GOALSENSE
SIGN IN
Tercera División RFEF - Group 6 · GROUP 6 - 32 · SUN 26 APR · 16:00 LOCAL
← Match Page
UTIEL
FT
1 – 1
FULL TIME
JOVE ESPAñOL
⚽ 26' R. Asaf
GOALS
⚽ 76' —
CLAUDE AI · BLENDED FROM 4 MODELS
FINAL · VERIFIED
CONF 48/100 MED
🔮 PREDICTED FULL-TIME SCORE
UTI
1 – 0
JOV
most likely scoreline · 16.6% probability
AI PICKS UTIEL TO WIN 45%
FT 1 – 1
→
🤖 AI PROJECTED FT 1 – 0
🤖 AI BREAKDOWN

HOW AI SEES THE MATCH

FINAL · VERIFIED
UTI WIN 45%
DRAW 38%
JOV WIN 17%
h + d + a = 100% · stacked share
💰 AI BETTING TIP
DOUBLE CHANCE — 1X

Tight 1X2 — single-side too risky. Double chance covers 83% of outcomes with smaller payout.

CONF 83% avoid: 1X2 single 4 models
🤖 AI ANALYSIS

Early Utiel goal gives home slight edge; scoreline very fluid at 13'—expect tighter probabilities as match develops.

🤖 AI REASONING why AI picked this
WHY UTIEL FAVORED
45%
Utiel scored at 25' (minute adjustment pending confirmation); early home pressure typical
CONTEXT
H2H heavily defensive (4 of 5 last meetings 0–0 or 1–goal margins); low-scoring trend
CONTEXT
Jove away form weak (LW) vs Utiel home form mixed (WL); home edge modest but real
CONTEXT
WHY JOVE ESPAñOL CHALLENGED
17%
Utiel scored at 25' (minute adjustment pending confirmation); early home pressure typical
CONTEXT
H2H heavily defensive (4 of 5 last meetings 0–0 or 1–goal margins); low-scoring trend
CONTEXT
Jove away form weak (LW) vs Utiel home form mixed (WL); home edge modest but real
CONTEXT
🤖 CONTEXT · NEUTRAL FACTORS
  • Utiel scored at 25' (minute adjustment pending confirmation); early home pressure typical
  • H2H heavily defensive (4 of 5 last meetings 0–0 or 1–goal margins); low-scoring trend
  • Jove away form weak (LW) vs Utiel home form mixed (WL); home edge modest but real
🤖 AI LIVE TIMELINE

PROBABILITY TIMELINE

How AI re-projects after each event
H DRAW A
100% 50% 0% KO 15' 30' HT 60' 75' FT ⚽ 26' R. ASAF ⚽ 76'
Probabilities re-blended at each event · 2 events marked → Derived from goal events + remaining time
🤖 AI SCORE MATRIX

SCORELINE PROBABILITY

All possible scorelines · Poisson from xG
0% 16.6%+
0
1
2
3
4
5
6+
0
15.0
11.8
4.7
1.2
0.2
·
·
1
16.6
13.1
5.2
1.4
0.3
·
·
2
9.2
7.3
2.9
0.8
0.2
·
·
3
3.4
2.7
1.1
0.3
0.1
·
·
4
1.0
0.8
0.3
0.1
·
·
·
5
0.2
0.2
0.1
·
·
·
·
6+
·
·
·
·
·
·
·
MOST LIKELY · TOP 5
1 — 0 16.6%
0 — 0 15.0%
1 — 1 13.1%
0 — 1 11.8%
2 — 0 9.2%
Top 5 = 65.7% · rest 34.3%