GOALSENSE
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Championship · REGULAR SEASON - 2 · SAT, 22 AUG · 14:00 LOCAL
SOUTHAMPTON
4TH · 80 PTS · LAST 5:
L W D W D
FT
3 – 1
FULL TIME HT · 1-1
STOKE CITY
L L L L L
· 17TH · 55 PTS · LAST 5
⚽ 8' Cyle Larin ⚽ 89' Divin Mubama ⚽ 90+4' Ryan Manning (P)
GOALS
⚽ 26' Ethan Galbraith
Cyle Larin
👑
⭐ PLAYER OF THE MATCH
Cyle Larin
Southampton · 49 mins
⚽ 1 goal · 2% pass acc · 1 shots on
RATING
7.3
PREDICTIONS
📊 90 MIN TOTALS

Finalised · Match completed

0.57
⚡ EXPECTED GOALS (xG)
0.54
57%
BALL POSSESSION %
43%
3
TOTAL SHOTS
12
1
SHOTS ON TARGET
2
86%
PASS ACCURACY %
84%
1
CORNERS
1
KEY EVENTS 22 events
  1. 8'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Cyle Larin · assist Flynn Downes
    SOU
  2. 19'
    Card · Yellow Card
    James Bree
    SOU
  3. 26'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Ethan Galbraith · assist Sam Gallagher
    STO
  4. 38'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Sam Gallagher
    STO
  5. 50'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Flynn Downes
    SOU
  6. 53'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Ryan Manning
    SOU
  7. 62'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Ethan Galbraith
    STO
  8. 62'
    Subst · Substitution 1
    George Hirst · assist Róbert Boženík
    STO
  9. 70'
    Subst · Substitution 2
    Sam Gallagher · assist Svante Ingelsson
    STO
  10. 78'
    Subst · Substitution 1
    Cyle Larin · assist Divin Mubama
    SOU
  11. 78'
    Subst · Substitution 2
    Leo Scienza · assist Lewis Dobbin
    SOU
  12. 81'
    Subst · Substitution 3
    Djibril Soumaré · assist Tomáš Rigo
    STO
  13. 81'
    Subst · Substitution 4
    Eric Bocat · assist Maksym Talovierov
    STO
  14. 82'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Maksym Talovierov
    STO
  15. 86'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Svante Ingelsson
    STO
  16. 89'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Divin Mubama · assist Finn Azaz
    SOU
  17. 90'
    Subst · Substitution 3
    Tom Fellows · assist Samuel Edozie
    SOU
  18. 90'+3
    Card · Yellow Card
    Svante Ingelsson
    STO
  19. 90'+3
    Card · Red Card
    Svante Ingelsson
    STO
  20. 90'+4
    Goal · Penalty
    Ryan Manning
    SOU
  21. 90'+5
    Subst · Substitution 4
    Finn Azaz · assist Romeo Akachukwu
    SOU
  22. 90'+5
    Subst · Substitution 5
    Kuryu Matsuki · assist Cameron Bragg
    SOU
PLAYER RATINGS · TOP 5 EACH 0–10 scale
SOUTHAMPTON AVG 6.9
STOKE CITY AVG 7.1
MATCH STATS H vs A
ATTACK
0.6
xG
0.5
3.0
TOTAL SHOTS
12.0
1.0
ON TARGET
2.0
2.0
OFF TARGET
4.0
0.0
BLOCKED
6.0
POSSESSION
57.0%
POSSESSION %
43.0%
271.0
PASSES
198.0
86.0%
PASS ACCURACY
84.0%
SET PIECES
1.0
CORNERS
1.0
1.0
OFFSIDES
1.0
DISCIPLINE
7.0
FOULS
10.0
1.0
YELLOW CARDS
1.0
1.0
GK SAVES
0.0
🎯 SHOT BREAKDOWN

Top shooters · accuracy = on-target / total

player-level shot accuracy · per-shot xG bubbles require xG Advanced tier
SOUTHAMPTON 2 shots
Cyle Larin
1/2
STOKE CITY 5 shots
Ben Gibson
1/2
Ethan Galbraith
1/1
Jun-Ho Bae
0/1
Djibril Soumaré
0/1
📈 xG RACE

Cumulative xG over 90 minutes REAL xG

final xG: 0.57 – 0.54
0.5 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.6 0.0 HT 8' 89' 90' 26' H 0.57 A 0.54 KO 30' 60' FT

Step chart anchored to real goal minutes · final xG from SportMonks · baseline distributes remaining shots evenly across the match

⚡ ATTACK SHARE

Event activity ratio · attacks/cards/subs

zone-based attack maps require broadcast partner (Q3)
H 50%
50% A
11
EVENTS LOGGED
11
EVENTS LOGGED
LINEUPS 4-2-3-1 vs 4-2-3-1
4-2-3-1
4-2-3-1
1
DANIEL PE
 6.9
3
RYAN MANN
 6.7
5
JACK STEP
 6.9
15
NATHAN WO
14
JAMES BRE
27
KURYU MAT
4
FLYNN DOW
7
LEO SCIEN
10
FINN AZAZ
 6.9
18
TOM FELLO
 7.3
9
CYLE LARI
1
VIKTOR JO
17
ERIC BOCA
 7.3
23
BEN GIBSO
16
BEN WILMO
2
BEN JOHNS
 7.3
8
ETHAN GAL
 6.9
27
DJIBRIL S
 6.9
7
SORBA THO
 7.2
10
JUN-HO BA
20
SAM GALLA
15
GEORGE HI
SUBSTITUTES · SOUTHAMPTON
28
Divin Mubama
F
11
Lewis Dobbin
F
23
Samuel Edozi...
M
29
Romeo Akachu...
M
26
Cameron Brag...
M
34
Welington
D
17
Joshua Quars...
D
25
George Long
G
19
Cameron Arch...
F
COACH: Tonda Eckert
SUBSTITUTES · STOKE CITY
4
Ben Pearson
M
19
Tomáš Rigo
M
42
Million Manh...
F
6
Svante Ingel...
M
52
Laurence Gia...
D
40
Maksym Talov...
D
5
Luke Graham
D
24
Joshua Griff...
G
9
Róbert Božen...
F
COACH: Mark Robins
🏥 UNAVAILABLE PLAYERS
SOU · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

STO · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

⚖ MATCH OFFICIALS
REFEREE
Steve Martin, England
—
SOU MANAGER
Tonda Eckert
head coach
STO MANAGER
Mark Robins
head coach
HEAD TO HEAD · ALL-TIME
4
SOU WINS
2
DRAWS
4
STO WINS
40%
20%
40%
10 – 9
TOTAL GOALS · 10 MEETINGS
1.90
AVG GOALS / MATCH
RECENT MEETINGS SHOWING 5 / 10
31 Jan 2026
Stoke City
0 – 2
Southampton
W
23 Aug 2025
Southampton
1 – 2
Stoke City
L
27 Apr 2024
Southampton
0 – 1
Stoke City
L
03 Oct 2023
Stoke City
0 – 1
Southampton
W
03 Mar 2018
Southampton
0 – 0
Stoke City
D
SOUTHAMPTON LAST 5 OVERALL
L W D W D
STOKE CITY LAST 5 OVERALL
L L L L L
MATCH IMPACT Final 3–1 · result locked
SOUTHAMPTON #4
Won · already at 80 pts
Promotion Playoffs
STOKE CITY #17
Lost · already at 55 pts
LEAGUE CONTEXT FULL TABLE →
# TEAM P W D L GD PTS FORM
1 Coventry 46 28 11 7 +52 95
W W W D D
2 Ipswich 46 23 15 8 +33 84
W D D W D
3 Millwall 46 24 11 11 +15 83
L D W D W
4 Southampton 46 22 14 10 +26 80
W D W D D
5 Middlesbrough 46 22 14 10 +25 80
L L D D W
6 Hull City 46 21 10 15 +4 73
W W D W L
7 Wrexham 46 19 14 13 +4 71
D L W W L
8 Derby 46 20 9 17 +8 69
L W L W L
9 Norwich 46 19 8 19 +7 65
L D W W L
10 Birmingham 46 17 13 16 +1 64
D W W D W
11 Swansea 46 18 10 18 -2 64
W D W L W
12 Bristol City 46 17 11 18 0 62
W L D L D
13 Sheffield Utd 46 18 6 22 0 60
W L L W W
14 Preston 46 15 15 16 -7 60
L W L L W
15 QPR 46 16 10 20 -12 58
L L L L D
16 Watford 46 14 15 17 -12 57
L L L L L
17 Stoke City 46 15 10 21 -5 55
L L L L D
18 Portsmouth 46 14 13 19 -15 55
D W L W W
19 Charlton 46 13 14 19 -14 53
L W L D L
20 Blackburn 46 13 13 20 -14 52
L W D L D
21 West Brom 46 13 14 19 -10 51
L D W W D
22 Oxford United 46 11 14 21 -14 47
L W L L W
23 Leicester 46 12 16 18 -10 46
W D D L L
24 Sheffield Wednesday 46 2 12 32 -60 0
W L L D D
UCL Qualification Europa / Conference Relegation
COMMENTARY
  • 90'+5
    Subst · Substitution 5 · Kuryu Matsuki
  • 90'+5
    Subst · Substitution 4 · Finn Azaz
  • 90'+4
    Goal · Penalty · Ryan Manning
  • 90'+3
    Card · Red Card · Svante Ingelsson
    Foul
  • 90'+3
    Card · Yellow Card · Svante Ingelsson
    Foul
  • 90'
    Subst · Substitution 3 · Tom Fellows
  • 89'
    Goal · Normal Goal · Divin Mubama
  • 86'
    Card · Yellow Card · Svante Ingelsson
    Unsportsmanlike conduct
  • 82'
    Card · Yellow Card · Maksym Talovierov
    Foul
  • 81'
    Subst · Substitution 4 · Eric Bocat
  • 81'
    Subst · Substitution 3 · Djibril Soumaré
  • 78'
    Subst · Substitution 2 · Leo Scienza
  • 78'
    Subst · Substitution 1 · Cyle Larin
  • 70'
    Subst · Substitution 2 · Sam Gallagher
  • 62'
    Subst · Substitution 1 · George Hirst
  • 62'
    Card · Yellow Card · Ethan Galbraith
    Foul
  • 53'
    Card · Yellow Card · Ryan Manning
    Foul
  • 50'
    Card · Yellow Card · Flynn Downes
    Foul
  • HALF TIME · 1 – 1
  • 38'
    Card · Yellow Card · Sam Gallagher
    Foul
  • 26'
    Goal · Normal Goal · Ethan Galbraith
  • 19'
    Card · Yellow Card · James Bree
    Foul
  • 8'
    Goal · Normal Goal · Cyle Larin
12 BOOKIES
📊 AVERAGE ACROSS 12 BOOKMAKERS
SOUTHAMPTON WIN
1.60
62.5% implied
↑ best 1.64
DRAW
4.11
24.3% implied
↑ best 4.37
STOKE CITY WIN
5.11
19.6% implied
↑ best 5.40
MATCH WINNER ODDS avg across bookmakers
BOOKMAKER 1 X 2
1xBet 1.59 4.10 5.16
Bet365 1.60 4.00 5.00
Betano 1.60 4.20 5.30
Betfair 1.60 4.20 5.00
BetVictor 1.60 4.20 5.25
Dafabet 1.64 4.20 5.20
Marathonbet 1.57 4.10 5.25
Pinnacle 1.60 4.37 5.40
SBO 1.58 3.81 4.72
Superbet 1.63 4.15 5.00
Unibet 1.58 4.00 5.20
William Hill 1.62 4.00 4.80

Best odds in gold. Edge ≥ +5% (lime) means market under-prices the AI's probability. 18+ only.

📊 OTHER MARKETS

Over/Under · BTTS · Asian Handicap

avg across bookmakers
⚽ GOALS · OVER / UNDER
1.5 O 1.20 U 4.24
2.5 O 1.67 U 2.18
3.5 O 2.64 U 1.45
⚽ BOTH TEAMS SCORE
YES
1.70 9 bks
NO
2.06 9 bks
⚖ ASIAN HANDICAP
Away -0.25 2.83
Away -0.5 2.33
Away -0.75 2.06
Away -1 1.81
Away -1.25 1.59
Away -1.5 1.47
📈 MARKET MOVEMENT

How the market shifted before kick-off

historical line movement
7d ago 3d 1d KICK-OFF

Smoothed line illustration · per-snapshot historical odds storage activates Q3.