GOALSENSE
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AI PREDICTION Projects FT 0–1 · SPAIN 90%
CONF 88 FULL ANALYSIS →
World Cup · GROUP STAGE - 3 · SAT, 27 JUN · 00:00 LOCAL
URUGUAY
12TH · 2 PTS · LAST 5:
D D W
FT
0 – 1
FULL TIME HT · 0-1
SPAIN
W W W W W
· 6TH · 1 PTS · LAST 5
GOALS
⚽ 42' Álex Baena
Mathías Olivera
👑
⭐ PLAYER OF THE MATCH
Mathías Olivera
Uruguay · 90 mins
· 38% pass acc
RATING
7.2
PREDICTIONS
📊 90 MIN TOTALS

Finalised · Match completed

0.20
⚡ EXPECTED GOALS (xG)
0.86
33%
BALL POSSESSION %
67%
5
TOTAL SHOTS
6
1
SHOTS ON TARGET
1
76%
PASS ACCURACY %
89%
1
CORNERS
6
KEY EVENTS 15 events
  1. 42'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Álex Baena · assist Marcos Llorente
    SPA
  2. 45'
    Subst · Substitution 1
    M. Ugarte · assist N. de la Cruz
    URU
  3. 46'
    Subst · Substitution 2
    Fernando Muslera · assist S. Rochet
    URU
  4. 46'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Álex Baena
    SPA
  5. 54'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Juan Sanabria
    URU
  6. 57'
    Subst · Substitution 3
    Federico Valverde · assist F. Viñas
    URU
  7. 58'
    Card · Yellow Card
    G. Varela
    URU
  8. 60'
    Subst · Substitution 1
    Pedri · assist Fabián Ruiz
    SPA
  9. 60'
    Subst · Substitution 2
    Mikel Merino · assist Dani Olmo
    SPA
  10. 66'
    Subst · Substitution 3
    Álex Baena · assist Yeremy Pino
    SPA
  11. 70'
    Subst · Substitution 4
    Juan Sanabria · assist B. Rodríguez
    URU
  12. 76'
    Subst · Substitution 4
    Lamine Yamal · assist Nico Williams
    SPA
  13. 76'
    Subst · Substitution 5
    Mikel Oyarzabal · assist Ferran Torres
    SPA
  14. 90'+3
    Card · Yellow Card
    N. de la Cruz
    URU
  15. 90'+5
    Card · Red Card
    A. Canobbio
    URU
PLAYER RATINGS · TOP 5 EACH 0–10 scale
URUGUAY AVG 6.9
SPAIN AVG 7.2
MATCH STATS H vs A
ATTACK
0.2
xG
0.9
5.0
TOTAL SHOTS
6.0
1.0
ON TARGET
1.0
3.0
OFF TARGET
4.0
1.0
BLOCKED
1.0
POSSESSION
33.0%
POSSESSION %
67.0%
298.0
PASSES
622.0
76.0%
PASS ACCURACY
89.0%
SET PIECES
1.0
CORNERS
6.0
5.0
OFFSIDES
2.0
DISCIPLINE
14.0
FOULS
14.0
3.0
YELLOW CARDS
1.0
1.0
RED CARDS
0.0
0.0
GK SAVES
2.0
🎯 SHOT BREAKDOWN

Top shooters · accuracy = on-target / total

player-level shot accuracy · per-shot xG bubbles require xG Advanced tier
URUGUAY 3 shots
R. Bentancur
0/1
N. de la Cruz
1/1
F. Viñas
0/1
SPAIN 2 shots
Álex Baena
1/1
Pau Cubarsí Paredes
0/1
📈 xG RACE

Cumulative xG over 90 minutes REAL xG

final xG: 0.20 – 0.86
0.7 0.5 0.3 0.2 0.9 0.0 HT 42' H 0.20 A 0.86 KO 30' 60' FT

Step chart anchored to real goal minutes · final xG from SportMonks · baseline distributes remaining shots evenly across the match

⚡ ATTACK SHARE

Event activity ratio · attacks/cards/subs

zone-based attack maps require broadcast partner (Q3)
H 53%
47% A
8
EVENTS LOGGED
7
EVENTS LOGGED
LINEUPS 4-1-4-1 vs 4-2-3-1
4-1-4-1
4-2-3-1
23
FERNANDO
 6.9
25
JUAN SANA
 7.2
16
MATHíAS O
3
SEBASTIáN
13
G. VARELA
5
M. UGARTE
20
MAXIMILIA
8
FEDERICO
 6.9
6
R. BENTAN
14
A. CANOBB
9
D. NúñEZ
 7.2
23
UNAI SIMó
24
MARC CUCU
 7.2
14
AYMERIC L
 7.2
22
PAU CUBAR
 7.2
5
MARCOS LL
16
RODRI
20
PEDRI
 7.2
15
ÁLEX BAEN
6
MIKEL MER
19
LAMINE YA
21
MIKEL OYA
SUBSTITUTES · URUGUAY
22
J. Piquerez
D
18
B. Rodríguez
F
15
Emiliano Mar...
M
10
G. de Arrasc...
M
11
Facundo Pell...
M
19
Rodrigo Agui...
F
4
Ronald Araúj...
D
2
J. Giménez
D
24
S. Bueno
D
17
M. Viña
D
12
S. Mele
G
21
F. Viñas
F
1
S. Rochet
G
7
N. de la Cru...
M
26
Rodrigo Zala...
M
COACH: Marcelo Bielsa
SUBSTITUTES · SPAIN
18
Martín Zubim...
M
17
Nico William...
F
3
Álex Grimald...
D
26
Borja Iglesi...
F
7
Ferran Torre...
F
11
Yeremy Pino
M
9
Gavi
M
12
Pedro Porro
D
4
Eric García
D
2
Marc Pubill
D
1
David Raya
G
13
Joan García
G
10
Dani Olmo
M
8
Fabián Ruiz
M
25
V. Munoz
F
COACH: Luis de la Fuente
🏥 UNAVAILABLE PLAYERS
URU · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

SPA · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

⚖ MATCH OFFICIALS
REFEREE
Ismail Elfath, USA
—
URU MANAGER
Marcelo Bielsa
head coach
SPA MANAGER
Luis de la Fuente
head coach
HEAD TO HEAD · ALL-TIME
0
URU WINS
0
DRAWS
1
SPA WINS
100%
1 – 2
TOTAL GOALS · 1 MEETINGS
3.00
AVG GOALS / MATCH
URUGUAY LAST 5 OVERALL
D D W
SPAIN LAST 5 OVERALL
W W W W W
MATCH IMPACT Final 0–1 · result locked
URUGUAY #3
Lost · already at 2 pts
SPAIN #1
Won · already at 7 pts
Round of 32
LEAGUE CONTEXT FULL TABLE →
# TEAM P W D L GD PTS FORM
1 Mexico 3 3 0 0 +6 9
L W W W W
1 Congo DR 3 1 1 1 +1 4
L W L D
1 England 3 2 1 0 +4 7
W L W W W
1 Colombia 3 2 1 0 +3 7
L W D W W
1 Argentina 3 3 0 0 +7 9
L W W W W
1 France 3 3 0 0 +8 9
L L W W W
1 Spain 3 2 1 0 +5 7
W W W W W
1 Belgium 3 1 2 0 +4 5
L W W W D
1 Netherlands 3 2 1 0 +6 7
L W W D
1 Germany 3 2 0 1 +6 6
L L W W
1 USA 3 2 0 1 +4 6
L W L W W
1 Brazil 3 2 1 0 +6 7
L W W W D
1 Switzerland 3 2 1 0 +4 7
L W W W W
2 Norway 3 2 0 1 +1 6
L W W L W
2 Austria 3 1 1 1 0 4
L D L W
2 Portugal 3 1 2 0 +5 5
L W D W D
2 Croatia 3 2 0 1 0 6
L W W L
2 Sweden 3 1 1 1 0 4
L D L W
2 Cape Verde Islands 3 0 3 0 0 3
L D D D
2 Egypt 3 1 2 0 +2 5
L W D W D
2 Japan 3 1 2 0 +4 5
L D W D
2 Ivory Coast 3 2 0 1 +2 6
L W L W
2 Australia 3 1 1 1 0 4
L D L W
2 Morocco 3 2 1 0 +3 7
L W W W W
2 Canada 3 1 1 1 +5 4
L W L W D
2 South Africa 3 1 1 1 -1 4
L W D L
3 Senegal 3 1 0 2 +2 3
L W L L
3 Algeria 3 1 1 1 -2 4
L D W L
3 Congo DR 3 1 1 1 +1 4
L W L D
3 Ghana 3 1 1 1 0 4
L L D W
3 Ghana 3 1 1 1 0 4
L L D W
3 Uruguay 3 0 2 1 -1 2
L D D
3 Iran 3 0 3 0 0 3
D D D
3 Sweden 3 1 1 1 0 4
L D L W
3 Ecuador 3 1 1 1 0 4
L W D L
3 Paraguay 3 1 1 1 -2 4
L W D W L
3 Scotland 3 1 0 2 -3 3
L L W
3 Bosnia & Herzegovina 3 1 1 1 -1 4
L W L D
3 South Korea 3 1 0 2 -1 3
L L W
4 Iraq 3 0 0 3 -11 0
L L L
4 Jordan 3 0 0 3 -5 0
L L L
4 Uzbekistan 3 0 0 3 -9 0
L L L
4 Panama 3 0 0 3 -4 0
L L L
4 Ecuador 3 1 1 1 0 4
L W D L
4 Saudi Arabia 3 0 2 1 -4 2
D L D
4 New Zealand 3 0 1 2 -6 1
L L D
4 Tunisia 3 0 0 3 -10 0
L L L
4 Czech Republic 3 0 1 2 -4 1
L D L
4 Qatar 3 0 1 2 -8 1
L L D
4 Haiti 3 0 0 3 -6 0
L L L
4 Türkiye 3 1 0 2 -2 3
W L L
4 Curaçao 3 0 1 2 -8 1
L D L
5 Bosnia & Herzegovina 3 1 1 1 -1 4
L W L D
5 New Zealand 1 0 1 0 0 1
D
6 Spain 1 0 1 0 0 1
D
6 Algeria 3 1 1 1 -2 4
L D W L
7 Croatia 2 1 0 1 -1 3
W L
7 Portugal 1 0 1 0 0 1
W D
7 Paraguay 3 1 1 1 -2 4
L W D W L
8 Senegal 3 1 0 2 +2 3
L W L L
9 Czech Republic 2 0 1 1 -1 1
D L
9 Saudi Arabia 2 0 1 1 -4 1
L D
9 Iran 3 0 3 0 0 3
D D D
10 South Korea 3 1 0 2 -1 3
L L W
10 Cape Verde Islands 2 0 2 0 0 2
D D
10 Belgium 2 0 2 0 0 2
D D
11 Scotland 3 1 0 2 -3 3
L L W
11 Panama 1 0 0 1 -1 0
L
11 Jordan 1 0 0 1 -2 0
L
12 Uruguay 3 0 2 1 -1 2
L D D
UCL Qualification Europa / Conference Relegation
COMMENTARY
  • 90'+5
    Card · Red Card · A. Canobbio
    Serious foul
  • 90'+3
    Card · Yellow Card · N. de la Cruz
    Tripping
  • 76'
    Subst · Substitution 5 · Mikel Oyarzabal
  • 76'
    Subst · Substitution 4 · Lamine Yamal
  • 70'
    Subst · Substitution 4 · Juan Sanabria
  • 66'
    Subst · Substitution 3 · Álex Baena
  • 60'
    Subst · Substitution 2 · Mikel Merino
  • 60'
    Subst · Substitution 1 · Pedri
  • 58'
    Card · Yellow Card · G. Varela
    Elbowing
  • 57'
    Subst · Substitution 3 · Federico Valverde
  • 54'
    Card · Yellow Card · Juan Sanabria
    Tripping
  • 46'
    Card · Yellow Card · Álex Baena
    Holding
  • 46'
    Subst · Substitution 2 · Fernando Muslera
  • HALF TIME · 0 – 1
  • 45'
    Subst · Substitution 1 · M. Ugarte
  • 42'
    Goal · Normal Goal · Álex Baena
13 BOOKIES
📊 AVERAGE ACROSS 13 BOOKMAKERS
URUGUAY WIN
5.83
17.2% implied
↑ best 6.40
DRAW
3.52
28.4% implied
↑ best 4.40
SPAIN WIN
1.69
59.2% implied
↑ best 1.76

Market favors Spain. AI projects SPAIN 90%.

MATCH WINNER ODDS avg across bookmakers
AI SAYS SPAIN 90% · EDGE column shows AI probability minus market implied probability
BOOKMAKER 1 X 2 EDGE
10Bet 5.20 3.45 1.70 +31.2%
1xBet 6.00 3.58 1.76 +33.2%
888Sport 5.00 3.20 1.70 +31.2%
Bet365 5.75 3.50 1.70 +31.2%
Betano 6.20 3.50 1.72 +31.9%
Betfair 6.00 3.40 1.70 +31.2%
BetVictor 6.00 3.40 1.65 +29.4%
Marathonbet 5.95 3.54 1.74 +32.5%
Pinnacle 6.25 3.55 1.71 +31.5%
SBO 5.20 3.48 1.74 +32.5%
Superbet 6.30 4.40 1.52 +24.2%
Unibet 6.40 3.50 1.65 +29.4%
William Hill 5.50 3.25 1.70 +31.2%

Best odds in gold. Edge ≥ +5% (lime) means market under-prices the AI's probability. 18+ only.

📊 OTHER MARKETS

Over/Under · BTTS · Asian Handicap

avg across bookmakers
⚽ GOALS · OVER / UNDER
1.5 O 1.41 U 2.87
2.5 O 2.29 U 1.63
3.5 O 4.13 U 1.22
⚽ BOTH TEAMS SCORE
YES
2.16 11 bks
NO
1.65 11 bks
⚖ ASIAN HANDICAP
Away -0.25 1.18
Away -0.5 1.13
Away -0.75 1.06
Away -1 1.02
Away -1.5 1.02
Away +0 1.23
📈 MARKET MOVEMENT

How the market shifted before kick-off

historical line movement
7d ago 3d 1d KICK-OFF

Smoothed line illustration · per-snapshot historical odds storage activates Q3.