GOALSENSE
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AI PREDICTION Projects FT 1–1 · STOKE CITY 45% · Value: BTTS Yes 65%
CONF 38 FULL ANALYSIS →
Championship · REGULAR SEASON - 45 · SAT 25 APR · 14:00 LOCAL
STOKE CITY
17TH · 55 PTS · LAST 5:
L L D L W
FT
1 – 3
FULL TIME HT · 0-1
PORTSMOUTH
L W W W D
· 18TH · 54 PTS · LAST 5
⚽ 48' Lamine Cissé
GOALS
⚽ 32' Adrian Segečić ⚽ 67' Adrian Segečić ⚽ 82' Adrian Segečić
Adrian Segečić
👑
⭐ PLAYER OF THE MATCH
Adrian Segečić
Portsmouth · 94 mins
⚽ 3 goals · 9% pass acc · 3 shots on
RATING
10.0
PREDICTIONS
▶ MATCH HIGHLIGHTS

Goals, key moments & recap 3 CLIPS

powered by Highlightly
Championship: Stoke City vs Portsmouth FC
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Championship: Stoke City vs Portsmouth FC
Championship: Stoke City vs Portsmouth FC
📊 90 MIN TOTALS

Finalised · Match completed

1.57
⚡ EXPECTED GOALS (xG)
1.26
46%
BALL POSSESSION %
54%
13
TOTAL SHOTS
8
3
SHOTS ON TARGET
4
69%
PASS ACCURACY %
79%
8
CORNERS
1
KEY EVENTS 16 events
  1. 4'
    Subst · Substitution 1
    Josef Bursik · assist Ben Killip
    POR
  2. 32'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Adrian Segečić · assist Harvey Blair
    POR
  3. 46'
    Subst · Substitution 1
    Sam Gallagher · assist Jesurun Rak-Sakyi
    STO
  4. 46'
    Subst · Substitution 2
    Eric Bocat · assist Ben Gibson
    STO
  5. 48'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Lamine Cissé · assist Sorba Thomas
    STO
  6. 61'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Hayden Matthews
    POR
  7. 61'
    Subst · Substitution 2
    Hayden Matthews · assist Ibane Bowat
    POR
  8. 62'
    Subst · Substitution 3
    Harvey Blair · assist Josh Murphy
    POR
  9. 63'
    Subst · Substitution 3
    Sydney Agina · assist Junior Tchamadeu
    STO
  10. 67'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Adrian Segečić · assist Josh Murphy
    POR
  11. 71'
    Subst · Substitution 4
    Ben Pearson · assist Steven​ N'Zonzi
    STO
  12. 78'
    Subst · Substitution 4
    John Swift · assist Jacob Brown
    POR
  13. 79'
    Subst · Substitution 5
    Colby Bishop · assist Thomas Waddingham
    POR
  14. 79'
    Subst · Substitution 5
    Pijus Otegbayo · assist Million Manhoef
    STO
  15. 82'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Adrian Segečić
    POR
  16. 82'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Adrian Segečić
    POR
PLAYER RATINGS · TOP 5 EACH 0–10 scale
STOKE CITY AVG 7.1
PORTSMOUTH AVG 7.8
MATCH STATS H vs A
ATTACK
1.6
xG
1.3
13.0
TOTAL SHOTS
8.0
3.0
ON TARGET
4.0
4.0
OFF TARGET
3.0
6.0
BLOCKED
1.0
POSSESSION
46.0%
POSSESSION %
54.0%
289.0
PASSES
354.0
69.0%
PASS ACCURACY
79.0%
SET PIECES
8.0
CORNERS
1.0
2.0
OFFSIDES
0.0
DISCIPLINE
9.0
FOULS
13.0
0.0
YELLOW CARDS
2.0
1.0
GK SAVES
2.0
🎯 SHOT BREAKDOWN

Top shooters · accuracy = on-target / total

player-level shot accuracy · per-shot xG bubbles require xG Advanced tier
STOKE CITY 4 shots
Lamine Cissé
2/3
Tatsuki Seko
0/1
PORTSMOUTH 5 shots
Adrian Segečić
3/4
Josh Murphy
0/1
📈 xG RACE

Cumulative xG over 90 minutes REAL xG

final xG: 1.57 – 1.26
1.3 0.9 0.6 0.3 1.6 0.0 HT 48' 32' 67' 82' H 1.57 A 1.26 KO 30' 60' FT

Step chart anchored to real goal minutes · final xG from SportMonks · baseline distributes remaining shots evenly across the match

⚡ ATTACK SHARE

Event activity ratio · attacks/cards/subs

zone-based attack maps require broadcast partner (Q3)
H 38%
62% A
6
EVENTS LOGGED
10
EVENTS LOGGED
LINEUPS 4-2-3-1 vs 4-2-3-1
4-2-3-1
4-2-3-1
25
TOMMY SIM
17
ERIC BOCA
54
PIJUS OTE
26
ASHLEY PH
50
SYDNEY AG
 6.9
12
TATSUKI S
4
BEN PEARS
 8.2
7
SORBA THO
20
SAM GALLA
 7.0
29
LAMINE CI
11
RóBERT BO
26
JOSEF BUR
3
CONNOR OG
 7.2
55
MADIODIO
14
HAYDEN MA
2
JORDAN WI
16
LUKE LE R
 7.2
21
ANDRE DOZ
29
HARVEY BL
8
JOHN SWIF
 10.0
10
ADRIAN SE
9
COLBY BIS
SUBSTITUTES · STOKE CITY
10
Jun-Ho Bae
M
21
Jesurun Rak-...
F
15
Steven​ N'Zo...
M
8
Lewis Baker
M
42
Million Manh...
F
23
Ben Gibson
D
22
Junior Tcham...
D
34
Frank Fieldi...
G
49
Milan Smit
F
COACH: Mark Robins
SUBSTITUTES · PORTSMOUTH
40
Jacob Brown
F
36
Conor Chapli...
F
38
Ebou Adams
M
23
Josh Murphy
M
27
Millenic All...
F
5
Regan Poole
D
17
Ibane Bowat
D
30
Ben Killip
G
20
Thomas Waddi...
F
COACH: John Mousinho
🏥 UNAVAILABLE PLAYERS
STO · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

POR · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

⚖ MATCH OFFICIALS
REFEREE
David Webb, England
—
STO MANAGER
Mark Robins
head coach
POR MANAGER
John Mousinho
head coach
HEAD TO HEAD · ALL-TIME
3
STO WINS
0
DRAWS
1
POR WINS
75%
25%
11 – 4
TOTAL GOALS · 4 MEETINGS
3.75
AVG GOALS / MATCH
RECENT MEETINGS SHOWING 3 / 4
25 Oct 25
Portsmouth
0 – 1
Stoke City
W
22 Jan 25
Portsmouth
3 – 1
Stoke City
L
02 Oct 24
Stoke City
6 – 1
Portsmouth
W
STOKE CITY LAST 5 OVERALL
L L D L W
PORTSMOUTH LAST 5 OVERALL
L W W W D
MATCH IMPACT Final 1–3 · result locked
STOKE CITY #17
Lost · already at 55 pts
PORTSMOUTH #18
Won · already at 54 pts
LEAGUE CONTEXT FULL TABLE →
# TEAM P W D L GD PTS FORM
1 Coventry 45 27 11 7 +48 92
W W D D D
2 Ipswich 44 22 14 8 +30 80
D W D L W
3 Millwall 45 23 11 11 +13 80
D W W D L
4 Middlesbrough 45 22 13 10 +25 79
W W D L D
5 Southampton 44 21 13 10 +24 76
D W W W W
6 Wrexham 45 19 13 13 +4 70
L W W L L
7 Hull City 45 20 10 15 +3 70
L D D L D
8 Derby 45 20 9 16 +9 69
W L W L W
9 Norwich 45 19 8 18 +8 65
D W W L W
10 Birmingham 45 17 12 16 +1 63
W W D W L
11 Swansea 45 17 10 18 -4 61
D W L W D
12 Preston 45 15 15 15 -5 60
W L L W D
13 Bristol City 45 16 11 18 -2 59
L D L D W
14 QPR 45 16 10 19 -9 58
L L L D D
15 Sheffield Utd 45 17 6 22 -1 57
L L W W L
16 Watford 45 14 15 16 -8 57
L L L L D
17 Stoke City 45 15 10 20 -3 55
L L L D L
18 Portsmouth 45 14 12 19 -15 54
W L W W W
19 Charlton 45 13 14 18 -12 53
W L D L D
20 Blackburn 45 13 13 19 -13 52
W D L D D
21 West Brom 45 13 14 18 -9 51
D W W D D
22 Oxford United 45 11 14 20 -12 47
W L L W D
23 Leicester 45 11 16 18 -11 43
D D L L D
24 Sheffield Wednesday 45 1 12 32 -61 -3
L L D D D
UCL Qualification Europa / Conference Relegation
COMMENTARY
  • 82'
    Card · Yellow Card · Adrian Segečić
  • 82'
    Goal · Normal Goal · Adrian Segečić
  • 79'
    Subst · Substitution 5 · Pijus Otegbayo
  • 79'
    Subst · Substitution 5 · Colby Bishop
  • 78'
    Subst · Substitution 4 · John Swift
  • 71'
    Subst · Substitution 4 · Ben Pearson
  • 67'
    Goal · Normal Goal · Adrian Segečić
  • 63'
    Subst · Substitution 3 · Sydney Agina
  • 62'
    Subst · Substitution 3 · Harvey Blair
  • 61'
    Subst · Substitution 2 · Hayden Matthews
  • 61'
    Card · Yellow Card · Hayden Matthews
  • 48'
    Goal · Normal Goal · Lamine Cissé
  • 46'
    Subst · Substitution 2 · Eric Bocat
  • 46'
    Subst · Substitution 1 · Sam Gallagher
  • HALF TIME · 0 – 1
  • 32'
    Goal · Normal Goal · Adrian Segečić
  • 4'
    Subst · Substitution 1 · Josef Bursik
13 BOOKIES
📊 AVERAGE ACROSS 13 BOOKMAKERS
STOKE CITY WIN
2.64
37.9% implied
↑ best 2.75
DRAW
3.31
30.2% implied
↑ best 3.45
PORTSMOUTH WIN
2.60
38.5% implied
↑ best 2.69

Market favors Portsmouth. AI projects STOKE CITY 45% · value bet BTTS Yes.

MATCH WINNER ODDS avg across bookmakers
AI SAYS STOKE CITY 45% · EDGE column shows AI probability minus market implied probability
BOOKMAKER 1 X 2 EDGE
10Bet 2.60 3.35 2.60 +12.1%
1xBet 2.61 3.28 2.60 +11.5%
888Sport 2.75 3.00 2.50 +8.7%
Bet365 2.62 3.30 2.62 +11.7%
Betano 2.67 3.35 2.65 +12.1%
Betfair 2.63 3.40 2.63 +12.6%
BetVictor 2.63 3.40 2.60 +12.6%
Dafabet 2.65 3.45 2.65 +13.0%
Marathonbet 2.61 3.28 2.60 +11.5%
Pinnacle 2.68 3.41 2.69 +12.7%
SBO 2.57 3.25 2.54 +11.2%
Unibet 2.65 3.35 2.55 +12.1%
William Hill 2.60 3.25 2.62 +11.2%

Best odds in gold. Edge ≥ +5% (lime) means market under-prices the AI's probability. 18+ only.

📊 OTHER MARKETS

Over/Under · BTTS · Asian Handicap

avg across bookmakers
⚽ GOALS · OVER / UNDER
1.5 O 1.27 U 3.57
2.5 O 1.88 U 1.90
3.5 O 3.16 U 1.33
⚽ BOTH TEAMS SCORE
YES
1.66 10 bks
NO
2.12 10 bks
⚖ ASIAN HANDICAP
Away -0.25 1.62
Away -0.5 1.48
Away -0.75 1.33
Away -1 1.18
Away -1.25 1.14
Away -1.5 1.12
📈 MARKET MOVEMENT

How the market shifted before kick-off

historical line movement
7d ago 3d 1d KICK-OFF

Smoothed line illustration · per-snapshot historical odds storage activates Q3.