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Tercera División RFEF - Group 1 · GROUP 1 - 32 · SUN 26 APR · 15:00 LOCAL
← Match Page
SOMOZAS
FT
1 – 1
FULL TIME
COMPOSTELA
⚽ 81' J. Cambon
GOALS
⚽ 62' —
CLAUDE AI · BLENDED FROM 4 MODELS
FINAL · VERIFIED
CONF 72/100 HIGH
🔮 PREDICTED FULL-TIME SCORE
SOM
0 – 1
COM
most likely scoreline · 18.7% probability
AI PICKS COMPOSTELA TO WIN 70%
FT 1 – 1
→
🤖 AI PROJECTED FT 0 – 1
🤖 AI BREAKDOWN

HOW AI SEES THE MATCH

FINAL · VERIFIED
SOM WIN 8%
DRAW 22%
COM WIN 70%
h + d + a = 100% · stacked share
💰 AI BETTING TIP
COMPOSTELA TO WIN

AI consensus across 70% — strongest pick on the board. Single-result bet recommended over double-chance.

CONF 70% 4 models
🤖 AI ANALYSIS

Compostela leading 1-0 with 19 minutes left; low-chance match suggests away win is strong favourite.

🤖 AI REASONING why AI picked this
WHY SOMOZAS CHALLENGED
8%
One-goal lead past 71' — Somozas need 2 goals in 19 min to win
CONTEXT
Tercera División typically low-scoring; no recent events suggest late chaos
CONTEXT
Compostela holding possession and shape defensively
CONTEXT
WHY COMPOSTELA FAVORED
70%
One-goal lead past 71' — Somozas need 2 goals in 19 min to win
CONTEXT
Tercera División typically low-scoring; no recent events suggest late chaos
CONTEXT
Compostela holding possession and shape defensively
CONTEXT
🤖 CONTEXT · NEUTRAL FACTORS
  • One-goal lead past 71' — Somozas need 2 goals in 19 min to win
  • Tercera División typically low-scoring; no recent events suggest late chaos
  • Compostela holding possession and shape defensively
🤖 AI LIVE TIMELINE

PROBABILITY TIMELINE

How AI re-projects after each event
H DRAW A
100% 50% 0% KO 15' 30' HT 60' 75' FT ⚽ 62' ⚽ 81' J. CAMBON
Probabilities re-blended at each event · 2 events marked → Derived from goal events + remaining time
🤖 AI SCORE MATRIX

SCORELINE PROBABILITY

All possible scorelines · Poisson from xG
0% 18.7%+
0
1
2
3
4
5
6+
0
15.0
18.7
11.7
4.9
1.5
0.4
0.1
1
9.7
12.2
7.6
3.2
1.0
0.3
·
2
3.2
4.0
2.5
1.0
0.3
0.1
·
3
0.7
0.9
0.5
0.2
0.1
·
·
4
0.1
0.1
0.1
·
·
·
·
5
·
·
·
·
·
·
·
6+
·
·
·
·
·
·
·
MOST LIKELY · TOP 5
0 — 1 18.7%
0 — 0 15.0%
1 — 1 12.2%
0 — 2 11.7%
1 — 0 9.7%
Top 5 = 67.2% · rest 32.8%
🤖 AI VALUE FINDER

VALUE BETS

Where AI sees an edge vs bookmaker odds
8 markets · pre-match avg odds
MARKETODDSAI PROBFAIREDGE
AWAY to Win
9 bookmakers · pre-match avg
1.80
70.0%
1.43
+26.2%
Draw or AWAY (X2)
7 bookmakers · pre-match avg
1.16
92.0%
1.09
+7.1%
HOME or AWAY (12)
7 bookmakers · pre-match avg
1.28
78.0%
1.28
-0.3%
—
Draw
9 bookmakers · pre-match avg
3.10
22.0%
4.55
-31.8%
—
HOME or Draw (1X)
7 bookmakers · pre-match avg
1.84
30.0%
3.33
-44.8%
—
Over 2.5 Goals
7 bookmakers · pre-match avg
2.32
18.0%
5.56
-58.3%
—
HOME to Win
9 bookmakers · pre-match avg
4.25
8.0%
12.50
-66.0%
—
Both Teams Score — YES
4 bookmakers · pre-match avg
2.08
12.0%
8.33
-75.1%
—
⚠ 18+ only. Odds change frequently. AI predictions are not guarantees. Bet responsibly.