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Erovnuli Liga 2 · REGULAR SEASON - 9 · SUN 26 APR · 16:00 LOCAL
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SIONI
FT
1 – 1
FULL TIME
ARAGVI DUSHETI
⚽ 69' T. Mindiashvili
GOALS
⚽ 52' T. Bregvadze
CLAUDE AI · BLENDED FROM 4 MODELS
FINAL · VERIFIED
CONF 48/100 MED
🔮 PREDICTED FULL-TIME SCORE
SIO
1 – 0
ARA
most likely scoreline · 17.5% probability
AI PICKS SIONI TO WIN 55%
FT 1 – 1
→
🤖 AI PROJECTED FT 1 – 0
🤖 AI BREAKDOWN

HOW AI SEES THE MATCH

FINAL · VERIFIED
SIO WIN 55%
DRAW 32%
ARA WIN 13%
h + d + a = 100% · stacked share
💰 AI BETTING TIP
DOUBLE CHANCE — 1X

Tight 1X2 — single-side too risky. Double chance covers 87% of outcomes with smaller payout.

CONF 87% 4 models
🤖 AI ANALYSIS

Early stalemate (0-0 at 15'); Sioni slight home favourite based on form + H2H, but thin data limits confidence.

🤖 AI REASONING why AI picked this
WHY SIONI FAVORED
55%
Sioni home form 2W-1D and recent form WWDLW vs Aragvi away form 0W-1D-2L
CONTEXT
H2H favours Sioni (3 wins, 2 draws in last 5); recent 0-0 suggests defensive stalemate possible
CONTEXT
No season stats, no xG data, and low second-division league coverage — large uncertainty band
CONTEXT
WHY ARAGVI DUSHETI CHALLENGED
13%
Sioni home form 2W-1D and recent form WWDLW vs Aragvi away form 0W-1D-2L
CONTEXT
H2H favours Sioni (3 wins, 2 draws in last 5); recent 0-0 suggests defensive stalemate possible
CONTEXT
No season stats, no xG data, and low second-division league coverage — large uncertainty band
CONTEXT
🤖 CONTEXT · NEUTRAL FACTORS
  • Sioni home form 2W-1D and recent form WWDLW vs Aragvi away form 0W-1D-2L
  • H2H favours Sioni (3 wins, 2 draws in last 5); recent 0-0 suggests defensive stalemate possible
  • No season stats, no xG data, and low second-division league coverage — large uncertainty band
🤖 AI LIVE TIMELINE

PROBABILITY TIMELINE

How AI re-projects after each event
H DRAW A
100% 50% 0% KO 15' 30' HT 60' 75' FT ⚽ 52' T. BREGVAD ⚽ 69' T. MINDIAS
Probabilities re-blended at each event · 2 events marked → Derived from goal events + remaining time
🤖 AI SCORE MATRIX

SCORELINE PROBABILITY

All possible scorelines · Poisson from xG
0% 17.5%+
0
1
2
3
4
5
6+
0
15.0
10.9
4.0
1.0
0.2
·
·
1
17.5
12.8
4.7
1.1
0.2
·
·
2
10.2
7.5
2.7
0.7
0.1
·
·
3
4.0
2.9
1.1
0.3
·
·
·
4
1.2
0.9
0.3
0.1
·
·
·
5
0.3
0.2
0.1
·
·
·
·
6+
·
·
·
·
·
·
·
MOST LIKELY · TOP 5
1 — 0 17.5%
0 — 0 15.0%
1 — 1 12.8%
0 — 1 10.9%
2 — 0 10.2%
Top 5 = 66.4% · rest 33.6%
🤖 AI VALUE FINDER

VALUE BETS

Where AI sees an edge vs bookmaker odds
8 markets · pre-match avg odds
MARKETODDSAI PROBFAIREDGE
Draw
10 bookmakers · pre-match avg
3.79
32.0%
3.13
+21.2%
Draw or AWAY (X2)
8 bookmakers · pre-match avg
2.22
45.0%
2.22
-0.3%
—
HOME or Draw (1X)
8 bookmakers · pre-match avg
1.12
87.0%
1.15
-2.6%
—
HOME to Win
10 bookmakers · pre-match avg
1.56
55.0%
1.82
-14.2%
—
HOME or AWAY (12)
8 bookmakers · pre-match avg
1.20
68.0%
1.47
-18.6%
—
Over 2.5 Goals
7 bookmakers · pre-match avg
1.75
38.0%
2.63
-33.6%
—
AWAY to Win
10 bookmakers · pre-match avg
4.90
13.0%
7.69
-36.4%
—
Both Teams Score — YES
5 bookmakers · pre-match avg
1.76
28.0%
3.57
-50.6%
—
⚠ 18+ only. Odds change frequently. AI predictions are not guarantees. Bet responsibly.