GOALSENSE
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AI PREDICTION Projects FT 1–2 · INCHEON UNITED 93% · Value: BTTS Yes 88%
CONF 88 FULL ANALYSIS →
K League 1 · REGULAR SEASON - 19 · TUE, 21 JUL · 10:30 LOCAL
ULSAN HYUNDAI FC
4TH · 31 PTS · LAST 5:
L L W W W
FT
1 – 2
FULL TIME HT · 1-1
INCHEON UNITED
W D D D W
· 6TH · 29 PTS · LAST 5
⚽ 42' Lee Dong-Gyeong
GOALS
⚽ 40' Morgan Ferrier ⚽ 90+3' Stefan Mugoša (P)
Stefan Mugoša
👑
⭐ PLAYER OF THE MATCH
Stefan Mugoša
Incheon United · 2 mins
⚽ 1 goal · 0% pass acc
RATING
7.8
PREDICTIONS
📊 90 MIN TOTALS

Finalised · Match completed

36%
BALL POSSESSION %
64%
8
TOTAL SHOTS
14
2
SHOTS ON TARGET
4
2
CORNERS
2
KEY EVENTS 17 events
  1. 40'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Morgan Ferrier · assist Seong-min Kim
    INC
  2. 42'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Lee Dong-Gyeong · assist Erick Farias
    ULS
  3. 45'
    Subst · Substitution 1
    M. Trojak · assist Lee Gyu-Seong
    ULS
  4. 45'
    Subst · Substitution 2
    Lee Jin-Hyun · assist H. Lee
    ULS
  5. 60'
    Subst · Substitution 3
    Erick Farias · assist Yago Cariello
    ULS
  6. 64'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Myung Joo Lee
    INC
  7. 66'
    Subst · Substitution 1
    Seong-min Kim · assist Dong-ryul Lee
    INC
  8. 71'
    Subst · Substitution 4
    D. Bojanic
    ULS
  9. 77'
    Card · Yellow Card
    ULS
  10. 77'
    Subst · Substitution 5
    Jang Si-Young · assist Kim Young-Gwon
    ULS
  11. 78'
    Subst · Substitution 2
    Chung-yong Lee · assist Choi Seung-Gu
    INC
  12. 78'
    Subst · Substitution 3
    Myung Joo Lee · assist Kim Young-Whan
    INC
  13. 78'
    Subst · Substitution 4
    Choi Seung-Gu
    INC
  14. 79'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Choi Seung-Gu
    INC
  15. 88'
    Subst · Substitution 5
    Morgan Ferrier · assist Stefan Mugoša
    INC
  16. 90'+3
    Goal · Penalty
    Stefan Mugoša
    INC
  17. 90'+4
    Card · Yellow Card
    Stefan Mugoša
    INC
PLAYER RATINGS · TOP 5 EACH 0–10 scale
ULSAN HYUNDAI FC AVG 6.6
INCHEON UNITED AVG 6.9
MATCH STATS H vs A
ATTACK
8.0
TOTAL SHOTS
14.0
2.0
ON TARGET
4.0
6.0
OFF TARGET
10.0
0.0
BLOCKED
0.0
POSSESSION
36.0%
POSSESSION %
64.0%
SET PIECES
2.0
CORNERS
2.0
DISCIPLINE
1.0
YELLOW CARDS
3.0
0.0
RED CARDS
0.0
⚡ ATTACK SHARE

Event activity ratio · attacks/cards/subs

zone-based attack maps require broadcast partner (Q3)
H 41%
59% A
7
EVENTS LOGGED
10
EVENTS LOGGED
LINEUPS 3-5-2 vs 4-4-2
3-5-2
4-4-2
21
JO HYEON-
 6.5
28
LEE JAE-I
15
JUNG SEUN
4
MYEONG-KW
 6.4
33
JANG SI-Y
6
D. BOJANI
66
M. TROJAK
14
LEE JIN-H
96
CHOI SEOK
 6.7
11
ERICK FAR
 7.1
10
LEE DONG-
1
DONG-HEON
 6.7
17
SEONG-MIN
32
JU-YONG L
 6.6
2
JUAN IBIZ
39
KIM MYUNG
 6.5
72
CHUNG-YON
11
GERSO FER
5
MYUNG JOO
15
JAE-MIN S
 7.0
99
MORGAN FE
SUBSTITUTES · ULSAN HYUNDAI FC
13
Ryu Seong-Mi...
G
91
B. Michel
F
8
H. Lee
M
24
Lee Gyu-Seon...
M
19
Kim Young-Gw...
D
99
Yago Cariell...
F
2
Yoon Jong-Gy...
D
COACH: Hyun-seok Kim
SUBSTITUTES · INCHEON UNITED
20
Park Kyung-S...
D
9
Stefan Mugoš...
F
3
Sang-ki Lee
D
10
Dong-ryul Le...
F
30
Kim Young-Wh...
M
13
Choi Seung-G...
D
8
I. Undabarre...
D
COACH: Jong-hwan Yoon
🏥 UNAVAILABLE PLAYERS
ULS · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

INC · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

⚖ MATCH OFFICIALS
REFEREE
Min-Seok Song, South Korea
—
ULS MANAGER
Hyun-seok Kim
head coach
INC MANAGER
Jong-hwan Yoon
head coach
HEAD TO HEAD · ALL-TIME
3
ULS WINS
4
DRAWS
3
INC WINS
30%
40%
30%
13 – 12
TOTAL GOALS · 10 MEETINGS
2.50
AVG GOALS / MATCH
RECENT MEETINGS SHOWING 5 / 10
11 Apr 2026
Incheon United
1 – 2
Ulsan Hyundai FC
W
22 Sep 2024
Incheon United
0 – 0
Ulsan Hyundai FC
D
29 May 2024
Incheon United
1 – 1
Ulsan Hyundai FC
D
17 Mar 2024
Ulsan Hyundai FC
3 – 3
Incheon United
D
24 Nov 2023
Incheon United
3 – 1
Ulsan Hyundai FC
L
ULSAN HYUNDAI FC LAST 5 OVERALL
L L W W W
INCHEON UNITED LAST 5 OVERALL
W D D D W
MATCH IMPACT Final 1–2 · result locked
ULSAN HYUNDAI FC #2
Lost · already at 37 pts
Promotion - K League 1 (Championship Group)
INCHEON UNITED #6
Won · already at 33 pts
Promotion - K League 1 (Championship Group)
LEAGUE CONTEXT FULL TABLE →
# TEAM P W D L GD PTS FORM
1 FC Seoul 24 15 5 4 +27 50
W W D D L
1 FC Seoul 21 13 4 4 +18 43
D L W W D
2 Ulsan Hyundai FC 24 11 4 9 +3 37
L L W W W
2 Jeonbuk Motors 21 9 7 5 +11 34
D W D L W
3 Jeonbuk Motors 24 10 7 7 +9 37
W L L D W
3 Gangwon FC 21 8 8 5 +8 32
L L D W D
4 Ulsan Hyundai FC 20 9 4 7 +1 31
W W L D L
4 Gangwon FC 23 9 8 6 +6 35
L W L L D
5 Jeju United FC 24 9 8 7 +3 35
D W W D W
5 FC Anyang 20 7 9 4 +5 30
L W W D W
6 Incheon United 23 9 6 8 +5 33
W D D D W
6 Incheon United 21 8 5 8 +4 29
D D W W L
7 Jeju United FC 21 7 7 7 -1 28
D W D W D
7 Pohang Steelers 24 9 4 11 -6 31
L W L L L
8 FC Anyang 24 7 9 8 -7 30
L L L L W
8 Pohang Steelers 21 8 4 9 -2 28
L L L L W
9 Bucheon FC 1995 24 7 9 8 0 30
W W D W D
9 Daejeon Citizen 21 5 8 8 +2 23
W L D D D
10 Gimcheon Sangmu FC 21 4 11 6 -6 23
W W D L D
10 Daejeon Citizen 24 7 8 9 +4 29
W L W W L
11 Gimcheon Sangmu FC 24 4 14 6 -6 26
D D D W W
11 Bucheon FC 1995 21 5 8 8 -4 23
W D L L D
12 Gwangju FC 24 1 8 15 -38 11
L L D L L
12 Gwangju FC 21 1 7 13 -36 10
L L D D L
UCL Qualification Europa / Conference Relegation
COMMENTARY
  • 90'+4
    Card · Yellow Card · Stefan Mugoša
    Foul
  • 90'+3
    Goal · Penalty · Stefan Mugoša
  • 88'
    Subst · Substitution 5 · Morgan Ferrier
  • 79'
    Card · Yellow Card · Choi Seung-Gu
    Foul
  • 78'
    Subst · Substitution 4 · Choi Seung-Gu
  • 78'
    Subst · Substitution 3 · Myung Joo Lee
  • 78'
    Subst · Substitution 2 · Chung-yong Lee
  • 77'
    Subst · Substitution 5 · Jang Si-Young
  • 77'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Foul
  • 71'
    Subst · Substitution 4 · D. Bojanic
  • 66'
    Subst · Substitution 1 · Seong-min Kim
  • 64'
    Card · Yellow Card · Myung Joo Lee
    Foul
  • 60'
    Subst · Substitution 3 · Erick Farias
  • HALF TIME · 1 – 1
  • 45'
    Subst · Substitution 2 · Lee Jin-Hyun
  • 45'
    Subst · Substitution 1 · M. Trojak
  • 42'
    Goal · Normal Goal · Lee Dong-Gyeong
  • 40'
    Goal · Normal Goal · Morgan Ferrier
13 BOOKIES
📊 AVERAGE ACROSS 13 BOOKMAKERS
ULSAN HYUNDAI FC WIN
2.18
45.9% implied
↑ best 2.28
DRAW
3.22
31.1% implied
↑ best 3.30
INCHEON UNITED WIN
3.27
30.6% implied
↑ best 3.44

Market favors Ulsan Hyundai FC. AI projects INCHEON UNITED 93% · value bet BTTS Yes.

MATCH WINNER ODDS avg across bookmakers
AI SAYS INCHEON UNITED 93% · EDGE column shows AI probability minus market implied probability
BOOKMAKER 1 X 2 EDGE
10Bet 2.20 3.30 3.20 +61.8%
1xBet 2.20 3.22 3.30 +62.7%
Bet365 2.10 3.20 3.25 +62.2%
Betano 2.18 3.25 3.30 +62.7%
Betfair 2.15 3.30 3.25 +62.2%
BetVictor 2.20 3.25 3.20 +61.8%
Dafabet 2.27 3.25 3.40 +63.6%
Marathonbet 2.18 3.22 3.30 +62.7%
Pinnacle 2.28 3.30 3.44 +63.9%
SBO 2.19 3.08 3.04 +60.1%
Superbet 2.20 3.20 3.30 +62.7%
Unibet 2.00 3.20 3.35 +63.1%
William Hill 2.20 3.10 3.20 +61.8%

Best odds in gold. Edge ≥ +5% (lime) means market under-prices the AI's probability. 18+ only.

📊 OTHER MARKETS

Over/Under · BTTS · Asian Handicap

avg across bookmakers
⚽ GOALS · OVER / UNDER
1.5 O 1.32 U 3.12
2.5 O 2.06 U 1.73
3.5 O 3.62 U 1.25
⚽ BOTH TEAMS SCORE
YES
1.80 10 bks
NO
1.88 10 bks
⚖ ASIAN HANDICAP
Away -0.25 1.90
Away -0.5 1.68
Away -0.75 1.47
Away -1 1.28
Away -1.25 1.23
Away -1.5 1.19
📈 MARKET MOVEMENT

How the market shifted before kick-off

historical line movement
7d ago 3d 1d KICK-OFF

Smoothed line illustration · per-snapshot historical odds storage activates Q3.