GOALSENSE
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AI PREDICTION Projects FT 2–1 · SPAIN 92% · Value: Over 2.5 85%
CONF 88 FULL ANALYSIS →
World Cup · QUARTER-FINALS · FRI, 10 JUL · 19:00 LOCAL
SPAIN
6TH · 1 PTS · LAST 5:
W W W W W
FT
2 – 1
FULL TIME HT · 1-1
BELGIUM
W W W D D
· 10TH · 2 PTS · LAST 5
⚽ 30' Fabián Ruiz ⚽ 88' Mikel Merino
GOALS
⚽ 41' Charles De Ketelaere
Thibaut Courtois
👑
⭐ PLAYER OF THE MATCH
Thibaut Courtois
Belgium · 71 mins
· 22% pass acc
RATING
7.9
PREDICTIONS
📊 90 MIN TOTALS

Finalised · Match completed

2.08
⚡ EXPECTED GOALS (xG)
0.37
68%
BALL POSSESSION %
32%
17
TOTAL SHOTS
5
8
SHOTS ON TARGET
2
90%
PASS ACCURACY %
78%
5
CORNERS
1
KEY EVENTS 16 events
  1. 30'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Fabián Ruiz
    SPA
  2. 41'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Charles De Ketelaere · assist Timothy Castagne
    BEL
  3. 43'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Pau Cubarsí Paredes
    SPA
  4. 55'
    Subst · Substitution 1
    Álex Baena · assist Ferran Torres
    SPA
  5. 55'
    Subst · Substitution 2
    Fabián Ruiz · assist Pedri
    SPA
  6. 60'
    Subst · Substitution 1
    L. Trossard · assist Axel Witsel
    BEL
  7. 60'
    Subst · Substitution 2
    Hans Vanaken · assist Romelu Lukaku
    BEL
  8. 61'
    Subst · Substitution 3
    Maxim De Cuyper · assist Joaquin Seys
    BEL
  9. 71'
    Subst · Substitution 4
    Thibaut Courtois · assist S. Lammens
    BEL
  10. 79'
    Subst · Substitution 3
    Mikel Oyarzabal · assist Nico Williams
    SPA
  11. 85'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Kevin De Bruyne
    BEL
  12. 86'
    Subst · Substitution 5
    Kevin De Bruyne · assist Alexis Saelemaekers
    BEL
  13. 86'
    Subst · Substitution 4
    Dani Olmo · assist Mikel Merino
    SPA
  14. 88'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Mikel Merino
    SPA
  15. 90'+3
    Card · Yellow Card
    Aymeric Laporte
    SPA
  16. 90'+5
    Card · Yellow Card
    Axel Witsel
    BEL
PLAYER RATINGS · TOP 5 EACH 0–10 scale
SPAIN AVG 7.4
BELGIUM AVG 7.2
MATCH STATS H vs A
ATTACK
2.1
xG
0.4
17.0
TOTAL SHOTS
5.0
8.0
ON TARGET
2.0
4.0
OFF TARGET
1.0
5.0
BLOCKED
2.0
POSSESSION
68.0%
POSSESSION %
32.0%
665.0
PASSES
314.0
90.0%
PASS ACCURACY
78.0%
SET PIECES
5.0
CORNERS
1.0
3.0
OFFSIDES
1.0
DISCIPLINE
13.0
FOULS
18.0
2.0
YELLOW CARDS
2.0
1.0
GK SAVES
6.0
🎯 SHOT BREAKDOWN

Top shooters · accuracy = on-target / total

player-level shot accuracy · per-shot xG bubbles require xG Advanced tier
SPAIN 8 shots
Lamine Yamal
2/4
Dani Olmo
1/2
Fabián Ruiz
1/1
Pau Cubarsí Paredes
1/1
BELGIUM 1 shots
Charles De Ketelaere
1/1
📈 xG RACE

Cumulative xG over 90 minutes REAL xG

final xG: 2.08 – 0.37
1.7 1.2 0.8 0.4 2.1 0.0 HT 30' 88' 41' H 2.08 A 0.37 KO 30' 60' FT

Step chart anchored to real goal minutes · final xG from SportMonks · baseline distributes remaining shots evenly across the match

⚡ ATTACK SHARE

Event activity ratio · attacks/cards/subs

zone-based attack maps require broadcast partner (Q3)
H 50%
50% A
8
EVENTS LOGGED
8
EVENTS LOGGED
LINEUPS 4-2-3-1 vs 4-2-3-1
4-2-3-1
4-2-3-1
23
UNAI SIMó
24
MARC CUCU
14
AYMERIC L
 7.3
22
PAU CUBAR
12
PEDRO POR
 7.3
8
FABIáN RU
 7.6
16
RODRI
15
ÁLEX BAEN
 7.3
10
DANI OLMO
 7.3
19
LAMINE YA
21
MIKEL OYA
 7.9
1
THIBAUT C
5
MAXIM DE
 6.9
4
BRANDON M
 7.2
25
NATHAN NG
21
TIMOTHY C
23
NICOLAS R
20
HANS VANA
11
JéRéMY DO
7
KEVIN DE
10
L. TROSSA
 7.5
17
CHARLES D
SUBSTITUTES · SPAIN
5
Marcos Llore...
M
3
Álex Grimald...
D
9
Gavi
M
18
Martín Zubim...
M
11
Yeremy Pino
M
25
Víctor Muñoz
F
4
Eric García
D
2
Marc Pubill
D
13
Joan García
G
1
David Raya
G
6
Mikel Merino
M
17
Nico William...
F
7
Ferran Torre...
F
20
Pedri
M
26
Borja Iglesi...
F
COACH: Luis de la Fuente
SUBSTITUTES · BELGIUM
15
Thomas Meuni...
D
16
K. De Winter
D
19
Diego Moreir...
F
14
Dodi Lukebak...
F
3
Arthur Theat...
D
13
Mike Penders
G
22
Alexis Saele...
F
12
S. Lammens
G
18
Joaquin Seys
D
9
Romelu Lukak...
F
6
Axel Witsel
M
26
Matías Ferná...
F
COACH: Rudi Garcia
🏥 UNAVAILABLE PLAYERS
SPA · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

BEL · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

⚖ MATCH OFFICIALS
REFEREE
Michael Oliver, England
—
SPA MANAGER
Luis de la Fuente
head coach
BEL MANAGER
Rudi Garcia
head coach
HEAD TO HEAD · ALL-TIME
0
SPA WINS
1
DRAWS
0
BEL WINS
100%
SPAIN LAST 5 OVERALL
W W W W W
BELGIUM LAST 5 OVERALL
W W W D D
MATCH IMPACT Final 2–1 · result locked
SPAIN #1
Won · already at 7 pts
Round of 32
BELGIUM #1
Lost · already at 5 pts
Round of 32
LEAGUE CONTEXT FULL TABLE →
# TEAM P W D L GD PTS FORM
1 Mexico 3 3 0 0 +6 9
L W W W W
1 Congo DR 3 1 1 1 +1 4
L W L D
1 England 3 2 1 0 +4 7
W L W W W
1 Colombia 3 2 1 0 +3 7
L W D W W
1 Argentina 3 3 0 0 +7 9
L W W W W
1 France 3 3 0 0 +8 9
L L W W W
1 Spain 3 2 1 0 +5 7
W W W W W
1 Belgium 3 1 2 0 +4 5
L W W W D
1 Netherlands 3 2 1 0 +6 7
L W W D
1 Germany 3 2 0 1 +6 6
L L W W
1 USA 3 2 0 1 +4 6
L W L W W
1 Brazil 3 2 1 0 +6 7
L W W W D
1 Switzerland 3 2 1 0 +4 7
L W W W W
2 Norway 3 2 0 1 +1 6
L W W L W
2 Austria 3 1 1 1 0 4
L D L W
2 Portugal 3 1 2 0 +5 5
L W D W D
2 Croatia 3 2 0 1 0 6
L W W L
2 Sweden 3 1 1 1 0 4
L D L W
2 Cape Verde Islands 3 0 3 0 0 3
L D D D
2 Egypt 3 1 2 0 +2 5
L W D W D
2 Japan 3 1 2 0 +4 5
L D W D
2 Ivory Coast 3 2 0 1 +2 6
L W L W
2 Australia 3 1 1 1 0 4
L D L W
2 Morocco 3 2 1 0 +3 7
L W W W W
2 Canada 3 1 1 1 +5 4
L W L W D
2 South Africa 3 1 1 1 -1 4
L W D L
3 Senegal 3 1 0 2 +2 3
L W L L
3 Algeria 3 1 1 1 -2 4
L D W L
3 Congo DR 3 1 1 1 +1 4
L W L D
3 Ghana 3 1 1 1 0 4
L L D W
3 Ghana 3 1 1 1 0 4
L L D W
3 Uruguay 3 0 2 1 -1 2
L D D
3 Iran 3 0 3 0 0 3
D D D
3 Sweden 3 1 1 1 0 4
L D L W
3 Ecuador 3 1 1 1 0 4
L W D L
3 Paraguay 3 1 1 1 -2 4
L W D W L
3 Scotland 3 1 0 2 -3 3
L L W
3 Bosnia & Herzegovina 3 1 1 1 -1 4
L W L D
3 South Korea 3 1 0 2 -1 3
L L W
4 Iraq 3 0 0 3 -11 0
L L L
4 Jordan 3 0 0 3 -5 0
L L L
4 Uzbekistan 3 0 0 3 -9 0
L L L
4 Panama 3 0 0 3 -4 0
L L L
4 Ecuador 3 1 1 1 0 4
L W D L
4 Saudi Arabia 3 0 2 1 -4 2
D L D
4 New Zealand 3 0 1 2 -6 1
L L D
4 Tunisia 3 0 0 3 -10 0
L L L
4 Czech Republic 3 0 1 2 -4 1
L D L
4 Qatar 3 0 1 2 -8 1
L L D
4 Haiti 3 0 0 3 -6 0
L L L
4 Türkiye 3 1 0 2 -2 3
W L L
4 Curaçao 3 0 1 2 -8 1
L D L
5 Bosnia & Herzegovina 3 1 1 1 -1 4
L W L D
5 New Zealand 1 0 1 0 0 1
D
6 Spain 1 0 1 0 0 1
D
6 Algeria 3 1 1 1 -2 4
L D W L
7 Croatia 2 1 0 1 -1 3
W L
7 Portugal 1 0 1 0 0 1
W D
7 Paraguay 3 1 1 1 -2 4
L W D W L
8 Senegal 3 1 0 2 +2 3
L W L L
9 Czech Republic 2 0 1 1 -1 1
D L
9 Saudi Arabia 2 0 1 1 -4 1
L D
9 Iran 3 0 3 0 0 3
D D D
10 South Korea 3 1 0 2 -1 3
L L W
10 Cape Verde Islands 2 0 2 0 0 2
D D
10 Belgium 2 0 2 0 0 2
D D
11 Scotland 3 1 0 2 -3 3
L L W
11 Panama 1 0 0 1 -1 0
L
11 Jordan 1 0 0 1 -2 0
L
12 Uruguay 3 0 2 1 -1 2
L D D
UCL Qualification Europa / Conference Relegation
COMMENTARY
  • 90'+5
    Card · Yellow Card · Axel Witsel
    Roughing
  • 90'+3
    Card · Yellow Card · Aymeric Laporte
    Roughing
  • 88'
    Goal · Normal Goal · Mikel Merino
  • 86'
    Subst · Substitution 4 · Dani Olmo
  • 86'
    Subst · Substitution 5 · Kevin De Bruyne
  • 85'
    Card · Yellow Card · Kevin De Bruyne
    Holding
  • 79'
    Subst · Substitution 3 · Mikel Oyarzabal
  • 71'
    Subst · Substitution 4 · Thibaut Courtois
  • 61'
    Subst · Substitution 3 · Maxim De Cuyper
  • 60'
    Subst · Substitution 2 · Hans Vanaken
  • 60'
    Subst · Substitution 1 · L. Trossard
  • 55'
    Subst · Substitution 2 · Fabián Ruiz
  • 55'
    Subst · Substitution 1 · Álex Baena
  • HALF TIME · 1 – 1
  • 43'
    Card · Yellow Card · Pau Cubarsí Paredes
    Holding
  • 41'
    Goal · Normal Goal · Charles De Ketelaere
  • 30'
    Goal · Normal Goal · Fabián Ruiz
14 BOOKIES
📊 AVERAGE ACROSS 14 BOOKMAKERS
SPAIN WIN
1.62
61.7% implied
↑ best 1.70
DRAW
3.96
25.3% implied
↑ best 4.18
BELGIUM WIN
5.50
18.2% implied
↑ best 6.20

Market favors Spain. AI projects SPAIN 92% · value bet Over 2.5.

MATCH WINNER ODDS avg across bookmakers
AI SAYS SPAIN 92% · EDGE column shows AI probability minus market implied probability
BOOKMAKER 1 X 2 EDGE
10Bet 1.59 3.95 5.30 +29.1%
1xBet 1.65 4.18 5.88 +31.4%
888Sport 1.57 3.80 5.00 +28.3%
Bet365 1.65 3.90 5.25 +31.4%
Betano 1.70 3.95 5.50 +33.2%
Betfair 1.62 3.90 5.50 +30.3%
BetVictor 1.60 4.00 5.25 +29.5%
Dafabet 1.65 3.95 5.60 +31.4%
Marathonbet 1.60 4.05 5.70 +29.5%
Pinnacle 1.63 3.95 6.20 +30.7%
SBO 1.63 3.97 5.30 +30.7%
Superbet 1.66 4.00 5.20 +31.8%
Unibet 1.60 3.95 5.75 +29.5%
William Hill 1.57 3.90 5.50 +28.3%

Best odds in gold. Edge ≥ +5% (lime) means market under-prices the AI's probability. 18+ only.

📊 OTHER MARKETS

Over/Under · BTTS · Asian Handicap

avg across bookmakers
⚽ GOALS · OVER / UNDER
1.5 O 1.22 U 4.06
2.5 O 1.75 U 2.10
3.5 O 2.78 U 1.41
⚽ BOTH TEAMS SCORE
YES
1.75 11 bks
NO
2.02 11 bks
⚖ ASIAN HANDICAP
Away -0.25 2.82
Away -0.5 2.31
Away -0.75 2.05
Away -1 1.79
Away -1.25 1.58
Away -1.5 1.47
📈 MARKET MOVEMENT

How the market shifted before kick-off

historical line movement
7d ago 3d 1d KICK-OFF

Smoothed line illustration · per-snapshot historical odds storage activates Q3.