GOALSENSE
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AI PREDICTION Projects FT 2–0 · SPAIN 82% · Value: Over 2.5 68%
CONF 72 FULL ANALYSIS →
World Cup · GROUP STAGE - 2 · SUN, 21 JUN · 16:00 LOCAL
SPAIN
6TH · 1 PTS · LAST 5:
W W W W W
FT
4 – 0
FULL TIME HT · 3-0
SAUDI ARABIA
D D D L
· 9TH · 1 PTS · LAST 5
⚽ 10' Lamine Yamal ⚽ 21' Mikel Oyarzabal ⚽ 24' Mikel Oyarzabal ⚽ 49' Hassan Tambakti (OG)
GOALS
Mikel Oyarzabal
👑
⭐ PLAYER OF THE MATCH
Mikel Oyarzabal
Spain · 45 mins
⚽ 2 goals · 🅰 1 assist · 7% pass acc · 3 shots on
RATING
9.3
PREDICTIONS
📊 90 MIN TOTALS

Finalised · Match completed

2.85
⚡ EXPECTED GOALS (xG)
0.14
67%
BALL POSSESSION %
33%
22
TOTAL SHOTS
3
8
SHOTS ON TARGET
1
92%
PASS ACCURACY %
80%
6
CORNERS
1
KEY EVENTS 17 events
  1. 10'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Lamine Yamal · assist Mikel Oyarzabal
    SPA
  2. 21'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Mikel Oyarzabal · assist Aymeric Laporte
    SPA
  3. 24'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Mikel Oyarzabal · assist Dani Olmo
    SPA
  4. 30'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Salem Al Dawsari
    SAU
  5. 46'
    Subst · Substitution 1
    Lamine Yamal · assist Yeremy Pino
    SPA
  6. 46'
    Subst · Substitution 2
    Mikel Oyarzabal · assist Ferran Torres
    SPA
  7. 46'
    Subst · Substitution 1
    Abdullah Al Khaibari · assist Mohamed Kanno
    SAU
  8. 46'
    Subst · Substitution 2
    Musab Al Juwayr · assist Abdullah Al Hamdan
    SAU
  9. 49'
    Goal · Own Goal
    Hassan Tambakti
    SPA
  10. 60'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Mohamed Kanno
    SAU
  11. 60'
    Subst · Substitution 3
    Abdulelah Al Amri · assist Ala Al Haji
    SAU
  12. 60'
    Subst · Substitution 4
    Feras Al Brikan · assist Mohammed Abu Al Shamat
    SAU
  13. 61'
    Subst · Substitution 3
    Dani Olmo · assist Mikel Merino
    SPA
  14. 61'
    Subst · Substitution 4
    Álex Baena · assist Nico Williams
    SPA
  15. 70'
    Subst · Substitution 5
    Pedri · assist Fabián Ruiz
    SPA
  16. 90'
    Subst · Substitution 5
    Nasser Al Dawsari · assist Khalid Al Ghannam
    SAU
  17. 90'+2
    Var · Goal Disallowed - offside
    Ferran Torres
    SPA
PLAYER RATINGS · TOP 5 EACH 0–10 scale
SPAIN AVG 8.3
SAUDI ARABIA AVG 6.8
MATCH STATS H vs A
ATTACK
2.9
xG
0.1
22.0
TOTAL SHOTS
3.0
8.0
ON TARGET
1.0
12.0
OFF TARGET
1.0
2.0
BLOCKED
1.0
POSSESSION
67.0%
POSSESSION %
33.0%
725.0
PASSES
364.0
92.0%
PASS ACCURACY
80.0%
SET PIECES
6.0
CORNERS
1.0
2.0
OFFSIDES
3.0
DISCIPLINE
10.0
FOULS
2.0
0.0
YELLOW CARDS
2.0
1.0
GK SAVES
5.0
🎯 SHOT BREAKDOWN

Top shooters · accuracy = on-target / total

player-level shot accuracy · per-shot xG bubbles require xG Advanced tier
SPAIN 11 shots
Mikel Oyarzabal
3/5
Lamine Yamal
2/5
Rodri
0/1
SAUDI ARABIA 0 shots

No shots recorded.

📈 xG RACE

Cumulative xG over 90 minutes REAL xG

final xG: 2.85 – 0.14
2.3 1.7 1.1 0.6 2.9 0.0 HT 10' 21' 24' 49' H 2.85 A 0.14 KO 30' 60' FT

Step chart anchored to real goal minutes · final xG from SportMonks · baseline distributes remaining shots evenly across the match

⚡ ATTACK SHARE

Event activity ratio · attacks/cards/subs

zone-based attack maps require broadcast partner (Q3)
H 59%
41% A
10
EVENTS LOGGED
7
EVENTS LOGGED
LINEUPS 4-3-3 vs 5-4-1
4-3-3
5-4-1
23
UNAI SIMó
24
MARC CUCU
 7.9
14
AYMERIC L
 7.6
22
PAU CUBAR
12
PEDRO POR
20
PEDRI
 8.3
16
RODRI
10
DANI OLMO
15
ÁLEX BAEN
 9.3
21
MIKEL OYA
 8.2
19
LAMINE YA
 7.2
21
MOHAMMED
24
MOTEB AL
5
HASSAN TA
3
ALI LAJAM
4
ABDULELAH
12
SAUD ABDU
 6.6
10
SALEM AL
6
NASSER AL
15
ABDULLAH
7
MUSAB AL
 6.5
9
FERAS AL
SUBSTITUTES · SPAIN
4
Eric García
D
5
Marcos Llore...
M
3
Álex Grimald...
D
9
Gavi
M
18
Martín Zubim...
M
25
V. Munoz
F
2
Marc Pubill
D
13
Joan García
G
1
David Raya
G
8
Fabián Ruiz
M
17
Nico William...
F
6
Mikel Merino
M
11
Yeremy Pino
M
7
Ferran Torre...
F
26
Borja Iglesi...
F
COACH: Luis de la Fuente
SUBSTITUTES · SAUDI ARABIA
13
Nawaf Bousha...
D
14
Hassan Kades...
D
25
Jehad Thakri
D
16
Ziyad Al Joh...
M
8
Ayman Yahya
M
11
Saleh Al She...
F
2
Ali Majrashi
D
22
Ahmed Al Kas...
G
1
Nawaf Al Aqi...
G
17
Khalid Al Gh...
F
18
Ala'a Al-Hej...
M
26
Mohammed Abu...
M
19
Abdullah Al...
F
23
Mohamed Kann...
M
20
Sultan Manda...
F
COACH: Georgios Donis
🏥 UNAVAILABLE PLAYERS
SPA · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

SAU · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

⚖ MATCH OFFICIALS
REFEREE
R. Claus
—
SPA MANAGER
Luis de la Fuente
head coach
SAU MANAGER
Georgios Donis
head coach
HEAD TO HEAD · ALL-TIME
0
SPA WINS
1
DRAWS
0
SAU WINS
100%
SPAIN LAST 5 OVERALL
W W W W W
SAUDI ARABIA LAST 5 OVERALL
D D D L
MATCH IMPACT Final 4–0 · result locked
SPAIN #1
Won · already at 7 pts
Round of 32
SAUDI ARABIA #4
Lost · already at 2 pts
LEAGUE CONTEXT FULL TABLE →
# TEAM P W D L GD PTS FORM
1 Mexico 3 3 0 0 +6 9
L W W W W
1 Congo DR 3 1 1 1 +1 4
L W L D
1 England 3 2 1 0 +4 7
W L W W W
1 Colombia 3 2 1 0 +3 7
L W D W W
1 Argentina 3 3 0 0 +7 9
L W W W W
1 France 3 3 0 0 +8 9
L L W W W
1 Spain 3 2 1 0 +5 7
W W W W W
1 Belgium 3 1 2 0 +4 5
L W W W D
1 Netherlands 3 2 1 0 +6 7
L W W D
1 Germany 3 2 0 1 +6 6
L L W W
1 USA 3 2 0 1 +4 6
L W L W W
1 Brazil 3 2 1 0 +6 7
L W W W D
1 Switzerland 3 2 1 0 +4 7
L W W W W
2 Norway 3 2 0 1 +1 6
L W W L W
2 Austria 3 1 1 1 0 4
L D L W
2 Portugal 3 1 2 0 +5 5
L W D W D
2 Croatia 3 2 0 1 0 6
L W W L
2 Sweden 3 1 1 1 0 4
L D L W
2 Cape Verde Islands 3 0 3 0 0 3
L D D D
2 Egypt 3 1 2 0 +2 5
L W D W D
2 Japan 3 1 2 0 +4 5
L D W D
2 Ivory Coast 3 2 0 1 +2 6
L W L W
2 Australia 3 1 1 1 0 4
L D L W
2 Morocco 3 2 1 0 +3 7
L W W W W
2 Canada 3 1 1 1 +5 4
L W L W D
2 South Africa 3 1 1 1 -1 4
L W D L
3 Senegal 3 1 0 2 +2 3
L W L L
3 Algeria 3 1 1 1 -2 4
L D W L
3 Congo DR 3 1 1 1 +1 4
L W L D
3 Ghana 3 1 1 1 0 4
L L D W
3 Ghana 3 1 1 1 0 4
L L D W
3 Uruguay 3 0 2 1 -1 2
L D D
3 Iran 3 0 3 0 0 3
D D D
3 Sweden 3 1 1 1 0 4
L D L W
3 Ecuador 3 1 1 1 0 4
L W D L
3 Paraguay 3 1 1 1 -2 4
L W D W L
3 Scotland 3 1 0 2 -3 3
L L W
3 Bosnia & Herzegovina 3 1 1 1 -1 4
L W L D
3 South Korea 3 1 0 2 -1 3
L L W
4 Iraq 3 0 0 3 -11 0
L L L
4 Jordan 3 0 0 3 -5 0
L L L
4 Uzbekistan 3 0 0 3 -9 0
L L L
4 Panama 3 0 0 3 -4 0
L L L
4 Ecuador 3 1 1 1 0 4
L W D L
4 Saudi Arabia 3 0 2 1 -4 2
D L D
4 New Zealand 3 0 1 2 -6 1
L L D
4 Tunisia 3 0 0 3 -10 0
L L L
4 Czech Republic 3 0 1 2 -4 1
L D L
4 Qatar 3 0 1 2 -8 1
L L D
4 Haiti 3 0 0 3 -6 0
L L L
4 Türkiye 3 1 0 2 -2 3
W L L
4 Curaçao 3 0 1 2 -8 1
L D L
5 Bosnia & Herzegovina 3 1 1 1 -1 4
L W L D
5 New Zealand 1 0 1 0 0 1
D
6 Spain 1 0 1 0 0 1
D
6 Algeria 3 1 1 1 -2 4
L D W L
7 Croatia 2 1 0 1 -1 3
W L
7 Portugal 1 0 1 0 0 1
W D
7 Paraguay 3 1 1 1 -2 4
L W D W L
8 Senegal 3 1 0 2 +2 3
L W L L
9 Czech Republic 2 0 1 1 -1 1
D L
9 Saudi Arabia 2 0 1 1 -4 1
L D
9 Iran 3 0 3 0 0 3
D D D
10 South Korea 3 1 0 2 -1 3
L L W
10 Cape Verde Islands 2 0 2 0 0 2
D D
10 Belgium 2 0 2 0 0 2
D D
11 Scotland 3 1 0 2 -3 3
L L W
11 Panama 1 0 0 1 -1 0
L
11 Jordan 1 0 0 1 -2 0
L
12 Uruguay 3 0 2 1 -1 2
L D D
UCL Qualification Europa / Conference Relegation
COMMENTARY
  • 90'+2
    Var · Goal Disallowed - offside · Ferran Torres
  • 90'
    Subst · Substitution 5 · Nasser Al Dawsari
  • 70'
    Subst · Substitution 5 · Pedri
  • 61'
    Subst · Substitution 4 · Álex Baena
  • 61'
    Subst · Substitution 3 · Dani Olmo
  • 60'
    Subst · Substitution 4 · Feras Al Brikan
  • 60'
    Subst · Substitution 3 · Abdulelah Al Amri
  • 60'
    Card · Yellow Card · Mohamed Kanno
    Elbowing
  • 49'
    Goal · Own Goal · Hassan Tambakti
  • 46'
    Subst · Substitution 2 · Musab Al Juwayr
  • 46'
    Subst · Substitution 1 · Abdullah Al Khaibari
  • 46'
    Subst · Substitution 2 · Mikel Oyarzabal
  • 46'
    Subst · Substitution 1 · Lamine Yamal
  • HALF TIME · 3 – 0
  • 30'
    Card · Yellow Card · Salem Al Dawsari
    Roughing
  • 24'
    Goal · Normal Goal · Mikel Oyarzabal
  • 21'
    Goal · Normal Goal · Mikel Oyarzabal
  • 10'
    Goal · Normal Goal · Lamine Yamal
14 BOOKIES
📊 AVERAGE ACROSS 14 BOOKMAKERS
SPAIN WIN
1.10
90.9% implied
↑ best 1.14
DRAW
10.73
9.3% implied
↑ best 12.00
SAUDI ARABIA WIN
25.54
3.9% implied
↑ best 38.00

Market favors Spain. AI projects SPAIN 82% · value bet Over 2.5.

MATCH WINNER ODDS avg across bookmakers
AI SAYS SPAIN 82% · EDGE column shows AI probability minus market implied probability
BOOKMAKER 1 X 2 EDGE
10Bet 1.10 9.80 17.50 +3.8%
1xBet 1.11 11.80 36.00 +5.5%
888Sport 1.08 9.50 26.00 +3.5%
Bet365 1.10 10.00 21.00 +4.0%
Betano 1.14 10.00 22.00 +4.0%
Betfair 1.10 12.00 23.00 +5.7%
BetVictor 1.06 11.00 29.00 +4.9%
Dafabet 1.11 9.40 24.00 +3.4%
Marathonbet 1.10 11.25 38.00 +5.1%
Pinnacle 1.12 12.00 23.00 +5.7%
SBO 1.08 11.00 23.00 +4.9%
Superbet 1.11 11.00 20.00 +4.9%
Unibet 1.08 11.50 26.00 +5.3%
William Hill 1.08 10.00 29.00 +4.0%

Best odds in gold. Edge ≥ +5% (lime) means market under-prices the AI's probability. 18+ only.

📊 OTHER MARKETS

Over/Under · BTTS · Asian Handicap

avg across bookmakers
⚽ GOALS · OVER / UNDER
1.5 O 1.09 U 6.90
2.5 O 1.34 U 3.15
3.5 O 1.89 U 1.91
⚽ BOTH TEAMS SCORE
YES
2.68 11 bks
NO
1.44 11 bks
⚖ ASIAN HANDICAP
Away -0.25 13.38
Away -0.5 6.87
Away -0.75 5.97
Away -1 5.98
Away -1.25 4.31
Away -1.5 3.31
📈 MARKET MOVEMENT

How the market shifted before kick-off

historical line movement
7d ago 3d 1d KICK-OFF

Smoothed line illustration · per-snapshot historical odds storage activates Q3.