GOALSENSE
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AI PREDICTION Projects FT 0–2 · HOUSTON DYNAMO 95%
CONF 88 FULL ANALYSIS →
Major League Soccer · REGULAR SEASON - 18 · SUN, 02 AUG · 00:30 LOCAL
SPORTING KANSAS CITY
15TH · 15 PTS · LAST 5:
L D L L W
FT
0 – 2
FULL TIME HT · 0-0
HOUSTON DYNAMO
L W W W W
· 2ND · 38 PTS · LAST 5
GOALS
⚽ 55' Guilherme ⚽ 71' A. Bouzat
Guilherme
👑
⭐ PLAYER OF THE MATCH
Guilherme
Houston Dynamo · 90 mins
⚽ 1 goal · 48% pass acc · 1 shots on
RATING
8.3
PREDICTIONS
📊 90 MIN TOTALS

Finalised · Match completed

0.21
⚡ EXPECTED GOALS (xG)
1.86
36%
BALL POSSESSION %
64%
6
TOTAL SHOTS
14
4
SHOTS ON TARGET
4
84%
PASS ACCURACY %
92%
2
CORNERS
6
KEY EVENTS 16 events
  1. 11'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Lasse Berg Johnsen
    SPO
  2. 45'+1
    Card · Yellow Card
    Lasse Berg Johnsen
    SPO
  3. 45'+1
    Card · Red Card
    Lasse Berg Johnsen
    SPO
  4. 55'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Guilherme · assist Jack McGlynn
    HOU
  5. 65'
    Subst · Substitution 1
    Kwaku Agyabeng · assist Manu García
    SPO
  6. 65'
    Subst · Substitution 1
    Ezequiel Ponce · assist D. McGuire
    HOU
  7. 65'
    Subst · Substitution 2
    Moises Mosquera · assist Wyatt Meyer
    SPO
  8. 65'
    Subst · Substitution 3
    Jacob Davis · assist Jayden Reid
    SPO
  9. 71'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    A. Bouzat
    HOU
  10. 82'
    Subst · Substitution 4
    Capita · assist Shapi Suleymanov
    SPO
  11. 82'
    Subst · Substitution 2
    Felipe Andrade · assist D. Holmes
    HOU
  12. 82'
    Subst · Substitution 3
    A. Bouzat · assist F. Negri
    HOU
  13. 86'
    Subst · Substitution 5
    Zorhan Bassong · assist Jacob Bartlett
    SPO
  14. 86'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Lucas Halter
    HOU
  15. 90'
    Subst · Substitution 4
    Guilherme · assist Ondrej Lingr
    HOU
  16. 90'
    Subst · Substitution 5
    H. Herrera · assist D. Samassékou
    HOU
PLAYER RATINGS · TOP 5 EACH 0–10 scale
SPORTING KANSAS CITY AVG 6.7
HOUSTON DYNAMO AVG 7.8
MATCH STATS H vs A
ATTACK
0.2
xG
1.9
6.0
TOTAL SHOTS
14.0
4.0
ON TARGET
4.0
2.0
OFF TARGET
9.0
0.0
BLOCKED
1.0
POSSESSION
36.0%
POSSESSION %
64.0%
384.0
PASSES
694.0
84.0%
PASS ACCURACY
92.0%
SET PIECES
2.0
CORNERS
6.0
0.0
OFFSIDES
1.0
DISCIPLINE
10.0
FOULS
12.0
2.0
YELLOW CARDS
1.0
1.0
RED CARDS
0.0
1.0
GK SAVES
4.0
🎯 SHOT BREAKDOWN

Top shooters · accuracy = on-target / total

player-level shot accuracy · per-shot xG bubbles require xG Advanced tier
SPORTING KANSAS CITY 1 shots
Jayden Reid
1/1
HOUSTON DYNAMO 5 shots
H. Herrera
1/2
Guilherme
1/1
Jack McGlynn
0/1
Lucas Halter
0/1
📈 xG RACE

Cumulative xG over 90 minutes REAL xG

final xG: 0.21 – 1.86
1.5 1.1 0.7 0.4 1.9 0.0 HT 55' 71' H 0.21 A 1.86 KO 30' 60' FT

Step chart anchored to real goal minutes · final xG from SportMonks · baseline distributes remaining shots evenly across the match

⚡ ATTACK SHARE

Event activity ratio · attacks/cards/subs

zone-based attack maps require broadcast partner (Q3)
H 50%
50% A
8
EVENTS LOGGED
8
EVENTS LOGGED
LINEUPS 4-2-3-1 vs 4-2-3-1
4-2-3-1
4-2-3-1
30
STEFAN CL
18
EMIR KARI
5
OR BLORIA
3
MOISES MO
 7.0
8
JACOB DAV
 6.6
22
ZORHAN BA
4
LASSE BER
11
CALVIN HA
 6.7
20
KWAKU AGY
7
CAPITA
9
DEJAN JOV
 7.5
31
J. BOND
36
FELIPE AN
34
A. RESCH
 7.5
5
LUCAS HAL
11
L. ENNALI
 7.9
16
H. HERRER
6
ARTUR
 8.3
20
GUILHERME
30
A. BOUZAT
 7.7
8
JACK MCGL
10
EZEQUIEL
SUBSTITUTES · SPORTING KANSAS CITY
16
Jacob Bartle...
D
93
Shapi Suleym...
F
6
Manu García
M
2
Ian James
D
99
Jayden Reid
D
15
Jansen Mille...
D
28
Wyatt Meyer
D
1
John Pulskam...
G
17
Stephen Afri...
F
COACH: Raphael Wicky
SUBSTITUTES · HOUSTON DYNAMO
24
A. Ibrahim
F
9
Ondrej Lingr
M
22
M. Arana
M
14
D. Holmes
M
18
D. Samasséko...
M
21
F. Negri
D
28
Erik Sviatch...
D
26
B. Gillingha...
G
23
D. McGuire
F
COACH: Ben Olsen
🏥 UNAVAILABLE PLAYERS
SPO · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

HOU · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

⚖ MATCH OFFICIALS
REFEREE
S. Boiko
—
SPO MANAGER
Raphael Wicky
head coach
HOU MANAGER
Ben Olsen
head coach
HEAD TO HEAD · ALL-TIME
2
SPO WINS
4
DRAWS
4
HOU WINS
20%
40%
40%
9 – 11
TOTAL GOALS · 10 MEETINGS
2.00
AVG GOALS / MATCH
RECENT MEETINGS SHOWING 5 / 10
19 Oct 2025
Sporting Kansas City
0 – 0
Houston Dynamo
D
01 Jun 2025
Houston Dynamo
1 – 3
Sporting Kansas City
W
12 May 2024
Sporting Kansas City
1 – 2
Houston Dynamo
L
25 Feb 2024
Houston Dynamo
1 – 1
Sporting Kansas City
D
27 Nov 2023
Houston Dynamo
1 – 0
Sporting Kansas City
L
SPORTING KANSAS CITY LAST 5 OVERALL
L D L L W
HOUSTON DYNAMO LAST 5 OVERALL
L W W W W
MATCH IMPACT Final 0–2 · result locked
SPORTING KANSAS CITY #15
Lost · already at 15 pts
HOUSTON DYNAMO #2
Won · already at 38 pts
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs: 1/8-finals)
LEAGUE CONTEXT FULL TABLE →
# TEAM P W D L GD PTS FORM
1 Vancouver Whitecaps 20 12 4 4 +27 40
W L W D D
1 Nashville SC 21 15 4 2 +26 49
W W W D L
2 Houston Dynamo 21 12 2 7 +4 38
L W W W W
2 Inter Miami 21 11 6 4 +9 39
L D L D W
3 Los Angeles FC 22 10 5 7 +14 35
D L L D W
3 Chicago Fire 20 11 3 6 +11 36
D W W W L
4 New England Revolution 21 10 4 7 +7 34
D W L L D
4 San Jose Earthquakes 21 10 3 8 +6 33
L L L L D
5 FC Dallas 21 9 6 6 +4 33
L W W D L
5 Charlotte 21 9 5 7 +6 32
W D W L W
6 St. Louis City 21 9 6 6 +3 33
W D W D W
6 FC Cincinnati 21 8 7 6 +2 31
D W D W L
7 Colorado Rapids 21 9 1 11 +2 28
L W W W L
7 New York City FC 21 7 6 8 +5 27
D L L D W
8 New York Red Bulls 21 7 5 9 -12 26
D L L W L
8 Real Salt Lake 20 8 4 8 +2 28
L L D D L
9 Portland Timbers 21 8 4 9 +1 28
D W L W W
9 Orlando City SC 21 7 3 11 -17 24
W L D L W
10 Minnesota United FC 21 7 7 7 -2 28
W L D D D
10 Toronto FC 21 5 9 7 -6 24
W D W D L
11 San Diego 21 7 6 8 +5 27
W L W D W
11 DC United 21 5 9 7 -8 24
L L D D W
12 Philadelphia Union 21 5 6 10 -7 21
D D W W W
12 Los Angeles Galaxy 22 6 8 8 -5 26
D W L D D
13 Seattle Sounders 20 7 4 9 -5 25
D L L L L
13 CF Montreal 21 5 6 10 -10 21
D W D D L
14 Austin 21 5 6 10 -14 21
D W L L L
14 Columbus Crew 21 5 5 11 -6 20
L L L D W
15 Sporting Kansas City 20 4 3 13 -30 15
D L L L W
15 Atlanta United FC 20 5 3 12 -12 18
W W L L D
UCL Qualification Europa / Conference Relegation
COMMENTARY
  • 90'
    Subst · Substitution 5 · H. Herrera
  • 90'
    Subst · Substitution 4 · Guilherme
  • 86'
    Card · Yellow Card · Lucas Halter
  • 86'
    Subst · Substitution 5 · Zorhan Bassong
  • 82'
    Subst · Substitution 3 · A. Bouzat
  • 82'
    Subst · Substitution 2 · Felipe Andrade
  • 82'
    Subst · Substitution 4 · Capita
  • 71'
    Goal · Normal Goal · A. Bouzat
  • 65'
    Subst · Substitution 3 · Jacob Davis
  • 65'
    Subst · Substitution 2 · Moises Mosquera
  • 65'
    Subst · Substitution 1 · Ezequiel Ponce
  • 65'
    Subst · Substitution 1 · Kwaku Agyabeng
  • 55'
    Goal · Normal Goal · Guilherme
  • HALF TIME · 0 – 0
  • 45'+1
    Card · Red Card · Lasse Berg Johnsen
  • 45'+1
    Card · Yellow Card · Lasse Berg Johnsen
  • 11'
    Card · Yellow Card · Lasse Berg Johnsen
13 BOOKIES
📊 AVERAGE ACROSS 13 BOOKMAKERS
SPORTING KANSAS WIN
3.14
31.8% implied
↑ best 3.29
DRAW
3.56
28.1% implied
↑ best 3.75
HOUSTON DYNAMO WIN
2.15
46.5% implied
↑ best 2.22

Market favors Houston Dynamo. AI projects HOUSTON DYNAMO 95%.

MATCH WINNER ODDS avg across bookmakers
AI SAYS HOUSTON DYNAMO 95% · EDGE column shows AI probability minus market implied probability
BOOKMAKER 1 X 2 EDGE
10Bet 3.10 3.55 2.14 +48.3%
888Sport 3.00 3.60 2.05 +46.2%
Bet365 3.20 3.60 2.15 +48.5%
Betano 3.20 3.75 2.12 +47.8%
Betfair 3.20 3.50 2.15 +48.5%
BetVictor 3.13 3.70 2.10 +47.4%
Dafabet 3.20 3.70 2.19 +49.3%
Marathonbet 3.28 3.40 2.11 +47.6%
Pinnacle 3.29 3.59 2.22 +50.0%
SBO 2.91 3.45 2.20 +49.5%
Superbet 3.15 3.55 2.20 +49.5%
Unibet 3.20 3.30 2.20 +49.5%
William Hill 2.90 3.60 2.10 +47.4%

Best odds in gold. Edge ≥ +5% (lime) means market under-prices the AI's probability. 18+ only.

📊 OTHER MARKETS

Over/Under · BTTS · Asian Handicap

avg across bookmakers
⚽ GOALS · OVER / UNDER
1.5 O 1.19 U 4.50
2.5 O 1.63 U 2.24
3.5 O 2.55 U 1.49
⚽ BOTH TEAMS SCORE
YES
1.52 10 bks
NO
2.38 10 bks
⚖ ASIAN HANDICAP
Away -0.25 1.43
Away -0.5 1.35
Away -0.75 1.24
Away -1 1.12
Away -1.25 1.11
Away -1.5 1.10
📈 MARKET MOVEMENT

How the market shifted before kick-off

historical line movement
7d ago 3d 1d KICK-OFF

Smoothed line illustration · per-snapshot historical odds storage activates Q3.