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Primera División · REGULAR SEASON - 12 · SUN 26 APR · 16:00 LOCAL
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UTC CAJAMARCA
FT
2 – 2
FULL TIME
CIENCIANO
⚽ 45+1' David Camacho ⚽ 65' Abdiel Arroyo
GOALS
⚽ 69' Alejandro Hohberg ⚽ 90+7' Alejandro Hohberg
CLAUDE AI · BLENDED FROM 4 MODELS
FINAL · VERIFIED
CONF 48/100 MED
🔮 PREDICTED FULL-TIME SCORE
UTC
0 – 0
CIE
most likely scoreline · 16.5% probability
AI PICKS DRAW TO WIN 42%
FT 2 – 2
→
🤖 AI PROJECTED FT 0 – 0
🤖 AI BREAKDOWN

HOW AI SEES THE MATCH

FINAL · VERIFIED
UTC WIN 28%
DRAW 42%
CIE WIN 30%
h + d + a = 100% · stacked share
💰 AI BETTING TIP
DOUBLE CHANCE — 12

Tight 1X2 — single-side too risky. Double chance covers 58% of outcomes with smaller payout.

CONF 58% avoid: 1X2 single 4 models
🤖 AI ANALYSIS

Goalless first half with VAR drama; H2H shows Cienciano stronger but defensive shape suggests 0-0 likely.

🤖 AI REASONING why AI picked this
WHY UTC CAJAMARCA CHALLENGED
28%
0-0 at 33' with disallowed Cienciano goal (VAR) suggests tight, low-chance first half
CONTEXT
Cienciano's strong away record (WWLL) but H2H dominance tempered by current defensive setup
CONTEXT
UTC Cajamarca home form weak (LLWW) but 0-0 draw common in H2H (1 of 5 recent meetings)
CONTEXT
WHY CIENCIANO CHALLENGED
30%
0-0 at 33' with disallowed Cienciano goal (VAR) suggests tight, low-chance first half
CONTEXT
Cienciano's strong away record (WWLL) but H2H dominance tempered by current defensive setup
CONTEXT
UTC Cajamarca home form weak (LLWW) but 0-0 draw common in H2H (1 of 5 recent meetings)
CONTEXT
🤖 CONTEXT · NEUTRAL FACTORS
  • 0-0 at 33' with disallowed Cienciano goal (VAR) suggests tight, low-chance first half
  • Cienciano's strong away record (WWLL) but H2H dominance tempered by current defensive setup
  • UTC Cajamarca home form weak (LLWW) but 0-0 draw common in H2H (1 of 5 recent meetings)
🤖 AI LIVE TIMELINE

PROBABILITY TIMELINE

How AI re-projects after each event
H DRAW A
100% 50% 0% KO 15' 30' HT 60' 75' FT ⚽ 46' DAVID CAMA ⚽ 65' ABDIEL ARR ⚽ 69' ALEJANDRO ⚽ 97' ALEJANDRO
Probabilities re-blended at each event · 4 events marked → Derived from goal events + remaining time
🤖 AI SCORE MATRIX

SCORELINE PROBABILITY

All possible scorelines · Poisson from xG
0% 16.5%+
0
1
2
3
4
5
6+
0
16.5
15.0
6.8
2.1
0.5
0.1
·
1
14.7
13.4
6.1
1.9
0.4
0.1
·
2
6.6
6.0
2.7
0.8
0.2
·
·
3
1.9
1.8
0.8
0.2
0.1
·
·
4
0.4
0.4
0.2
·
·
·
·
5
0.1
0.1
·
·
·
·
·
6+
·
·
·
·
·
·
·
MOST LIKELY · TOP 5
0 — 0 16.5%
0 — 1 15.0%
1 — 0 14.7%
1 — 1 13.4%
0 — 2 6.8%
Top 5 = 66.5% · rest 33.5%
🤖 AI VALUE FINDER

VALUE BETS

Where AI sees an edge vs bookmaker odds
8 markets · pre-match avg odds
MARKETODDSAI PROBFAIREDGE
Draw
13 bookmakers · pre-match avg
3.30
42.0%
2.38
+38.4%
Draw or AWAY (X2)
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
1.56
72.0%
1.39
+12.1%
HOME or Draw (1X)
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
1.38
70.0%
1.43
-3.7%
—
AWAY to Win
13 bookmakers · pre-match avg
2.84
30.0%
3.33
-14.7%
—
HOME or AWAY (12)
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
1.28
58.0%
1.72
-25.5%
—
HOME to Win
13 bookmakers · pre-match avg
2.33
28.0%
3.57
-34.7%
—
Both Teams Score — YES
10 bookmakers · pre-match avg
1.66
28.0%
3.57
-53.5%
—
Over 2.5 Goals
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
1.85
22.0%
4.55
-59.3%
—
⚠ 18+ only. Odds change frequently. AI predictions are not guarantees. Bet responsibly.