GOALSENSE
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AI PREDICTION Projects FT 1–1 · CANADA 40%
CONF 48 FULL ANALYSIS →
World Cup · ROUND OF 32 · SUN, 28 JUN · 19:00 LOCAL
SOUTH AFRICA
2ND · 4 PTS · LAST 5:
W D L D
FT
0 – 1
FULL TIME HT · 0-0
CANADA
L L W D L
· 2ND · 4 PTS · LAST 5
GOALS
⚽ 90+2' Stephen Eustaquio
Stephen Eustaquio
👑
⭐ PLAYER OF THE MATCH
Stephen Eustaquio
Canada · Captain · 97 mins
⚽ 1 goal · 43% pass acc · 1 shots on
RATING
8.9
PREDICTIONS
📊 90 MIN TOTALS

Finalised · Match completed

0.13
⚡ EXPECTED GOALS (xG)
1.32
58%
BALL POSSESSION %
42%
6
TOTAL SHOTS
12
1
SHOTS ON TARGET
7
85%
PASS ACCURACY %
78%
1
CORNERS
4
KEY EVENTS 11 events
  1. 46'
    Subst · Substitution 1
    Relebohile Mofokeng · assist T. Mbatha
    SOU
  2. 54'
    Card · Yellow Card
    N. Saliba
    CAN
  3. 59'
    Subst · Substitution 1
    N. Saliba · assist Niko Sigur
    CAN
  4. 59'
    Subst · Substitution 2
    Moise Bombito · assist L. De Fougerolles
    CAN
  5. 67'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Niko Sigur
    CAN
  6. 70'
    Subst · Substitution 3
    T. Oluwaseyi · assist Promise David
    CAN
  7. 70'
    Subst · Substitution 4
    Liam Millar · assist Jacob Shaffelburg
    CAN
  8. 75'
    Subst · Substitution 5
    T. Buchanan · assist A. Davies
    CAN
  9. 86'
    Subst · Substitution 2
    E. Makgopa · assist I. Rayners
    SOU
  10. 86'
    Subst · Substitution 3
    T. Maseko · assist T. Moremi
    SOU
  11. 90'+2
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Stephen Eustaquio
    CAN
PLAYER RATINGS · TOP 5 EACH 0–10 scale
SOUTH AFRICA AVG 7.6
CANADA AVG 7.6
MATCH STATS H vs A
ATTACK
0.1
xG
1.3
6.0
TOTAL SHOTS
12.0
1.0
ON TARGET
7.0
4.0
OFF TARGET
5.0
1.0
BLOCKED
0.0
POSSESSION
58.0%
POSSESSION %
42.0%
550.0
PASSES
380.0
85.0%
PASS ACCURACY
78.0%
SET PIECES
1.0
CORNERS
4.0
1.0
OFFSIDES
0.0
DISCIPLINE
10.0
FOULS
16.0
0.0
YELLOW CARDS
2.0
5.0
GK SAVES
1.0
🎯 SHOT BREAKDOWN

Top shooters · accuracy = on-target / total

player-level shot accuracy · per-shot xG bubbles require xG Advanced tier
SOUTH AFRICA 0 shots

No shots recorded.

CANADA 7 shots
T. Oluwaseyi
2/3
Stephen Eustaquio
1/2
L. De Fougerolles
0/1
Derek Cornelius
1/1
📈 xG RACE

Cumulative xG over 90 minutes REAL xG

final xG: 0.13 – 1.32
1.1 0.8 0.5 0.3 1.3 0.0 HT 90' H 0.13 A 1.32 KO 30' 60' FT

Step chart anchored to real goal minutes · final xG from SportMonks · baseline distributes remaining shots evenly across the match

⚡ ATTACK SHARE

Event activity ratio · attacks/cards/subs

zone-based attack maps require broadcast partner (Q3)
H 27%
73% A
3
EVENTS LOGGED
8
EVENTS LOGGED
LINEUPS 4-2-3-1 vs 4-4-2
4-2-3-1
4-4-2
8.3
1
RONWEN WI
 7.9
6
A. MODIBA
 7.2
14
M. MBOKAZ
21
I. OKON
 7.2
20
K. MUDAU
 7.2
13
SPHEPHELO
4
T. MOKOEN
7
O. APPOLL
10
RELEBOHIL
12
T. MASEKO
17
E. MAKGOP
16
MAXIME CR
22
RICHIE LA
 7.3
13
DEREK COR
15
MOISE BOM
 7.3
2
A. JOHNST
11
LIAM MILL
 8.9
7
STEPHEN E
25
N. SALIBA
17
T. BUCHAN
 7.2
12
T. OLUWAS
10
JONATHAN
SUBSTITUTES · SOUTH AFRICA
19
Nkosinathi S...
D
24
Olwethu Makh...
D
26
B. Cross
D
23
J. Adams
M
25
K. Sebelebel...
M
18
S. Kabini
D
3
K. Ndamane
D
2
T. Matuludi
D
22
R. Goss
G
16
S. Chaine
G
15
I. Rayners
F
8
T. Moremi
F
5
T. Mbatha
M
9
L. Foster
F
COACH: Hugo Broos
SUBSTITUTES · CANADA
5
Joel Waterma...
D
6
Mathieu Choi...
M
20
Ali Ahmed
M
21
Jonathan Oso...
M
9
C. Larin
F
3
Alfie Jones
D
18
O. Goodman
G
1
Dayne St. Cl...
G
19
A. Davies
D
24
Promise Davi...
F
14
Jacob Shaffe...
F
23
Niko Sigur
M
4
L. De Fouger...
D
26
Jayden Nelso...
F
COACH: Jesse Marsch
🏥 UNAVAILABLE PLAYERS
SOU · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

CAN · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

⚖ MATCH OFFICIALS
REFEREE
Joao Pedro Pinheiro, Portugal
—
SOU MANAGER
Hugo Broos
head coach
CAN MANAGER
Jesse Marsch
head coach
HEAD TO HEAD · ALL-TIME
0
SOU WINS
1
DRAWS
0
CAN WINS
100%
SOUTH AFRICA LAST 5 OVERALL
W D L D
CANADA LAST 5 OVERALL
L L W D L
MATCH IMPACT Final 0–1 · result locked
SOUTH AFRICA #2
Lost · already at 4 pts
Round of 32
CANADA #2
Won · already at 4 pts
Round of 32
LEAGUE CONTEXT FULL TABLE →
# TEAM P W D L GD PTS FORM
1 Mexico 3 3 0 0 +6 9
L W W W W
1 Congo DR 3 1 1 1 +1 4
L W L D
1 England 3 2 1 0 +4 7
W L W W W
1 Colombia 3 2 1 0 +3 7
L W D W W
1 Argentina 3 3 0 0 +7 9
L W W W W
1 France 3 3 0 0 +8 9
L L W W W
1 Spain 3 2 1 0 +5 7
W W W W W
1 Belgium 3 1 2 0 +4 5
L W W W D
1 Netherlands 3 2 1 0 +6 7
L W W D
1 Germany 3 2 0 1 +6 6
L L W W
1 USA 3 2 0 1 +4 6
L W L W W
1 Brazil 3 2 1 0 +6 7
L W W W D
1 Switzerland 3 2 1 0 +4 7
L W W W W
2 Norway 3 2 0 1 +1 6
L W W L W
2 Austria 3 1 1 1 0 4
L D L W
2 Portugal 3 1 2 0 +5 5
L W D W D
2 Croatia 3 2 0 1 0 6
L W W L
2 Sweden 3 1 1 1 0 4
L D L W
2 Cape Verde Islands 3 0 3 0 0 3
L D D D
2 Egypt 3 1 2 0 +2 5
L W D W D
2 Japan 3 1 2 0 +4 5
L D W D
2 Ivory Coast 3 2 0 1 +2 6
L W L W
2 Australia 3 1 1 1 0 4
L D L W
2 Morocco 3 2 1 0 +3 7
L W W W W
2 Canada 3 1 1 1 +5 4
L W L W D
2 South Africa 3 1 1 1 -1 4
L W D L
3 Senegal 3 1 0 2 +2 3
L W L L
3 Algeria 3 1 1 1 -2 4
L D W L
3 Congo DR 3 1 1 1 +1 4
L W L D
3 Ghana 3 1 1 1 0 4
L L D W
3 Ghana 3 1 1 1 0 4
L L D W
3 Uruguay 3 0 2 1 -1 2
L D D
3 Iran 3 0 3 0 0 3
D D D
3 Sweden 3 1 1 1 0 4
L D L W
3 Ecuador 3 1 1 1 0 4
L W D L
3 Paraguay 3 1 1 1 -2 4
L W D W L
3 Scotland 3 1 0 2 -3 3
L L W
3 Bosnia & Herzegovina 3 1 1 1 -1 4
L W L D
3 South Korea 3 1 0 2 -1 3
L L W
4 Iraq 3 0 0 3 -11 0
L L L
4 Jordan 3 0 0 3 -5 0
L L L
4 Uzbekistan 3 0 0 3 -9 0
L L L
4 Panama 3 0 0 3 -4 0
L L L
4 Ecuador 3 1 1 1 0 4
L W D L
4 Saudi Arabia 3 0 2 1 -4 2
D L D
4 New Zealand 3 0 1 2 -6 1
L L D
4 Tunisia 3 0 0 3 -10 0
L L L
4 Czech Republic 3 0 1 2 -4 1
L D L
4 Qatar 3 0 1 2 -8 1
L L D
4 Haiti 3 0 0 3 -6 0
L L L
4 Türkiye 3 1 0 2 -2 3
W L L
4 Curaçao 3 0 1 2 -8 1
L D L
5 Bosnia & Herzegovina 3 1 1 1 -1 4
L W L D
5 New Zealand 1 0 1 0 0 1
D
6 Spain 1 0 1 0 0 1
D
6 Algeria 3 1 1 1 -2 4
L D W L
7 Croatia 2 1 0 1 -1 3
W L
7 Portugal 1 0 1 0 0 1
W D
7 Paraguay 3 1 1 1 -2 4
L W D W L
8 Senegal 3 1 0 2 +2 3
L W L L
9 Czech Republic 2 0 1 1 -1 1
D L
9 Saudi Arabia 2 0 1 1 -4 1
L D
9 Iran 3 0 3 0 0 3
D D D
10 South Korea 3 1 0 2 -1 3
L L W
10 Cape Verde Islands 2 0 2 0 0 2
D D
10 Belgium 2 0 2 0 0 2
D D
11 Scotland 3 1 0 2 -3 3
L L W
11 Panama 1 0 0 1 -1 0
L
11 Jordan 1 0 0 1 -2 0
L
12 Uruguay 3 0 2 1 -1 2
L D D
UCL Qualification Europa / Conference Relegation
COMMENTARY
  • 90'+2
    Goal · Normal Goal · Stephen Eustaquio
  • 86'
    Subst · Substitution 3 · T. Maseko
  • 86'
    Subst · Substitution 2 · E. Makgopa
  • 75'
    Subst · Substitution 5 · T. Buchanan
  • 70'
    Subst · Substitution 4 · Liam Millar
  • 70'
    Subst · Substitution 3 · T. Oluwaseyi
  • 67'
    Card · Yellow Card · Niko Sigur
    Holding
  • 59'
    Subst · Substitution 2 · Moise Bombito
  • 59'
    Subst · Substitution 1 · N. Saliba
  • 54'
    Card · Yellow Card · N. Saliba
    Holding
  • 46'
    Subst · Substitution 1 · Relebohile Mofokeng
13 BOOKIES
📊 AVERAGE ACROSS 13 BOOKMAKERS
SOUTH AFRICA WIN
5.25
19% implied
↑ best 5.70
DRAW
3.42
29.2% implied
↑ best 3.75
CANADA WIN
1.76
56.8% implied
↑ best 1.85

Market favors Canada. AI projects CANADA 40%.

MATCH WINNER ODDS avg across bookmakers
AI SAYS CANADA 40% · EDGE column shows AI probability minus market implied probability
BOOKMAKER 1 X 2 EDGE
10Bet 5.10 3.40 1.73 +8.4%
1xBet 5.61 3.52 1.81 +10.2%
888Sport 4.80 3.25 1.73 +7.2%
Bet365 5.00 3.40 1.75 +8.0%
Betano 5.40 3.35 1.85 +9.5%
Betfair 5.00 3.40 1.80 +8.0%
BetVictor 5.50 3.30 1.70 +9.8%
Dafabet 5.40 3.75 1.70 +9.5%
Marathonbet 5.70 3.46 1.78 +10.5%
Pinnacle 5.60 3.50 1.79 +10.1%
SBO 5.00 3.50 1.74 +8.0%
Unibet 5.20 3.35 1.79 +8.8%
William Hill 5.00 3.30 1.75 +8.0%

Best odds in gold. Edge ≥ +5% (lime) means market under-prices the AI's probability. 18+ only.

📊 OTHER MARKETS

Over/Under · BTTS · Asian Handicap

avg across bookmakers
⚽ GOALS · OVER / UNDER
1.5 O 1.41 U 2.85
2.5 O 2.25 U 1.64
3.5 O 4.07 U 1.22
⚽ BOTH TEAMS SCORE
YES
2.05 10 bks
NO
1.71 10 bks
⚖ ASIAN HANDICAP
Away -0.25 1.20
Away -0.5 1.15
Away -0.75 1.08
Away -1 1.00
Away -1.5 1.01
Away +0 1.27
📈 MARKET MOVEMENT

How the market shifted before kick-off

historical line movement
7d ago 3d 1d KICK-OFF

Smoothed line illustration · per-snapshot historical odds storage activates Q3.