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Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 · GROUP 13 - 32 · SUN 26 APR · 15:00 LOCAL
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UCAM MURCIA II
FT
3 – 3
FULL TIME
MAZARRóN FC
⚽ 37' A. Martinez ⚽ 52' M. Ros ⚽ 55' N. Alandes
GOALS
⚽ 41' A. Rodriguez ⚽ 67' A. Rodriguez ⚽ 80' A. Rodriguez
CLAUDE AI · BLENDED FROM 4 MODELS
FINAL · VERIFIED
CONF 78/100 HIGH
🔮 PREDICTED FULL-TIME SCORE
UCA
3 – 2
MAZ
most likely scoreline · 6.9% probability
AI PICKS UCAM MURCIA II TO WIN 82%
FT 3 – 3
→
🤖 AI PROJECTED FT 3 – 2
🤖 AI BREAKDOWN

HOW AI SEES THE MATCH

FINAL · VERIFIED
UCA WIN 82%
DRAW 12%
MAZ WIN 6%
h + d + a = 100% · stacked share
💰 AI BETTING TIP
UCAM MURCIA II TO WIN

AI consensus across 82% — strongest pick on the board. Single-result bet recommended over double-chance.

CONF 82% OVER 1.5 ✓ OVER 2.5 ✓ OVER 3.5 ✓ BTTS YES ✓ 4 models
🤖 AI ANALYSIS

UCAM holding 3-2 lead at 70'; 20 minutes remain but one-goal cushion favours home — likely to hold.

🤖 AI REASONING why AI picked this
WHY UCAM MURCIA II FAVORED
82%
One-goal lead with 20 minutes left — home advantage significant
CONTEXT
Both teams scoring throughout (3-2 scoreline) indicates continued offensive intent
CONTEXT
Late comeback possible but UCAM slight favourite to see out the win
CONTEXT
WHY MAZARRóN FC CHALLENGED
6%
One-goal lead with 20 minutes left — home advantage significant
CONTEXT
Both teams scoring throughout (3-2 scoreline) indicates continued offensive intent
CONTEXT
Late comeback possible but UCAM slight favourite to see out the win
CONTEXT
🤖 CONTEXT · NEUTRAL FACTORS
  • One-goal lead with 20 minutes left — home advantage significant
  • Both teams scoring throughout (3-2 scoreline) indicates continued offensive intent
  • Late comeback possible but UCAM slight favourite to see out the win
🤖 AI LIVE TIMELINE

PROBABILITY TIMELINE

How AI re-projects after each event
H DRAW A
100% 50% 0% KO 15' 30' HT 60' 75' FT ⚽ 37' A. MARTINE ⚽ 41' A. RODRIGU ⚽ 52' M. ROS ⚽ 55' N. ALANDES ⚽ 67' A. RODRIGU ⚽ 80' A. RODRIGU
Probabilities re-blended at each event · 6 events marked → Derived from goal events + remaining time
🤖 AI SCORE MATRIX

SCORELINE PROBABILITY

All possible scorelines · Poisson from xG
0% 6.9%+
0
1
2
3
4
5
6+
0
0.7
1.2
1.0
0.6
0.2
0.1
·
1
2.2
3.8
3.2
1.8
0.8
0.3
0.1
2
3.7
6.2
5.3
3.0
1.3
0.4
0.1
3
4.0
6.9
5.8
3.3
1.4
0.5
0.1
4
3.3
5.7
4.8
2.7
1.2
0.4
0.1
5
2.2
3.7
3.2
1.8
0.8
0.3
0.1
6+
1.2
2.1
1.8
1.0
0.4
0.1
·
MOST LIKELY · TOP 5
3 — 1 6.9%
2 — 1 6.2%
3 — 2 5.8%
4 — 1 5.7%
2 — 2 5.3%
Top 5 = 29.9% · rest 70.1%