GOALSENSE
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AI PREDICTION Projects FT 1–2 · SAN JOSE EARTHQUAKES 48% · Value: Over 2.5 62%
CONF 58 FULL ANALYSIS →
Major League Soccer · REGULAR SEASON - 11 · SAT, 02 MAY · 17:00 LOCAL
TORONTO FC
12TH · 16 PTS · LAST 5:
L D D L L
FT
1 – 1
FULL TIME HT · 1-1
SAN JOSE EARTHQUAKES
D L W L L
· 3RD · 33 PTS · LAST 5
⚽ 2' Dániel Sallói
GOALS
⚽ 13' Preston Judd
Reid Roberts
👑
⭐ PLAYER OF THE MATCH
Reid Roberts
San Jose Earthquakes · 93 mins
· 65% pass acc
RATING
8.5
PREDICTIONS
▶ MATCH HIGHLIGHTS

Goals, key moments & recap 1 CLIP

powered by Highlightly
Major League Soccer: Toronto FC vs San Jose Earthquakes
Open in Youtube ↗
📊 90 MIN TOTALS

Finalised · Match completed

0.93
⚡ EXPECTED GOALS (xG)
1.02
49%
BALL POSSESSION %
51%
11
TOTAL SHOTS
10
2
SHOTS ON TARGET
4
80%
PASS ACCURACY %
83%
8
CORNERS
10
KEY EVENTS 14 events
  1. 2'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Dániel Sallói · assist Jonathan Osorio
    TOR
  2. 13'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Preston Judd · assist Niko Tsakiris
    SAN
  3. 17'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Beau Leroux
    SAN
  4. 37'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Ronaldo Vieira
    SAN
  5. 47'
    Subst · Substitution 1
    Lazar Stefanovic · assist Micah Chisholm
    TOR
  6. 56'
    Subst · Substitution 1
    Niko Tsakiris · assist Nick Fernandez
    SAN
  7. 68'
    Subst · Substitution 2
    Preston Judd · assist Paul Marie
    SAN
  8. 68'
    Subst · Substitution 3
    Jack Skahan · assist Ian Harkes
    SAN
  9. 70'
    Subst · Substitution 2
    Malik Henry · assist Derrick Etienne
    TOR
  10. 70'
    Subst · Substitution 3
    Emilio Aristizábal · assist Deandre Kerr
    TOR
  11. 77'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Jonathan Osorio
    TOR
  12. 77'
    Subst · Substitution 4
    Markus Cimermancic · assist Antone Bossenberry
    TOR
  13. 90'+1
    Card · Yellow Card
    Alonso Coello
    TOR
  14. 90'+5
    Subst · Substitution 5
    Zane Monlouis · assist Walker Zimmerman
    TOR
PLAYER RATINGS · TOP 5 EACH 0–10 scale
TORONTO FC AVG 7.2
SAN JOSE EARTHQUAKES AVG 7.4
MATCH STATS H vs A
ATTACK
0.9
xG
1.0
11.0
TOTAL SHOTS
10.0
2.0
ON TARGET
4.0
3.0
OFF TARGET
5.0
6.0
BLOCKED
1.0
POSSESSION
49.0%
POSSESSION %
51.0%
400.0
PASSES
415.0
80.0%
PASS ACCURACY
83.0%
SET PIECES
8.0
CORNERS
10.0
1.0
OFFSIDES
2.0
DISCIPLINE
16.0
FOULS
7.0
2.0
YELLOW CARDS
2.0
3.0
GK SAVES
0.0
🎯 SHOT BREAKDOWN

Top shooters · accuracy = on-target / total

player-level shot accuracy · per-shot xG bubbles require xG Advanced tier
TORONTO FC 2 shots
Dániel Sallói
2/2
SAN JOSE EARTHQUAKES 3 shots
Preston Judd
1/2
Beau Leroux
1/1
📈 xG RACE

Cumulative xG over 90 minutes REAL xG

final xG: 0.93 – 1.02
0.8 0.6 0.4 0.2 1.0 0.0 HT 2' 13' H 0.93 A 1.02 KO 30' 60' FT

Step chart anchored to real goal minutes · final xG from SportMonks · baseline distributes remaining shots evenly across the match

⚡ ATTACK SHARE

Event activity ratio · attacks/cards/subs

zone-based attack maps require broadcast partner (Q3)
H 57%
43% A
8
EVENTS LOGGED
6
EVENTS LOGGED
LINEUPS 4-2-3-1 vs 4-2-3-1
4-2-3-1
4-2-3-1
7.0
1
LUKA GAVR
 7.3
44
RAHEEM ED
76
LAZAR STE
12
ZANE MONL
 7.2
19
KOBE FRAN
21
JONATHAN
14
ALONSO CO
 7.7
20
DáNIEL SA
71
MARKUS CI
78
MALIK HEN
17
EMILIO AR
42
DANIEL
 6.9
2
JAMAR RIC
 8.5
18
REID ROBE
5
DANIEL MU
 7.2
28
BENJAMIN
 6.9
34
BEAU LERO
14
RONALDO V
16
JACK SKAH
10
NIKO TSAK
7
OUSSENI B
 7.5
19
PRESTON J
SUBSTITUTES · TORONTO FC
64
Jahmarie Nol...
F
79
Fletcher Ban...
F
11
Derrick Etie...
F
56
Antone Bosse...
M
25
Walker Zimme...
D
77
Adisa De Ros...
G
23
William Yarb...
G
73
Micah Chisho...
D
29
Deandre Kerr
F
COACH: Robin Fraser
SUBSTITUTES · SAN JOSE EARTHQUAKES
40
Jonathan Gon...
M
17
Jack Jasinsk...
D
4
Dave Romney
D
25
Max Floriani
D
22
Nate Crockfo...
G
3
Paul Marie
D
6
Ian Harkes
M
20
Nick Fernand...
M
32
Nonso Adimab...
F
COACH: Bruce Arena
🏥 UNAVAILABLE PLAYERS
TOR · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

SAN · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

⚖ MATCH OFFICIALS
REFEREE
M. Venne
—
TOR MANAGER
Robin Fraser
head coach
SAN MANAGER
Bruce Arena
head coach
HEAD TO HEAD · ALL-TIME
3
TOR WINS
4
DRAWS
3
SAN WINS
30%
40%
30%
16 – 12
TOTAL GOALS · 10 MEETINGS
2.80
AVG GOALS / MATCH
RECENT MEETINGS SHOWING 5 / 10
26 Mar 2023
San Jose Earthquakes
0 – 0
Toronto FC
D
09 Jul 2022
Toronto FC
2 – 2
San Jose Earthquakes
D
29 Feb 2020
San Jose Earthquakes
2 – 2
Toronto FC
D
26 May 2019
Toronto FC
1 – 2
San Jose Earthquakes
L
19 Aug 2018
San Jose Earthquakes
1 – 1
Toronto FC
D
TORONTO FC LAST 5 OVERALL
L D D L L
SAN JOSE EARTHQUAKES LAST 5 OVERALL
D L W L L
MATCH IMPACT Final 1–1 · result locked
TORONTO FC #12
Lost · already at 16 pts
SAN JOSE EARTHQUAKES #3
Lost · already at 33 pts
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs: 1/8-finals)
LEAGUE CONTEXT FULL TABLE →
# TEAM P W D L GD PTS FORM
1 Vancouver Whitecaps 16 10 3 3 +21 33
D L W L W
1 Nashville SC 17 12 3 2 +21 39
L W W W W
2 Los Angeles FC 18 10 3 5 +16 33
W W W W L
2 Inter Miami 17 11 4 2 +13 37
W W W W W
3 San Jose Earthquakes 17 10 3 4 +15 33
D L W L L
3 New England Revolution 16 9 2 5 +7 29
W D L W L
4 Chicago Fire 16 8 2 6 +8 26
L L W W W
4 Real Salt Lake 16 8 2 6 +4 26
L L D W W
5 Houston Dynamo 16 8 2 6 -1 26
W D D W L
5 New York City FC 17 7 4 6 +7 25
W W L D W
6 FC Dallas 17 7 5 5 +7 26
L D W W L
6 Charlotte 17 7 4 6 +3 25
W D W W L
7 St. Louis City 17 7 4 6 0 25
W W W W D
7 FC Cincinnati 17 6 5 6 -1 23
L W W D L
8 New York Red Bulls 17 6 4 7 -11 22
L L W D W
8 Seattle Sounders 16 7 3 6 -1 24
L L L L L
9 Minnesota United FC 17 6 5 6 -5 23
D L D L L
9 DC United 17 5 7 5 -3 22
W D D D L
10 Portland Timbers 17 6 3 8 -1 21
W D W L L
10 Orlando City SC 17 6 2 9 -16 20
W W L D W
11 Los Angeles Galaxy 18 5 6 7 -5 21
D L L D W
11 Columbus Crew 17 5 4 8 -2 19
W L W D L
12 Toronto FC 17 3 7 7 -8 16
L D D L L
12 San Diego 17 5 5 7 +3 20
W L L D W
13 Colorado Rapids 17 6 1 10 +1 19
L W L L W
13 CF Montreal 17 4 3 10 -11 15
L L D D L
14 Austin 17 4 5 8 -13 17
L W L L L
14 Philadelphia Union 17 3 4 10 -9 13
W W L D L
15 Sporting Kansas City 17 4 2 11 -26 14
L W L L W
15 Atlanta United FC 17 3 3 11 -13 12
L D L L D
UCL Qualification Europa / Conference Relegation
COMMENTARY
  • 90'+5
    Subst · Substitution 5 · Zane Monlouis
  • 90'+1
    Card · Yellow Card · Alonso Coello
  • 77'
    Subst · Substitution 4 · Markus Cimermancic
  • 77'
    Card · Yellow Card · Jonathan Osorio
  • 70'
    Subst · Substitution 3 · Emilio Aristizábal
  • 70'
    Subst · Substitution 2 · Malik Henry
  • 68'
    Subst · Substitution 3 · Jack Skahan
  • 68'
    Subst · Substitution 2 · Preston Judd
  • 56'
    Subst · Substitution 1 · Niko Tsakiris
  • 47'
    Subst · Substitution 1 · Lazar Stefanovic
  • HALF TIME · 1 – 1
  • 37'
    Card · Yellow Card · Ronaldo Vieira
  • 17'
    Card · Yellow Card · Beau Leroux
  • 13'
    Goal · Normal Goal · Preston Judd
  • 2'
    Goal · Normal Goal · Dániel Sallói
11 BOOKIES
📊 AVERAGE ACROSS 11 BOOKMAKERS
TORONTO FC WIN
3.36
29.8% implied
↑ best 3.56
DRAW
3.67
27.2% implied
↑ best 3.85
SAN JOSE EARTHQU WIN
2.03
49.3% implied
↑ best 2.09

Market favors San Jose Earthquakes. AI projects SAN JOSE EARTHQUAKES 48% · value bet Over 2.5.

MATCH WINNER ODDS avg across bookmakers
AI SAYS SAN JOSE EARTHQUAKES 48% · EDGE column shows AI probability minus market implied probability
BOOKMAKER 1 X 2 EDGE
10Bet 3.20 3.80 2.02 -1.5%
Bet365 3.40 3.80 2.00 -1.4%
Betano 3.45 3.65 2.07 -0.3%
Betfair 3.30 3.60 2.05 -0.8%
BetVictor 3.30 3.75 2.00 -2.0%
Dafabet 3.40 3.75 2.09 +0.2%
Marathonbet 3.40 3.56 2.01 -1.4%
Pinnacle 3.56 3.76 2.05 -0.1%
SBO 3.12 3.55 2.05 -0.8%
Unibet 3.50 3.85 1.94 -0.6%
William Hill 3.30 3.30 2.00 -2.0%

Best odds in gold. Edge ≥ +5% (lime) means market under-prices the AI's probability. 18+ only.

📊 OTHER MARKETS

Over/Under · BTTS · Asian Handicap

avg across bookmakers
⚽ GOALS · OVER / UNDER
1.5 O 1.17 U 4.86
2.5 O 1.59 U 2.33
3.5 O 2.43 U 1.53
⚽ BOTH TEAMS SCORE
YES
1.51 8 bks
NO
2.43 8 bks
⚖ ASIAN HANDICAP
Away -0.25 1.39
Away -0.5 1.35
Away -0.75 1.24
Away -1 1.13
Away -1.25 1.09
Away -1.5 1.07
📈 MARKET MOVEMENT

How the market shifted before kick-off

historical line movement
7d ago 3d 1d KICK-OFF

Smoothed line illustration · per-snapshot historical odds storage activates Q3.