GOALSENSE
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AI PREDICTION Projects FT 1–1 · TORONTO FC 38%
CONF 18 FULL ANALYSIS →
Major League Soccer · REGULAR SEASON - 10 · SAT 25 APR · 17:00 LOCAL
TORONTO FC
6TH · 13 PTS · LAST 5:
D D D D L
FT
1 – 2
FULL TIME HT · 0-0
ATLANTA UNITED FC
L L D D W
· 13TH · 7 PTS · LAST 5
⚽ 71' Emilio Aristizábal
GOALS
⚽ 48' Aleksey Miranchuk ⚽ 67' Tristan Muyumba
Tristan Muyumba
👑
⭐ PLAYER OF THE MATCH
Tristan Muyumba
Atlanta United FC · 90 mins
⚽ 1 goal · 40% pass acc · 1 shots on
RATING
7.9
PREDICTIONS
▶ MATCH HIGHLIGHTS

Goals, key moments & recap 4 CLIPS

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Major League Soccer: Toronto FC vs Atlanta United FC
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Major League Soccer: Toronto FC vs Atlanta United…
Major League Soccer: Toronto FC vs Atlanta United…
Major League Soccer: Toronto FC vs Atlanta United…
📊 90 MIN TOTALS

Finalised · Match completed

0.59
⚡ EXPECTED GOALS (xG)
0.82
51%
BALL POSSESSION %
49%
9
TOTAL SHOTS
6
2
SHOTS ON TARGET
2
80%
PASS ACCURACY %
81%
8
CORNERS
7
KEY EVENTS 15 events
  1. 20'
    Subst · Substitution 1
    Benjamin Kuscevic · assist Lazar Stefanovic
    TOR
  2. 22'
    Var · Goal Disallowed - offside
    Cayman Togashi
    ATL
  3. 27'
    Subst · Substitution 1
    Cayman Togashi · assist Emmanuel Latte Lath
    ATL
  4. 30'
    Subst · Substitution 2
    José Cifuentes · assist Derrick Etienne Junior
    TOR
  5. 38'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Stian Gregersen
    ATL
  6. 45'+2
    Card · Yellow Card
    Cooper Sanchez
    ATL
  7. 48'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Aleksey Miranchuk
    ATL
  8. 59'
    Subst · Substitution 2
    Luke Brennan · assist Fafà Picault
    ATL
  9. 67'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Tristan Muyumba
    ATL
  10. 71'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Emilio Aristizábal · assist Kobe Franklin
    TOR
  11. 72'
    Subst · Substitution 3
    Alonso Coello · assist Antone Bossenberry
    TOR
  12. 72'
    Subst · Substitution 4
    Josh Sargent · assist Jules-Anthony Vilsaint
    TOR
  13. 72'
    Subst · Substitution 5
    Emilio Aristizábal · assist Malik Henry
    TOR
  14. 77'
    Subst · Substitution 4
    Cooper Sanchez · assist Matías Galarza
    ATL
  15. 77'
    Subst · Substitution 3
    Aleksey Miranchuk · assist William Reilly
    ATL
PLAYER RATINGS · TOP 5 EACH 0–10 scale
TORONTO FC AVG 7.1
ATLANTA UNITED FC AVG 7.3
MATCH STATS H vs A
ATTACK
0.6
xG
0.8
9.0
TOTAL SHOTS
6.0
2.0
ON TARGET
2.0
3.0
OFF TARGET
3.0
4.0
BLOCKED
1.0
POSSESSION
51.0%
POSSESSION %
49.0%
442.0
PASSES
436.0
80.0%
PASS ACCURACY
81.0%
SET PIECES
8.0
CORNERS
7.0
2.0
OFFSIDES
4.0
DISCIPLINE
10.0
FOULS
15.0
0.0
YELLOW CARDS
2.0
0.0
GK SAVES
1.0
🎯 SHOT BREAKDOWN

Top shooters · accuracy = on-target / total

player-level shot accuracy · per-shot xG bubbles require xG Advanced tier
TORONTO FC 3 shots
Emilio Aristizábal
1/2
Zane Monlouis
1/1
ATLANTA UNITED FC 3 shots
Aleksey Miranchuk
1/2
Tristan Muyumba
1/1
📈 xG RACE

Cumulative xG over 90 minutes REAL xG

final xG: 0.59 – 0.82
0.7 0.5 0.3 0.2 0.8 0.0 HT 71' 48' 67' H 0.59 A 0.82 KO 30' 60' FT

Step chart anchored to real goal minutes · final xG from SportMonks · baseline distributes remaining shots evenly across the match

⚡ ATTACK SHARE

Event activity ratio · attacks/cards/subs

zone-based attack maps require broadcast partner (Q3)
H 40%
60% A
6
EVENTS LOGGED
9
EVENTS LOGGED
LINEUPS 4-1-4-1 vs 4-1-4-1
4-1-4-1
4-1-4-1
1
LUKA GAVR
44
RAHEEM ED
 7.2
13
BENJAMIN
 6.9
12
ZANE MONL
19
KOBE FRAN
14
ALONSO CO
20
DáNIEL SA
 7.2
21
JONATHAN
8
JOSé CIFU
 7.2
17
EMILIO AR
9
JOSH SARG
1
LUCAS HOY
3
ELíAS BáE
6
JUAN BERR
5
STIAN GRE
 6.9
47
MATTHEW E
 7.9
8
TRISTAN M
20
LUKE BREN
35
AJANI FOR
48
COOPER SA
 7.7
59
ALEKSEY M
30
CAYMAN TO
SUBSTITUTES · TORONTO FC
75
Reid Fisher
D
38
Jackson Gilm...
D
23
William Yarb...
G
99
Jules-Anthon...
F
78
Malik Henry
M
56
Antone Bosse...
M
11
Derrick Etie...
F
76
Lazar Stefan...
D
71
Markus Cimer...
M
COACH: Robin Fraser
SUBSTITUTES · ATLANTA UNITED FC
4
Enea Mihaj
D
18
Pedro Amador
D
2
Ronald Herná...
D
42
Jayden Hibbe...
G
88
Matías Galar...
M
28
William Reil...
M
22
Fafà Picault
F
9
Emmanuel Lat...
F
11
Saba Lobzhan...
F
COACH: Gerardo Martino
🏥 UNAVAILABLE PLAYERS
TOR · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

ATL · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

⚖ MATCH OFFICIALS
REFEREE
Ismail Elfath, USA
—
TOR MANAGER
Robin Fraser
head coach
ATL MANAGER
Gerardo Martino
head coach
HEAD TO HEAD · ALL-TIME
2
TOR WINS
5
DRAWS
3
ATL WINS
20%
50%
30%
12 – 14
TOTAL GOALS · 10 MEETINGS
2.60
AVG GOALS / MATCH
RECENT MEETINGS SHOWING 5 / 10
24 Aug 25
Atlanta United FC
0 – 0
Toronto FC
D
12 Jul 25
Toronto FC
1 – 1
Atlanta United FC
D
29 Jun 24
Atlanta United FC
2 – 1
Toronto FC
L
23 Mar 24
Toronto FC
2 – 0
Atlanta United FC
W
15 Apr 23
Toronto FC
2 – 2
Atlanta United FC
D
TORONTO FC LAST 5 OVERALL
D D D D L
ATLANTA UNITED FC LAST 5 OVERALL
L L D D W
MATCH IMPACT Final 1–2 · result locked
TORONTO FC #6
Lost · already at 13 pts
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs: 1/8-finals)
ATLANTA UNITED FC #13
Won · already at 7 pts
LEAGUE CONTEXT FULL TABLE →
# TEAM P W D L GD PTS FORM
1 San Jose Earthquakes 10 9 0 1 +19 27
W W W W W
1 Nashville SC 9 7 1 1 +15 22
W W W L W
2 Vancouver Whitecaps 9 8 0 1 +20 24
W W W W L
2 Inter Miami 10 5 4 1 +4 19
D W W D D
3 Los Angeles FC 10 6 2 2 +11 20
W D L L W
3 Chicago Fire 9 5 2 2 +9 17
W D W W W
4 New England Revolution 9 5 1 3 +5 16
D W W W W
4 Seattle Sounders 8 6 1 1 +8 19
W W W D W
5 Minnesota United FC 10 5 2 3 -3 17
L W W W W
5 Charlotte 10 4 2 4 0 14
L L W L W
6 Real Salt Lake 9 5 1 3 +3 16
L L W W D
6 Toronto FC 10 3 4 3 -2 13
L D D D W
7 Colorado Rapids 10 4 1 5 +4 13
L D L W L
7 New York City FC 10 3 3 4 +3 12
L D L L D
8 Columbus Crew 10 3 3 4 +1 12
W W L D W
8 FC Dallas 10 3 4 3 +3 13
L L D D W
9 Houston Dynamo 9 4 0 5 -6 12
L W W L L
9 FC Cincinnati 10 3 3 4 -4 12
W D D D L
10 Los Angeles Galaxy 10 3 3 4 -1 12
W L D W L
10 DC United 10 3 3 4 -4 12
W D D L L
11 San Diego 10 3 2 5 0 11
L L L L L
11 New York Red Bulls 10 3 3 4 -9 12
L D L D W
12 CF Montreal 9 3 0 6 -7 9
W W L L L
12 Portland Timbers 9 3 1 5 -6 10
W L W L D
13 Austin 10 2 4 4 -5 10
W L D L D
13 Atlanta United FC 10 2 1 7 -8 7
W L L L L
14 St. Louis City 9 1 3 5 -7 6
L L D D W
14 Orlando City SC 10 2 1 7 -17 7
L W L D L
15 Sporting Kansas City 9 1 1 7 -18 4
L L L L L
15 Philadelphia Union 10 1 2 7 -8 5
L D D W L
UCL Qualification Europa / Conference Relegation
COMMENTARY
  • 77'
    Subst · Substitution 3 · Aleksey Miranchuk
  • 77'
    Subst · Substitution 4 · Cooper Sanchez
  • 72'
    Subst · Substitution 5 · Emilio Aristizábal
  • 72'
    Subst · Substitution 4 · Josh Sargent
  • 72'
    Subst · Substitution 3 · Alonso Coello
  • 71'
    Goal · Normal Goal · Emilio Aristizábal
  • 67'
    Goal · Normal Goal · Tristan Muyumba
  • 59'
    Subst · Substitution 2 · Luke Brennan
  • 48'
    Goal · Normal Goal · Aleksey Miranchuk
  • HALF TIME · 0 – 0
  • 45'+2
    Card · Yellow Card · Cooper Sanchez
  • 38'
    Card · Yellow Card · Stian Gregersen
  • 30'
    Subst · Substitution 2 · José Cifuentes
  • 27'
    Subst · Substitution 1 · Cayman Togashi
  • 22'
    Var · Goal Disallowed - offside · Cayman Togashi
  • 20'
    Subst · Substitution 1 · Benjamin Kuscevic
12 BOOKIES
📊 AVERAGE ACROSS 12 BOOKMAKERS
TORONTO FC WIN
1.86
53.8% implied
↑ best 1.92
DRAW
3.61
27.7% implied
↑ best 3.75
ATLANTA UNITED F WIN
3.89
25.7% implied
↑ best 4.04

Market favors Toronto FC. AI projects TORONTO FC 38%.

MATCH WINNER ODDS avg across bookmakers
AI SAYS TORONTO FC 38% · EDGE column shows AI probability minus market implied probability
BOOKMAKER 1 X 2 EDGE
10Bet 1.84 3.70 3.85 +5.0%
888Sport 1.80 3.50 4.00 +5.0%
Bet365 1.85 3.50 4.00 +5.0%
Betano 1.88 3.75 4.00 +5.3%
Betfair 1.85 3.75 3.90 +5.3%
BetVictor 1.83 3.70 3.90 +5.0%
Dafabet 1.92 3.70 4.00 +5.0%
Marathonbet 1.85 3.64 3.90 +4.5%
Pinnacle 1.86 3.74 4.04 +5.3%
SBO 1.86 3.26 3.50 +1.4%
Unibet 1.92 3.65 3.75 +4.6%
William Hill 1.85 3.40 3.80 +3.7%

Best odds in gold. Edge ≥ +5% (lime) means market under-prices the AI's probability. 18+ only.

📊 OTHER MARKETS

Over/Under · BTTS · Asian Handicap

avg across bookmakers
⚽ GOALS · OVER / UNDER
1.5 O 1.23 U 3.94
2.5 O 1.76 U 2.04
3.5 O 2.86 U 1.40
⚽ BOTH TEAMS SCORE
YES
1.66 9 bks
NO
2.12 9 bks
⚖ ASIAN HANDICAP
Away -0.25 2.25
Away -0.5 1.93
Away -0.75 1.71
Away -1 1.49
Away -1.25 1.39
Away -1.5 1.31
📈 MARKET MOVEMENT

How the market shifted before kick-off

historical line movement
7d ago 3d 1d KICK-OFF

Smoothed line illustration · per-snapshot historical odds storage activates Q3.