TEAMS SCORE
YES
1.50 10 bks
NO
2.43 10 bks
⚖ ASIAN HANDICAP
Away -0.25 1.59
Away -0.5 1.47
Away -0.75 1.33
Away -1 1.19
Away -1.25 1.15
Away -1.5 1.13
📈 MARKET MOVEMENT

How the market shifted before kick-off

historical line movement
7d ago 3d 1d KICK-OFF

Smoothed line illustration · per-snapshot historical odds storage activates Q3.