GOALSENSE
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AI PREDICTION Projects FT 1–2 · PALMEIRAS 44%
CONF 58 FULL ANALYSIS →
Copa Libertadores · GROUP STAGE - 4 · TUE, 05 MAY · 22:00 LOCAL
SPORTING CRISTAL
3RD · 6 PTS · LAST 5:
L W L L L
FT
0 – 2
FULL TIME HT · 0-1
PALMEIRAS
L D W W W
· 2ND · 8 PTS · LAST 5
GOALS
⚽ 32' José López ⚽ 50' Ramón Sosa
José López
👑
⭐ PLAYER OF THE MATCH
José López
Palmeiras · 89 mins
⚽ 1 goal · 13% pass acc · 1 shots on
RATING
7.7
PREDICTIONS
📊 90 MIN TOTALS

Finalised · Match completed

72%
BALL POSSESSION %
91%
18
TOTAL SHOTS
22
6
SHOTS ON TARGET
5
283%
PASS ACCURACY %
403%
8
CORNERS
7
KEY EVENTS 16 events
  1. 18'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Gustavo Gómez
    PAL
  2. 30'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Irven Ávila
    SPO
  3. 32'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    José López · assist Jhon Arias
    PAL
  4. 47'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Martín Távara
    SPO
  5. 50'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Ramón Sosa
    PAL
  6. 57'
    Subst · Substitution 1
    Irven Ávila · assist Felipe Vizeu
    SPO
  7. 58'
    Subst · Substitution 2
    Luis Iberico · assist Gabriel Santana
    SPO
  8. 66'
    Subst · Substitution 3
    Santiago González · assist Juan Cruz Gonzalez
    SPO
  9. 73'
    Subst · Substitution 1
    Jhon Arias · assist Felipe Anderson
    PAL
  10. 73'
    Subst · Substitution 2
    Ramón Sosa · assist Jefté
    PAL
  11. 73'
    Subst · Substitution 3
    Arthur Gabriel · assist Lucas Evangelista
    PAL
  12. 76'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Agustín Giay
    PAL
  13. 81'
    Subst · Substitution 4
    Andreas Pereira · assist Emiliano Martínez
    PAL
  14. 81'
    Subst · Substitution 4
    Martín Távara · assist Catriel Cabellos
    SPO
  15. 81'
    Subst · Substitution 5
    Leandro Sosa · assist Ian Wisdom
    SPO
  16. 89'
    Subst · Substitution 5
    José López · assist Paulinho
    PAL
PLAYER RATINGS · TOP 5 EACH 0–10 scale
SPORTING CRISTAL AVG 7.1
PALMEIRAS AVG 7.6
MATCH STATS H vs A
ATTACK
18.0
TOTAL SHOTS
22.0
6.0
ON TARGET
5.0
8.0
OFF TARGET
6.0
4.0
BLOCKED
11.0
POSSESSION
72.0%
POSSESSION %
91.0%
335.0
PASSES
468.0
283.0%
PASS ACCURACY
403.0%
SET PIECES
8.0
CORNERS
7.0
12.0
OFFSIDES
18.0
DISCIPLINE
16.0
FOULS
12.0
2.0
YELLOW CARDS
2.0
3.0
GK SAVES
5.0
🎯 SHOT BREAKDOWN

Top shooters · accuracy = on-target / total

player-level shot accuracy · per-shot xG bubbles require xG Advanced tier
SPORTING CRISTAL 4 shots
Miguel Araujo
1/1
Yoshimar Yotún
1/1
Santiago González
0/1
Gabriel Santana
0/1
PALMEIRAS 8 shots
José López
1/3
Arthur Gabriel
1/2
Ramón Sosa
1/1
Jhon Arias
1/1
Gustavo Gómez
0/1
⚡ ATTACK SHARE

Event activity ratio · attacks/cards/subs

zone-based attack maps require broadcast partner (Q3)
H 44%
56% A
7
EVENTS LOGGED
9
EVENTS LOGGED
LINEUPS 4-2-3-1 vs 4-2-3-1
4-2-3-1
4-2-3-1
7.2
1
DIEGO ENR
90
CRISTIANO
5
RAFAEL LU
 7.3
20
MIGUEL AR
8
LEANDRO S
 7.2
19
YOSHIMAR
25
MARTíN Tá
23
MAXLOREN
16
LUIS IBER
 7.0
7
SANTIAGO
11
IRVEN ÁVI
1
CARLOS MI
 7.5
56
ARTHUR GA
26
MURILO
 7.5
15
GUSTAVO G
4
AGUSTíN G
17
MARLON FR
8
ANDREAS P
 7.5
11
JHON ARIA
 7.6
19
RAMóN SOS
40
ALLAN
 7.7
42
JOSé LóPE
SUBSTITUTES · SPORTING CRISTAL
46
Jean Lara
M
21
Catriel Cabe...
M
14
Cristian Ben...
F
26
Ian Wisdom
M
41
Joao Cuenca
D
15
Alejandro Pó...
D
96
Luis Abram
D
33
César Bautis...
G
18
Juan Cruz Go...
D
27
Gabriel Sant...
M
9
Felipe Vizeu
F
28
Diego Otoya
F
COACH: Ricardo Ze
SUBSTITUTES · PALMEIRAS
32
Emiliano Mar...
M
30
Lucas Evange...
M
50
Luis Pacheco
M
45
Erick Belé
M
7
Felipe Ander...
M
18
Mauricio
M
43
Luis Benedet...
D
6
Jefté
D
3
Bruno Fuchs
D
12
Khellven
D
14
Marcelo Lomb...
G
10
Paulinho
F
COACH: Ferreira Abel
🏥 UNAVAILABLE PLAYERS
SPO · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

PAL · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

⚖ MATCH OFFICIALS
REFEREE
Dario Herrera, Argentina
—
SPO MANAGER
Ricardo Ze
head coach
PAL MANAGER
Ferreira Abel
head coach
HEAD TO HEAD · ALL-TIME
0
SPO WINS
0
DRAWS
3
PAL WINS
100%
3 – 11
TOTAL GOALS · 3 MEETINGS
4.67
AVG GOALS / MATCH
RECENT MEETINGS SHOWING 3 / 3
16 Apr 2026
Palmeiras
2 – 1
Sporting Cristal
L
29 May 2025
Palmeiras
6 – 0
Sporting Cristal
L
03 Apr 2025
Sporting Cristal
2 – 3
Palmeiras
L
SPORTING CRISTAL LAST 5 OVERALL
L W L L L
PALMEIRAS LAST 5 OVERALL
L D W W W
MATCH IMPACT Final 0–2 · result locked
SPORTING CRISTAL #3
Lost · already at 6 pts
Copa Sudamericana
PALMEIRAS #2
Won · already at 8 pts
Playoffs
LEAGUE CONTEXT FULL TABLE →
# TEAM P W D L GD PTS FORM
1 Flamengo 6 5 1 0 +12 16
W W D W W
1 Rosario Central 5 4 1 0 +9 13
W W W W D
1 LDU de Quito 6 4 0 2 +3 12
W W L L W
1 Cerro Porteno 5 3 1 1 +2 10
W W D W L
1 Corinthians 5 3 2 0 +6 11
D D W W W
1 U. Catolica 5 3 1 1 +3 10
W D W W L
1 Independ. Rivadavia 5 4 1 0 +7 13
W D W W W
1 Coquimbo Unido 6 3 1 2 +2 10
L W W L W
2 Independiente del Valle 5 3 1 1 +4 10
W L W W D
2 Mirassol 6 4 0 2 +3 12
L W W W L
2 Palmeiras 5 2 2 1 +2 8
L W D W D
2 Platense 5 2 1 2 -1 7
L D W W L
2 Cruzeiro 5 2 2 1 +1 8
D D W L W
2 Bolívar 5 1 2 2 0 5
L D W D L
2 Deportes Tolima 6 2 2 2 +1 8
D L W W L
2 Estudiantes L.P. 6 2 3 1 +1 9
W L D D W
3 UCV 5 2 0 3 -5 6
L W L L W
3 Lanus 6 3 0 3 -4 9
W L L W W
3 Sporting Cristal 5 2 0 3 -1 6
L L W L W
3 Santa Fe 5 1 2 2 -2 5
W D L L D
3 Boca Juniors 5 2 1 2 +2 7
D L L W W
3 Fluminense 5 1 2 2 -2 5
W D L L D
3 Club Nacional 6 2 2 2 -2 8
W D L L W
3 Independiente Medellin 6 2 1 3 -5 7
L W W L D
4 Always Ready 6 1 0 5 -2 3
L L W L L
4 Junior 5 1 1 3 -3 4
W L L L D
4 Penarol 5 0 3 2 -3 3
D D L L D
4 Barcelona SC 5 1 0 4 -6 3
L W L L L
4 Deportivo La Guaira 5 0 3 2 -5 3
L D L D D
4 Universitario 6 1 3 2 -1 6
D D L W L
4 Cusco 6 0 1 5 -8 1
L L D L L
4 Libertad Asuncion 5 0 0 5 -8 0
L L L L L
UCL Qualification Europa / Conference Relegation
COMMENTARY
  • 89'
    Subst · Substitution 5 · José López
  • 81'
    Subst · Substitution 5 · Leandro Sosa
  • 81'
    Subst · Substitution 4 · Martín Távara
  • 81'
    Subst · Substitution 4 · Andreas Pereira
  • 76'
    Card · Yellow Card · Agustín Giay
    Foul
  • 73'
    Subst · Substitution 3 · Arthur Gabriel
  • 73'
    Subst · Substitution 2 · Ramón Sosa
  • 73'
    Subst · Substitution 1 · Jhon Arias
  • 66'
    Subst · Substitution 3 · Santiago González
  • 58'
    Subst · Substitution 2 · Luis Iberico
  • 57'
    Subst · Substitution 1 · Irven Ávila
  • 50'
    Goal · Normal Goal · Ramón Sosa
  • 47'
    Card · Yellow Card · Martín Távara
    Foul
  • HALF TIME · 0 – 1
  • 32'
    Goal · Normal Goal · José López
  • 30'
    Card · Yellow Card · Irven Ávila
    Holding
  • 18'
    Card · Yellow Card · Gustavo Gómez
    Foul
13 BOOKIES
📊 AVERAGE ACROSS 13 BOOKMAKERS
SPORTING CRISTAL WIN
6.35
15.7% implied
↑ best 7.00
DRAW
4.04
24.8% implied
↑ best 4.30
PALMEIRAS WIN
1.51
66.2% implied
↑ best 1.57

Market favors Palmeiras. AI projects PALMEIRAS 44%.

MATCH WINNER ODDS avg across bookmakers
AI SAYS PALMEIRAS 44% · EDGE column shows AI probability minus market implied probability
BOOKMAKER 1 X 2 EDGE
10Bet 6.20 3.95 1.53 +15.9%
1xBet 6.48 4.16 1.54 +16.6%
888Sport 6.00 3.80 1.50 +15.3%
Bet365 6.50 4.10 1.50 +16.6%
Betano 6.40 4.25 1.57 +16.4%
Betfair 6.50 4.00 1.50 +16.6%
BetVictor 7.00 4.10 1.50 +17.7%
Dafabet 6.40 4.30 1.54 +16.4%
Marathonbet 6.30 4.05 1.50 +16.1%
Pinnacle 6.34 4.16 1.52 +16.2%
SBO 5.70 3.76 1.46 +14.5%
Unibet 6.75 4.10 1.49 +17.2%
William Hill 6.00 3.80 1.50 +15.3%

Best odds in gold. Edge ≥ +5% (lime) means market under-prices the AI's probability. 18+ only.

📊 OTHER MARKETS

Over/Under · BTTS · Asian Handicap

avg across bookmakers
⚽ GOALS · OVER / UNDER
1.5 O 1.29 U 3.35
2.5 O 1.94 U 1.84
3.5 O 3.35 U 1.30
⚽ BOTH TEAMS SCORE
YES
2.00 10 bks
NO
1.73 10 bks
⚖ ASIAN HANDICAP
Away -0.25 1.13
Away -0.5 1.11
Away -0.75 1.05
Away -1 1.02
Away -1.5 1.01
Away +0 1.20
📈 MARKET MOVEMENT

How the market shifted before kick-off

historical line movement
7d ago 3d 1d KICK-OFF

Smoothed line illustration · per-snapshot historical odds storage activates Q3.