GOALSENSE
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AI PREDICTION Projects FT 1–4 · NOTTINGHAM FOREST 97% · Value: Over 2.5 92%
CONF 88 FULL ANALYSIS →
Premier League · REGULAR SEASON - 34 · FRI 24 APR · 19:00 LOCAL
SUNDERLAND
12TH · 46 PTS · LAST 5:
L W W L W
FT
0 – 5
FULL TIME HT · 0-4
NOTTINGHAM FOREST
W W D D W
· 16TH · 39 PTS · LAST 5
GOALS
⚽ 17' Trai Hume (OG) ⚽ 31' Chris Wood ⚽ 34' Morgan Gibbs-White ⚽ 37' Igor Jesus ⚽ 90+5' Elliot Anderson
Nikola Milenković
👑
⭐ PLAYER OF THE MATCH
Nikola Milenković
Nottingham Forest · 90 mins
· 11% pass acc
RATING
8.2
PREDICTIONS
▶ MATCH HIGHLIGHTS

Goals, key moments & recap 2 CLIPS

powered by Highlightly
Premier League: Sunderland vs Nottingham Forest
Watch on Youtube ↗
Premier League: Sunderland vs Nottingham Forest
📊 90 MIN TOTALS

Finalised · Match completed

0.70
⚡ EXPECTED GOALS (xG)
1.10
61%
BALL POSSESSION %
39%
14
TOTAL SHOTS
10
4
SHOTS ON TARGET
6
82%
PASS ACCURACY %
73%
3
CORNERS
6
KEY EVENTS 20 events
  1. 17'
    Goal · Own Goal
    Trai Hume
    NOT
  2. 31'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Chris Wood · assist Morgan Gibbs-White
    NOT
  3. 34'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Morgan Gibbs-White · assist Igor Jesus
    NOT
  4. 37'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Igor Jesus
    NOT
  5. 46'
    Subst · Substitution 1
    Chris Rigg · assist Reinildo Mandava
    SUN
  6. 46'
    Subst · Substitution 1
    Ibrahim Sangaré · assist Nicolás Domínguez
    NOT
  7. 50'
    Subst · Substitution 2
    Jair · assist Morato
    NOT
  8. 51'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Habib Diarra
    SUN
  9. 51'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Nicolás Domínguez
    NOT
  10. 58'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Elliot Anderson
    NOT
  11. 60'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Igor Jesus
    NOT
  12. 63'
    Var · Goal cancelled
    Daniel Ballard
    SUN
  13. 65'
    Subst · Substitution 2
    Habib Diarra · assist Wilson Isidor
    SUN
  14. 67'
    Subst · Substitution 3
    Omari Hutchinson · assist Luca Netz
    NOT
  15. 67'
    Subst · Substitution 4
    Igor Jesus · assist Ryan Yates
    NOT
  16. 69'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Neco Williams
    NOT
  17. 75'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Granit Xhaka
    SUN
  18. 76'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Ryan Yates
    NOT
  19. 88'
    Subst · Substitution 5
    Chris Wood · assist Taiwo Awoniyi
    NOT
  20. 90'+5
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Elliot Anderson · assist Taiwo Awoniyi
    NOT
PLAYER RATINGS · TOP 5 EACH 0–10 scale
SUNDERLAND AVG 6.8
NOTTINGHAM FOREST AVG 7.8
MATCH STATS H vs A
ATTACK
0.7
xG
1.1
14.0
TOTAL SHOTS
10.0
4.0
ON TARGET
6.0
3.0
OFF TARGET
2.0
7.0
BLOCKED
2.0
POSSESSION
61.0%
POSSESSION %
39.0%
436.0
PASSES
273.0
82.0%
PASS ACCURACY
73.0%
SET PIECES
3.0
CORNERS
6.0
1.0
OFFSIDES
1.0
DISCIPLINE
13.0
FOULS
15.0
2.0
YELLOW CARDS
5.0
2.0
GK SAVES
4.0
🎯 SHOT BREAKDOWN

Top shooters · accuracy = on-target / total

player-level shot accuracy · per-shot xG bubbles require xG Advanced tier
SUNDERLAND 3 shots
Granit Xhaka
0/1
Wilson Isidor
1/1
Enzo Le Fée
1/1
NOTTINGHAM FOREST 5 shots
Chris Wood
2/2
Morgan Gibbs-White
1/1
Elliot Anderson
1/1
Ola Aina
0/1
📈 xG RACE

Cumulative xG over 90 minutes REAL xG

final xG: 0.70 – 1.10
0.9 0.7 0.4 0.2 1.1 0.0 HT 17' 31' 34' 37' 90' H 0.70 A 1.10 KO 30' 60' FT

Step chart anchored to real goal minutes · final xG from SportMonks · baseline distributes remaining shots evenly across the match

⚡ ATTACK SHARE

Event activity ratio · attacks/cards/subs

zone-based attack maps require broadcast partner (Q3)
H 25%
75% A
5
EVENTS LOGGED
15
EVENTS LOGGED
LINEUPS 4-2-3-1 vs 4-4-2
4-2-3-1
4-4-2
22
ROBIN ROE
32
TRAI HUME
15
OMAR ALDE
5
DANIEL BA
20
NORDI MUK
 6.3
27
NOAH SADI
 8.0
34
GRANIT XH
 6.7
28
ENZO LE F
19
HABIB DIA
11
CHRIS RIG
9
BRIAN BRO
26
MATZ SELS
3
NECO WILL
23
JAIR
 8.2
31
NIKOLA MI
 7.5
34
OLA AINA
 7.9
10
MORGAN GI
 7.6
8
ELLIOT AN
6
IBRAHIM S
21
OMARI HUT
 7.9
11
CHRIS WOO
19
IGOR JESU
SUBSTITUTES · SUNDERLAND
50
Harrison Jon...
M
7
Chemsdine Ta...
F
13
Luke O'Nien
M
6
Lutsharel Ge...
D
3
Dennis Cirki...
D
31
Melker Ellbo...
G
18
Wilson Isido...
F
17
Reinildo Man...
D
12
Eliezer Maye...
F
SUBSTITUTES · NOTTINGHAM FOREST
24
James McAtee
M
14
Dan Ndoye
F
27
Stefan Orteg...
G
9
Taiwo Awoniy...
F
22
Ryan Yates
M
25
Luca Netz
D
4
Morato
D
16
Nicolás Domí...
M
29
Dilane Bakwa
F
🏥 UNAVAILABLE PLAYERS
SUN · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

NOT · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

⚖ MATCH OFFICIALS
REFEREE
D. England
—
SUN MANAGER
—
unannounced
NOT MANAGER
—
unannounced
HEAD TO HEAD · ALL-TIME
2
SUN WINS
1
DRAWS
2
NOT WINS
40%
20%
40%
3 – 7
TOTAL GOALS · 5 MEETINGS
2.00
AVG GOALS / MATCH
RECENT MEETINGS SHOWING 3 / 5
27 Sep 25
Nottingham Forest
0 – 1
Sunderland
W
30 Dec 17
Nottingham Forest
0 – 1
Sunderland
W
12 Sep 17
Sunderland
0 – 1
Nottingham Forest
L
SUNDERLAND LAST 5 OVERALL
L W W L W
NOTTINGHAM FOREST LAST 5 OVERALL
W W D D W
MATCH IMPACT Final 0–5 · result locked
SUNDERLAND #12
Lost · already at 46 pts
NOTTINGHAM FOREST #16
Won · already at 39 pts
LEAGUE CONTEXT FULL TABLE →
# TEAM P W D L GD PTS FORM
1 Arsenal 34 22 7 5 +38 73
W L L W W
2 Manchester City 33 21 7 5 +37 70
W W W D D
3 Manchester United 33 16 10 7 +13 58
W L D W L
4 Liverpool 34 17 7 10 +13 58
W W W L D
5 Aston Villa 34 17 7 10 +5 58
L W D W L
6 Brighton 34 13 11 10 +9 50
W D W W W
7 Bournemouth 34 11 16 7 0 49
D W W D D
8 Chelsea 34 13 9 12 +8 48
L L L L L
9 Brentford 33 13 9 11 +4 48
D D D D D
10 Fulham 34 14 6 14 -2 48
W D L W D
11 Everton 34 13 8 13 0 47
L L D W L
12 Sunderland 34 12 10 12 -9 46
L L W W L
13 Crystal Palace 33 11 10 12 -3 43
L D W D W
14 Newcastle 34 12 6 16 -4 42
L L L L W
15 Leeds 34 9 13 12 -7 40
D W W D D
16 Nottingham Forest 34 10 9 15 -4 39
W W D W D
17 West Ham 34 9 9 16 -16 36
W D W L D
18 Tottenham 34 8 10 16 -10 34
W D L L D
19 Burnley 34 4 8 22 -34 20
L L L L D
20 Wolves 34 3 8 23 -38 17
L L L D W
UCL Qualification Europa / Conference Relegation
COMMENTARY
  • 90'+5
    Goal · Normal Goal · Elliot Anderson
  • 88'
    Subst · Substitution 5 · Chris Wood
  • 76'
    Card · Yellow Card · Ryan Yates
    Foul
  • 75'
    Card · Yellow Card · Granit Xhaka
    Argument
  • 69'
    Card · Yellow Card · Neco Williams
    Foul
  • 67'
    Subst · Substitution 4 · Igor Jesus
  • 67'
    Subst · Substitution 3 · Omari Hutchinson
  • 65'
    Subst · Substitution 2 · Habib Diarra
  • 63'
    Var · Goal cancelled · Daniel Ballard
  • 60'
    Card · Yellow Card · Igor Jesus
    Foul
  • 58'
    Card · Yellow Card · Elliot Anderson
    Foul
  • 51'
    Card · Yellow Card · Nicolás Domínguez
    Foul
  • 51'
    Card · Yellow Card · Habib Diarra
    Argument
  • 50'
    Subst · Substitution 2 · Jair
  • 46'
    Subst · Substitution 1 · Ibrahim Sangaré
  • 46'
    Subst · Substitution 1 · Chris Rigg
  • HALF TIME · 0 – 4
  • 37'
    Goal · Normal Goal · Igor Jesus
  • 34'
    Goal · Normal Goal · Morgan Gibbs-White
  • 31'
    Goal · Normal Goal · Chris Wood
  • 17'
    Goal · Own Goal · Trai Hume
13 BOOKIES
📊 AVERAGE ACROSS 13 BOOKMAKERS
SUNDERLAND WIN
2.73
36.6% implied
↑ best 2.82
DRAW
3.14
31.8% implied
↑ best 3.25
NOTTINGHAM FORES WIN
2.74
36.5% implied
↑ best 2.86

Market favors Sunderland. AI projects NOTTINGHAM FOREST 97% · value bet Over 2.5.

MATCH WINNER ODDS avg across bookmakers
AI SAYS NOTTINGHAM FOREST 97% · EDGE column shows AI probability minus market implied probability
BOOKMAKER 1 X 2 EDGE
10Bet 2.68 3.10 2.68 +59.7%
1xBet 2.80 3.25 2.86 +62.0%
888Sport 2.70 3.00 2.70 +60.0%
Bet365 2.70 3.20 2.70 +60.0%
Betano 2.75 3.10 2.77 +60.9%
Betfair 2.75 3.20 2.75 +60.6%
BetVictor 2.70 3.20 2.70 +60.0%
Dafabet 2.80 3.25 2.70 +60.0%
Marathonbet 2.73 3.20 2.83 +61.7%
Pinnacle 2.82 3.19 2.79 +61.2%
SBO 2.65 2.97 2.74 +60.5%
Unibet 2.75 3.15 2.70 +60.0%
William Hill 2.70 3.00 2.70 +60.0%

Best odds in gold. Edge ≥ +5% (lime) means market under-prices the AI's probability. 18+ only.

📊 OTHER MARKETS

Over/Under · BTTS · Asian Handicap

avg across bookmakers
⚽ GOALS · OVER / UNDER
1.5 O 1.39 U 2.95
2.5 O 2.22 U 1.67
3.5 O 3.99 U 1.23
⚽ BOTH TEAMS SCORE
YES
1.86 10 bks
NO
1.89 10 bks
⚖ ASIAN HANDICAP
Away -0.25 1.64
Away -0.5 1.47
Away -0.75 1.32
Away -1 1.17
Away -1.25 1.13
Away -1.5 1.11
📈 MARKET MOVEMENT

How the market shifted before kick-off

historical line movement
7d ago 3d 1d KICK-OFF

Smoothed line illustration · per-snapshot historical odds storage activates Q3.