GOALSENSE
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AI PREDICTION Projects FT 2–1 · TOKYO VERDY 92% · Value: Over 2.5 78%
CONF 88 FULL ANALYSIS →
J1 League · REGULAR SEASON - 13 · WED, 29 APR · 04:00 LOCAL
TOKYO VERDY
5TH · 28 PTS · LAST 5:
D L W D L
FT
2 – 1
FULL TIME HT · 2-1
KASHIMA
L W W D W
· 1ST · 45 PTS · LAST 5
⚽ 34' Issei Kumatoriya ⚽ 40' T. Yoshida
GOALS
⚽ 19' Kimito Nono
Kimito Nono
👑
⭐ PLAYER OF THE MATCH
Kimito Nono
Kashima · 95 mins
⚽ 1 goal · 59% pass acc · 1 shots on
RATING
7.9
PREDICTIONS
▶ MATCH HIGHLIGHTS

Goals, key moments & recap 1 CLIP

powered by Highlightly
Tokyo Verdy vs Kashima Antlers - Game Highlights | MW13
Open in Youtube ↗
📊 90 MIN TOTALS

Finalised · Match completed

32%
BALL POSSESSION %
68%
17
TOTAL SHOTS
10
5
SHOTS ON TARGET
3
69%
PASS ACCURACY %
83%
5
CORNERS
4
KEY EVENTS 16 events
  1. 19'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Kimito Nono · assist Léo Ceará
    KAS
  2. 34'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Issei Kumatoriya
    TOK
  3. 40'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    T. Yoshida · assist Yuan Matsuhashi
    TOK
  4. 42'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Kento Misao
    KAS
  5. 46'
    Subst · Substitution 1
    Kei Chinen · assist Gaku Shibasaki
    KAS
  6. 46'
    Subst · Substitution 2
    Élber · assist Yuta Matsumura
    KAS
  7. 60'
    Subst · Substitution 3
    Shu Morooka · assist Ryotaro Araki
    KAS
  8. 66'
    Subst · Substitution 1
    Issei Kumatoriya · assist Kosuke Saito
    TOK
  9. 66'
    Subst · Substitution 2
    Yuan Matsuhashi · assist Yuta Arai
    TOK
  10. 70'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Kento Misao
    KAS
  11. 70'
    Card · Red Card
    Kento Misao
    KAS
  12. 74'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Yuta Arai
    TOK
  13. 77'
    Subst · Substitution 4
    Léo Ceará · assist Aleksandar Čavrić
    KAS
  14. 77'
    Subst · Substitution 5
    Koki Anzai · assist Haruki Hayashi
    KAS
  15. 90'
    Subst · Substitution 3
    Yuta Arai · assist Ryosuke Shirai
    TOK
  16. 90'+3
    Subst · Substitution 4
    Ryosuke Shirai · assist Kazuya Miyahara
    TOK
PLAYER RATINGS · TOP 5 EACH 0–10 scale
TOKYO VERDY AVG 7.3
KASHIMA AVG 7.2
MATCH STATS H vs A
ATTACK
17.0
TOTAL SHOTS
10.0
5.0
ON TARGET
3.0
6.0
OFF TARGET
3.0
6.0
BLOCKED
4.0
POSSESSION
32.0%
POSSESSION %
68.0%
251.0
PASSES
544.0
69.0%
PASS ACCURACY
83.0%
SET PIECES
5.0
CORNERS
4.0
1.0
OFFSIDES
1.0
DISCIPLINE
17.0
FOULS
10.0
1.0
YELLOW CARDS
2.0
0.0
RED CARDS
1.0
2.0
GK SAVES
3.0
🎯 SHOT BREAKDOWN

Top shooters · accuracy = on-target / total

player-level shot accuracy · per-shot xG bubbles require xG Advanced tier
TOKYO VERDY 6 shots
Issei Kumatoriya
2/2
Itsuki Someno
0/2
Koki Morita
1/1
T. Yoshida
1/1
KASHIMA 3 shots
Kimito Nono
1/2
Élber
1/1
⚡ ATTACK SHARE

Event activity ratio · attacks/cards/subs

zone-based attack maps require broadcast partner (Q3)
H 44%
56% A
7
EVENTS LOGGED
9
EVENTS LOGGED
LINEUPS 3-4-2-1 vs 4-4-2
3-4-2-1
4-4-2
21
YUYA NAGA
5
INOUE RYO
4
NAOKI HAY
15
KAITO SUZ
 7.3
55
T. YOSHID
16
REI HIRAK
 7.3
10
KOKI MORI
23
DAIKI FUK
 7.6
25
ISSEI KUM
 7.2
7
YUAN MATS
 7.3
9
ITSUKI SO
 7.0
1
TOMOKI HA
2
KOKI ANZA
3
TAE-HYEON
55
NAOMICHI
 7.9
22
KIMITO NO
 7.2
17
ÉLBER
6
KENTO MIS
13
KEI CHINE
19
SHU MOROO
40
YUMA SUZU
 7.2
9
LéO CEARá
SUBSTITUTES · TOKYO VERDY
24
Shion Nakaya...
M
27
Ryosuke Shir...
F
22
Yosuke Uchid...
D
17
Tetsuyuki In...
M
40
Yuta Arai
M
8
Kosuke Saito
M
6
Kazuya Miyah...
D
31
Hiroki Mawat...
G
45
Shimon Teran...
F
COACH: Jofuku Hiroshi
SUBSTITUTES · KASHIMA
77
Aleksandar Č...
F
24
Haruki Hayas...
M
5
Ikuma Sekiga...
D
7
Ryoya Ogawa
D
29
Yuji Kajikaw...
G
71
Ryotaro Arak...
M
10
Gaku Shibasa...
M
27
Yuta Matsumu...
M
14
Yuta Higuchi
M
COACH: Toru Oniki
🏥 UNAVAILABLE PLAYERS
TOK · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

KAS · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

⚖ MATCH OFFICIALS
REFEREE
Y. Ohashi
—
TOK MANAGER
Jofuku Hiroshi
head coach
KAS MANAGER
Toru Oniki
head coach
HEAD TO HEAD · ALL-TIME
1
TOK WINS
1
DRAWS
3
KAS WINS
20%
20%
60%
5 – 11
TOTAL GOALS · 5 MEETINGS
3.20
AVG GOALS / MATCH
RECENT MEETINGS SHOWING 5 / 5
07 Mar 2026
Kashima
2 – 0
Tokyo Verdy
L
30 Nov 2025
Tokyo Verdy
0 – 1
Kashima
L
22 Feb 2025
Kashima
4 – 0
Tokyo Verdy
L
25 Aug 2024
Tokyo Verdy
2 – 1
Kashima
W
12 May 2024
Kashima
3 – 3
Tokyo Verdy
D
TOKYO VERDY LAST 5 OVERALL
D L W D L
KASHIMA LAST 5 OVERALL
L W W D W
MATCH IMPACT Final 2–1 · result locked
TOKYO VERDY #4
Won · already at 28 pts
Promotion - J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 7th place)
KASHIMA #1
Lost · already at 45 pts
Promotion - J1 League (Play Offs)
LEAGUE CONTEXT FULL TABLE →
# TEAM P W D L GD PTS FORM
1 Kashima 18 15 0 3 +20 45
W W W W W
1 Vissel Kobe 18 11 0 7 +4 35
W L W L W
1 Kashima 17 14 0 3 +19 42
W W W W L
1 Vissel Kobe 17 10 0 7 +3 32
L W L W L
1 Kashima 18 15 0 3 +20 45
W W W W W
1 Vissel Kobe 18 11 0 7 +4 35
W L W L W
2 Cerezo Osaka 18 11 0 7 +9 31
W W W L W
2 FC Tokyo 18 13 0 5 +14 37
L W W L W
2 Nagoya Grampus 17 10 0 7 +4 31
L W W W L
2 FC Tokyo 17 13 0 4 +15 37
W W L W W
2 Cerezo Osaka 18 11 0 7 +9 31
W W W L W
2 FC Tokyo 18 13 0 5 +14 37
L W W L W
3 Nagoya Grampus 18 10 0 8 +2 31
L L W W W
3 Machida Zelvia 18 13 0 5 +6 37
W L W W W
3 Cerezo Osaka 17 10 0 7 +8 28
W W L W W
3 Machida Zelvia 18 13 0 5 +6 37
W L W W W
3 Nagoya Grampus 18 10 0 8 +2 31
L L W W W
3 Machida Zelvia 18 13 0 5 +6 37
W L W W W
4 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 18 10 0 8 +8 30
W W W L L
4 Kawasaki Frontale 18 10 0 8 -2 28
W W L W L
4 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 17 9 0 8 +6 27
W W L L L
4 Tokyo Verdy 17 10 0 7 +2 28
W L L L W
4 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 18 10 0 8 +8 30
W W W L L
4 Kawasaki Frontale 18 10 0 8 -2 28
W W L W L
5 Gamba Osaka 18 10 0 8 +6 28
W L L W L
5 Tokyo Verdy 18 10 0 8 -4 28
L W L L L
5 Fagiano Okayama 17 8 0 9 -2 26
W W L W W
5 Urawa 18 7 0 11 +3 25
L L W W W
5 Gamba Osaka 18 10 0 8 +6 28
W L L W L
5 Tokyo Verdy 18 10 0 8 -4 28
L W L L L
6 Fagiano Okayama 18 8 0 10 -3 26
L W W L W
6 Urawa 18 7 0 11 +3 25
L L W W W
6 Gamba Osaka 17 9 0 8 +5 25
L L W L W
6 Kawasaki Frontale 17 9 0 8 -4 25
W L W L L
6 Fagiano Okayama 18 8 0 10 -3 26
L W W L W
6 Urawa 18 7 0 11 +3 25
L L W W W
7 Shimizu S-pulse 18 8 0 10 -2 24
L L W W W
7 Yokohama F. Marinos 18 6 0 12 -3 20
W L L L L
7 Shimizu S-pulse 17 8 0 9 -1 24
L W W W L
7 Mito Hollyhock 17 6 0 11 -14 18
L L L W L
7 Shimizu S-pulse 18 8 0 10 -2 24
L L W W W
7 Yokohama F. Marinos 18 6 0 12 -3 20
W L L L L
8 Kyoto Sanga 18 8 0 10 -6 23
W L L L L
8 Kashiwa Reysol 18 7 0 11 -2 20
W W W L L
8 V-varen Nagasaki 17 7 0 10 -7 21
W L W L W
8 Kashiwa Reysol 17 6 0 11 -4 17
W W L L L
8 Kyoto Sanga 18 8 0 10 -6 23
W L L L L
8 Kashiwa Reysol 18 7 0 11 -2 20
W W W L L
9 V-varen Nagasaki 18 7 0 11 -8 21
L W L W L
9 Mito Hollyhock 18 6 0 12 -16 18
L L L L W
9 Avispa Fukuoka 17 7 0 10 -9 21
L W L W L
9 Yokohama F. Marinos 17 5 0 12 -9 17
L L L L W
9 V-varen Nagasaki 18 7 0 11 -8 21
L W L W L
9 Mito Hollyhock 18 6 0 12 -16 18
L L L L W
10 JEF United Chiba 18 3 0 15 -16 12
L L L W L
10 Avispa Fukuoka 18 7 0 11 -10 21
L L W L W
10 JEF United Chiba 17 3 0 14 -14 12
L L W L L
10 Kyoto Sanga 17 7 0 10 -7 20
L L L L L
10 JEF United Chiba 18 3 0 15 -16 12
L L L W L
10 Avispa Fukuoka 18 7 0 11 -10 21
L L W L W
UCL Qualification Europa / Conference Relegation
COMMENTARY
  • 90'+3
    Subst · Substitution 4 · Ryosuke Shirai
  • 90'
    Subst · Substitution 3 · Yuta Arai
  • 77'
    Subst · Substitution 5 · Koki Anzai
  • 77'
    Subst · Substitution 4 · Léo Ceará
  • 74'
    Card · Yellow Card · Yuta Arai
  • 70'
    Card · Red Card · Kento Misao
  • 70'
    Card · Yellow Card · Kento Misao
  • 66'
    Subst · Substitution 2 · Yuan Matsuhashi
  • 66'
    Subst · Substitution 1 · Issei Kumatoriya
  • 60'
    Subst · Substitution 3 · Shu Morooka
  • 46'
    Subst · Substitution 2 · Élber
  • 46'
    Subst · Substitution 1 · Kei Chinen
  • HALF TIME · 2 – 1
  • 42'
    Card · Yellow Card · Kento Misao
  • 40'
    Goal · Normal Goal · T. Yoshida
  • 34'
    Goal · Normal Goal · Issei Kumatoriya
  • 19'
    Goal · Normal Goal · Kimito Nono
12 BOOKIES
📊 AVERAGE ACROSS 12 BOOKMAKERS
TOKYO VERDY WIN
4.17
24% implied
↑ best 4.40
DRAW
3.21
31.2% implied
↑ best 3.32
KASHIMA WIN
1.92
52.1% implied
↑ best 1.99

Market favors Kashima. AI projects TOKYO VERDY 92% · value bet Over 2.5.

MATCH WINNER ODDS avg across bookmakers
AI SAYS TOKYO VERDY 92% · EDGE column shows AI probability minus market implied probability
BOOKMAKER 1 X 2 EDGE
10Bet 4.33 3.25 1.90 +68.9%
1xBet 4.18 3.20 1.94 +68.1%
Bet365 4.20 3.20 1.95 +68.2%
Betano 4.10 3.20 1.95 +67.6%
Betfair 4.40 3.30 1.73 +69.3%
BetVictor 4.20 3.30 1.95 +68.2%
Dafabet 4.20 3.30 1.97 +68.2%
Marathonbet 4.20 3.20 1.92 +68.2%
Pinnacle 4.34 3.32 1.99 +69.0%
SBO 3.70 3.02 1.97 +65.0%
Unibet 4.20 3.25 1.85 +68.2%
William Hill 4.00 3.00 1.95 +67.0%

Best odds in gold. Edge ≥ +5% (lime) means market under-prices the AI's probability. 18+ only.

📊 OTHER MARKETS

Over/Under · BTTS · Asian Handicap

avg across bookmakers
⚽ GOALS · OVER / UNDER
1.5 O 1.43 U 2.65
2.5 O 2.36 U 1.56
3.5 O 4.44 U 1.17
⚽ BOTH TEAMS SCORE
YES
2.05 9 bks
NO
1.68 9 bks
⚖ ASIAN HANDICAP
Away -0.25 1.27
Away -0.5 1.24
Away -0.75 1.11
Away -1 1.01
Away -1.25 1.01
Away -1.5 1.02
📈 MARKET MOVEMENT

How the market shifted before kick-off

historical line movement
7d ago 3d 1d KICK-OFF

Smoothed line illustration · per-snapshot historical odds storage activates Q3.