GOALSENSE
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AI PREDICTION Projects FT 1–1 · TORONTO FC 38%
CONF 18 FULL ANALYSIS →
Major League Soccer · REGULAR SEASON - 10 · SAT, 25 APR · 17:00 LOCAL
TORONTO FC
12TH · 16 PTS · LAST 5:
L D D L L
FT
1 – 2
FULL TIME HT · 0-0
ATLANTA UNITED FC
L D L L D
· 15TH · 12 PTS · LAST 5
⚽ 71' Emilio Aristizábal
GOALS
⚽ 48' Aleksey Miranchuk ⚽ 67' Tristan Muyumba
Tristan Muyumba
👑
⭐ PLAYER OF THE MATCH
Tristan Muyumba
Atlanta United FC · 90 mins
⚽ 1 goal · 40% pass acc · 1 shots on
RATING
7.9
PREDICTIONS
▶ MATCH HIGHLIGHTS

Goals, key moments & recap 1 CLIP

powered by Highlightly
Major League Soccer: Toronto FC vs Atlanta United FC
Open in Youtube ↗
📊 90 MIN TOTALS

Finalised · Match completed

0.59
⚡ EXPECTED GOALS (xG)
0.82
51%
BALL POSSESSION %
49%
9
TOTAL SHOTS
6
2
SHOTS ON TARGET
2
80%
PASS ACCURACY %
81%
8
CORNERS
7
KEY EVENTS 15 events
  1. 20'
    Subst · Substitution 1
    Benjamin Kuscevic · assist Lazar Stefanovic
    TOR
  2. 22'
    Var · Goal Disallowed - offside
    Cayman Togashi
    ATL
  3. 27'
    Subst · Substitution 1
    Cayman Togashi · assist Emmanuel Latte Lath
    ATL
  4. 30'
    Subst · Substitution 2
    J. Cifuentes · assist Derrick Etienne
    TOR
  5. 38'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Stian Gregersen
    ATL
  6. 45'+2
    Card · Yellow Card
    Cooper Sanchez
    ATL
  7. 48'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Aleksey Miranchuk
    ATL
  8. 59'
    Subst · Substitution 2
    Luke Brennan · assist Fafà Picault
    ATL
  9. 67'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Tristan Muyumba
    ATL
  10. 71'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Emilio Aristizábal · assist Kobe Franklin
    TOR
  11. 72'
    Subst · Substitution 3
    Alonso Coello · assist Antone Bossenberry
    TOR
  12. 72'
    Subst · Substitution 4
    Josh Sargent · assist Jules-Anthony Vilsaint
    TOR
  13. 72'
    Subst · Substitution 5
    Emilio Aristizábal · assist Malik Henry
    TOR
  14. 77'
    Subst · Substitution 4
    Cooper Sanchez · assist M. Galarza
    ATL
  15. 77'
    Subst · Substitution 3
    Aleksey Miranchuk · assist William Reilly
    ATL
PLAYER RATINGS · TOP 5 EACH 0–10 scale
TORONTO FC AVG 7.1
ATLANTA UNITED FC AVG 7.3
MATCH STATS H vs A
ATTACK
0.6
xG
0.8
9.0
TOTAL SHOTS
6.0
2.0
ON TARGET
2.0
3.0
OFF TARGET
3.0
4.0
BLOCKED
1.0
POSSESSION
51.0%
POSSESSION %
49.0%
442.0
PASSES
436.0
80.0%
PASS ACCURACY
81.0%
SET PIECES
8.0
CORNERS
7.0
2.0
OFFSIDES
4.0
DISCIPLINE
10.0
FOULS
15.0
0.0
YELLOW CARDS
2.0
0.0
GK SAVES
1.0
🎯 SHOT BREAKDOWN

Top shooters · accuracy = on-target / total

player-level shot accuracy · per-shot xG bubbles require xG Advanced tier
TORONTO FC 3 shots
Emilio Aristizábal
1/2
Zane Monlouis
1/1
ATLANTA UNITED FC 3 shots
Aleksey Miranchuk
1/2
Tristan Muyumba
1/1
📈 xG RACE

Cumulative xG over 90 minutes REAL xG

final xG: 0.59 – 0.82
0.7 0.5 0.3 0.2 0.8 0.0 HT 71' 48' 67' H 0.59 A 0.82 KO 30' 60' FT

Step chart anchored to real goal minutes · final xG from SportMonks · baseline distributes remaining shots evenly across the match

⚡ ATTACK SHARE

Event activity ratio · attacks/cards/subs

zone-based attack maps require broadcast partner (Q3)
H 40%
60% A
6
EVENTS LOGGED
9
EVENTS LOGGED
LINEUPS 4-1-4-1 vs 4-1-4-1
4-1-4-1
4-1-4-1
1
LUKA GAVR
44
RAHEEM ED
 7.2
13
BENJAMIN
 6.9
12
ZANE MONL
19
KOBE FRAN
14
ALONSO CO
20
DáNIEL SA
 7.2
21
JONATHAN
8
J. CIFUEN
 7.2
17
EMILIO AR
9
JOSH SARG
1
LUCAS HOY
3
ELíAS BáE
6
JUAN BERR
5
STIAN GRE
 6.9
47
MATTHEW E
 7.9
8
TRISTAN M
20
LUKE BREN
35
AJANI FOR
48
COOPER SA
 7.7
59
ALEKSEY M
30
CAYMAN TO
SUBSTITUTES · TORONTO FC
75
R. Fisher
D
38
Jackson Gilm...
D
23
William Yarb...
G
99
Jules-Anthon...
F
78
Malik Henry
M
56
Antone Bosse...
M
11
Derrick Etie...
F
76
Lazar Stefan...
D
71
Markus Cimer...
M
COACH: Robin Fraser
SUBSTITUTES · ATLANTA UNITED FC
4
Enea Mihaj
D
18
Pedro Amador
D
2
Ronald Herná...
D
42
Jayden Hibbe...
G
88
M. Galarza
M
28
William Reil...
M
22
Fafà Picault
F
9
Emmanuel Lat...
F
11
Saba Lobzhan...
F
COACH: Gerardo Martino
🏥 UNAVAILABLE PLAYERS
TOR · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

ATL · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

⚖ MATCH OFFICIALS
REFEREE
I. Elfath
—
TOR MANAGER
Robin Fraser
head coach
ATL MANAGER
Gerardo Martino
head coach
HEAD TO HEAD · ALL-TIME
2
TOR WINS
5
DRAWS
3
ATL WINS
20%
50%
30%
12 – 14
TOTAL GOALS · 10 MEETINGS
2.60
AVG GOALS / MATCH
RECENT MEETINGS SHOWING 5 / 10
24 Aug 2025
Atlanta United FC
0 – 0
Toronto FC
D
12 Jul 2025
Toronto FC
1 – 1
Atlanta United FC
D
29 Jun 2024
Atlanta United FC
2 – 1
Toronto FC
L
23 Mar 2024
Toronto FC
2 – 0
Atlanta United FC
W
15 Apr 2023
Toronto FC
2 – 2
Atlanta United FC
D
TORONTO FC LAST 5 OVERALL
L D D L L
ATLANTA UNITED FC LAST 5 OVERALL
L D L L D
MATCH IMPACT Final 1–2 · result locked
TORONTO FC #12
Lost · already at 16 pts
ATLANTA UNITED FC #15
Won · already at 12 pts
LEAGUE CONTEXT FULL TABLE →
# TEAM P W D L GD PTS FORM
1 Vancouver Whitecaps 16 10 3 3 +21 33
D L W L W
1 Nashville SC 17 12 3 2 +21 39
L W W W W
2 Los Angeles FC 18 10 3 5 +16 33
W W W W L
2 Inter Miami 17 11 4 2 +13 37
W W W W W
3 San Jose Earthquakes 17 10 3 4 +15 33
D L W L L
3 New England Revolution 16 9 2 5 +7 29
W D L W L
4 Chicago Fire 16 8 2 6 +8 26
L L W W W
4 Real Salt Lake 16 8 2 6 +4 26
L L D W W
5 Houston Dynamo 16 8 2 6 -1 26
W D D W L
5 New York City FC 17 7 4 6 +7 25
W W L D W
6 FC Dallas 17 7 5 5 +7 26
L D W W L
6 Charlotte 17 7 4 6 +3 25
W D W W L
7 St. Louis City 17 7 4 6 0 25
W W W W D
7 FC Cincinnati 17 6 5 6 -1 23
L W W D L
8 New York Red Bulls 17 6 4 7 -11 22
L L W D W
8 Seattle Sounders 16 7 3 6 -1 24
L L L L L
9 Minnesota United FC 17 6 5 6 -5 23
D L D L L
9 DC United 17 5 7 5 -3 22
W D D D L
10 Portland Timbers 17 6 3 8 -1 21
W D W L L
10 Orlando City SC 17 6 2 9 -16 20
W W L D W
11 Los Angeles Galaxy 18 5 6 7 -5 21
D L L D W
11 Columbus Crew 17 5 4 8 -2 19
W L W D L
12 Toronto FC 17 3 7 7 -8 16
L D D L L
12 San Diego 17 5 5 7 +3 20
W L L D W
13 Colorado Rapids 17 6 1 10 +1 19
L W L L W
13 CF Montreal 17 4 3 10 -11 15
L L D D L
14 Austin 17 4 5 8 -13 17
L W L L L
14 Philadelphia Union 17 3 4 10 -9 13
W W L D L
15 Sporting Kansas City 17 4 2 11 -26 14
L W L L W
15 Atlanta United FC 17 3 3 11 -13 12
L D L L D
UCL Qualification Europa / Conference Relegation
COMMENTARY
  • 77'
    Subst · Substitution 3 · Aleksey Miranchuk
  • 77'
    Subst · Substitution 4 · Cooper Sanchez
  • 72'
    Subst · Substitution 5 · Emilio Aristizábal
  • 72'
    Subst · Substitution 4 · Josh Sargent
  • 72'
    Subst · Substitution 3 · Alonso Coello
  • 71'
    Goal · Normal Goal · Emilio Aristizábal
  • 67'
    Goal · Normal Goal · Tristan Muyumba
  • 59'
    Subst · Substitution 2 · Luke Brennan
  • 48'
    Goal · Normal Goal · Aleksey Miranchuk
  • HALF TIME · 0 – 0
  • 45'+2
    Card · Yellow Card · Cooper Sanchez
  • 38'
    Card · Yellow Card · Stian Gregersen
  • 30'
    Subst · Substitution 2 · J. Cifuentes
  • 27'
    Subst · Substitution 1 · Cayman Togashi
  • 22'
    Var · Goal Disallowed - offside · Cayman Togashi
  • 20'
    Subst · Substitution 1 · Benjamin Kuscevic
12 BOOKIES
📊 AVERAGE ACROSS 12 BOOKMAKERS
TORONTO FC WIN
1.86
53.8% implied
↑ best 1.92
DRAW
3.61
27.7% implied
↑ best 3.75
ATLANTA UNITED F WIN
3.89
25.7% implied
↑ best 4.04

Market favors Toronto FC. AI projects TORONTO FC 38%.

MATCH WINNER ODDS avg across bookmakers
AI SAYS TORONTO FC 38% · EDGE column shows AI probability minus market implied probability
BOOKMAKER 1 X 2 EDGE
10Bet 1.84 3.70 3.85 +5.0%
888Sport 1.80 3.50 4.00 +5.0%
Bet365 1.85 3.50 4.00 +5.0%
Betano 1.88 3.75 4.00 +5.3%
Betfair 1.85 3.75 3.90 +5.3%
BetVictor 1.83 3.70 3.90 +5.0%
Dafabet 1.92 3.70 4.00 +5.0%
Marathonbet 1.85 3.64 3.90 +4.5%
Pinnacle 1.86 3.74 4.04 +5.3%
SBO 1.86 3.26 3.50 +1.4%
Unibet 1.92 3.65 3.75 +4.6%
William Hill 1.85 3.40 3.80 +3.7%

Best odds in gold. Edge ≥ +5% (lime) means market under-prices the AI's probability. 18+ only.

📊 OTHER MARKETS

Over/Under · BTTS · Asian Handicap

avg across bookmakers
⚽ GOALS · OVER / UNDER
1.5 O 1.23 U 3.94
2.5 O 1.76 U 2.04
3.5 O 2.86 U 1.40
⚽ BOTH TEAMS SCORE
YES
1.66 9 bks
NO
2.12 9 bks
⚖ ASIAN HANDICAP
Away -0.25 2.25
Away -0.5 1.93
Away -0.75 1.71
Away -1 1.49
Away -1.25 1.39
Away -1.5 1.31
📈 MARKET MOVEMENT

How the market shifted before kick-off

historical line movement
7d ago 3d 1d KICK-OFF

Smoothed line illustration · per-snapshot historical odds storage activates Q3.