GOALSENSE
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Ligue 1 · REGULAR SEASON - 29 · WED, 13 MAY · 17:00 LOCAL
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STADE BRESTOIS 29
43'
1 – 2
STRASBOURG
GOALS
⚽ 9' Valentín Barco ⚽ 20' Sebastian Nanasi
CLAUDE AI · BLENDED FROM 4 MODELS
LIVE-ADJUSTED
CONF 48/100 MED
🔮 PREDICTED FULL-TIME SCORE
STA
1 – 1
STR
most likely scoreline · 13.5% probability
AI PICKS STADE BRESTOIS 29 TO WIN 36%
LIVE · 43' 1 – 2
→
🤖 AI PROJECTS FT 1 – 1
🤖 AI BREAKDOWN

HOW AI SEES THE MATCH

LIVE-ADJUSTED
STA WIN 36%
DRAW 28%
STR WIN 36%
h + d + a = 100% · stacked share
💰 AI BETTING TIP
DOUBLE CHANCE — 1X

Tight 1X2 — single-side too risky. Double chance covers 64% of outcomes with smaller payout.

CONF 64% avoid: 1X2 single 4 models
🤖 AI ANALYSIS

Evenly matched on form split and quality; draw most likely, but away value exists.

🤖 AI REASONING why AI picked this
WHY STADE BRESTOIS 29 FAVORED
36%
Bookmaker odds favour away slightly (38.5% vs 34.8%); SportMonks agrees (42.5% away) — mild away value
+15.0%
WHY STRASBOURG CHALLENGED
36%
Brest home form strong (DLWWW) but recent overall form poor (LLDDL); Strasbourg away form solid (DLWLW)
+25.0%
League position gap (8th vs 12th) suggests Strasbourg edge, but Brest home venue narrows it
+20.0%
🤖 CONTEXT · NEUTRAL FACTORS
  • Bookmaker odds favour away slightly (38.5% vs 34.8%); SportMonks agrees (42.5% away) — mild away value
🤖 AI LIVE TIMELINE

PROBABILITY TIMELINE

How AI re-projects after each event
H DRAW A
100% 50% 0% KO 15' 30' HT 60' 75' FT ⚽ 9' VALENTíN ⚽ 20' SEBASTIAN 43' PROJECTION
Probabilities re-blended at each event · 2 events marked → Derived from goal events + remaining time
🤖 AI SCORE MATRIX

SCORELINE PROBABILITY

All possible scorelines · Poisson from xG
0% 13.5%+
0
1
2
3
4
5
6+
0
13.5
13.5
6.8
2.3
0.6
0.1
·
1
13.5
13.5
6.8
2.3
0.6
0.1
·
2
6.8
6.8
3.4
1.1
0.3
0.1
·
3
2.3
2.3
1.1
0.4
0.1
·
·
4
0.6
0.6
0.3
0.1
·
·
·
5
0.1
0.1
0.1
·
·
·
·
6+
·
·
·
·
·
·
·
MOST LIKELY · TOP 5
0 — 0 13.5%
0 — 1 13.5%
1 — 0 13.5%
1 — 1 13.5%
0 — 2 6.8%
Top 5 = 60.9% · rest 39.1%
🤖 AI VALUE FINDER

VALUE BETS

Where AI sees an edge vs bookmaker odds
8 markets · pre-match avg odds
MARKETODDSAI PROBFAIREDGE
Over 2.5 Goals
10 bookmakers · pre-match avg
1.76
58.0%
1.72
+1.8%
—
Draw
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
3.51
28.0%
3.57
-1.7%
—
HOME to Win
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
2.71
36.0%
2.78
-2.3%
—
Both Teams Score — YES
9 bookmakers · pre-match avg
1.59
61.0%
1.64
-3.2%
—
HOME or Draw (1X)
10 bookmakers · pre-match avg
1.51
64.0%
1.56
-3.2%
—
Draw or AWAY (X2)
10 bookmakers · pre-match avg
1.45
64.0%
1.56
-7.3%
—
HOME or AWAY (12)
10 bookmakers · pre-match avg
1.29
72.0%
1.39
-7.3%
—
AWAY to Win
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
2.51
36.0%
2.78
-9.6%
—
⚠ 18+ only. Odds change frequently. AI predictions are not guarantees. Bet responsibly.