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AI PREDICTION Projects FT 1–1 · STURM GRAZ 38%
CONF 38 FULL ANALYSIS →
Champions League · 3RD QUALIFYING ROUND · TUE, 11 AUG · 18:30 LOCAL
STURM GRAZ
LAST 5:
L W W D W
FT
0 – 1
FULL TIME HT · 0-0
FENERBAHçE
W D W W L
· LAST 5
GOALS
⚽ 66' Talisca (P)
Jeyland Mitchell
👑
⭐ PLAYER OF THE MATCH
Jeyland Mitchell
Sturm Graz · 93 mins
· 22% pass acc
RATING
7.9
PREDICTIONS
📊 90 MIN TOTALS

Finalised · Match completed

50%
BALL POSSESSION %
50%
19
TOTAL SHOTS
11
2
SHOTS ON TARGET
6
81%
PASS ACCURACY %
80%
7
CORNERS
6
KEY EVENTS 16 events
  1. 40'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Nélson Semedo
    FEN
  2. 45'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Archie Brown
    FEN
  3. 61'
    Subst · Substitution 1
    Axel Kayombo · assist Nelson Weiper
    STU
  4. 61'
    Subst · Substitution 2
    Seedy Jatta · assist Belmin Beganović
    STU
  5. 61'
    Subst · Substitution 3
    Arjan Malić · assist Jurgen Heil
    STU
  6. 62'
    Subst · Substitution 1
    Nélson Semedo · assist Mert Müldür
    FEN
  7. 63'
    Subst · Substitution 2
    Mason Greenwood · assist Oğuz Aydın
    FEN
  8. 63'
    Subst · Substitution 3
    Marco Asensio · assist Fred
    FEN
  9. 66'
    Goal · Penalty
    Talisca
    FEN
  10. 70'
    Subst · Substitution 4
    Jon Gorenc Stanković · assist Ryan Fosso
    STU
  11. 73'
    Subst · Substitution 4
    N'Golo Kanté · assist İsmail Yüksek
    FEN
  12. 77'
    Subst · Substitution 5
    Talisca · assist Vedat Muriqi
    FEN
  13. 79'
    Subst · Substitution 5
    Petar Petrović · assist Paul Koller
    STU
  14. 80'
    Card · Yellow Card
    F. Ingolitsch
    STU
  15. 84'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Jeyland Mitchell
    STU
  16. 89'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Kerem Aktürkoğlu
    FEN
PLAYER RATINGS · TOP 5 EACH 0–10 scale
STURM GRAZ AVG 7.6
FENERBAHçE AVG 7.6
MATCH STATS H vs A
ATTACK
19.0
TOTAL SHOTS
11.0
2.0
ON TARGET
6.0
8.0
OFF TARGET
3.0
9.0
BLOCKED
2.0
POSSESSION
50.0%
POSSESSION %
50.0%
383.0
PASSES
397.0
81.0%
PASS ACCURACY
80.0%
SET PIECES
7.0
CORNERS
6.0
1.0
OFFSIDES
0.0
DISCIPLINE
12.0
FOULS
13.0
1.0
YELLOW CARDS
3.0
5.0
GK SAVES
2.0
🎯 SHOT BREAKDOWN

Top shooters · accuracy = on-target / total

player-level shot accuracy · per-shot xG bubbles require xG Advanced tier
STURM GRAZ 3 shots
Emran Soglo
0/2
Jon Gorenc Stanković
1/1
FENERBAHçE 4 shots
Talisca
3/4
⚡ ATTACK SHARE

Event activity ratio · attacks/cards/subs

zone-based attack maps require broadcast partner (Q3)
H 44%
56% A
7
EVENTS LOGGED
9
EVENTS LOGGED
LINEUPS 4-4-2 vs 4-2-3-1
4-4-2
4-2-3-1
7.9
53
DANIIL KH
 7.3
18
EMRAN SOG
21
PETAR PET
 7.9
2
JEYLAND M
23
ARJAN MAL
 7.3
43
JACOB HöD
39
LUCA WEIN
 7.5
4
JON GOREN
19
SIMON SEI
20
SEEDY JAT
11
AXEL KAYO
 7.6
34
MERT GüNO
3
ARCHIE BR
 7.3
15
NATHAN AK
 7.7
37
MILAN ŠKR
27
NéLSON SE
91
N'GOLO KA
 7.3
6
MATTéO GU
9
KEREM AKT
10
MARCO ASE
11
MASON GRE
 7.9
94
TALISCA
SUBSTITUTES · STURM GRAZ
5
Albert Vallc...
D
27
Luís Balbo
D
15
Gizo Mamagei...
M
40
Julian Halwa...
M
41
Elias Lorenz
G
22
Ammar Helac
G
30
Paul Koller
D
80
Ryan Fosso
M
44
Nelson Weipe...
F
26
Belmin Began...
F
28
Jurgen Heil
M
17
Szymon Włoda...
F
COACH: Fabio Ingolitsch
SUBSTITUTES · FENERBAHçE
75
Kuzey Sapaz
G
14
Yiğit Efe De...
D
4
Çağlar Söyün...
D
17
İrfan Can Ka...
M
13
Tarık Çetin
G
19
Vedat Muriqi
F
5
İsmail Yükse...
M
70
Oğuz Aydın
F
7
Fred
M
18
Mert Müldür
D
26
Sidiki Cheri...
F
COACH: Ismail Kartal
🏥 UNAVAILABLE PLAYERS
STU · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

FEN · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

⚖ MATCH OFFICIALS
REFEREE
Alejandro Hernandez, Spain
—
STU MANAGER
Fabio Ingolitsch
head coach
FEN MANAGER
Ismail Kartal
head coach
HEAD TO HEAD · ALL-TIME
0
STU WINS
1
DRAWS
1
FEN WINS
50%
50%
2 – 3
TOTAL GOALS · 2 MEETINGS
2.50
AVG GOALS / MATCH
RECENT MEETINGS SHOWING 3 / 2
05 Aug 2026
Fenerbahçe
2 – 0
Sturm Graz
L
03 Aug 2017
Fenerbahçe
1 – 1
Sturm Graz
D
27 Jul 2017
Sturm Graz
1 – 2
Fenerbahçe
L
STURM GRAZ LAST 5 OVERALL
L W W D W
FENERBAHçE LAST 5 OVERALL
W D W W L
LEAGUE CONTEXT FULL TABLE →
Standings not yet available for this league.
COMMENTARY
  • 89'
    Card · Yellow Card · Kerem Aktürkoğlu
    Tripping
  • 84'
    Card · Yellow Card · Jeyland Mitchell
    Roughing
  • 80'
    Card · Yellow Card · F. Ingolitsch
    Unsportsmanlike conduct
  • 79'
    Subst · Substitution 5 · Petar Petrović
  • 77'
    Subst · Substitution 5 · Talisca
  • 73'
    Subst · Substitution 4 · N'Golo Kanté
  • 70'
    Subst · Substitution 4 · Jon Gorenc Stanković
  • 66'
    Goal · Penalty · Talisca
  • 63'
    Subst · Substitution 3 · Marco Asensio
  • 63'
    Subst · Substitution 2 · Mason Greenwood
  • 62'
    Subst · Substitution 1 · Nélson Semedo
  • 61'
    Subst · Substitution 3 · Arjan Malić
  • 61'
    Subst · Substitution 2 · Seedy Jatta
  • 61'
    Subst · Substitution 1 · Axel Kayombo
  • HALF TIME · 0 – 0
  • 45'
    Card · Yellow Card · Archie Brown
    Tripping
  • 40'
    Card · Yellow Card · Nélson Semedo
    Tripping
14 BOOKIES
📊 AVERAGE ACROSS 14 BOOKMAKERS
STURM GRAZ WIN
4.04
24.8% implied
↑ best 4.35
DRAW
4.03
24.8% implied
↑ best 4.33
FENERBAHçE WIN
1.75
57.1% implied
↑ best 1.93

Market favors Fenerbahçe. AI projects STURM GRAZ 38%.

MATCH WINNER ODDS avg across bookmakers
AI SAYS STURM GRAZ 38% · EDGE column shows AI probability minus market implied probability
BOOKMAKER 1 X 2 EDGE
10Bet 4.00 4.20 1.71 +13.0%
1xBet 4.28 4.23 1.80 +14.6%
888Sport 3.90 3.80 1.75 +12.4%
Bet365 4.00 4.33 1.73 +13.0%
Betano 4.10 4.15 1.78 +13.6%
Betfair 3.90 4.00 1.67 +12.4%
BetVictor 4.33 4.10 1.73 +14.9%
Dafabet 3.90 3.80 1.93 +12.4%
Marathonbet 4.05 4.05 1.73 +13.3%
Pinnacle 4.25 4.21 1.72 +14.5%
SBO 3.76 3.62 1.71 +11.4%
Superbet 4.00 4.25 1.77 +13.0%
Unibet 4.35 4.00 1.74 +15.0%
William Hill 3.80 3.70 1.75 +11.7%

Best odds in gold. Edge ≥ +5% (lime) means market under-prices the AI's probability. 18+ only.

📊 OTHER MARKETS

Over/Under · BTTS · Asian Handicap

avg across bookmakers
⚽ GOALS · OVER / UNDER
1.5 O 1.15 U 4.98
2.5 O 1.53 U 2.41
3.5 O 2.31 U 1.59
⚽ BOTH TEAMS SCORE
YES
1.52 11 bks
NO
2.36 11 bks
⚖ ASIAN HANDICAP
Away -0.25 1.27
Away -0.5 1.23
Away -0.75 1.13
Away -1 1.06
Away -1.25 1.05
Away -1.5 1.05
📈 MARKET MOVEMENT

How the market shifted before kick-off

historical line movement
7d ago 3d 1d KICK-OFF

Smoothed line illustration · per-snapshot historical odds storage activates Q3.