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Europa League · 2ND QUALIFYING ROUND · THU, 23 JUL · 17:00 LOCAL
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SHERIFF TIRASPOL
5'
0 – 1
MACCABI TEL AVIV
GOALS
⚽ 5' Saied Abu Farchi ⚽ 29' Dor Peretz ⚽ 53' Sagiv Jehezkel ⚽ 74' Saied Abu Farchi ⚽ 78' Issouf Sissokho
CLAUDE AI · BLENDED FROM 4 MODELS
LIVE-ADJUSTED
CONF 38/100 LOW
🔮 PREDICTED FULL-TIME SCORE
SHE
1 – 0
MAC
most likely scoreline · 16.6% probability
AI PICKS SHERIFF TIRASPOL TO WIN 48%
LIVE · 5' 0 – 1
→
🤖 AI PROJECTS FT 1 – 0
🤖 AI BREAKDOWN

HOW AI SEES THE MATCH

LIVE-ADJUSTED
SHE WIN 48%
DRAW 32%
MAC WIN 20%
h + d + a = 100% · stacked share
💰 AI BETTING TIP
DOUBLE CHANCE — 1X

Tight 1X2 — single-side too risky. Double chance covers 80% of outcomes with smaller payout.

CONF 80% avoid: 1X2 single 4 models
🤖 AI ANALYSIS

Match at 2 minutes with 0-0; minimal data — Sheriff slight favourite at home but uncertainty very high.

🤖 AI REASONING why AI picked this
WHY SHERIFF TIRASPOL FAVORED
48%
Only 2 minutes elapsed; live state near-neutral
+25.0%
Sheriff home advantage vs Maccabi away weakness (recent form L)
+20.0%
Extremely limited season stats and H2H data (single prior meeting 0-0)
+15.0%
WHY MACCABI TEL AVIV CHALLENGED
20%
Only 2 minutes elapsed; live state near-neutral
+25.0%
Sheriff home advantage vs Maccabi away weakness (recent form L)
+20.0%
Extremely limited season stats and H2H data (single prior meeting 0-0)
+15.0%
🤖 CONTEXT · NEUTRAL FACTORS
  • Only 2 minutes elapsed; live state near-neutral
  • Sheriff home advantage vs Maccabi away weakness (recent form L)
  • Extremely limited season stats and H2H data (single prior meeting 0-0)
🤖 AI LIVE TIMELINE

PROBABILITY TIMELINE

How AI re-projects after each event
H DRAW A
100% 50% 0% KO 15' 30' HT 60' 75' FT ⚽ 5' SAIED ABU ⚽ 29' DOR PERETZ ⚽ 53' SAGIV JEHE ⚽ 74' SAIED ABU ⚽ 78' ISSOUF SIS 5' PROJECTION
Probabilities re-blended at each event · 5 events marked → Derived from goal events + remaining time
🤖 AI SCORE MATRIX

SCORELINE PROBABILITY

All possible scorelines · Poisson from xG
0% 16.6%+
0
1
2
3
4
5
6+
0
15.0
11.8
4.7
1.2
0.2
·
·
1
16.6
13.1
5.2
1.4
0.3
·
·
2
9.2
7.3
2.9
0.8
0.2
·
·
3
3.4
2.7
1.1
0.3
0.1
·
·
4
1.0
0.8
0.3
0.1
·
·
·
5
0.2
0.2
0.1
·
·
·
·
6+
·
·
·
·
·
·
·
MOST LIKELY · TOP 5
1 — 0 16.6%
0 — 0 15.0%
1 — 1 13.1%
0 — 1 11.8%
2 — 0 9.2%
Top 5 = 65.7% · rest 34.3%
🤖 AI VALUE FINDER

VALUE BETS

Where AI sees an edge vs bookmaker odds
8 markets · pre-match avg odds
MARKETODDSAI PROBFAIREDGE
HOME to Win
13 bookmakers · pre-match avg
3.36
48.0%
2.08
+61.2%
HOME or Draw (1X)
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
1.65
80.0%
1.25
+31.9%
Draw
13 bookmakers · pre-match avg
3.25
32.0%
3.13
+4.1%
—
Over 2.5 Goals
10 bookmakers · pre-match avg
2.26
42.0%
2.38
-5.2%
—
HOME or AWAY (12)
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
1.29
68.0%
1.47
-12.3%
—
Both Teams Score — YES
10 bookmakers · pre-match avg
1.97
38.0%
2.63
-25.0%
—
Draw or AWAY (X2)
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
1.29
52.0%
1.92
-32.8%
—
AWAY to Win
13 bookmakers · pre-match avg
2.09
20.0%
5.00
-58.2%
—
⚠ 18+ only. Odds change frequently. AI predictions are not guarantees. Bet responsibly.