AI PREDICTION Projects FT 1–0 · TIGRES UANL 48%
CONF 28 FULL ANALYSIS →
Liga MX · CLAUSURA - 17 · SAT 25 APR · 23:00 LOCAL
TIGRES UANL
7TH · 25 PTS · LAST 5:
D D D W L
FT
5 1
FULL TIME HT · 1-0
MAZATLáN
W D D L W
· 16TH · 15 PTS · LAST 5
⚽ 15' Juan Brunetta
GOALS
Juan Brunetta
👑
⭐ PLAYER OF THE MATCH
Juan Brunetta
Tigres UANL · Captain · 17 mins
⚽ 1 goal · 11% pass acc · 1 shots on
RATING
7.6
PREDICTIONS
▶ MATCH HIGHLIGHTS

Goals, key moments & recap 3 CLIPS

powered by Highlightly
Liga MX: Tigres UANL vs Mazatlán FC
Watch on Other ↗
📊 90 MIN TOTALS

Finalised · Match completed

2.17
⚡ EXPECTED GOALS (xG)
0.51
62%
BALL POSSESSION %
38%
6
TOTAL SHOTS
2
2
SHOTS ON TARGET
1
87%
PASS ACCURACY %
75%
1
CORNERS
1
KEY EVENTS 2 events
  1. 15'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Juan Brunetta · assist Angel Correa
    TIG
  2. 22'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Rômulo Zwarg
    TIG
PLAYER RATINGS · TOP 5 EACH 0–10 scale
TIGRES UANL AVG 7.0
MAZATLáN AVG 6.6
MATCH STATS H vs A
ATTACK
2.2
xG
0.5
6.0
TOTAL SHOTS
2.0
2.0
ON TARGET
1.0
2.0
OFF TARGET
1.0
2.0
BLOCKED
0.0
POSSESSION
62.0%
POSSESSION %
38.0%
107.0
PASSES
63.0
87.0%
PASS ACCURACY
75.0%
SET PIECES
1.0
CORNERS
1.0
2.0
OFFSIDES
1.0
DISCIPLINE
1.0
FOULS
0.0
1.0
GK SAVES
1.0
🎯 SHOT BREAKDOWN

Top shooters · accuracy = on-target / total

player-level shot accuracy · per-shot xG bubbles require xG Advanced tier
TIGRES UANL 2 shots
Juan Brunetta
1/2
MAZATLáN 1 shots
Mauro Zaleta
0/1
📈 xG RACE

Cumulative xG over 90 minutes REAL xG

final xG: 2.170.51
1.7 1.3 0.9 0.4 2.2 0.0 HT 15' H 2.17 A 0.51 KO 30' 60' FT

Step chart anchored to real goal minutes · final xG from SportMonks · baseline distributes remaining shots evenly across the match

⚡ ATTACK SHARE

Event activity ratio · attacks/cards/subs

zone-based attack maps require broadcast partner (Q3)
H 100%
0% A
2
EVENTS LOGGED
0
EVENTS LOGGED
LINEUPS 4-2-3-1 vs 5-4-1
SUBSTITUTES · TIGRES UANL
17
Rodrigo Agui...
F
77
Ozziel Herre...
F
30
Diego Sánche...
F
6
Juan Pablo V...
M
204
Henrique Sim...
M
33
Rafael Guerr...
D
26
Fernando Ord...
D
4
Juan José Pu...
D
25
Carlos Rodrí...
G
198
Isaias Galva...
F
COACH: Guido Pizarro
SUBSTITUTES · MAZATLáN
90
Fábio Gomes
F
27
Gilberto Ada...
M
193
Gabriel Lope...
F
31
Angel Saaved...
M
20
Mauro Laínez
M
9
Billy Arce
M
26
Angel Leyva
D
188
Luis Carillo
D
13
André Alcara...
G
28
Jesús Hernán...
F
COACH: Sergio Bueno
🏥 UNAVAILABLE PLAYERS
TIG · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

MAZ · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

⚖ MATCH OFFICIALS
REFEREE
Ismael Rosario Lopez Penuelas, Mexico
TIG MANAGER
Guido Pizarro
head coach
MAZ MANAGER
Sergio Bueno
head coach
HEAD TO HEAD · ALL-TIME
6
TIG WINS
2
DRAWS
2
MAZ WINS
60%
20%
20%
21 13
TOTAL GOALS · 10 MEETINGS
3.40
AVG GOALS / MATCH
RECENT MEETINGS SHOWING 5 / 10
TIGRES UANL LAST 5 OVERALL
D D D W L
MAZATLáN LAST 5 OVERALL
W D D L W
MATCH IMPACT Final 5–1 · result locked
TIGRES UANL #7
Won · already at 25 pts
Playoffs
MAZATLáN #16
Lost · already at 15 pts
LEAGUE CONTEXT FULL TABLE →
# TEAM P W D L GD PTS FORM
1 U.N.A.M. - Pumas 17 10 6 1 +17 36
W W W W D
2 Guadalajara Chivas 17 11 3 3 +16 36
D D W L D
3 Cruz Azul 17 9 6 2 +13 33
W D D D L
4 Pachuca 17 9 4 4 +6 31
L L W W W
5 Toluca 17 8 6 3 +12 30
W L L D L
6 Atlas 17 7 5 5 -2 26
W D W D L
7 Tigres UANL 17 7 4 6 +10 25
W D D W L
8 Club America 17 7 4 6 +3 25
L W W D D
9 Club Tijuana 17 5 8 4 +2 23
D W D W W
10 Leon 17 7 1 9 -10 22
L L W W W
11 Club Queretaro 17 4 8 5 -4 20
W D D W D
12 FC Juarez 17 5 4 8 -6 19
W L L L D
13 Monterrey 17 5 3 9 -2 18
L W L D L
14 Atletico San Luis 17 5 3 9 -3 18
L W L D W
15 Necaxa 17 5 3 9 -6 18
L D D L W
16 Mazatlán 17 4 3 10 -15 15
L W D L L
17 Puebla 17 3 4 10 -13 13
L L L L D
18 Santos Laguna 17 3 3 11 -18 12
W L L L D
UCL Qualification Europa / Conference Relegation
COMMENTARY
  • 22'
    Card · Yellow Card · Rômulo Zwarg
  • 15'
    Goal · Normal Goal · Juan Brunetta
13 BOOKIES
📊 AVERAGE ACROSS 13 BOOKMAKERS
TIGRES UANL WIN
1.19
84% implied
↑ best 1.21
DRAW
6.71
14.9% implied
↑ best 7.50
MAZATLáN WIN
12.25
8.2% implied
↑ best 16.50

Market favors Tigres UANL. AI projects TIGRES UANL 48%.

MATCH WINNER ODDS avg across bookmakers
AI SAYS TIGRES UANL 48% · EDGE column shows AI probability minus market implied probability
BOOKMAKER 1 X 2 EDGE
10Bet 1.18 6.20 16.50 +17.9%
1xBet 1.20 7.00 9.85 +13.8%
888Sport 1.17 6.00 11.00 +14.9%
Bet365 1.20 6.50 13.00 +16.3%
Betano 1.21 6.70 12.00 +15.7%
Betfair 1.17 6.50 13.00 +16.3%
BetVictor 1.17 7.50 13.00 +16.3%
Dafabet 1.20 7.20 13.00 +16.3%
Marathonbet 1.20 7.00 10.00 +14.0%
Pinnacle 1.20 7.45 12.73 +16.1%
SBO 1.18 6.38 10.12 +14.1%
Unibet 1.18 6.75 14.00 +16.9%
William Hill 1.18 6.00 11.00 +14.9%

Best odds in gold. Edge ≥ +5% (lime) means market under-prices the AI's probability. 18+ only.

📊 OTHER MARKETS

Over/Under · BTTS · Asian Handicap

avg across bookmakers
⚽ GOALS · OVER / UNDER
1.5 O 1.09 U 6.37
2.5 O 1.36 U 2.96
3.5 O 1.95 U 1.82
⚽ BOTH TEAMS SCORE
YES
1.88 10 bks
NO
1.82 10 bks
⚖ ASIAN HANDICAP
Away -0.25 5.52
Away -0.5 4.35
Away -0.75 3.82
Away -1 3.57
Away -1.25 2.81
Away -1.5 2.36
📈 MARKET MOVEMENT

How the market shifted before kick-off

historical line movement
7d ago 3d 1d KICK-OFF

Smoothed line illustration · per-snapshot historical odds storage activates Q3.