GOALSENSE
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AI PREDICTION Projects FT 2–0 · URUGUAY 72%
CONF 61 FULL ANALYSIS →
World Cup · GROUP STAGE - 2 · SUN, 21 JUN · 22:00 LOCAL
URUGUAY
12TH · 2 PTS · LAST 5:
L D W
FT
2 – 2
FULL TIME HT · 2-1
CAPE VERDE ISLANDS
L D D
· 10TH · 2 PTS · LAST 5
⚽ 44' Maximiliano Araújo ⚽ 45+6' A. Canobbio
GOALS
⚽ 21' Kevin Pina ⚽ 61' Hélio Varela
Maximiliano Araújo
👑
⭐ PLAYER OF THE MATCH
Maximiliano Araújo
Uruguay · 81 mins
⚽ 1 goal · 🅰 1 assist · 12% pass acc · 1 shots on
RATING
7.9
PREDICTIONS
📊 90 MIN TOTALS

Finalised · Match completed

2.28
⚡ EXPECTED GOALS (xG)
0.77
66%
BALL POSSESSION %
34%
16
TOTAL SHOTS
7
2
SHOTS ON TARGET
2
83%
PASS ACCURACY %
74%
11
CORNERS
3
KEY EVENTS 17 events
  1. 5'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Sidny Lopes Cabral
    CAP
  2. 20'
    Card · Yellow Card
    R. Bentancur
    URU
  3. 21'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Kevin Pina
    CAP
  4. 44'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Maximiliano Araújo
    URU
  5. 45'+6
    Goal · Normal Goal
    A. Canobbio · assist Maximiliano Araújo
    URU
  6. 46'
    Subst · Substitution 1
    Telmo Arcanjo · assist Deroy Duarte
    CAP
  7. 58'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Mathías Olivera
    URU
  8. 58'
    Subst · Substitution 2
    Gilson Tavares · assist Nuno Da Costa
    CAP
  9. 58'
    Subst · Substitution 3
    Garry Rodrigues · assist Hélio Varela
    CAP
  10. 61'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Hélio Varela
    CAP
  11. 68'
    Var · Goal Disallowed - offside
    Maximiliano Araújo
    URU
  12. 70'
    Subst · Substitution 1
    M. Ugarte · assist N. de la Cruz
    URU
  13. 70'
    Subst · Substitution 2
    F. Viñas · assist D. Núñez
    URU
  14. 71'
    Subst · Substitution 4
    Kevin Pina · assist L. Duarte
    CAP
  15. 80'
    Subst · Substitution 5
    Jamiro Monteiro · assist Yannick Semedo
    CAP
  16. 81'
    Subst · Substitution 3
    Maximiliano Araújo · assist B. Rodríguez
    URU
  17. 90'+3
    Card · Yellow Card
    Diney Borges
    CAP
PLAYER RATINGS · TOP 5 EACH 0–10 scale
URUGUAY AVG 7.3
CAPE VERDE ISLANDS AVG 7.2
MATCH STATS H vs A
ATTACK
2.3
xG
0.8
16.0
TOTAL SHOTS
7.0
2.0
ON TARGET
2.0
7.0
OFF TARGET
4.0
7.0
BLOCKED
1.0
POSSESSION
66.0%
POSSESSION %
34.0%
494.0
PASSES
256.0
83.0%
PASS ACCURACY
74.0%
SET PIECES
11.0
CORNERS
3.0
3.0
OFFSIDES
0.0
DISCIPLINE
8.0
FOULS
4.0
2.0
YELLOW CARDS
1.0
🎯 SHOT BREAKDOWN

Top shooters · accuracy = on-target / total

player-level shot accuracy · per-shot xG bubbles require xG Advanced tier
URUGUAY 8 shots
Federico Valverde
0/4
Maximiliano Araújo
1/2
A. Canobbio
1/1
N. de la Cruz
0/1
CAPE VERDE ISLANDS 4 shots
Kevin Pina
1/1
Pico
0/1
Hélio Varela
1/1
Diney Borges
0/1
📈 xG RACE

Cumulative xG over 90 minutes REAL xG

final xG: 2.28 – 0.77
1.8 1.4 0.9 0.5 2.3 0.0 HT 44' 45' 21' 61' H 2.28 A 0.77 KO 30' 60' FT

Step chart anchored to real goal minutes · final xG from SportMonks · baseline distributes remaining shots evenly across the match

⚡ ATTACK SHARE

Event activity ratio · attacks/cards/subs

zone-based attack maps require broadcast partner (Q3)
H 47%
53% A
8
EVENTS LOGGED
9
EVENTS LOGGED
LINEUPS 4-1-4-1 vs 4-1-4-1
4-1-4-1
4-1-4-1
23
FERNANDO
25
JUAN SANA
16
MATHíAS O
3
SEBASTIáN
13
G. VARELA
5
M. UGARTE
 7.9
20
MAXIMILIA
 7.2
8
FEDERICO
 6.7
6
R. BENTAN
 7.3
14
A. CANOBB
21
F. VIñAS
1
VOZINHA
13
SIDNY LOP
 6.9
3
DINEY BOR
 7.2
4
PICO
22
STEVEN MO
 7.7
6
KEVIN PIN
11
GARRY ROD
10
JAMIRO MO
18
TELMO ARC
20
RYAN MEND
9
GILSON TA
SUBSTITUTES · URUGUAY
24
S. Bueno
D
22
J. Piquerez
D
11
Facundo Pell...
M
15
Emiliano Mar...
M
26
Rodrigo Zala...
M
17
M. Viña
D
2
J. Giménez
D
1
S. Rochet
G
12
S. Mele
G
18
B. Rodríguez
F
9
D. Núñez
F
7
N. de la Cru...
M
19
Rodrigo Agui...
F
COACH: Marcelo Bielsa
SUBSTITUTES · CAPE VERDE ISLANDS
5
Logan Costa
D
24
Wagner Pina
D
25
Kelvin Pires
D
8
João Paulo
M
17
Willy Semedo
F
7
Jovane Cabra...
F
2
Stopira
D
23
CJ Dos Santo...
G
12
Márcio Rosa
G
16
Yannick Seme...
M
15
L. Duarte
M
21
Nuno Da Cost...
F
26
Hélio Varela
F
14
Deroy Duarte
M
19
Dailon Rocha...
F
COACH: Pedro Leitao Brito
🏥 UNAVAILABLE PLAYERS
URU · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

CAP · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

⚖ MATCH OFFICIALS
REFEREE
E. Eskas
—
URU MANAGER
Marcelo Bielsa
head coach
CAP MANAGER
Pedro Leitao Brito
head coach
HEAD TO HEAD · ALL-TIME
0
URU WINS
1
DRAWS
0
CAP WINS
100%
URUGUAY LAST 5 OVERALL
L D W
CAPE VERDE ISLANDS LAST 5 OVERALL
L D D
MATCH IMPACT Final 2–2 · result locked
URUGUAY #3
Lost · already at 2 pts
CAPE VERDE ISLANDS #2
Lost · already at 3 pts
Round of 32
LEAGUE CONTEXT FULL TABLE →
# TEAM P W D L GD PTS FORM
1 Mexico 3 3 0 0 +6 9
L W W W W
1 Congo DR 3 1 1 1 +1 4
L W L D
1 England 3 2 1 0 +4 7
W L W W W
1 Colombia 3 2 1 0 +3 7
L W D W W
1 Argentina 3 3 0 0 +7 9
L W W W W
1 France 3 3 0 0 +8 9
L L W W W
1 Spain 3 2 1 0 +5 7
W W W W W
1 Belgium 3 1 2 0 +4 5
L W W W D
1 Netherlands 3 2 1 0 +6 7
L W W D
1 Germany 3 2 0 1 +6 6
L L W W
1 USA 3 2 0 1 +4 6
L W L W W
1 Brazil 3 2 1 0 +6 7
L W W W D
1 Switzerland 3 2 1 0 +4 7
L W W W W
2 Norway 3 2 0 1 +1 6
L W W L W
2 Austria 3 1 1 1 0 4
L D L W
2 Portugal 3 1 2 0 +5 5
L W D W D
2 Croatia 3 2 0 1 0 6
L W W L
2 Sweden 3 1 1 1 0 4
L D L W
2 Cape Verde Islands 3 0 3 0 0 3
L D D D
2 Egypt 3 1 2 0 +2 5
L W D W D
2 Japan 3 1 2 0 +4 5
L D W D
2 Ivory Coast 3 2 0 1 +2 6
L W L W
2 Australia 3 1 1 1 0 4
L D L W
2 Morocco 3 2 1 0 +3 7
L W W W W
2 Canada 3 1 1 1 +5 4
L W L W D
2 South Africa 3 1 1 1 -1 4
L W D L
3 Senegal 3 1 0 2 +2 3
L W L L
3 Algeria 3 1 1 1 -2 4
L D W L
3 Congo DR 3 1 1 1 +1 4
L W L D
3 Ghana 3 1 1 1 0 4
L L D W
3 Ghana 3 1 1 1 0 4
L L D W
3 Uruguay 3 0 2 1 -1 2
L D D
3 Iran 3 0 3 0 0 3
D D D
3 Sweden 3 1 1 1 0 4
L D L W
3 Ecuador 3 1 1 1 0 4
L W D L
3 Paraguay 3 1 1 1 -2 4
L W D W L
3 Scotland 3 1 0 2 -3 3
L L W
3 Bosnia & Herzegovina 3 1 1 1 -1 4
L W L D
3 South Korea 3 1 0 2 -1 3
L L W
4 Iraq 3 0 0 3 -11 0
L L L
4 Jordan 3 0 0 3 -5 0
L L L
4 Uzbekistan 3 0 0 3 -9 0
L L L
4 Panama 3 0 0 3 -4 0
L L L
4 Ecuador 3 1 1 1 0 4
L W D L
4 Saudi Arabia 3 0 2 1 -4 2
D L D
4 New Zealand 3 0 1 2 -6 1
L L D
4 Tunisia 3 0 0 3 -10 0
L L L
4 Czech Republic 3 0 1 2 -4 1
L D L
4 Qatar 3 0 1 2 -8 1
L L D
4 Haiti 3 0 0 3 -6 0
L L L
4 Türkiye 3 1 0 2 -2 3
W L L
4 Curaçao 3 0 1 2 -8 1
L D L
5 Bosnia & Herzegovina 3 1 1 1 -1 4
L W L D
5 New Zealand 1 0 1 0 0 1
D
6 Spain 1 0 1 0 0 1
D
6 Algeria 3 1 1 1 -2 4
L D W L
7 Croatia 2 1 0 1 -1 3
W L
7 Portugal 1 0 1 0 0 1
W D
7 Paraguay 3 1 1 1 -2 4
L W D W L
8 Senegal 3 1 0 2 +2 3
L W L L
9 Czech Republic 2 0 1 1 -1 1
D L
9 Saudi Arabia 2 0 1 1 -4 1
L D
9 Iran 3 0 3 0 0 3
D D D
10 South Korea 3 1 0 2 -1 3
L L W
10 Cape Verde Islands 2 0 2 0 0 2
D D
10 Belgium 2 0 2 0 0 2
D D
11 Scotland 3 1 0 2 -3 3
L L W
11 Panama 1 0 0 1 -1 0
L
11 Jordan 1 0 0 1 -2 0
L
12 Uruguay 3 0 2 1 -1 2
L D D
UCL Qualification Europa / Conference Relegation
COMMENTARY
  • 90'+3
    Card · Yellow Card · Diney Borges
    Foul
  • 81'
    Subst · Substitution 3 · Maximiliano Araújo
  • 80'
    Subst · Substitution 5 · Jamiro Monteiro
  • 71'
    Subst · Substitution 4 · Kevin Pina
  • 70'
    Subst · Substitution 2 · F. Viñas
  • 70'
    Subst · Substitution 1 · M. Ugarte
  • 68'
    Var · Goal Disallowed - offside · Maximiliano Araújo
  • 61'
    Goal · Normal Goal · Hélio Varela
  • 58'
    Subst · Substitution 3 · Garry Rodrigues
  • 58'
    Subst · Substitution 2 · Gilson Tavares
  • 58'
    Card · Yellow Card · Mathías Olivera
    Holding
  • 46'
    Subst · Substitution 1 · Telmo Arcanjo
  • HALF TIME · 2 – 1
  • 45'+6
    Goal · Normal Goal · A. Canobbio
  • 44'
    Goal · Normal Goal · Maximiliano Araújo
  • 21'
    Goal · Normal Goal · Kevin Pina
  • 20'
    Card · Yellow Card · R. Bentancur
    Tripping
  • 5'
    Card · Yellow Card · Sidny Lopes Cabral
14 BOOKIES
📊 AVERAGE ACROSS 14 BOOKMAKERS
URUGUAY WIN
1.42
70.4% implied
↑ best 1.47
DRAW
4.30
23.3% implied
↑ best 4.54
CAPE VERDE ISLAN WIN
8.88
11.3% implied
↑ best 9.65

Market favors Uruguay. AI projects URUGUAY 72%.

MATCH WINNER ODDS avg across bookmakers
AI SAYS URUGUAY 72% · EDGE column shows AI probability minus market implied probability
BOOKMAKER 1 X 2 EDGE
10Bet 1.39 4.20 8.80 +0.1%
1xBet 1.44 4.54 9.65 +2.6%
888Sport 1.40 4.00 8.00 +0.6%
Bet365 1.40 4.33 9.00 +0.6%
Betano 1.47 4.25 9.00 +4.0%
Betfair 1.40 4.33 9.50 +0.6%
BetVictor 1.40 4.20 9.00 +0.6%
Dafabet 1.44 4.40 7.00 +2.6%
Marathonbet 1.43 4.50 9.60 +2.1%
Pinnacle 1.43 4.50 9.50 +2.1%
SBO 1.43 4.18 8.80 +2.1%
Superbet 1.42 4.45 8.50 +1.6%
Unibet 1.40 4.30 9.50 +0.6%
William Hill 1.40 4.00 8.50 +0.6%

Best odds in gold. Edge ≥ +5% (lime) means market under-prices the AI's probability. 18+ only.

📊 OTHER MARKETS

Over/Under · BTTS · Asian Handicap

avg across bookmakers
⚽ GOALS · OVER / UNDER
1.5 O 1.39 U 2.96
2.5 O 2.22 U 1.66
3.5 O 4.11 U 1.22
⚽ BOTH TEAMS SCORE
YES
2.51 11 bks
NO
1.48 11 bks
⚖ ASIAN HANDICAP
Away -0.25 3.81
Away -0.5 2.84
Away -0.75 2.54
Away -1 2.16
Away -1.25 1.82
Away -1.5 1.61
📈 MARKET MOVEMENT

How the market shifted before kick-off

historical line movement
7d ago 3d 1d KICK-OFF

Smoothed line illustration · per-snapshot historical odds storage activates Q3.