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AI PREDICTION Projects FT 2–1 · TOKYO VERDY 58%
CONF 51 FULL ANALYSIS →
J1 League · REGULAR SEASON - 14 · SUN, 03 MAY · 05:03 LOCAL
TOKYO VERDY
5TH · 28 PTS · LAST 5:
D L W D L
FT
1 – 0
FULL TIME HT · 0-0
KASHIWA REYSOL
W W W W L
· 8TH · 20 PTS · LAST 5
⚽ 90' Yuta Arai
GOALS
Taiyo Koga
👑
⭐ PLAYER OF THE MATCH
Taiyo Koga
Kashiwa Reysol · Captain · 89 mins
· 125% pass acc
RATING
7.6
PREDICTIONS
▶ MATCH HIGHLIGHTS

Goals, key moments & recap 1 CLIP

powered by Highlightly
J1 League: Tokyo Verdy vs Kashiwa Reysol
Open in Youtube ↗
📊 90 MIN TOTALS

Finalised · Match completed

26%
BALL POSSESSION %
74%
11
TOTAL SHOTS
10
3
SHOTS ON TARGET
3
71%
PASS ACCURACY %
88%
3
CORNERS
8
KEY EVENTS 12 events
  1. 46'
    Subst · Substitution 1
    Riki Harakawa · assist Nobuteru Nakagawa
    KAS
  2. 58'
    Subst · Substitution 2
    Yuki Kakita · assist Mao Hosoya
    KAS
  3. 62'
    Subst · Substitution 1
    Issei Kumatoriya · assist Kosuke Saito
    TOK
  4. 62'
    Subst · Substitution 2
    Yuan Matsuhashi · assist Ryosuke Shirai
    TOK
  5. 62'
    Subst · Substitution 3
    Inoue Ryota · assist Kazuya Miyahara
    TOK
  6. 66'
    Subst · Substitution 3
    Koya Yuruki · assist Yusuke Segawa
    KAS
  7. 66'
    Subst · Substitution 4
    Rei Shimano · assist Yudai Konishi
    KAS
  8. 72'
    Subst · Substitution 5
    Tojiro Kubo · assist Tomoaki Okubo
    KAS
  9. 73'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Itsuki Someno
    TOK
  10. 84'
    Subst · Substitution 4
    Rei Hirakawa · assist Yuta Arai
    TOK
  11. 89'
    Subst · Substitution 5
    Koki Morita · assist Tetsuyuki Inami
    TOK
  12. 90'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Yuta Arai · assist Itsuki Someno
    TOK
PLAYER RATINGS · TOP 5 EACH 0–10 scale
TOKYO VERDY AVG 7.0
KASHIWA REYSOL AVG 7.3
MATCH STATS H vs A
ATTACK
11.0
TOTAL SHOTS
10.0
3.0
ON TARGET
3.0
6.0
OFF TARGET
4.0
2.0
BLOCKED
3.0
POSSESSION
26.0%
POSSESSION %
74.0%
265.0
PASSES
774.0
71.0%
PASS ACCURACY
88.0%
SET PIECES
3.0
CORNERS
8.0
1.0
OFFSIDES
4.0
DISCIPLINE
10.0
FOULS
8.0
1.0
YELLOW CARDS
0.0
3.0
GK SAVES
2.0
🎯 SHOT BREAKDOWN

Top shooters · accuracy = on-target / total

player-level shot accuracy · per-shot xG bubbles require xG Advanced tier
TOKYO VERDY 2 shots
Koki Morita
1/1
Rei Hirakawa
0/1
KASHIWA REYSOL 1 shots
Seiya Baba
0/1
⚡ ATTACK SHARE

Event activity ratio · attacks/cards/subs

zone-based attack maps require broadcast partner (Q3)
H 58%
42% A
7
EVENTS LOGGED
5
EVENTS LOGGED
LINEUPS 5-4-1 vs 3-4-2-1
5-4-1
3-4-2-1
7.3
21
YUYA NAGA
23
DAIKI FUK
5
INOUE RYO
 7.3
4
NAOKI HAY
15
KAITO SUZ
 6.9
22
YOSUKE UC
25
ISSEI KUM
 6.9
10
KOKI MORI
 6.7
16
REI HIRAK
7
YUAN MATS
9
ITSUKI SO
 7.2
25
RYOSUKE K
2
HIROMU MI
 7.6
4
TAIYO KOG
 7.2
88
SEIYA BAB
24
TOJIRO KU
40
RIKI HARA
38
REI SHIMA
32
YOSEI YAM
 7.0
16
KOYA YURU
 7.3
8
YOSHIO KO
18
YUKI KAKI
SUBSTITUTES · TOKYO VERDY
24
Shion Nakaya...
M
40
Yuta Arai
M
17
Tetsuyuki In...
M
35
Shuto Tanabe
D
31
Hiroki Mawat...
G
27
Ryosuke Shir...
F
8
Kosuke Saito
M
6
Kazuya Miyah...
D
45
Shimon Teran...
F
COACH: Jofuku Hiroshi
SUBSTITUTES · KASHIWA REYSOL
87
Hinata Yamau...
M
42
Wataru Harad...
D
26
Daiki Sugiok...
D
29
Kengo Nagai
G
20
Yusuke Segaw...
M
21
Yudai Konish...
M
9
Mao Hosoya
F
39
Nobuteru Nak...
M
14
Tomoaki Okub...
M
COACH: Ricardo Rodriguez
🏥 UNAVAILABLE PLAYERS
TOK · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

KAS · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

⚖ MATCH OFFICIALS
REFEREE
Y. Sutani
—
TOK MANAGER
Jofuku Hiroshi
head coach
KAS MANAGER
Ricardo Rodriguez
head coach
HEAD TO HEAD · ALL-TIME
3
TOK WINS
2
DRAWS
4
KAS WINS
33.3%
22.2%
44.4%
9 – 15
TOTAL GOALS · 9 MEETINGS
2.67
AVG GOALS / MATCH
RECENT MEETINGS SHOWING 5 / 9
15 Feb 2026
Kashiwa Reysol
1 – 2
Tokyo Verdy
W
15 Jun 2025
Tokyo Verdy
0 – 3
Kashiwa Reysol
L
29 Mar 2025
Kashiwa Reysol
0 – 0
Tokyo Verdy
D
31 Aug 2024
Kashiwa Reysol
2 – 3
Tokyo Verdy
W
07 Apr 2024
Tokyo Verdy
1 – 1
Kashiwa Reysol
D
TOKYO VERDY LAST 5 OVERALL
D L W D L
KASHIWA REYSOL LAST 5 OVERALL
W W W W L
MATCH IMPACT Final 1–0 · result locked
TOKYO VERDY #4
Won · already at 28 pts
Promotion - J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 7th place)
KASHIWA REYSOL #8
Lost · already at 20 pts
Promotion - J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 15th place)
LEAGUE CONTEXT FULL TABLE →
# TEAM P W D L GD PTS FORM
1 Kashima 18 15 0 3 +20 45
W W W W W
1 Vissel Kobe 18 11 0 7 +4 35
W L W L W
1 Kashima 17 14 0 3 +19 42
W W W W L
1 Vissel Kobe 17 10 0 7 +3 32
L W L W L
1 Kashima 18 15 0 3 +20 45
W W W W W
1 Vissel Kobe 18 11 0 7 +4 35
W L W L W
2 Cerezo Osaka 18 11 0 7 +9 31
W W W L W
2 FC Tokyo 18 13 0 5 +14 37
L W W L W
2 Nagoya Grampus 17 10 0 7 +4 31
L W W W L
2 FC Tokyo 17 13 0 4 +15 37
W W L W W
2 Cerezo Osaka 18 11 0 7 +9 31
W W W L W
2 FC Tokyo 18 13 0 5 +14 37
L W W L W
3 Nagoya Grampus 18 10 0 8 +2 31
L L W W W
3 Machida Zelvia 18 13 0 5 +6 37
W L W W W
3 Cerezo Osaka 17 10 0 7 +8 28
W W L W W
3 Machida Zelvia 18 13 0 5 +6 37
W L W W W
3 Nagoya Grampus 18 10 0 8 +2 31
L L W W W
3 Machida Zelvia 18 13 0 5 +6 37
W L W W W
4 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 18 10 0 8 +8 30
W W W L L
4 Kawasaki Frontale 18 10 0 8 -2 28
W W L W L
4 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 17 9 0 8 +6 27
W W L L L
4 Tokyo Verdy 17 10 0 7 +2 28
W L L L W
4 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 18 10 0 8 +8 30
W W W L L
4 Kawasaki Frontale 18 10 0 8 -2 28
W W L W L
5 Gamba Osaka 18 10 0 8 +6 28
W L L W L
5 Tokyo Verdy 18 10 0 8 -4 28
L W L L L
5 Fagiano Okayama 17 8 0 9 -2 26
W W L W W
5 Urawa 18 7 0 11 +3 25
L L W W W
5 Gamba Osaka 18 10 0 8 +6 28
W L L W L
5 Tokyo Verdy 18 10 0 8 -4 28
L W L L L
6 Fagiano Okayama 18 8 0 10 -3 26
L W W L W
6 Urawa 18 7 0 11 +3 25
L L W W W
6 Gamba Osaka 17 9 0 8 +5 25
L L W L W
6 Kawasaki Frontale 17 9 0 8 -4 25
W L W L L
6 Fagiano Okayama 18 8 0 10 -3 26
L W W L W
6 Urawa 18 7 0 11 +3 25
L L W W W
7 Shimizu S-pulse 18 8 0 10 -2 24
L L W W W
7 Yokohama F. Marinos 18 6 0 12 -3 20
W L L L L
7 Shimizu S-pulse 17 8 0 9 -1 24
L W W W L
7 Mito Hollyhock 17 6 0 11 -14 18
L L L W L
7 Shimizu S-pulse 18 8 0 10 -2 24
L L W W W
7 Yokohama F. Marinos 18 6 0 12 -3 20
W L L L L
8 Kyoto Sanga 18 8 0 10 -6 23
W L L L L
8 Kashiwa Reysol 18 7 0 11 -2 20
W W W L L
8 V-varen Nagasaki 17 7 0 10 -7 21
W L W L W
8 Kashiwa Reysol 17 6 0 11 -4 17
W W L L L
8 Kyoto Sanga 18 8 0 10 -6 23
W L L L L
8 Kashiwa Reysol 18 7 0 11 -2 20
W W W L L
9 V-varen Nagasaki 18 7 0 11 -8 21
L W L W L
9 Mito Hollyhock 18 6 0 12 -16 18
L L L L W
9 Avispa Fukuoka 17 7 0 10 -9 21
L W L W L
9 Yokohama F. Marinos 17 5 0 12 -9 17
L L L L W
9 V-varen Nagasaki 18 7 0 11 -8 21
L W L W L
9 Mito Hollyhock 18 6 0 12 -16 18
L L L L W
10 JEF United Chiba 18 3 0 15 -16 12
L L L W L
10 Avispa Fukuoka 18 7 0 11 -10 21
L L W L W
10 JEF United Chiba 17 3 0 14 -14 12
L L W L L
10 Kyoto Sanga 17 7 0 10 -7 20
L L L L L
10 JEF United Chiba 18 3 0 15 -16 12
L L L W L
10 Avispa Fukuoka 18 7 0 11 -10 21
L L W L W
UCL Qualification Europa / Conference Relegation
COMMENTARY
  • 90'
    Goal · Normal Goal · Yuta Arai
  • 89'
    Subst · Substitution 5 · Koki Morita
  • 84'
    Subst · Substitution 4 · Rei Hirakawa
  • 73'
    Card · Yellow Card · Itsuki Someno
  • 72'
    Subst · Substitution 5 · Tojiro Kubo
  • 66'
    Subst · Substitution 4 · Rei Shimano
  • 66'
    Subst · Substitution 3 · Koya Yuruki
  • 62'
    Subst · Substitution 3 · Inoue Ryota
  • 62'
    Subst · Substitution 2 · Yuan Matsuhashi
  • 62'
    Subst · Substitution 1 · Issei Kumatoriya
  • 58'
    Subst · Substitution 2 · Yuki Kakita
  • 46'
    Subst · Substitution 1 · Riki Harakawa
12 BOOKIES
📊 AVERAGE ACROSS 12 BOOKMAKERS
TOKYO VERDY WIN
3.80
26.3% implied
↑ best 4.10
DRAW
3.21
31.2% implied
↑ best 3.38
KASHIWA REYSOL WIN
2.01
49.8% implied
↑ best 2.10

Market favors Kashiwa Reysol. AI projects TOKYO VERDY 58%.

MATCH WINNER ODDS avg across bookmakers
AI SAYS TOKYO VERDY 58% · EDGE column shows AI probability minus market implied probability
BOOKMAKER 1 X 2 EDGE
10Bet 4.10 3.20 1.95 +33.6%
1xBet 3.88 3.28 1.98 +32.2%
Bet365 3.75 3.25 2.05 +31.3%
Betano 3.75 3.20 2.05 +31.3%
Betfair 3.80 3.10 1.91 +31.7%
BetVictor 3.80 3.25 2.10 +31.7%
Dafabet 3.80 3.25 2.10 +31.7%
Marathonbet 3.88 3.28 1.96 +32.2%
Pinnacle 3.86 3.38 2.09 +32.1%
SBO 3.30 2.87 2.08 +27.7%
Unibet 4.10 3.30 1.85 +33.6%
William Hill 3.60 3.10 2.00 +30.2%

Best odds in gold. Edge ≥ +5% (lime) means market under-prices the AI's probability. 18+ only.

📊 OTHER MARKETS

Over/Under · BTTS · Asian Handicap

avg across bookmakers
⚽ GOALS · OVER / UNDER
1.5 O 1.42 U 2.69
2.5 O 2.30 U 1.59
3.5 O 4.36 U 1.18
⚽ BOTH TEAMS SCORE
YES
2.01 9 bks
NO
1.71 9 bks
⚖ ASIAN HANDICAP
Away -0.25 1.32
Away -0.5 1.28
Away -0.75 1.14
Away -1 1.03
Away -1.25 1.02
Away -1.5 1.01
📈 MARKET MOVEMENT

How the market shifted before kick-off

historical line movement
7d ago 3d 1d KICK-OFF

Smoothed line illustration · per-snapshot historical odds storage activates Q3.