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Champions League · 2ND QUALIFYING ROUND · WED, 29 JUL · 17:30 LOCAL
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UNIVERSITATEA CRAIOVA
2'
0 – 0
LEVSKI SOFIA
⚽ 45+2' Nicușor Bancu ⚽ 48' Adrian Rus
GOALS
⚽ 13' Everton Bala ⚽ 16' Aldair
CLAUDE AI · BLENDED FROM 4 MODELS
LIVE-ADJUSTED
CONF 38/100 LOW
🔮 PREDICTED FULL-TIME SCORE
UNI
1 – 0
LEV
most likely scoreline · 16.3% probability
AI PICKS UNIVERSITATEA CRAIOVA TO WIN 42%
LIVE · 2' 0 – 0
→
🤖 AI PROJECTS FT 1 – 0
🤖 AI BREAKDOWN

HOW AI SEES THE MATCH

LIVE-ADJUSTED
UNI WIN 42%
DRAW 38%
LEV WIN 20%
h + d + a = 100% · stacked share
💰 AI BETTING TIP
DOUBLE CHANCE — 1X

Tight 1X2 — single-side too risky. Double chance covers 80% of outcomes with smaller payout.

CONF 80% avoid: 1X2 single 4 models
🤖 AI ANALYSIS

Match at minute 1 with minimal data; home slight edge from venue and recent win, but Levski's road draw pattern and lack of xG/season stats limit conviction.

🤖 AI REASONING why AI picked this
WHY UNIVERSITATEA CRAIOVA FAVORED
42%
Craiova home venue + recent W vs Levski's away form (D) = modest home edge
+25.0%
H2H split: 1-0 to Levski (away) 7 days ago; today's fixture is immediate re-match — role reversal favors hosts
+20.0%
Very limited season data (no GF/GA/xG) — confidence artificially capped; treat as weak signal
+15.0%
WHY LEVSKI SOFIA CHALLENGED
20%
Craiova home venue + recent W vs Levski's away form (D) = modest home edge
+25.0%
H2H split: 1-0 to Levski (away) 7 days ago; today's fixture is immediate re-match — role reversal favors hosts
+20.0%
Very limited season data (no GF/GA/xG) — confidence artificially capped; treat as weak signal
+15.0%
🤖 CONTEXT · NEUTRAL FACTORS
  • Craiova home venue + recent W vs Levski's away form (D) = modest home edge
  • H2H split: 1-0 to Levski (away) 7 days ago; today's fixture is immediate re-match — role reversal favors hosts
  • Very limited season data (no GF/GA/xG) — confidence artificially capped; treat as weak signal
🤖 AI LIVE TIMELINE

PROBABILITY TIMELINE

How AI re-projects after each event
H DRAW A
100% 50% 0% KO 15' 30' HT 60' 75' FT ⚽ 13' EVERTON BA ⚽ 16' ALDAIR ⚽ 47' NICUșOR B ⚽ 48' ADRIAN RUS 2' PROJECTION
Probabilities re-blended at each event · 4 events marked → Derived from goal events + remaining time
🤖 AI SCORE MATRIX

SCORELINE PROBABILITY

All possible scorelines · Poisson from xG
0% 16.3%+
0
1
2
3
4
5
6+
0
15.0
12.1
4.9
1.3
0.3
·
·
1
16.3
13.2
5.4
1.4
0.3
·
·
2
8.9
7.2
2.9
0.8
0.2
·
·
3
3.2
2.6
1.1
0.3
0.1
·
·
4
0.9
0.7
0.3
0.1
·
·
·
5
0.2
0.2
0.1
·
·
·
·
6+
·
·
·
·
·
·
·
MOST LIKELY · TOP 5
1 — 0 16.3%
0 — 0 15.0%
1 — 1 13.2%
0 — 1 12.1%
2 — 0 8.9%
Top 5 = 65.5% · rest 34.5%
🤖 AI VALUE FINDER

VALUE BETS

Where AI sees an edge vs bookmaker odds
8 markets · pre-match avg odds
MARKETODDSAI PROBFAIREDGE
Draw
13 bookmakers · pre-match avg
3.27
38.0%
2.63
+24.4%
Draw or AWAY (X2)
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
1.76
58.0%
1.72
+2.0%
—
HOME or Draw (1X)
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
1.25
80.0%
1.25
-0.1%
—
HOME to Win
13 bookmakers · pre-match avg
2.01
42.0%
2.38
-15.6%
—
HOME or AWAY (12)
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
1.29
62.0%
1.61
-20.0%
—
Over 2.5 Goals
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
2.14
35.0%
2.86
-25.3%
—
AWAY to Win
13 bookmakers · pre-match avg
3.72
20.0%
5.00
-25.7%
—
Both Teams Score — YES
10 bookmakers · pre-match avg
1.88
28.0%
3.57
-47.3%
—
⚠ 18+ only. Odds change frequently. AI predictions are not guarantees. Bet responsibly.