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AI PREDICTION Projects FT 1–2 · INTER MIAMI 48%
CONF 52 FULL ANALYSIS →
Major League Soccer · REGULAR SEASON - 13 · SAT, 09 MAY · 17:00 LOCAL
TORONTO FC
13TH · 14 PTS · LAST 5:
L L D L D
FT
2 – 4
FULL TIME HT · 0-1
INTER MIAMI
W W W L D
· 2ND · 31 PTS · LAST 5
⚽ 82' Emilio Aristizábal ⚽ 90' Emilio Aristizábal
GOALS
⚽ 44' Rodrigo De Paul ⚽ 56' Luis Suárez ⚽ 73' Sergio Reguilón ⚽ 75' Lionel Messi 
Lionel Messi
👑
⭐ PLAYER OF THE MATCH
Lionel Messi
Inter Miami · Captain · 97 mins
⚽ 1 goal · 🅰 2 assists · 35% pass acc · 3 shots on
RATING
9.2
PREDICTIONS
▶ MATCH HIGHLIGHTS

Goals, key moments & recap 1 CLIP

powered by Highlightly
Major League Soccer: Toronto FC vs Inter Miami
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📊 90 MIN TOTALS

Finalised · Match completed

85%
BALL POSSESSION %
102%
13
TOTAL SHOTS
11
5
SHOTS ON TARGET
7
303%
PASS ACCURACY %
507%
4
CORNERS
4
KEY EVENTS 16 events
  1. 44'
    Goal · 0-1
    Rodrigo De Paul
    INT
  2. 51'
    Card · Foul
    Raheem Edwards
    TOR
  3. 56'
    Goal · 0-2
    Luis Suárez · assist Lionel Messi 
    INT
  4. 61'
    Card · Argument
    Luis Suárez
    INT
  5. 65'
    Subst
    Emilio Aristizábal · assist Deandre Kerr 
    TOR
  6. 65'
    Subst
    Derrick Etienne Jr. · assist Markus Cimermancic
    TOR
  7. 68'
    Subst
    Sergio Reguilón · assist Noah Allen
    INT
  8. 70'
    Subst
    Micah Chisholm · assist Raheem Edwards
    TOR
  9. 73'
    Goal · 0-3
    Sergio Reguilón · assist Lionel Messi 
    INT
  10. 75'
    Goal · 0-4
    Lionel Messi  · assist Rodrigo De Paul
    INT
  11. 78'
    Subst
    David Ayala · assist Yannick Bright
    INT
  12. 78'
    Subst
    Dániel Pintér · assist Luis Suárez
    INT
  13. 78'
    Subst
    P. Plambeck · assist Telasco Segovia
    INT
  14. 82'
    Goal · 1-4
    Emilio Aristizábal · assist Dániel Sallói
    TOR
  15. 89'
    Card · Foul
    Dániel Pintér
    INT
  16. 90'
    Goal · 2-4
    Emilio Aristizábal · assist Kobe Franklin
    TOR
PLAYER RATINGS · TOP 5 EACH 0–10 scale
TORONTO FC AVG 7.4
INTER MIAMI AVG 8.0
MATCH STATS H vs A
ATTACK
13.0
TOTAL SHOTS
11.0
5.0
ON TARGET
7.0
6.0
OFF TARGET
3.0
2.0
BLOCKED
1.0
POSSESSION
85.0%
POSSESSION %
102.0%
371.0
PASSES
579.0
303.0%
PASS ACCURACY
507.0%
SET PIECES
4.0
CORNERS
4.0
16.0
OFFSIDES
15.0
DISCIPLINE
9.0
FOULS
12.0
1.0
YELLOW CARDS
2.0
2.0
GK SAVES
3.0
🎯 SHOT BREAKDOWN

Top shooters · accuracy = on-target / total

player-level shot accuracy · per-shot xG bubbles require xG Advanced tier
TORONTO FC 5 shots
Emilio Aristizábal
2/2
Dániel Sallói
1/2
Alonso Coello
1/1
INTER MIAMI 6 shots
Lionel Messi
3/5
Rodrigo De Paul
1/1
⚡ ATTACK SHARE

Event activity ratio · attacks/cards/subs

zone-based attack maps require broadcast partner (Q3)
H 38%
62% A
6
EVENTS LOGGED
10
EVENTS LOGGED
LINEUPS 4-2-3-1 vs 4-3-3
4-2-3-1
4-3-3
7.0
1
LUKA GAVR
44
RAHEEM ED
12
ZANE MONL
25
WALKER ZI
19
KOBE FRAN
 7.2
21
J. OSORIO
 7.2
14
ALONSO CO
 7.0
20
DáNIEL SA
71
MARKUS CI
78
MALIK HEN
29
DEANDRE K
 7.7
97
D. ST. CL
32
NOAH ALLE
16
MICAEL
 7.3
2
GONZALO L
4
FACUNDO M
8
T. SEGOVI
 7.2
42
YANNICK B
 8.5
7
RODRIGO D
19
GERMáN BE
9
LUIS SUáR
 9.2
10
LIONEL ME
SUBSTITUTES · TORONTO FC
79
Fletcher Ban...
F
64
Jahmarie Nol...
F
11
D. Etienne
F
73
Micah Chisho...
D
15
Nickseon Gom...
D
98
Stefan Kapor
D
23
William Yarb...
G
77
Adisa De Ros...
G
17
Emilio Arist...
F
COACH: Robin Fraser
SUBSTITUTES · INTER MIAMI
56
Daniel Pinte...
F
22
David Ayala
M
59
Preston Plam...
M
41
David Ruíz
M
88
Alexander Sh...
M
37
Maximiliano...
D
3
Sergio Regui...
D
34
Rocco Ríos N...
G
24
Mateo Silvet...
F
COACH: Guillermo Hoyos Angel
🏥 UNAVAILABLE PLAYERS
TOR · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

INT · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

⚖ MATCH OFFICIALS
REFEREE
V. Rivas
—
TOR MANAGER
Robin Fraser
head coach
INT MANAGER
Guillermo Hoyos Angel
head coach
HEAD TO HEAD · ALL-TIME
1
TOR WINS
2
DRAWS
7
INT WINS
10%
20%
70%
9 – 20
TOTAL GOALS · 10 MEETINGS
2.90
AVG GOALS / MATCH
RECENT MEETINGS SHOWING 5 / 10
27 Sep 2025
Toronto FC
1 – 1
Inter Miami
D
06 Apr 2025
Inter Miami
1 – 1
Toronto FC
D
05 Oct 2024
Toronto FC
0 – 1
Inter Miami
L
17 Jul 2024
Inter Miami
3 – 1
Toronto FC
L
20 Sep 2023
Inter Miami
4 – 0
Toronto FC
L
TORONTO FC LAST 5 OVERALL
L L D L D
INTER MIAMI LAST 5 OVERALL
W W W L D
MATCH IMPACT Final 2–4 · result locked
TORONTO FC #13
Lost · already at 14 pts
INTER MIAMI #2
Won · already at 31 pts
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs: 1/8-finals)
LEAGUE CONTEXT FULL TABLE →
# TEAM P W D L GD PTS FORM
1 Vancouver Whitecaps 14 10 2 2 +22 32
W L W D D
1 Nashville SC 14 10 3 1 +20 33
W W W D D
2 San Jose Earthquakes 15 10 2 3 +19 32
W L L D D
2 Inter Miami 15 9 4 2 +11 31
W W W W L
3 Real Salt Lake 14 8 2 4 +7 26
D W W L W
3 Chicago Fire 14 8 2 4 +11 26
W W W L L
4 New England Revolution 14 8 1 5 +4 25
L W L W W
4 FC Dallas 15 7 4 4 +8 25
W W L W W
5 Los Angeles FC 15 7 3 5 +7 24
W L L L D
5 New York Red Bulls 15 6 4 5 -7 22
W D W W L
6 Seattle Sounders 13 7 3 3 +6 24
L L W D D
6 Charlotte 15 6 3 6 +1 21
W W L D L
7 Houston Dynamo 14 7 1 6 -4 22
D W L W W
7 FC Cincinnati 15 5 5 5 -1 20
W D L D W
8 New York City FC 15 5 4 6 +4 19
L D W W L
8 Minnesota United FC 15 6 4 5 -4 22
D L L D W
9 Los Angeles Galaxy 15 5 5 5 0 20
D W L W D
9 DC United 15 4 6 5 -4 18
D D L D W
10 San Diego 15 4 5 6 +3 17
L D W D D
10 Columbus Crew 15 4 4 7 -2 16
W D L L L
11 Colorado Rapids 15 5 1 9 +1 16
L L W L L
11 CF Montreal 14 4 2 8 -9 14
D L D W L
12 Orlando City SC 15 4 2 9 -21 14
L D W L W
12 St. Louis City 14 4 4 6 -4 16
W D W W L
13 Portland Timbers 14 4 2 8 -6 14
L L D W L
13 Toronto FC 14 3 5 6 -7 14
L L L D L
14 Austin 15 3 5 7 -12 14
L L L D W
14 Atlanta United FC 14 3 2 9 -9 11
L D L W W
15 Sporting Kansas City 14 3 2 9 -22 11
L W W L D
15 Philadelphia Union 15 1 4 10 -12 7
L D L L D
UCL Qualification Europa / Conference Relegation
COMMENTARY
  • 90'
    Goal · 2-4 · Emilio Aristizábal
    6th Goal
  • 89'
    Card · Foul · Dániel Pintér
    3rd Yellowcard
  • 82'
    Goal · 1-4 · Emilio Aristizábal
    5th Goal
  • 78'
    Subst · P. Plambeck
    7th Substitution
  • 78'
    Subst · Dániel Pintér
    6th Substitution
  • 78'
    Subst · David Ayala
    5th Substitution
  • 75'
    Goal · 0-4 · Lionel Messi 
    4th Goal
  • 73'
    Goal · 0-3 · Sergio Reguilón
    3rd Goal
  • 70'
    Subst · Micah Chisholm
    4th Substitution
  • 68'
    Subst · Sergio Reguilón
    3rd Substitution
  • 65'
    Subst · Derrick Etienne Jr.
    2nd Substitution
  • 65'
    Subst · Emilio Aristizábal
    1st Substitution
  • 61'
    Card · Argument · Luis Suárez
    2nd Yellowcard
  • 56'
    Goal · 0-2 · Luis Suárez
    2nd Goal
  • 51'
    Card · Foul · Raheem Edwards
    1st Yellowcard
  • HALF TIME · 0 – 1
  • 44'
    Goal · 0-1 · Rodrigo De Paul
    1st Goal
12 BOOKIES
📊 AVERAGE ACROSS 12 BOOKMAKERS
TORONTO FC WIN
3.70
27% implied
↑ best 3.85
DRAW
4.26
23.5% implied
↑ best 4.62
INTER MIAMI WIN
1.79
55.9% implied
↑ best 1.85

Market favors Inter Miami. AI projects INTER MIAMI 48%.

MATCH WINNER ODDS avg across bookmakers
AI SAYS INTER MIAMI 48% · EDGE column shows AI probability minus market implied probability
BOOKMAKER 1 X 2 EDGE
10Bet 3.65 4.10 1.81 +0.6%
888Sport 3.50 4.00 1.80 -0.6%
Bet365 3.75 4.50 1.75 +1.8%
Betano 3.65 4.45 1.82 +1.5%
Betfair 3.75 4.33 1.75 +1.3%
BetVictor 3.80 4.20 1.75 +1.7%
Dafabet 3.80 4.40 1.83 +1.7%
Marathonbet 3.70 4.33 1.75 +1.0%
Pinnacle 3.85 4.62 1.79 +2.4%
SBO 3.64 4.00 1.78 +0.5%
Unibet 3.65 3.95 1.85 +0.6%
William Hill 3.60 4.20 1.75 +0.2%

Best odds in gold. Edge ≥ +5% (lime) means market under-prices the AI's probability. 18+ only.

📊 OTHER MARKETS

Over/Under · BTTS · Asian Handicap

avg across bookmakers
⚽ GOALS · OVER / UNDER
1.5 O 1.11 U 6.19
2.5 O 1.40 U 2.84
3.5 O 2.03 U 1.76
⚽ BOTH TEAMS SCORE
YES
1.41 9 bks
NO
2.70 9 bks
⚖ ASIAN HANDICAP
Away -0.25 1.33
Away -0.5 1.32
Away -0.75 1.21
Away -1 1.08
Away -1.25 1.07
Away -1.5 1.07
📈 MARKET MOVEMENT

How the market shifted before kick-off

historical line movement
7d ago 3d 1d KICK-OFF

Smoothed line illustration · per-snapshot historical odds storage activates Q3.