AI PREDICTION Projects FT 0–2 · NETHERLANDS 87% · Value: Over 2.5 68%
CONF 76 FULL ANALYSIS →
World Cup · GROUP STAGE - 3 · THU, 25 JUN · 23:00 LOCAL
TUNISIA
4TH · 0 PTS · LAST 5:
L L L W
FT
1 3
FULL TIME HT · 0-2
NETHERLANDS
D W D W W
· 1ST · 7 PTS · LAST 5
⚽ 54' H. Mastouri
GOALS
⚽ 3' Ellyes Skhiri (OG) ⚽ 7' B. Brobbey ⚽ 62' J. van Hecke
B. Brobbey
👑
⭐ PLAYER OF THE MATCH
B. Brobbey
Netherlands · 77 mins
⚽ 1 goal · 6% pass acc · 1 shots on
RATING
8.5
PREDICTIONS
📊 90 MIN TOTALS

Finalised · Match completed

28%
BALL POSSESSION %
72%
10
TOTAL SHOTS
20
4
SHOTS ON TARGET
7
4
CORNERS
6
KEY EVENTS 14 events
  1. 3'
    Goal · Own Goal
    Ellyes Skhiri
    NET
  2. 7'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    B. Brobbey · assist V. van Dijk
    NET
  3. 54'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    H. Mastouri · assist H. Mejbri
    TUN
  4. 62'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    J. van Hecke · assist Tijjani Reijnders
    NET
  5. 67'
    Subst · Substitution 1
    R. Khedira · assist H. Mahmoud
    TUN
  6. 68'
    Subst · Substitution 2
    Anis Ben Slimane · assist E. Achouri
    TUN
  7. 68'
    Subst · Substitution 3
    A. Ben Hmida · assist M. Ben Ouanes
    TUN
  8. 72'
    Subst · Substitution 1
    Frenkie de Jong · assist Teun Koopmeiners
    NET
  9. 72'
    Subst · Substitution 2
    Tijjani Reijnders · assist J. Kluivert
    NET
  10. 72'
    Subst · Substitution 3
    D. Malen · assist C. Summerville
    NET
  11. 75'
    Subst · Substitution 4
    Ismaël Gharbi · assist F. Chaouat
    TUN
  12. 77'
    Subst · Substitution 4
    B. Brobbey · assist M. Depay
    NET
  13. 84'
    Subst · Substitution 5
    C. Gakpo · assist Noa Lang
    NET
  14. 90'
    Subst · Substitution 5
    H. Mastouri · assist S. Tounekti
    TUN
PLAYER RATINGS · TOP 5 EACH 0–10 scale
TUNISIA AVG 6.9
NETHERLANDS AVG 7.9
MATCH STATS H vs A
ATTACK
10.0
TOTAL SHOTS
20.0
4.0
ON TARGET
7.0
5.0
OFF TARGET
8.0
1.0
BLOCKED
5.0
POSSESSION
28.0%
POSSESSION %
72.0%
SET PIECES
4.0
CORNERS
6.0
2.0
OFFSIDES
1.0
DISCIPLINE
11.0
FOULS
10.0
0.0
YELLOW CARDS
0.0
0.0
RED CARDS
0.0
4.0
GK SAVES
3.0
🎯 SHOT BREAKDOWN

Top shooters · accuracy = on-target / total

player-level shot accuracy · per-shot xG bubbles require xG Advanced tier
TUNISIA 6 shots
H. Mastouri
2/3
Ismaël Gharbi
0/2
H. Mejbri
1/1
NETHERLANDS 9 shots
Tijjani Reijnders
2/3
B. Brobbey
1/2
J. van Hecke
1/2
V. van Dijk
1/1
Nathan Aké
0/1
⚡ ATTACK SHARE

Event activity ratio · attacks/cards/subs

zone-based attack maps require broadcast partner (Q3)
H 43%
57% A
6
EVENTS LOGGED
8
EVENTS LOGGED
LINEUPS 5-3-2 vs 4-3-3
SUBSTITUTES · TUNISIA
15
H. Mahmoud
M
1
C. Abdelmouh...
G
8
Elias Saad
F
24
R. Chikhaoui
D
14
K. Ayari
F
26
S. Tounekti
F
7
E. Achouri
M
4
O. Rekik
D
19
F. Chaouat
F
12
M. Ben Ouane...
M
6
D. Bronn
D
22
S. Ben Hsan
G
18
Rayan Elloum...
F
COACH: Hervé Renard
SUBSTITUTES · NETHERLANDS
7
J. Kluivert
F
16
Guus Til
M
20
Teun Koopmei...
M
9
Wout Weghors...
F
23
Mark Flekken
G
10
M. Depay
F
2
Lutsharel Ge...
D
17
Noa Lang
F
24
C. Summervil...
F
12
M. Wieffer
M
26
Quinten Timb...
M
15
Micky van de...
D
13
R. Roefs
G
25
J. Hato
D
3
Marten de Ro...
M
COACH: R. Koeman
🏥 UNAVAILABLE PLAYERS
TUN · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

NET · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

⚖ MATCH OFFICIALS
REFEREE
Katia García, Mexico
TUN MANAGER
Hervé Renard
head coach
NET MANAGER
R. Koeman
head coach
HEAD TO HEAD · ALL-TIME
0
TUN WINS
0
DRAWS
1
NET WINS
100%
0 1
TOTAL GOALS · 1 MEETINGS
1.00
AVG GOALS / MATCH
TUNISIA LAST 5 OVERALL
L L L W
NETHERLANDS LAST 5 OVERALL
D W D W W
MATCH IMPACT Final 1–3 · result locked
TUNISIA #4
Lost · already at 0 pts
NETHERLANDS #1
Won · already at 7 pts
Round of 32
LEAGUE CONTEXT FULL TABLE →
# TEAM P W D L GD PTS FORM
1 Mexico 3 3 0 0 +6 9
L W W W W
1 Congo DR 3 1 1 1 +1 4
L W L D
1 England 3 2 1 0 +4 7
W L W W W
1 Colombia 3 2 1 0 +3 7
L W D W W
1 Argentina 3 3 0 0 +7 9
L W W W W
1 France 3 3 0 0 +8 9
L L W W W
1 Spain 3 2 1 0 +5 7
W W W W W
1 Belgium 3 1 2 0 +4 5
L W W W D
1 Netherlands 3 2 1 0 +6 7
L W W D
1 Germany 3 2 0 1 +6 6
L L W W
1 USA 3 2 0 1 +4 6
L W L W W
1 Brazil 3 2 1 0 +6 7
L W W W D
1 Switzerland 3 2 1 0 +4 7
L W W W W
2 Norway 3 2 0 1 +1 6
L W W L W
2 Austria 3 1 1 1 0 4
L D L W
2 Portugal 3 1 2 0 +5 5
L W D W D
2 Croatia 3 2 0 1 0 6
L W W L
2 Sweden 3 1 1 1 0 4
L D L W
2 Cape Verde Islands 3 0 3 0 0 3
L D D D
2 Egypt 3 1 2 0 +2 5
L W D W D
2 Japan 3 1 2 0 +4 5
L D W D
2 Ivory Coast 3 2 0 1 +2 6
L W L W
2 Australia 3 1 1 1 0 4
L D L W
2 Morocco 3 2 1 0 +3 7
L W W W W
2 Canada 3 1 1 1 +5 4
L W L W D
2 South Africa 3 1 1 1 -1 4
L W D L
3 Senegal 3 1 0 2 +2 3
L W L L
3 Algeria 3 1 1 1 -2 4
L D W L
3 Congo DR 3 1 1 1 +1 4
L W L D
3 Ghana 3 1 1 1 0 4
L L D W
3 Ghana 3 1 1 1 0 4
L L D W
3 Uruguay 3 0 2 1 -1 2
L D D
3 Iran 3 0 3 0 0 3
D D D
3 Sweden 3 1 1 1 0 4
L D L W
3 Ecuador 3 1 1 1 0 4
L W D L
3 Paraguay 3 1 1 1 -2 4
L W D W L
3 Scotland 3 1 0 2 -3 3
L L W
3 Bosnia & Herzegovina 3 1 1 1 -1 4
L W L D
3 South Korea 3 1 0 2 -1 3
L L W
4 Iraq 3 0 0 3 -11 0
L L L
4 Jordan 3 0 0 3 -5 0
L L L
4 Uzbekistan 3 0 0 3 -9 0
L L L
4 Panama 3 0 0 3 -4 0
L L L
4 Ecuador 3 1 1 1 0 4
L W D L
4 Saudi Arabia 3 0 2 1 -4 2
D L D
4 New Zealand 3 0 1 2 -6 1
L L D
4 Tunisia 3 0 0 3 -10 0
L L L
4 Czech Republic 3 0 1 2 -4 1
L D L
4 Qatar 3 0 1 2 -8 1
L L D
4 Haiti 3 0 0 3 -6 0
L L L
4 Türkiye 3 1 0 2 -2 3
W L L
4 Curaçao 3 0 1 2 -8 1
L D L
5 Bosnia & Herzegovina 3 1 1 1 -1 4
L W L D
5 New Zealand 1 0 1 0 0 1
D
6 Spain 1 0 1 0 0 1
D
6 Algeria 3 1 1 1 -2 4
L D W L
7 Croatia 2 1 0 1 -1 3
W L
7 Portugal 1 0 1 0 0 1
W D
7 Paraguay 3 1 1 1 -2 4
L W D W L
8 Senegal 3 1 0 2 +2 3
L W L L
9 Czech Republic 2 0 1 1 -1 1
D L
9 Saudi Arabia 2 0 1 1 -4 1
L D
9 Iran 3 0 3 0 0 3
D D D
10 South Korea 3 1 0 2 -1 3
L L W
10 Cape Verde Islands 2 0 2 0 0 2
D D
10 Belgium 2 0 2 0 0 2
D D
11 Scotland 3 1 0 2 -3 3
L L W
11 Panama 1 0 0 1 -1 0
L
11 Jordan 1 0 0 1 -2 0
L
12 Uruguay 3 0 2 1 -1 2
L D D
UCL Qualification Europa / Conference Relegation
COMMENTARY
  • 90'
    Subst · Substitution 5 · H. Mastouri
  • 84'
    Subst · Substitution 5 · C. Gakpo
  • 77'
    Subst · Substitution 4 · B. Brobbey
  • 75'
    Subst · Substitution 4 · Ismaël Gharbi
  • 72'
    Subst · Substitution 3 · D. Malen
  • 72'
    Subst · Substitution 2 · Tijjani Reijnders
  • 72'
    Subst · Substitution 1 · Frenkie de Jong
  • 68'
    Subst · Substitution 3 · A. Ben Hmida
  • 68'
    Subst · Substitution 2 · Anis Ben Slimane
  • 67'
    Subst · Substitution 1 · R. Khedira
  • 62'
    Goal · Normal Goal · J. van Hecke
  • 54'
    Goal · Normal Goal · H. Mastouri
  • HALF TIME · 0 – 2
  • 7'
    Goal · Normal Goal · B. Brobbey
  • 3'
    Goal · Own Goal · Ellyes Skhiri
13 BOOKIES
📊 AVERAGE ACROSS 13 BOOKMAKERS
TUNISIA WIN
24.65
4.1% implied
↑ best 31.00
DRAW
10.13
9.9% implied
↑ best 11.50
NETHERLANDS WIN
1.10
90.9% implied
↑ best 1.14

Market favors Netherlands. AI projects NETHERLANDS 87% · value bet Over 2.5.

MATCH WINNER ODDS avg across bookmakers
AI SAYS NETHERLANDS 87% · EDGE column shows AI probability minus market implied probability
BOOKMAKER 1 X 2 EDGE
10Bet 17.00 10.25 1.09 -0.8%
1xBet 29.00 11.50 1.12 +0.6%
888Sport 21.00 9.00 1.10 -0.8%
Bet365 23.00 10.00 1.10 -0.3%
Betano 28.00 8.75 1.14 +0.4%
Betfair 31.00 11.00 1.10 +0.8%
BetVictor 23.00 10.00 1.08 -0.3%
Marathonbet 25.00 9.90 1.11 0.0%
Pinnacle 28.50 11.00 1.11 +0.5%
SBO 20.00 9.80 1.08 -1.0%
Superbet 23.00 10.00 1.11 -0.3%
Unibet 29.00 11.00 1.09 +0.6%
William Hill 23.00 9.50 1.11 -0.3%

Best odds in gold. Edge ≥ +5% (lime) means market under-prices the AI's probability. 18+ only.

📊 OTHER MARKETS

Over/Under · BTTS · Asian Handicap

avg across bookmakers
⚽ GOALS · OVER / UNDER
1.5 O 1.10 U 6.20
2.5 O 1.37 U 2.94
3.5 O 2.00 U 1.80
⚽ BOTH TEAMS SCORE
YES
2.46 11 bks
NO
1.50 11 bks
⚖ ASIAN HANDICAP
Away -0.25 1.08
Away -0.5 1.03
Away -0.75 1.00
Away -1 1.01
Away -1.5 1.01
Away +0 1.03
📈 MARKET MOVEMENT

How the market shifted before kick-off

historical line movement
7d ago 3d 1d KICK-OFF

Smoothed line illustration · per-snapshot historical odds storage activates Q3.