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Copa Libertadores · GROUP STAGE - 4 · WED, 06 MAY · 00:00 LOCAL
← Match Page
UCV
FT
2 – 0
FULL TIME
INDEPENDIENTE DEL VALLE
⚽ 54' Juan Camilo Zapata ⚽ 67' Juan Manuel Cuesta
GOALS
CLAUDE AI · BLENDED FROM 4 MODELS
FINAL · VERIFIED
CONF 58/100 MED
🔮 PREDICTED FULL-TIME SCORE
UCV
1 – 2
IND
most likely scoreline · 10.8% probability
AI PICKS INDEPENDIENTE DEL VALLE TO WIN 48%
FT 2 – 0
→
🤖 AI PROJECTED FT 1 – 2
🤖 AI BREAKDOWN

HOW AI SEES THE MATCH

FINAL · VERIFIED
UCV WIN 28%
DRAW 24%
IND WIN 48%
h + d + a = 100% · stacked share
💰 AI BETTING TIP
OVER 1.5

AI projects 79.54% — the safest goals market. Combined value over single 1X2 pick at this confidence.

CONF 80% OVER 1.5 ✓ avoid: 1X2 single 4 models
🤖 AI ANALYSIS

Independiente del Valle favoured as road-strong side; recent H2H dominance and superior table position support away win.

🤖 AI REASONING why AI picked this
WHY UCV CHALLENGED
28%
Independiente del Valle 2nd place (7 pts) vs UCV 3rd (3 pts); 4-point gap and +3 GD advantage
+25.0%
UCV home form poor (L); Independiente del Valle away form winning (W) — form split heavily favours away
+20.0%
Recent H2H: Independiente del Valle beat UCV 3-1 (April 16) — momentum and psychological edge
+15.0%
WHY INDEPENDIENTE DEL VALLE FAVORED
48%
Independiente del Valle favoured as road-strong side; recent H2H dominance and superior table position support away win.
+30.0%
🤖 CONTEXT · NEUTRAL FACTORS
  • Independiente del Valle 2nd place (7 pts) vs UCV 3rd (3 pts); 4-point gap and +3 GD advantage
  • UCV home form poor (L); Independiente del Valle away form winning (W) — form split heavily favours away
  • Recent H2H: Independiente del Valle beat UCV 3-1 (April 16) — momentum and psychological edge
🤖 AI LIVE TIMELINE

PROBABILITY TIMELINE

How AI re-projects after each event
H DRAW A
100% 50% 0% KO 15' 30' HT 60' 75' FT ⚽ 54' JUAN CAMIL ⚽ 67' JUAN MANUE
Probabilities re-blended at each event · 2 events marked → Derived from goal events + remaining time
🤖 AI SCORE MATRIX

SCORELINE PROBABILITY

All possible scorelines · Poisson from xG
0% 10.8%+
0
1
2
3
4
5
6+
0
5.0
10.4
10.8
7.5
3.9
1.6
0.6
1
4.6
9.5
9.9
6.9
3.6
1.5
0.5
2
2.1
4.4
4.6
3.2
1.6
0.7
0.2
3
0.7
1.3
1.4
1.0
0.5
0.2
0.1
4
0.2
0.3
0.3
0.2
0.1
·
·
5
·
0.1
0.1
·
·
·
·
6+
·
·
·
·
·
·
·
MOST LIKELY · TOP 5
0 — 2 10.8%
0 — 1 10.4%
1 — 2 9.9%
1 — 1 9.5%
0 — 3 7.5%
Top 5 = 48.0% · rest 52.0%
🤖 AI VALUE FINDER

VALUE BETS

Where AI sees an edge vs bookmaker odds
8 markets · pre-match avg odds
MARKETODDSAI PROBFAIREDGE
HOME to Win
13 bookmakers · pre-match avg
5.06
28.0%
3.57
+41.8%
HOME or Draw (1X)
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
2.18
52.0%
1.92
+13.2%
Both Teams Score — YES
10 bookmakers · pre-match avg
1.85
54.0%
1.85
+0.0%
—
Over 2.5 Goals
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
1.92
52.0%
1.92
-0.4%
—
HOME or AWAY (12)
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
1.24
76.0%
1.32
-6.1%
—
Draw
13 bookmakers · pre-match avg
3.79
24.0%
4.17
-9.1%
—
Draw or AWAY (X2)
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
1.15
72.0%
1.39
-16.9%
—
AWAY to Win
13 bookmakers · pre-match avg
1.65
48.0%
2.08
-20.7%
—
⚠ 18+ only. Odds change frequently. AI predictions are not guarantees. Bet responsibly.