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AI PREDICTION Projects FT 2–0 · SPORTING CP 73% · Value: Over 2.5 62%
CONF 62 FULL ANALYSIS →
Primeira Liga · REGULAR SEASON - 32 · MON, 04 MAY · 19:15 LOCAL
SPORTING CP
2ND · 82 PTS · LAST 5:
W W D D L
FT
5 – 1
FULL TIME HT · 3-0
GUIMARAES
L L W W D
· 9TH · 42 PTS · LAST 5
⚽ 9' Gonçalo Inácio ⚽ 23' Daniel Bragança ⚽ 45+1' M. Araújo ⚽ 61' Luis Javier Suárez ⚽ 74' Luis Guilherme
GOALS
⚽ 85' Zeno Debast (OG)
Luis Javier Suárez
👑
⭐ PLAYER OF THE MATCH
Luis Javier Suárez
Sporting CP · 92 mins
⚽ 1 goal · 🅰 2 assists · 15% pass acc · 2 shots on
RATING
8.9
PREDICTIONS
▶ MATCH HIGHLIGHTS

Goals, key moments & recap 8 CLIPS

powered by Highlightly
Resumo | Liga Portugal: Sporting CP 5-1 Vitória SC
Open in Youtube ↗
Primeira Liga: Sporting CP vs Guimaraes
Primeira Liga: Sporting CP vs Guimaraes
Primeira Liga: Sporting CP vs Guimaraes
Primeira Liga: Sporting CP vs Guimaraes
Primeira Liga: Sporting CP vs Guimaraes
Primeira Liga: Sporting CP vs Guimaraes
Primeira Liga: Sporting CP vs Guimaraes
📊 90 MIN TOTALS

Finalised · Match completed

4.22
⚡ EXPECTED GOALS (xG)
0.49
51%
BALL POSSESSION %
49%
14
TOTAL SHOTS
13
10
SHOTS ON TARGET
5
86%
PASS ACCURACY %
83%
1
CORNERS
7
KEY EVENTS 19 events
  1. 7'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Diogo Sousa
    GUI
  2. 9'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Gonçalo Inácio · assist Luis Javier Suárez
    SPO
  3. 23'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Daniel Bragança · assist H. Morita
    SPO
  4. 30'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Noah Saviolo
    GUI
  5. 45'+1
    Goal · Normal Goal
    M. Araújo · assist Zeno Debast
    SPO
  6. 46'
    Subst · Substitution 1
    H. Morita · assist Luis Guilherme
    SPO
  7. 46'
    Subst · Substitution 1
    Diogo Sousa · assist Gonçalo Nogueira
    GUI
  8. 60'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Thiago Balieiro
    GUI
  9. 61'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Luis Javier Suárez · assist Pedro Gonçalves
    SPO
  10. 62'
    Subst · Substitution 2
    Gustavo Silva · assist Oumar Camara
    GUI
  11. 62'
    Subst · Substitution 3
    Miguel Nogueira · assist Alioune Ndoye
    GUI
  12. 70'
    Subst · Substitution 2
    Geny Catamo · assist Nuno Santos
    SPO
  13. 74'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Luis Guilherme · assist Luis Javier Suárez
    SPO
  14. 77'
    Subst · Substitution 3
    Pedro Gonçalves · assist Giorgi Kochorashvili
    SPO
  15. 78'
    Subst · Substitution 4
    Trincão · assist Geovany Quenda
    SPO
  16. 79'
    Subst · Substitution 4
    Noah Saviolo · assist Telmo Arcanjo
    GUI
  17. 82'
    Subst · Substitution 5
    Gonçalo Inácio · assist Ousmane Diomande
    SPO
  18. 85'
    Goal · Own Goal
    Zeno Debast
    GUI
  19. 86'
    Subst · Substitution 5
    Samu · assist Fabio Blanco
    GUI
PLAYER RATINGS · TOP 5 EACH 0–10 scale
SPORTING CP AVG 8.2
GUIMARAES AVG 6.5
MATCH STATS H vs A
ATTACK
4.2
xG
0.5
14.0
TOTAL SHOTS
13.0
10.0
ON TARGET
5.0
3.0
OFF TARGET
5.0
1.0
BLOCKED
3.0
POSSESSION
51.0%
POSSESSION %
49.0%
469.0
PASSES
450.0
86.0%
PASS ACCURACY
83.0%
SET PIECES
1.0
CORNERS
7.0
3.0
OFFSIDES
2.0
DISCIPLINE
7.0
FOULS
13.0
0.0
YELLOW CARDS
3.0
5.0
GK SAVES
5.0
🎯 SHOT BREAKDOWN

Top shooters · accuracy = on-target / total

player-level shot accuracy · per-shot xG bubbles require xG Advanced tier
SPORTING CP 7 shots
Luis Javier Suárez
2/4
Daniel Bragança
2/2
M. Araújo
1/1
GUIMARAES 2 shots
Gonçalo Nogueira
0/1
Samu
1/1
📈 xG RACE

Cumulative xG over 90 minutes REAL xG

final xG: 4.22 – 0.49
3.4 2.5 1.7 0.8 4.2 0.0 HT 9' 23' 45' 61' 74' 85' H 4.22 A 0.49 KO 30' 60' FT

Step chart anchored to real goal minutes · final xG from SportMonks · baseline distributes remaining shots evenly across the match

⚡ ATTACK SHARE

Event activity ratio · attacks/cards/subs

zone-based attack maps require broadcast partner (Q3)
H 53%
47% A
10
EVENTS LOGGED
9
EVENTS LOGGED
LINEUPS 4-2-3-1 vs 4-2-3-1
4-2-3-1
4-2-3-1
7.6
1
RUI SILVA
 8.2
20
M. ARAúJO
25
GONçALO I
6
ZENO DEBA
72
QUARESMA
5
H. MORITA
 8.2
23
DANIEL BR
8
PEDRO GON
17
TRINCãO
10
GENY CATA
 8.9
97
LUIS JAVI
27
CHARLES
13
JOãO MEND
28
THIAGO BA
4
ÓSCAR RIV
66
TONY STRA
16
BENI MUKE
23
DIOGO SOU
48
NOAH SAVI
 6.6
20
SAMU
88
MIGUEL NO
11
GUSTAVO S
SUBSTITUTES · SPORTING CP
11
Nuno Santos
D
7
Geovany Quen...
M
14
Giorgi Kocho...
M
26
Ousmane Diom...
D
13
G. Vagiannid...
D
91
Ricardo Mang...
D
12
João Virgíni...
G
31
Luis Guilher...
F
90
Rafael Nel
F
COACH: Rui Borges
SUBSTITUTES · GUIMARAES
7
Nélson Olive...
F
30
Gonçalo Nogu...
M
18
Telmo Arcanj...
M
22
Fabio Blanco
F
19
Oumar Camara
F
2
Miguel Maga
D
26
Rodrigo Abas...
D
25
Juan Castill...
G
90
Alioune Ndoy...
F
COACH: Gil Lameiras
🏥 UNAVAILABLE PLAYERS
SPO · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

GUI · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

⚖ MATCH OFFICIALS
REFEREE
A. Nobre
—
SPO MANAGER
Rui Borges
head coach
GUI MANAGER
Gil Lameiras
head coach
HEAD TO HEAD · ALL-TIME
7
SPO WINS
1
DRAWS
2
GUI WINS
70%
10%
20%
25 – 11
TOTAL GOALS · 10 MEETINGS
3.60
AVG GOALS / MATCH
RECENT MEETINGS SHOWING 5 / 10
23 Dec 2025
Guimaraes
1 – 4
Sporting CP
W
17 May 2025
Sporting CP
2 – 0
Guimaraes
W
03 Jan 2025
Guimaraes
4 – 4
Sporting CP
D
21 Apr 2024
Sporting CP
3 – 0
Guimaraes
W
09 Dec 2023
Guimaraes
3 – 2
Sporting CP
L
SPORTING CP LAST 5 OVERALL
W W D D L
GUIMARAES LAST 5 OVERALL
L L W W D
MATCH IMPACT Final 5–1 · result locked
SPORTING CP #2
Won · already at 82 pts
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
GUIMARAES #9
Lost · already at 42 pts
LEAGUE CONTEXT FULL TABLE →
# TEAM P W D L GD PTS FORM
1 FC Porto 34 28 4 2 +48 88
W L W W W
2 Sporting CP 34 25 7 2 +65 82
W W W D D
3 Benfica 34 23 11 0 +49 80
W D D W W
4 SC Braga 34 16 11 7 +28 59
D D D L W
5 Famalicao 34 15 11 8 +13 56
W D D W D
6 GIL Vicente 34 13 11 10 +9 50
L L D W L
7 Moreirense 34 12 7 15 -12 43
D L W L W
8 Arouca 34 12 6 16 -17 42
W W D L W
9 Guimaraes 34 12 6 16 -12 42
L L L W W
10 Estoril 34 10 9 15 -3 39
L D D L L
11 Alverca 34 10 9 15 -17 39
L D L W L
12 Rio Ave 34 8 12 14 -22 36
D L D L D
13 Santa Clara 34 9 9 16 -9 36
L W D W D
14 Nacional 34 9 7 18 -8 34
W L L W W
15 Estrela 34 6 12 16 -18 30
D D L L L
16 Casa Pia 34 6 12 16 -26 30
D W L L L
17 Tondela 34 6 10 18 -28 28
L W W D L
18 AVS 34 3 12 19 -40 21
D W W D D
UCL Qualification Europa / Conference Relegation
COMMENTARY
  • 86'
    Subst · Substitution 5 · Samu
  • 85'
    Goal · Own Goal · Zeno Debast
  • 82'
    Subst · Substitution 5 · Gonçalo Inácio
  • 79'
    Subst · Substitution 4 · Noah Saviolo
  • 78'
    Subst · Substitution 4 · Trincão
  • 77'
    Subst · Substitution 3 · Pedro Gonçalves
  • 74'
    Goal · Normal Goal · Luis Guilherme
  • 70'
    Subst · Substitution 2 · Geny Catamo
  • 62'
    Subst · Substitution 3 · Miguel Nogueira
  • 62'
    Subst · Substitution 2 · Gustavo Silva
  • 61'
    Goal · Normal Goal · Luis Javier Suárez
  • 60'
    Card · Yellow Card · Thiago Balieiro
  • 46'
    Subst · Substitution 1 · Diogo Sousa
  • 46'
    Subst · Substitution 1 · H. Morita
  • HALF TIME · 3 – 0
  • 45'+1
    Goal · Normal Goal · M. Araújo
  • 30'
    Card · Yellow Card · Noah Saviolo
    Foul
  • 23'
    Goal · Normal Goal · Daniel Bragança
  • 9'
    Goal · Normal Goal · Gonçalo Inácio
  • 7'
    Card · Yellow Card · Diogo Sousa
13 BOOKIES
📊 AVERAGE ACROSS 13 BOOKMAKERS
SPORTING CP WIN
1.29
77.5% implied
↑ best 1.34
DRAW
5.63
17.8% implied
↑ best 6.25
GUIMARAES WIN
8.93
11.2% implied
↑ best 9.95

Market favors Sporting CP. AI projects SPORTING CP 73% · value bet Over 2.5.

MATCH WINNER ODDS avg across bookmakers
AI SAYS SPORTING CP 73% · EDGE column shows AI probability minus market implied probability
BOOKMAKER 1 X 2 EDGE
10Bet 1.30 5.40 8.50 -1.5%
1xBet 1.30 6.25 9.95 +1.0%
888Sport 1.30 5.00 8.50 -1.8%
Bet365 1.33 5.75 8.00 -0.4%
Betano 1.34 5.80 9.25 -0.2%
Betfair 1.25 6.00 9.50 +0.3%
BetVictor 1.25 5.25 9.00 -1.1%
Dafabet 1.32 5.80 8.80 -0.2%
Marathonbet 1.27 5.70 9.10 -0.5%
Pinnacle 1.31 6.08 9.00 +0.6%
SBO 1.27 5.61 8.49 -0.8%
Unibet 1.28 5.50 9.50 -0.5%
William Hill 1.30 5.00 8.50 -1.8%

Best odds in gold. Edge ≥ +5% (lime) means market under-prices the AI's probability. 18+ only.

📊 OTHER MARKETS

Over/Under · BTTS · Asian Handicap

avg across bookmakers
⚽ GOALS · OVER / UNDER
1.5 O 1.13 U 5.36
2.5 O 1.47 U 2.56
3.5 O 2.20 U 1.65
⚽ BOTH TEAMS SCORE
YES
1.81 10 bks
NO
1.91 10 bks
⚖ ASIAN HANDICAP
Away -0.25 4.63
Away -0.5 3.61
Away -0.75 3.16
Away -1 2.79
Away -1.25 2.27
Away -1.5 1.99
📈 MARKET MOVEMENT

How the market shifted before kick-off

historical line movement
7d ago 3d 1d KICK-OFF

Smoothed line illustration · per-snapshot historical odds storage activates Q3.