GOALSENSE
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AI PREDICTION Projects FT 1–0 · TWENTE 48%
CONF 38 FULL ANALYSIS →
Eredivisie · REGULAR SEASON - 2 · SUN, 16 AUG · 12:30 LOCAL
TWENTE
4TH · 58 PTS · LAST 5:
D L W D L
FT
3 – 1
FULL TIME HT · 1-1
PEC ZWOLLE
L L L W L
· 15TH · 37 PTS · LAST 5
⚽ 38' Daouda Weidmann ⚽ 59' Dylan Mbayo (OG) ⚽ 69' Daan Rots
GOALS
⚽ 21' Elias Sørensen
Daan Rots
👑
⭐ PLAYER OF THE MATCH
Daan Rots
Twente · 88 mins
⚽ 1 goal · 26% pass acc · 1 shots on
RATING
8.2
PREDICTIONS
📊 90 MIN TOTALS

Finalised · Match completed

1.92
⚡ EXPECTED GOALS (xG)
0.50
69%
BALL POSSESSION %
31%
25
TOTAL SHOTS
7
9
SHOTS ON TARGET
2
88%
PASS ACCURACY %
69%
6
CORNERS
3
KEY EVENTS 14 events
  1. 21'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Elias Sørensen · assist Thijs Oosting
    PEC
  2. 38'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Daouda Weidmann · assist Sondre Ørjasæter
    TWE
  3. 59'
    Goal · Own Goal
    Dylan Mbayo
    TWE
  4. 66'
    Subst · Substitution 1
    Thijs Oosting · assist Gabriel Reiziger
    PEC
  5. 66'
    Subst · Substitution 2
    Elias Sørensen · assist Odysseus Velanas
    PEC
  6. 66'
    Subst · Substitution 3
    Dylan Mbayo · assist Ibrahim Cissoko
    PEC
  7. 69'
    Subst · Substitution 1
    Bart van Rooij · assist Guilherme Peixoto
    TWE
  8. 69'
    Subst · Substitution 2
    Marko Pjaca · assist Kristian Hlynsson
    TWE
  9. 69'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Daan Rots · assist Ramiz Zerrouki
    TWE
  10. 78'
    Subst · Substitution 4
    Ryan Thomas · assist Nick Fichtinger
    PEC
  11. 80'
    Subst · Substitution 3
    Sondre Ørjasæter · assist Filip Thorvaldsen
    TWE
  12. 80'
    Subst · Substitution 4
    Daouda Weidmann · assist Thomas Van den Belt
    TWE
  13. 82'
    Subst · Substitution 5
    Wout Weghorst · assist Sam Lammers
    TWE
  14. 84'
    Subst · Substitution 5
    Damian van der Haar · assist Tijs Velthuis
    PEC
PLAYER RATINGS · TOP 5 EACH 0–10 scale
TWENTE AVG 7.9
PEC ZWOLLE AVG 7.0
MATCH STATS H vs A
ATTACK
1.9
xG
0.5
25.0
TOTAL SHOTS
7.0
9.0
ON TARGET
2.0
11.0
OFF TARGET
2.0
5.0
BLOCKED
3.0
POSSESSION
69.0%
POSSESSION %
31.0%
603.0
PASSES
275.0
88.0%
PASS ACCURACY
69.0%
SET PIECES
6.0
CORNERS
3.0
1.0
OFFSIDES
0.0
DISCIPLINE
11.0
FOULS
6.0
1.0
GK SAVES
7.0
🎯 SHOT BREAKDOWN

Top shooters · accuracy = on-target / total

player-level shot accuracy · per-shot xG bubbles require xG Advanced tier
TWENTE 11 shots
Daouda Weidmann
3/5
Daan Rots
1/4
Bart van Rooij
1/1
Ruud Nijstad
0/1
PEC ZWOLLE 3 shots
Elias Sørensen
1/2
Tobias Sommer
1/1
📈 xG RACE

Cumulative xG over 90 minutes REAL xG

final xG: 1.92 – 0.50
1.5 1.2 0.8 0.4 1.9 0.0 HT 38' 59' 69' 21' H 1.92 A 0.50 KO 30' 60' FT

Step chart anchored to real goal minutes · final xG from SportMonks · baseline distributes remaining shots evenly across the match

⚡ ATTACK SHARE

Event activity ratio · attacks/cards/subs

zone-based attack maps require broadcast partner (Q3)
H 57%
43% A
8
EVENTS LOGGED
6
EVENTS LOGGED
LINEUPS 4-2-3-1 vs 4-2-3-1
4-2-3-1
4-2-3-1
1
LARS UNNE
29
ASKE ADEL
 7.7
43
RUUD NIJS
3
ROBIN PRö
 7.9
28
BART VAN
 8.2
42
DAOUDA WE
 7.7
6
RAMIZ ZER
27
SONDRE ØR
 8.2
11
DAAN ROTS
7
MARKO PJA
9
WOUT WEGH
 6.9
1
JASPER SC
33
DAMIAN VA
24
NICK VIER
28
SIMON GRA
3
OLIVIER A
 6.6
8
TOBIAS SO
 7.3
30
RYAN THOM
 7.2
9
ELIAS SøR
25
THIJS OOS
11
DYLAN MBA
10
KOEN KOST
SUBSTITUTES · TWENTE
19
Younes Taha
F
17
Filip Thorva...
F
37
Naci Ünüvar
F
10
Sam Lammers
F
14
Kristian Hly...
M
4
Mathias Kjøl...
M
20
Thomas Van d...
M
24
Krzysztof Ku...
D
12
Guilherme Pe...
D
16
Joël Drommel
G
22
Remko Pasvee...
G
25
Lucas Venneg...
F
COACH: John van den Brom
SUBSTITUTES · PEC ZWOLLE
34
Nick Fichtin...
M
38
Givaro Rahaj...
M
20
Gabriel Reiz...
M
26
Jadiel Perei...
M
18
Odysseus Vel...
M
22
Ibrahim Ciss...
F
42
Dylan Ruward
D
6
Jan Bürger
D
4
Tijs Velthui...
D
16
Tom de Graaf...
G
41
Duke Verduin
G
37
Gilles van d...
M
COACH: Henry Van Der Vegt
🏥 UNAVAILABLE PLAYERS
TWE · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

PEC · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

⚖ MATCH OFFICIALS
REFEREE
Allard Lindhout, Netherlands
—
TWE MANAGER
John van den Brom
head coach
PEC MANAGER
Henry Van Der Vegt
head coach
HEAD TO HEAD · ALL-TIME
5
TWE WINS
3
DRAWS
2
PEC WINS
50%
30%
20%
17 – 9
TOTAL GOALS · 10 MEETINGS
2.60
AVG GOALS / MATCH
RECENT MEETINGS SHOWING 5 / 10
10 Jan 2026
Twente
1 – 1
PEC Zwolle
D
10 Aug 2025
PEC Zwolle
1 – 0
Twente
L
13 Apr 2025
PEC Zwolle
1 – 1
Twente
D
14 Sep 2024
Twente
1 – 1
PEC Zwolle
D
19 May 2024
PEC Zwolle
1 – 2
Twente
W
TWENTE LAST 5 OVERALL
D L W D L
PEC ZWOLLE LAST 5 OVERALL
L L L W L
MATCH IMPACT Final 3–1 · result locked
TWENTE #4
Won · already at 58 pts
Promotion - Europa League (Qualification)
PEC ZWOLLE #15
Lost · already at 37 pts
LEAGUE CONTEXT FULL TABLE →
# TEAM P W D L GD PTS FORM
1 PSV Eindhoven 34 27 3 4 +56 84
W W D W W
2 Feyenoord 34 19 8 7 +26 65
W D W W D
3 NEC Nijmegen 34 16 11 7 +24 59
W L D D D
4 Twente 34 15 13 6 +19 58
L W D D W
5 Ajax 34 14 14 6 +21 56
D L D W W
6 Utrecht 34 15 8 11 +13 53
W W W L W
7 AZ Alkmaar 34 14 10 10 +7 52
D D D D W
8 Heerenveen 34 14 9 11 +4 51
D L W W L
9 Groningen 34 14 6 14 +4 48
W W L L D
10 Sparta Rotterdam 34 12 7 15 -22 43
L L D L L
11 Fortuna Sittard 34 11 6 17 -14 39
L W L L D
12 GO Ahead Eagles 34 8 14 12 +1 38
L L D D D
13 Excelsior 34 10 8 16 -13 38
W D W W D
14 Telstar 34 9 10 15 -6 37
W W D W L
15 PEC Zwolle 34 9 10 15 -27 37
L L W L D
16 FC Volendam 34 8 8 18 -20 32
L D L W L
17 NAC Breda 34 6 11 17 -23 29
D W L L D
18 Heracles 34 5 4 25 -50 19
L L L L L
UCL Qualification Europa / Conference Relegation
COMMENTARY
  • 84'
    Subst · Substitution 5 · Damian van der Haar
  • 82'
    Subst · Substitution 5 · Wout Weghorst
  • 80'
    Subst · Substitution 4 · Daouda Weidmann
  • 80'
    Subst · Substitution 3 · Sondre Ørjasæter
  • 78'
    Subst · Substitution 4 · Ryan Thomas
  • 69'
    Goal · Normal Goal · Daan Rots
  • 69'
    Subst · Substitution 2 · Marko Pjaca
  • 69'
    Subst · Substitution 1 · Bart van Rooij
  • 66'
    Subst · Substitution 3 · Dylan Mbayo
  • 66'
    Subst · Substitution 2 · Elias Sørensen
  • 66'
    Subst · Substitution 1 · Thijs Oosting
  • 59'
    Goal · Own Goal · Dylan Mbayo
  • HALF TIME · 1 – 1
  • 38'
    Goal · Normal Goal · Daouda Weidmann
  • 21'
    Goal · Normal Goal · Elias Sørensen
13 BOOKIES
📊 AVERAGE ACROSS 13 BOOKMAKERS
TWENTE WIN
1.25
80% implied
↑ best 1.29
DRAW
6.24
16% implied
↑ best 6.72
PEC ZWOLLE WIN
9.71
10.3% implied
↑ best 11.00

Market favors Twente. AI projects TWENTE 48%.

MATCH WINNER ODDS avg across bookmakers
AI SAYS TWENTE 48% · EDGE column shows AI probability minus market implied probability
BOOKMAKER 1 X 2 EDGE
10Bet 1.23 5.90 11.00 +15.1%
1xBet 1.25 6.71 10.50 +17.1%
888Sport 1.25 6.00 9.00 +15.3%
Bet365 1.27 6.50 8.50 +16.6%
Betano 1.29 6.50 10.50 +16.6%
Betfair 1.22 6.00 10.50 +15.3%
BetVictor 1.25 6.00 10.00 +15.3%
Dafabet 1.28 6.60 9.60 +16.8%
Marathonbet 1.23 6.30 9.90 +16.1%
Pinnacle 1.25 6.72 10.19 +17.1%
SBO 1.22 5.61 8.10 +14.2%
Unibet 1.24 6.25 9.50 +16.0%
William Hill 1.25 6.00 9.00 +15.3%

Best odds in gold. Edge ≥ +5% (lime) means market under-prices the AI's probability. 18+ only.

📊 OTHER MARKETS

Over/Under · BTTS · Asian Handicap

avg across bookmakers
⚽ GOALS · OVER / UNDER
1.5 O 1.10 U 6.40
2.5 O 1.37 U 2.96
3.5 O 1.96 U 1.82
⚽ BOTH TEAMS SCORE
YES
1.75 10 bks
NO
1.99 10 bks
⚖ ASIAN HANDICAP
Away -0.25 4.93
Away -0.5 3.80
Away -0.75 3.47
Away -1 3.11
Away -1.25 2.43
Away -1.5 2.13
📈 MARKET MOVEMENT

How the market shifted before kick-off

historical line movement
7d ago 3d 1d KICK-OFF

Smoothed line illustration · per-snapshot historical odds storage activates Q3.